Toluca vs Pachuca Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 29 Mar 2025

Find Out Why We’re Backing Toluca

Toluca look like a spot of value at -118 when it comes to the Full-Time Result market. The home team should be able to deliver a victory against Pachuca based on the information available.

2-2 Draw in Last H2H

Deportivo Toluca have triumphed in their last four home games. In their last appearance, they won away, beating Club Puebla 3-0 at Estadio Cuahutehmoc. Los Diablos Rojos enjoyed 66% possession and managed seven shots on target, while Jesus Gallardo, Paulinho and Alexis Vega scored one goal apiece.

Pachuca claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 4-1 win occurred against Club Tijuana at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo. They boasted 56% possession and recorded five shots on goal, with Santiago Homenchenko, John Kennedy, Jose Salomon Rondon and Juan Sigala all on target.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Toluca are unbeaten when it comes to the past four meetings against Pachuca, with the last encounter ending in a 2-2 draw at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo. The past 10 H2H meetings have included five victories for Pachuca, four wins for Toluca and a single draw.

Liga MX		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Pachuca	3	3	0	0	7	2	5	7:2	9
2	Toluca	3	2	0	1	10	7	3	10:7	6

View Full Table

6 wins, 2 losses and 2 draws, averaging 2.5 goals from 13.0 attempts and 7.4 shots on goal. Deportivo Toluca have had 60.6% possession and 5.4 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.2 goals from 7.2 attempts and 3.4 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 3.7 corners.

Paulinho leads the way with 7 goals, while Alexis Vega and Robert Morales have scored 6 and 3 respectively. The leading assistors are Alexis Vega and Marcel Ruiz with 4.

Tuzos have 4 victories, 3 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 5.4 shots on goal, 12.5 attempts and 1.5 goals. They average 55.4% possession, 8.3 corners taken and 3.8 corners against them, while 1.2 goals have been conceded from 7.3 attempts and 3.3 shots on goal.

John Kennedy got 8 goals, Jose Salomon Rondon notched 4, while Santiago Homenchenko and two other players scored 1. Oussama Idrissi has managed to clock up 5 assists in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Toluca confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Pau Lopez (GK), Diego Barbosa, Bruno Mendez, Federico Pereira, Jesus Gallardo, Franco Romero, Marcel Ruiz, Juan Dominguez, Jesus Angulo, Alexis Vega, Paulinho.

Pachuca confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Carlos Moreno (GK), Luis Rodriguez, Eduardo Bauermann, Alonso Aceves, Bryan Gonzalez, Santiago Homenchenko, Elias Montiel, Owen Gonzalez, John Kennedy, Sergio Hernandez, Jose Salomon Rondon.

Toluca vs Pachuca Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ll take the plunge and back Toluca to secure victory when they line up in this Liga MX game. There’s plenty of confidence behind this wager and the odds of -118 look attractive.

We take note of any injuries or suspensions affecting each side before going ahead with our football picks. The form guide and stats also help the team at Sportsgambler.com crunch the numbers ahead of the action.

Key Toluca vs Pachuca league stats:

• Toluca have won 4 of their last 5 games.
• Toluca have won 14 of their last 20 games at home.
• Toluca have won 4 consecutive games at home.

Toluca to Win Probability

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 54.1% chance of winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

We suggest a Bet Builder for anyone looking to back Toluca to win along with other selections. This option gives you the chance to secure bigger odds by adding a number of legs.

Our Match Prediction

Toluca To Win @ -118 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Toluca 2 - 1 Pachuca

We’re going for Toluca at +650 to secure a 2-1 win. It’s exciting to bet on the correct score and this wager will hopefully be able to land a nice return.

Corners Prediction

Pachuca Over 4.5 Corners -100

Pachuca have had over 4.5 corners in ten straight matches. We’re happy to back the -100 when it comes to Pachuca covering the Team Corners line which looks generous.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Toluca

Total

9.10 5.40 3.70

Home

9.30 4.90 4.40

Away

7.40 4.20 3.20

Pachuca

Total

12.10 8.30 3.80

Home

11.80 8.00 3.80

Away

11.40 6.10 5.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-138

Under 9.5

-100

Toluca Corners

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-138

Pachuca Corners

Over 4.5

-100

Under 4.5

-138

Most Corners

1

-156

X

+575

2

+150

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Toluca vs Pachuca Odds

With a 54% chance of winning, Deportivo Toluca are favourites to win this Liga MX match and they’re available at betting odds of -118 with the bookies. Pachuca are regarded as the least likely winner at +290.

Over 2.5 Goals is the market leader and that means three or more goals are predicted.

To combine various Liga MX selections within the same match, you will find football betting sites offer a Bet Builder. Start adding the picks you fancy until you’re happy with the overall payout.

Full-Time Result

1

-118

X

+280

2

+290

Half-Time Result

1

+140

X

+140

2

+300

Double Chance

1X

-400

12

-400

X2

-110

Draw No Bet

1

-250

2

+175

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-111

2 Hcp +0.5

-105

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+140

Over 2.5

-188

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-200

No

+150

Toluca vs Pachuca Lineups & Team News

Our Toluca vs Tuzos team news will highlight the injuries for both squads, with the lineups giving you a helping hand with your bets.

Getting the player information you need is easy thanks to the Liga MX squads.

Toluca Team Page Pachuca Team Page