Tondela vs Casa Pia Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 21 Dec 2025
Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Tondela vs Casa Pia
Tondela welcome Casa Pia to Estadio Joao Cardoso, with kick-off set for 13:00 on Sunday 21 December.
Casa Pia +0.25 at -108 on the Asian Handicap could be the bet to have. We’re expecting them to avoid defeat against Tondela, with our stake divided equally between 0 and +0.5 in the hope the away team can land a win.
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Tondela have lost three straight games at home. In their last appearance, they suffered a 3-1 away loss to Nacional at Estadio da Madeira. The Gold and Green had four shots on target and enjoyed 56% possession, while Joao Aurelio (own goal) was the goalscorer.
Casa Pia drew 1-1 against Gil Vicente in their previous game. This was on home soil at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior. Goncalo Brandao's team recorded just 34% possession and had one shot on goal, with Kelian Wa Saka on the scoresheet.
| Primeira Liga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 |  Casa Pia |
14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 28 | -14 | 14:28 | 10 |
| 17 |  Tondela |
14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 25 | -17 | 8:25 | 9 |
2 wins, 6 losses and 2 draws, averaging 0.6 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 12.8 attempts. Tondela have had 45.1% possession, 327.2 passes and 4.6 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.6 goals from 5.3 shots on goal and 13.5 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 5.2 corners.
Pedro Henryque is the top scorer with 3 goals, while Rony Lopes and Sphephelo Sithole each have 1. Leading assistor is Rony Lopes with 2, while goalkeeper Bernardo Fontes has 2 clean sheets.
Casa Pia have 1 victory, 5 defeats and 4 draws, with an average of 1.2 goals from 8.0 attempts and 2.8 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 45.6% possession, 339.0 passes, 4.8 corners awarded and 5.4 corners against them, while they’ve conceded 2.0 goals from 10.6 attempts and 4.1 shots on goal.
Jeremy Livolant has landed 3 goals, Cassiano 2, with Kelian Wa Saka and two others scoring 1. Gaizka Larrazabal and Jeremy Livolant have both had 2 assists, with Patrick Sequeira notching one clean sheet in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Tondela predicted lineup (4-3-3): Bernardo (GK), Tiago Manso, Christian Marques, João Afonso, Helder Tavares, Juan Rodríguez, Joe Hodge, Hugo Félix, Pedro Maranhão, Jordan Siebatcheu, Ivan Cavaleiro.
Casa Pia predicted lineup (3-4-3): Daniel Azevedo (GK), Andres Geraldes, Jose Fonte, David Sousa, Gaizka Larrazabal, Seba Pérez, Yassin Oukili, Abdu Conte, Jeremy Livolant, Dailon Rocha Livramento, Kelian Nsona.
Tondela vs Casa Pia Prediction & Betting Tips
Step into Tondela vs Casa Pia with confidence as we bring you our main match prediction, projected scoreline, key corners betting angle, best player prop picks and a custom-built bet builder.
Match Prediction
Wager on Casa Pia +0.25 on the Asian Handicap at -108 for this Primeira Liga game. We’re keen on their prospects of outperforming their match winner price and this wager looks like good value.
The latest Primeira Liga injuries and suspensions can affect the overall outcome and we use this information as well as the form guide. The same applies to the stats so that we can get the best understanding of how things might pan out.
Key Tondela vs Casa Pia league stats:
The top betting apps make it a 51.8% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.
If you’re hunting for bigger odds and feel confident your pick is going to perform well, then consider moving the line and land a bigger potential return.
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Correct Score Prediction
1
-
2
Casa Pia
We’ve got a correct score prediction which involves Casa Pia winning 2-1. Odds of +800 look appealing and we should get a run for our money here.
Player Prop Picks
Yassin Oukili (Casa Pia) is available at +540 to be among the goals. We’ll take a chance with this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look really appealing.
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Corners Prediction
In their past six home games, Tondela have had less than 5.5 corners. Let’s go along with this betting trend and back Tondela to go under the Team Corners line at odds of -147.
