Tondela vs Braga Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 18 Jan 2026

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Tondela vs Braga

Tondela host Braga at Estadio Joao Cardoso, with kick-off set for 13:00 on Sunday 18 January.

In order for our Tondela +1 bet to land at odds of -139, we need the underdogs to win or draw against Braga. However, a defeat by one goal would be enough to get our Asian Handicap stake returned.

Ready to follow our Asian Handicap pick? Claim the current BetMGM promo code and learn more about the site in our expert review before you decide where to put your money.

Tondela suffered a defeat in their last game. A 1-0 scoreline occurred away from home at Estadio C. Joaquim de Almeida Freitas against Moreirense. The Gold and Green recorded 42% possession and had two shots on target.

Braga played out a 3-3 draw in their previous game. This was away from home at Estadio Jose Gomes, with Estrela Amadora the opponents. Carlos Vicens' side had the lion’s share of the ball enjoying 58% possession and six shots on goal, with Joao Moutinho, Fran Navarro and Rodrigo Zalazar on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Braga have five straight wins against Tondela. In their last encounter, Braga enjoyed a 3-0 victory when hosting at Estadio Municipal de Braga. The past 7 H2H games have involved six Braga wins and just one victory for Tondela.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	Braga	17	7	6	4	31	18	13	31:18	27
17	Tondela	17	3	3	11	12	29	-17	12:29	12

View Full Table

Tondela have 2 wins, 7 losses and 1 draw, averaging 0.8 goals from 2.7 shots on goal and 10.6 attempts. Cristiano Bacci's team have averaged 41.5% possession, 315.7 passes and 4.1 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.8 goals from 5.2 shots on goal, 13.2 attempts and 5.9 corners.

Top goalscorer Pedro Henryque has found the net 2 times, with Jordan Pefok, Emmanuel Maviram, Yefrei Rodriguez and Ivan Cavaleiro scoring 1 each. Emmanuel Maviram is the top assists maker on 2, with goalie Bernardo Fontes managing one clean sheet.

Braga have won 5, lost 2 and drawn 3, with an average of 2.0 goals from 4.9 shots on goal and 11.5 attempts. The Archbishops have averaged 62.2% possession, 608.6 passes, 5.0 corners awarded and 3.1 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.1 goals from 3.3 shots on goal and 8.7 attempts.

Rodrigo Zalazar and Ricardo Horta have scored 5 goals, followed by Pau Victor with 2. Victor Gomez is top assists provider with 3, while Lukas Hornicek has recorded 3 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Tondela predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Bernardo (GK), Bebeto, Christian Marques, Brayan Medina, Nor Maviram, Joe Hodge, Cicero Clebson Alves Santana, Tiago Manso, Pedro Maranhão, Ivan Cavaleiro, Jordan Siebatcheu.

Braga predicted lineup (4-1-3-2): Lukas Hornicek (GK), Víctor Gómez, Bright Arrey-Mbi, Vitor Carvalho, Leonardo Lelo, Jean-Baptiste Gorby, Mario Dorgeles, Joao Moutinho, Gabriel Moscardo, Fran Navarro, Pau Victor Delgado.

Tondela vs Braga Prediction & Betting Tips

From our key match prediction to corners advice, correct score pick, top player prop insights and a builder tailored for value — our Tondela vs Braga betting tips covers it all.

Match Prediction

We’re backing Tondela +1 for this Primeira Liga game at -139. We will see a nice return from this bet if the underdogs manage to win or draw and we think they are more than capable of a positive result.

Having the inside track for injuries and accessing the form guide are important before coming up with football predictions. It’s also key to identify the key numbers and that is why our Primeira Liga experts sometimes take a data-led approach.

Key Tondela vs Braga league stats:

• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Braga in any of their last 5 games.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Braga in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Braga in 3 consecutive games.

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 58.1% chance of winning. However, our experts think that the probability sits between 65-70% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we can recommend this bet.

