Tondela vs Arouca Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 03 Jan 2026

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Tondela vs Arouca

Tondela clash with Arouca at Estadio Joao Cardoso, with kick-off set for 10:30 on Saturday 3 January.

Our stake will be split when taking Arouca +0.25 at odds of -118 for this Asian Handicap bet. It means a return in the event of a draw but a bigger payout should the visitors claim a win against Tondela.

Ready to follow our Asian Handicap pick? Claim the current BetMGM promo code and learn more about the site in our expert review before you decide where to put your money.

Tondela have lost on their last four home outings. In a recent game at Estadio Joao Cardoso, they were beaten 2-1 by Casa Pia. The Gold and Green had 46% possession and recorded four shots on target, with Ivan Cavaleiro scoring the goal.

Arouca hosted Gil Vicente in their previous game, ending in a 2-2 draw at Municipal de Arouca. Vasco Seabra's team recorded 46% possession and totalled five shots on goal, while Hyun-Ju Lee and Alfonso Trezza were on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last encounter between the teams saw Arouca draw 2-2 away to Tondela at Estadio Joao Cardoso.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
16	Arouca	16	3	5	8	17	39	-22	17:39	14
17	Tondela	15	2	3	10	9	27	-18	9:27	9

View Full Table

Tondela have 2 wins, 6 losses and 2 draws, averaging 0.7 goals from 12.4 attempts and 3.5 shots on goal. Cristiano Bacci's side have averaged 44.6% possession, 322.8 passes and 4.6 corners per game, conceding 1.7 goals and 5.1 corners from 13.4 attempts and 5.4 shots on goal.

Top scorer Pedro Henryque has found the net 3 times, with Ivan Cavaleiro, Rony Lopes and Sphephelo Sithole getting 1 each. Rony Lopes is the top assists maker on 2, with goalie Bernardo Fontes managing 2 clean sheets.

Arouca have 1 victory, 6 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 2.7 shots on goal, 9.0 attempts and 0.8 goals. The Wolves average 46.6% possession, 381.6 passes, 3.6 corners taken and 6.6 corners against them, while 2.5 goals have been conceded from 14.5 attempts and 5.5 shots on goal.

The top scorers have been Alfonso Trezza, Hyun-Ju Lee, Taichi Fukui and Nais Djouahra, with 2 goals apiece. Alfonso Trezza, Tiago Esgaio and Miguel Puche have had 1 assists in the last 10 games, while Nico Mantl has 2 clean sheets to his name.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Tondela predicted lineup (4-3-3): Bernardo (GK), Tiago Manso, Christian Marques, João Afonso, Nor Maviram, Juan Rodríguez, Cicero Clebson Alves Santana, Hugo Félix, Pedro Maranhão, Jordan Siebatcheu, Ivan Cavaleiro.

Arouca predicted lineup (3-4-3): Nico Mantl (GK), Matias Rocha, Omar Fayed, Jose Fontán, Tiago Esgaio, Pedro Santos, Espen van Ee, Alfonso Trezza, Hyun-ju Lee, Ivan Barbero, Näis Djouahra.

Tondela vs Arouca Prediction & Betting Tips

Join us as we dissect the top Tondela vs Arouca betting picks — from the main match prediction and scoreline forecast to a sharp corners bet, standout player props and a value-focused bet builder.

Match Prediction

Wager on Arouca +0.25 on the Asian Handicap at -118 for this Primeira Liga game. We’re keen on their prospects of outperforming their match winner price and this wager looks like good value.

The formbook is always a good place to start ahead of making football predictions. The latest Primeira Liga team news is also an important port of call, while the stats we present always tell an interesting story.

Key Tondela vs Arouca league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Arouca in 3 consecutive games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Arouca in 10 of their last 18 games on the road.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Arouca in 11 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Tondela in 7 consecutive games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Tondela in 13 of their last 15 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Tondela in 8 of their last 10 games.

The best football betting sites make it a 54.1% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our tipsters have this number closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

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Our Match Prediction

Arouca Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -118 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Tondela 0 - 1 Arouca

You can secure odds of +650 that Arouca are able to land a 1-0 victory. Correct score betting can provide plenty of fun and it’s a way of landing bigger odds.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Alfonso Trezza To Score +360

Alfonso Trezza (Arouca) can be wagered to be on the scoresheet at +360. We’re happy to take this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he finds the net at least once.

Latest Alfonso Trezza Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+360

First

+750

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Corners Prediction

Tondela Over 4.5 Corners -159

The 4.5 corners line has been covered by Tondela in two straight games, while Arouca have let the opposition have an average of 6.60 corners in their last 10 matches. We endorse betting on the -159 that Tondela successfully cover the line, with this Team Corners wager hopefully providing a return.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Tondela

Total

9.70 4.60 5.10

Home

8.00 3.43 4.57

Away

11.25 4.75 6.50

Arouca

Total

10.20 3.60 6.60

Home

10.70 4.30 6.40

Away

8.40 2.90 5.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-118

Under 9.5

-123

Tondela Corners

Over 4.5

-159

Under 4.5

+110

Arouca Corners

Over 4.5

+115

Under 4.5

-164

Most Corners

1

-143

X

+600

2

+148

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Tondela vs Arouca Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The bookies have Tondela as +116 favourites for this Primeira Liga clash, with the Full-Time Result betting odds implying that they are 46% likely to win. At +230, Arouca are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

Tondela and Arouca can be backed at -189 and +128 respectively on the Draw No Bet market. This is an ideal route for bettors who want to ensure they have money back if the scoreline ends level.

A low-scoring contest will be predicted by several which is reflected in the fact that Under 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds. For Both Teams to Score betting opportunities, the market suggests that BTTS Yes and No are both equally as likely to happen.

All of the Primeira Liga matches see the best betting apps go to town with their service. Bettors can find the best approach from the hundreds of markets which are presented to them each time.

Full-Time Result

1

+116

X

+215

2

+230

Half-Time Result

1

+180

X

+118

2

+270

Double Chance

1X

-357

12

-333

X2

-167

Draw No Bet

1

-189

2

+128

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-123

2 Hcp +0.25

-118

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-147

Over 2.5

+102

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-125

No

-114

Pedro Henryque Pereira dos Santos is the market leader at +450 to be First Goalscorer but if you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.

Pedro Henryque Pereira dos Santos (Tondela)

First

+190

Anytime

+450

Jordan Siebatcheu (Tondela)

First

+260

Anytime

+525

Barbero (Arouca)

First

+285

Anytime

+600

Xabier Huarte Armendáriz (Tondela)

First

+350

Anytime

+750

Alfonso Trezza (Arouca)

First

+360

Anytime

+750

Miguel Puche (Arouca)

First

+380

Anytime

+800

Yarlen Faustino Augusto (Tondela)

First

+400

Anytime

+800

Tiago Manso (Tondela)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

João Afonso (Tondela)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Sphephelo Sithole (Tondela)

First

+700

Anytime

+1400

Pedro Carvalho Santos (Arouca)

First

+750

Anytime

+1600

Pablo Gozálbez (Arouca)

First

+750

Anytime

+1600

Joe Hodge (Tondela)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Espen van Ee (Arouca)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Rémy Vita (Tondela)

First

+900

Anytime

+1900

Cícero Alves Santana (duplicate) (Tondela)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Alex Pinto (Arouca)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Brayan Medina (Tondela)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Emmanuel Maviram (Tondela)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

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Tondela vs Arouca Lineups & Team News

Get the latest team news for Tondela vs Arouca before you bet. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Primeira Liga together with updated injury news.

Tondela Team Page Arouca Team Page

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