Tondela
Casa Pia
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Bet Builder Tips
There’s everything to like about this same-game multi including Casa Pia with the +0.25 Asian Handicap, both teams to score and also Tondela Under 5.5 corners.
A bet builder provides football punters an option to bet a multiple on the same match. It results in you being able to place a tailored bet at a larger price based on the number of predictions made.
Tondela vs Casa Pia Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
Tondela are the skinniest price to succeed in this Primeira Liga clash, with the favourites afforded a 48% probability based on their +108 betting odds with the bookies. For those wanting to back Casa Pia, you will find +255 about this outsider.
There’s a Draw No Bet market should you wish to have some insurance and Casa Pia are +145 here. However, if you want to back favourites Tondela, then -213 is on offer.
Under 2.5 Goals is operating at the shortest price for those anticipating two or less goals. Both Teams to Score betting is always popular and the No option on the BTTS market is available at -147.
It’s great that you can tap into hundreds of markets for every Primeira Liga match. Each of our recommended football betting sites provide exciting pre-match and In-Play betting options.
Pedro Henryque Pereira dos Santos is the market leader at +450 to be First Goalscorer but if you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.
Tondela League Stats
Casa Pia League Stats
- 2 wins, 6 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 6 home matches
- 1 win, 5 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.60 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.33 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 6 home matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.83 goals per game in the previous 6 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 1 of the previous 6 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 6 home matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.60 corners awarded and 5.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 corners awarded and 4.67 corners against in the last 6 home matches
- An average of 9.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.67 corners awarded in the last 6 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 4 of the last 6 home matches
- An average of 4.80 corners awarded and 5.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.80 corners awarded and 5.90 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 45.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 44.00% possession in the last 6 home matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 6 home matches
- An average of 45.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 44.30% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Tondela this season are Pedro Henryque (3), Ivan Cavaleiro (1), Rony Lopes (1)
- Top Assistors for Tondela this season are Rony Lopes (2)
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Tondela vs Casa Pia Lineups & Team News
Stay ahead of the game by checking the Tondela vs Casa Pia team news before betting. Stay updated with our predicted and confirmed lineups for the Primeira Liga and the newest injury information.
Tondela Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Casa Pia Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
Tondela Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Casa Pia Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
Previous Tondela Lineups
Previous Casa Pia Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Tondela Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Cristiano Bacci
Casa Pia Player Stats & Squad
Primeira Liga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 14 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 30:4 | 40 |
| 2 | Sporting | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 38:7 | 35 |
| 3 | Benfica | 14 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 30:8 | 32 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:7 | 25 |
| 5 | Braga | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 6 | Famalicão | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 18:9 | 23 |
| 7 | Vitória | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15:17 | 21 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 21:24 | 20 |
| 9 | Estoril | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 23:25 | 17 |
| 10 | Alverca | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 15:20 | 17 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 17:22 | 16 |
| 12 | Nacional | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11:15 | 15 |
| 14 | Estrela | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 17:22 | 14 |
| 15 | Arouca | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15:37 | 12 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 14:28 | 10 |
| 17 | Tondela | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 8:25 | 9 |
| 18 | AVS | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9:37 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14:2 | 19 |
| 2 | Sporting | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 23:3 | 16 |
| 3 | Benfica | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 15:6 | 13 |
| 4 | Braga | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:5 | 13 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7:3 | 12 |
| 7 | Vitória | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:8 | 12 |
| 8 | Estoril | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:11 | 12 |
| 9 | Famalicão | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:5 | 11 |
| 10 | Santa Clara | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:6 | 10 |
| 11 | Alverca | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | 10 |
| 12 | Estrela | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:9 | 8 |
| 13 | Arouca | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:17 | 8 |
| 14 | Nacional | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9:14 | 6 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:12 | 6 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7:15 | 3 |
| 17 | Tondela | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:9 | 2 |
| 18 | AVS | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:14 | 2 |
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