Toluca vs Tigres Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 17 May 2025

Toluca to Get the Job Done

Toluca and Tigres battle it out in the second leg of this Liga MX Clausura semi-final tie at Estadio Nemesio Díez, with the first leg ending in a 1-1 draw.

There are several reasons to back Toluca on the Full-Time Result betting market, especially at value odds of -119. We think that the favourites will prove too strong for Tigres.

1-1 Draw in the First Leg

El Volcán played host to the first leg, with the semi-final clash ending in a 1-1 draw. Tigres enjoyed 57% possession, while Toluca won the shots on target 7-3. Tigres' Nicolas Ibanez found the net first in the game, while Toluca's Paulinho scored a 45th minute equalizer.

The H2H over 10 games makes for interesting reading, two draws and four wins apiece for each team.

Liga MX		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	Tigres	5	3	1	1	15	8	7	15:8	10
6	Toluca	6	3	1	2	13	9	4	13:9	10

View Full Table

7 wins, 1 loss and 2 draws, averaging 2.4 goals from 6.2 shots on goal and 10.8 attempts. Deportivo Toluca have had 52.0% possession and 4.5 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.4 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 9.3 attempts, while being awarded 4.5 corners.

Top scorer Paulinho has found the net 8 times, with Alexis Vega and Jesus Gallardo getting 6 and 3 respectively. The top assist makers are Marcel Ruiz, Alexis Vega and Jesus Gallardo, all of whom have 4 on the board.

Tigres UANL have won 4, lost 1 and drawn 5, with an average of 1.1 goals from 10.4 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 59.9% possession, 5.8 corners in their favour and 5.3 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.8 goals from 9.8 attempts and 4.6 shots on goal.

Nicolas Ibanez has scored 3 goals, followed by Juan Brunetta and Fernando Gorriaran on 2. Uriel Antuna and Juan Brunetta have had 2 assists in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Toluca confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Luis Garcia (GK), Diego Barbosa, Luan Garcia, Federico Pereira, Jesus Gallardo, Marcel Ruiz, Franco Romero, Juan Dominguez, Jesus Angulo, Alexis Vega, Paulinho.

Tigres confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Nahuel Guzman (GK), Javier Aquino, Joaquim, Juan Jose Purata, Jesus Angulo, Fernando Gorriaran, Romulo, Juan Brunetta, Diego Lainez, Nicolas Ibanez, Jonathan Herrera.

Toluca vs Tigres Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ll take Toluca at attractive betting odds of -119 considering that they could be dominant in this Liga MX game. This match winner wager provides plenty of value and a nice potential return.

Injuries and suspensions can affect the overall outcome and we use this information as well as the latest form guide. The same applies to the stats so that we can get the best understanding of how things might pan out.

Key Toluca vs Tigres league stats:

• Toluca have won 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• Toluca have won 7 of their last 10 games.

Toluca to Win Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 54.3% chance of winning. However, our tipsters have this number closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

If you think Toluca are too short a price on the Full-Time Result market but feel confident about their chances, why not consider the Asian Handicap where you can get bigger odds.

Our Match Prediction

Toluca To Win @ -119 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Toluca 2 - 0 Tigres

One bet that has caught our eye is Toluca to claim a 2-0 correct score win. This selection is available at +700 meaning that a winning selection will yield a nice return.

Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -128

There has been five straight Tigres away matches where 9.5 Total Corners has been covered, while it has been an average of 10.80 corners in the previous five Toluca games. If you agree with our verdict that the Total Corners line can be covered, then you can land odds of -128 that this happens.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Toluca

Total

9.00 4.40 4.60

Home

8.20 4.50 3.70

Away

9.50 5.10 4.40

Tigres

Total

10.40 5.40 5.00

Home

9.90 6.00 3.90

Away

10.40 5.40 5.00

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-143

Under 9.5

-104

Toluca Corners

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-138

Tigres Corners

Over 4.5

+110

Under 4.5

-150

Most Corners

1

-156

X

+575

2

+148

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Toluca vs Tigres Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Toluca Could Have Edge According to Bookies

Bookies favourites Deportivo Toluca are regarded as the likeliest winners for this Liga MX game and the -128 about them triumphing means a 56% chance of winning based on their current betting odds. At +320, Tigres UANL are regarded as having a lower probability of winning this match.

Under 2.5 Goals is currently the betting favourite and a bet on this option would mean you need no more than two goals to be scored.

The Draw No Bet market is popular for Liga MX matches, with the football betting sites offering Deportivo Toluca at -313 and Tigres UANL are priced at +190 for the win.

Full-Time Result

1

-128

X

+260

2

+320

Half-Time Result

1

+135

X

+118

2

+340

Double Chance

1X

-556

12

-435

X2

-116

Draw No Bet

1

-313

2

+190

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-127

2 Hcp +0.5

-103

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-132

Over 2.5

-103

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-119

No

-119

João Paulo "Paulinho" Fernandes Heads First Goalscorer Market

João Paulo "Paulinho" Fernandes can be backed to find the net anytime at +123, with +280 available that the market leader scores the first goal.

João Paulo "Paulinho" Fernandes (Toluca)

First

+123

Anytime

+280

Alexis Vega (Toluca)

First

+255

Anytime

+540

Andre-Pierre Gignac (Tigres)

First

+310

Anytime

+650

Robert Morales (Toluca)

First

+330

Anytime

+650

Edgar López (Toluca)

First

+380

Anytime

+750

Jesus Angulo (Toluca)

First

+380

Anytime

+750

Hélio Júnio "Helinho" Nunes de Castro (Toluca)

First

+380

Anytime

+800

Nicolás Ibañez (Tigres)

First

+410

Anytime

+800

Uriel Antuna (Tigres)

First

+430

Anytime

+900

Juan Brunetta (Tigres)

First

+480

Anytime

+1000

Juan Pablo Domínguez (Toluca)

First

+480

Anytime

+1000

Luan Garcia Teixeira (Toluca)

First

+480

Anytime

+1000

Franco Romero (Toluca)

First

+540

Anytime

+1100

Héctor Herrera (Toluca)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

Ozziel Herrera (Tigres)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Marcelo Flores (Tigres)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Juan Pablo Vigón (Tigres)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Diego Lainez (Tigres)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

David (2000) Ayala (Tigres)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Marcel Ruiz (Toluca)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Jesus Garza (Tigres)

First

+700

Anytime

+1400

Federico Pereira (Toluca)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Sebastian Cordova (Tigres)

First

+750

Anytime

+1600

Diego Barbosa (Toluca)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Fernando Gorriarán (Tigres)

First

+850

Anytime

+1700

Brian Garcia (Toluca)

First

+900

Anytime

+1900

Rômulo Zwarg (Tigres)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Osvaldo Rodríguez (Tigres)

First

+950

Anytime

+1900

Javier Aquino (Tigres)

First

+1000

Anytime

+1900

Toluca vs Tigres Lineups & Team News

If you’re looking for Toluca vs Tigres team news, then we have predicted and confirmed lineups available along with details of any injuries on both sides.

The Liga MX squads highlight the star players operating for every team in the division.

Toluca Team Page Tigres Team Page