Toluca vs Tigres Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 01 Feb 2025

Expect a Close Encounter

Tigres +0.25 look like a spot of value on the Asian Handicap. This involves halving our stake between 0 and +0.5, with a victory against Toluca the aim at betting odds of -121.

2-1 Win for Tigres in Last Head-to-Head

Deportivo Toluca played out a 1-1 draw in their last game. This was on the road at Olimpico Universitario against Pumas UNAM. Los Diablos Rojos boasted 59% possession and recorded four shots on target, while Nathan Silva (own goal) scored the goal.

Tigres UANL won their previous game, beating Club Tijuana at home. It was a 4-0 win at Estadio Universitario/El Volcan. Veljko Paunovic's side recorded eight shots on goal and had 45% possession, with Juan Brunetta on the scoresheet twice, while Juan Pablo Vigon and Joaquim were both able to net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Tigres overcame Toluca at home when the teams last played. It was a 2-1 scoreline at Estadio Universitario/El Volcan. In the previous 10 H2H matches, we have seen five Toluca victories, four Tigres wins and one draw.

Liga MX		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Toluca	12	9	1	2	35	16	19	35:16	28
5	Tigres	12	6	5	1	22	10	12	22:10	23

View Full Table

Deportivo Toluca have 3 wins, 4 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.7 goals from 6.3 shots on goal and 12.0 attempts. Antonio Mohamed's team have averaged 51.8% possession and 3.5 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.5 goals from 4.9 shots on goal, 9.6 attempts and 3.8 corners.

Top goalscorers Paulinho and Jesus Angulo have found the net 4 times, with Helio Junio scoring 2. Alexis Vega is the leading assists maker with 6.

Tigres UANL have 6 victories, 1 defeat and 3 draws, with an average of 1.8 goals from 12.9 attempts and 5.2 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 47.7% possession, 5.4 corners in their favour and 4.7 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.9 goals from 9.1 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal.

Juan Brunetta got 6 goals, Nicolas Ibanez notched 2, while Juan Pablo Vigon and two other players scored 1. Look no further than Diego Lainez for the top assist maker (3) in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Toluca confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Luis Garcia (GK), Diego Barbosa, Bruno Mendez, Federico Pereira, Jesus Gallardo, Helinho, Marcel Ruiz, Franco Romero, Jesus Angulo, Ivan Lopez, Alexis Vega.

Tigres confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Nahuel Guzman (GK), Javier Aquino, Joaquim, Jesus Angulo, Jesus Garza, Guido Pizarro, Fernando Gorriaran, Jonathan Herrera, Juan Brunetta, Diego Lainez, Nicolas Ibanez.

Toluca vs Tigres Prediction & Betting Tips

Tigres have a good chance of winning this Liga MX clash and we’ll wager them on the Asian Handicap. Take the visitors at -121 with a +0.25 goal start in then expectation that they can perform well.

We take note of any injuries or suspensions affecting each side before going ahead with our football picks. The form guide and stats also help the team at Sportsgambler.com crunch the numbers ahead of the action.

Key Toluca vs Tigres league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Tigres in all of their last 5 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Tigres in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Tigres in 5 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Toluca in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Toluca in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Toluca in 3 consecutive games.

Tigres +0.25 Probability

The betting sites are estimating that there is a 54.8% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, we think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

In the quest to get more juice, there’s an option to sell goals with your Asian Handicap bet. Alternatively, play things safer and choose to buy goals instead.

Our Match Prediction

Tigres Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -121 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Toluca 1 - 2 Tigres

A potentially entertaining bet is going for Tigres to win by a 2-1 scoreline. At odds of +1050, there’s the chance to get a handsome return should this wager win.

Corners Prediction

Tigres Over 4.5 Corners -120

The 4.5 corners line has been covered by Tigres in their past six games. We think that the value can be found by wagering on Team Corners and you can secure -120 that Tigres go over the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Toluca

Total

9.00 4.40 4.60

Home

8.20 4.50 3.70

Away

9.50 5.10 4.40

Tigres

Total

10.40 5.40 5.00

Home

9.90 6.00 3.90

Away

10.40 5.40 5.00

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-102

Under 9.5

-147

Toluca Corners

Over 4.5

-150

Under 4.5

+110

Tigres Corners

Over 4.5

-100

Under 4.5

-138

Most Corners

1

-147

X

+540

2

+143

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Toluca vs Tigres Odds

The bookies have priced up the Full-Time Result betting odds and Deportivo Toluca are -105 to land a Liga MX home victory, while Tigres UANL are +270 to win on the road. The draw is trading at +240 should you think the clash will end all square.

The Over 2.5 Goals option is currently favourite on the Total Goals market.

The leading football betting sites offer hundreds of markets when it comes to Liga MX matches. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Full-Time Result

1

-105

X

+240

2

+270

Half-Time Result

1

+155

X

+114

2

+295

Double Chance

1X

-435

12

-385

X2

-141

Draw No Bet

1

-250

2

+155

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-104

2 Hcp +0.5

-125

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-128

Over 2.5

-106

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-137

No

-104

Toluca vs Tigres Lineups & Team News

It’s great to get the latest lineups for the match, with injuries being flagged up thanks to our up-to-date Toluca vs Tigres team news.

We’ve got details of the Liga MX squads so that you know every player on the roster.

Toluca Team Page Tigres Team Page