If you want to get an odds boost when it comes to Tondela covering the line, then consider a Bet Builder where multiple picks on the same game can be combined together.

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Our Match Prediction

Tondela Asian Hcp +1 @ -139 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Tondela 1 - 1 Braga

We think there’s a chance of a 1-1 draw and this can be backed at odds of +480. We like placing a bet on correct score due to the fun element and the big potential return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Mario Dorgeles To Score +400

Mario Dorgeles (Braga) is available at +400 to be among the goals. Using all evidence, we are happy to back him to find the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Mario Dorgeles Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+400

First

+800

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Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -102

There has been three straight Braga away games where 9.5 Total Corners has been covered, while it has been two consecutive Tondela home matches where the same thing has happened. If you’re in agreement with our opinion that the Total Corners line is on the low side, take the odds of -102 that the teams go over.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Tondela

Total

10.00 4.10 5.90

Home

8.38 3.25 5.13

Away

10.67 4.44 6.22

Braga

Total

8.10 5.00 3.10

Home

8.90 5.60 3.30

Away

8.60 5.90 2.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-102

Under 9.5

-143

Tondela Corners

Over 3.5

+115

Under 3.5

-164

Braga Corners

Over 5.5

-130

Under 5.5

-110

Most Corners

1

+280

X

+700

2

-294

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Tondela vs Braga Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Braga are the shortest price to win this Primeira Liga clash according to the bookies, with the favourites given a 64% probability due to their -175 betting odds. If you’re interested in wagering Tondela, you can get +480 for the underdog.

The Half-Time Result market means that your bet will always be settled at the interval. Braga are +110, while Tondela are alternatively priced at +475 and the draw is +128.

For those anticipating a low-scoring contest, Under 2.5 is the market leader for the Total Goals market. Both Teams to Score No is available at -147 for anyone expecting at least one side to draw a blank.

The good news is that you can access hundreds of markets for any Primeira Liga game. The best football betting sites have a massive range of pre-match and In-Play betting options.

Full-Time Result

1

+480

X

+265

2

-175

Half-Time Result

1

+475

X

+128

2

+110

Double Chance

1X

+118

12

-435

X2

-1000

Draw No Bet

1

+300

2

-526

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +1

-139

2 Hcp -1

-104

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-147

Over 2.5

+102

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+102

No

-147

Favourite Pau Victor is now available at +360 to be the First Goalscorer. You will find similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.

Pau Victor (Braga)

First

+170

Anytime

+360

Ricardo Horta (Braga)

First

+190

Anytime

+400

Amine El Ouazzani (Braga)

First

+205

Anytime

+420

Rodrigo Zalazar (Braga)

First

+225

Anytime

+500

Gabriel Martínez (Braga)

First

+300

Anytime

+600

João Marques (Braga)

First

+300

Anytime

+600

Pedro Henryque Pereira dos Santos (Tondela)

First

+360

Anytime

+850

Mario Dorgeles (Braga)

First

+400

Anytime

+800

Jordan Siebatcheu (Tondela)

First

+440

Anytime

+900

Jean-Baptiste Gorby (Braga)

First

+475

Anytime

+950

Makan Aïko (Tondela)

First

+500

Anytime

+1050

João Moutinho (Braga)

First

+540

Anytime

+1100

Gabriel Moscardo (Braga)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Xabier Huarte Armendáriz (Tondela)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Yarlen Faustino Augusto (Tondela)

First

+700

Anytime

+1400

Vitor Carvalho (Braga)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Victor Gomez (Braga)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Leonardo Lelo (Braga)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Bright Arrey-Mbi (Braga)

First

+800

Anytime

+1800

Paulo Oliveira (Braga)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Florian Grillitsch (Braga)

First

+900

Anytime

+1900

Sikou Niakaté (Braga)

First

+900

Anytime

+1900

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Tondela vs Braga Lineups & Team News

Don’t bet on Tondela vs Braga without reviewing the latest team news. Expect the predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups along with timely injury updates.

Tondela Team Page Braga Team Page

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