Tondela vs Benfica Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 01 Feb 2026

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Tondela vs Benfica

Second-from-bottom Tondela square off against third-placed Benfica at Estadio Joao Cardoso, with kick-off set for 15:30 on Sunday 1 February.

To land better value from the Benfica odds against Tondela, we suggest betting the Eagles at -115 on the Asian Handicap at -1.75. Our stake is split between -1.5 and -2.0, with a three goal winning margin the best possible outcome.

Tondela have lost their last three games. Away at Municipal 22 de Junho, they recently suffered a 3-0 defeat against Famalicão. Cristiano Bacci's side recorded just 39% possession and didn’t have a single shot on target.

Benfica have won their previous three Primeira Liga games. The latest was a 4-0 home triumph at Estadio da Luz against Estrela Amadora. The Lisbon outfit boasted 66% possession and had eight shots on goal, with Vangelis Pavlidis netting two, while Sidny Lopes Cabral and Anisio Cabral were also on the scoresheet.

On Wednesday night, Benfica hosted Real Madrid in the Champions League and claimed a dramatic 4–2 win, sealing qualification with a late goal from their goalkeeper Anatoliy Trubin.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Benfica have five successive wins against Tondela. Their last clash took place at Estadio da Luz and Benfica claimed a 3-0 home victory. The previous 7 H2H games have featured six Benfica victories and one draw.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Benfica	29	20	9	0	61	18	43	61:18	69
17	Tondela	27	4	8	15	19	44	-25	19:44	20

View Full Table

Tondela have 2 wins, 7 losses and 1 draw, averaging 0.8 goals from 2.5 shots on goal and 9.5 attempts. The Gold and Green have averaged 40.3% possession, 307.7 passes and 3.7 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.6 goals from 3.8 shots on goal, 11.3 attempts and 5.2 corners.

Top scorer Pedro Henryque has found the net 2 times, with Jordan Pefok, Emmanuel Maviram, Yefrei Rodriguez and Ivan Cavaleiro getting 1 goals each. Emmanuel Maviram is the leading assists maker on 2, with goalkeeper Bernardo Fontes keeping one clean sheet.

Benfica have won 7 and drawn 3, with an average of 16.9 attempts, 6.4 shots on goal and 2.4 goals. Jose Mourinho's team average 57.6% possession, 505.2 passes, 6.4 corners awarded and 2.3 corners against them, while 0.7 goals have been conceded from 2.4 shots on goal and 6.9 attempts.

Vangelis Pavlidis has scored 11 goals, followed by Fredrik Aursnes and Georgiy Sudakov on 2. Georgiy Sudakov, Leandro Barreiro and Vangelis Pavlidis have had 2 assists in the last 10 games, while Anatoliy Trubin has 5 clean sheets to his name.

Confirmed Lineups

Tondela confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Bernardo Fontes (GK), Bebeto, Christian Marques, Brayan Medina, Emmanuel Maviram, Sphephelo Sithole, Joe Hodge, Rodrigo Conceicao, Cicero, Makan Aiko, Jordan Pefok.

Benfica confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Anatoliy Trubin (GK), Daniel Banjaqui, Antonio Silva, Nicolas Otamendi, Samuel Dahl, Fredrik Aursnes, Leandro Barreiro, Gianluca Prestianni, Georgiy Sudakov, Andreas Schjelderup, Vangelis Pavlidis.

Tondela vs Benfica Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ve broken down Tondela vs Benfica from every angle, offering our expert match prediction, expected final score, best corners pick, player prop recommendations and a well-constructed bet builder.

Match Prediction

Wagering Benfica -1.75 means that we’re feeling pretty bullish about their prospects in this Primeira Liga game. We’re expecting a large win and the odds of -115 look really appealing.

Our team of experts monitor the current Primeira Liga injuries and suspensions. When integrated with the latest form, this helps us secure the value odds. Our data-led approach backed up by key stats always proves useful.

Key Tondela vs Benfica league stats:

• The -1.75 line has been covered by Benfica in 3 consecutive games.
• The +1.75 line hasn’t been covered by Tondela in 2 consecutive games against Benfica.

The latest odds at the best betting sites suggest our pick carries a 53.5% chance of winning. Based on our experts research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

There’s the option to bet on Benfica to triumph by a specific number of goals through the Winning Margin market. This offers an attractive Asian Handicap alternative.

Before you dive in, check our guide for the newest betting promotions and generous sign-up bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

Benfica Asian Hcp -1.75 @ -115 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jan 30, 21:37). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Tondela 0 - 3 Benfica

Let’s take a chance on the +500 available that the Eagles secure a 3-0 victory. There’s a nice potential return waiting if we’re able to predict the correct score.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Vangelis Pavlidis to Score -122

Vangelis Pavlidis (Benfica) has registered six goals in his past five Primeira Liga matches. This statistic guides us towards Anytime Goalscorer where we’re able to back him to find the net at appealing odds of -122.

Latest Vangelis Pavlidis Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

-143

First

+170

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -100

Each of the past three Tondela games have involved the 9.5 Total Corners line not being covered, with seven of the previous ten Benfica matches having the same result. There is juice when it comes to going under the Total Corners line and this is priced at -100.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Tondela

Total

8.90 3.70 5.20

Home

8.11 3.00 5.11

Away

10.30 4.40 5.90

Benfica

Total

8.70 6.40 2.30

Home

9.20 6.40 2.80

Away

8.70 5.30 3.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-132

Under 9.5

-111

Tondela Corners

Over 2.5

-147

Under 2.5

-100

Benfica Corners

Over 6.5

-120

Under 6.5

-118

Most Corners

1

+440

X

+850

2

-526

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Tondela vs Benfica Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With a proposed 79% probability of securing a victory, the bookmakers are taking few risks with their -385 odds about Benfica coming out on top in this Primeira Liga encounter. If you want to wager on the underdog, Tondela have been priced up at +950.

You can take advantage of the Half-Time Result market if you think a team will lead at the break. There's the chance to back Benfica at -141, go for Tondela at +750 or take the draw at +160.

The Total Goals odds suggest that Over 2.5 is a strong probability in this contest. If you’re expecting at least one team to keep a clean sheet, you might be interested in the -172 about Both Teams to Score No.

You can find hundreds of markets for every Primeira Liga match, with the top betting apps creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and In-Play selections before placing your football bets.

Full-Time Result

1

+950

X

+420

2

-385

Half-Time Result

1

+750

X

+160

2

-141

Double Chance

1X

+230

12

-833

X2

-2500

Draw No Bet

1

+600

2

-1667

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +1.5

-111

2 Hcp -1.5

-128

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+102

Over 2.5

-147

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+118

No

-172

You will find favourite Vangelis Pavlidis at +170 to be First Goalscorer and there’s also the chance to get -143 that he finds the net any time.

Vangelis Pavlidis (Benfica)

First

-143

Anytime

+170

Rafa Silva (Benfica)

First

+150

Anytime

+340

Franjo Ivanovic (Benfica)

First

+180

Anytime

+390

Dodi Lukébakio (Benfica)

First

+195

Anytime

+450

Henrique Araújo (Benfica)

First

+225

Anytime

+500

Armindo ''Bruma'' Bangna (Benfica)

First

+245

Anytime

+550

Georgiy Sudakov (Benfica)

First

+270

Anytime

+650

Gianluca Prestianni (Benfica)

First

+310

Anytime

+700

Andreas Schjelderup (Benfica)

First

+325

Anytime

+700

Leandro Barreiro (Benfica)

First

+350

Anytime

+750

Richard Ríos (Benfica)

First

+380

Anytime

+900

Pedro Henryque Pereira dos Santos (Tondela)

First

+410

Anytime

+1050

Diogo Ferreira Prioste (Benfica)

First

+430

Anytime

+950

Fredrik Aursnes (Benfica)

First

+540

Anytime

+1300

Jordan Siebatcheu (Tondela)

First

+550

Anytime

+1200

Makan Aïko (Tondela)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Enzo Barrenechea (Benfica)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Tomás Araújo (Benfica)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Nicolás Otamendi (Benfica)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Manuel Jorge Silva (Benfica)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Alexander Bah (Benfica)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Amar Dedic (Benfica)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Samuel Dahl (Benfica)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

António Silva (Benfica)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Xabier Huarte Armendáriz (Tondela)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Tondela have five losses, two draws and one victory in the last 8 home matches, recording an average of 0.75 goals per game and conceding 1.50.

Benfica haven’t been beaten in ten straight games away from home. The Eagles have seven wins and three draws in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 2.00 goals per match and conceding 0.50.

The most recent Estadio Joao Cardoso meeting saw Benfica claim a 3-1 win over Tondela. In the previous 3 H2H meetings at Estadio Joao Cardoso, Benfica have won each and every time.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Tondela Home Stats		1-2-5	2.25	0.75	1.50	4	4	3	5
Benfica Away Stats		7-3-0	2.50	2.00	0.50	6	4	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Tondela vs Benfica Lineups & Team News

Double-check the Tondela vs Benfica team news before placing your bets. Expect the predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups along with timely injury updates.

Tondela Team Page Benfica Team Page

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