Tondela vs Estrela Amadora Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 21 Sep 2025

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Tondela vs Estrela Amadora

Tondela host Estrela Amadora in this Portuguese Primeira Liga encounter at Estadio Joao Cardoso, with kick-off set for 10:30 on Sunday 21 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Don’t Write Off Estrela For This Clash

Our stake will be split when taking Estrela +0.25 at odds of -114 for this Asian Handicap bet. It means a return in the event of a draw but a bigger payout should the visitors claim a win against Tondela.

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Both Teams Suffered Defeat in Previous Game

Tondela were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 1-0 loss against Alverca at Complexo Desportivo Futebol Clube de Alverca. The Gold and Green recorded seven shots on target and had 51% possession.

Estrela Amadora lost when last in action. In a home game at Estadio Jose Gomes, they were beaten 2-0 by Vitória de Guimarães. Ze Augusto's men had one shot on goal and recorded 59% possession.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
15	Estrela	5	0	3	2	3	6	-3	3:6	3
18	Tondela	5	0	1	4	2	10	-8	2:10	1

View Full Table

Tondela have 4 losses and 1 draw, averaging 0.4 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 11.4 attempts. The Gold and Green have averaged 43.4% possession, 324.0 passes and 3.2 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 2.0 goals from 6.0 shots on goal, 14.8 attempts and 6.6 corners.

Ivan Cavaleiro and Tiago Manso have bagged 1 goals apiece.

Estrela have won 1, lost 6 and drawn 3, averaging 3.2 shots on goal, 9.8 attempts and 0.5 goals. The Lisbon side average 47.3% possession, 304.3 passes, 3.5 corners taken and 5.0 corners against them, while 1.4 goals have been conceded from 12.1 attempts and 3.9 shots on goal.

The top scorers have been Fabio Ronaldo, Sidny Lopes Cabral, Ianis Stoica, Alan Ruiz and Kikas, with 1 goals apiece. Joao Gastao, Rodrigo Pinho and Leonel Bucca have had 1 assists in the last 10 games, while Renan Ribeiro has one clean sheet to his name.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Tondela predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Bernardo Fontes (GK), Bebeto, Christian Marques, Brayan Medina, Emmanuel Maviram, Juan Rodriguez, Sphephelo Sithole, Tiago Manso, Rony Lopes, Ivan Cavaleiro, Yefrei Rodriguez.

Estrela Amadora predicted lineup (4-4-2): Renan Ribeiro (GK), Bernardo Schappo, Luan Patrick, Atanas Chernev, Jefferson Encada, Paulo Moreira, Sidny Lopes Cabral, Kikas, Rodrigo Pinho, Abraham Marcus, Abraham Marcus.

Tondela vs Estrela Amadora Prediction & Betting Tips

Make the most of Tondela vs Estrela Amadora with our betting analysis that includes an expert match prediction, expected scoreline, corners advice and a value-focused bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’re siding with Estrela at -114 in this Primeira Liga match with a +0.25 goal advantage. It’s expected that they will have an edge and we can therefore feel bullish of a return with this wager.

Sportsgambler.com has plenty of Primeira Liga insights and that includes getting the team news immediately. The recent form will also help deliver our expert football predictions and we ensure that the most relevant stats are used to good effect.

Key Tondela vs Estrela Amadora league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Estrela in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Estrela in 2 consecutive games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Tondela in 5 consecutive games.

Estrela +0.25 Probability

According to the latest odds, there’s a 53.3% likelihood of our pick winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

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Our Match Prediction

Estrela Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -114 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Tondela 1 - 1 Estrela

We think there’s a chance of a 1-1 draw and this can be backed at odds of +450. We like placing a bet on correct score due to the fun element and the big potential return.

Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -120

It’s been eight straight Estrela matches where 9.5 corners have not been covered, while we’ve seen two of the past two Tondela home games achieve the same outcome. The Total Corners line looks to be too high given the stats and -120 is available to wager.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Tondela

Total

9.80 3.20 6.60

Home

7.50 2.50 5.00

Away

11.33 3.67 7.67

Estrela

Total

8.50 3.50 5.00

Home

8.80 4.20 4.60

Away

8.50 2.90 5.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-120

Under 9.5

-120

Tondela Corners

Over 4.5

-150

Under 4.5

+110

Estrela Corners

Over 4.5

+110

Under 4.5

-150

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Tondela vs Estrela Amadora Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Betting Odds Suggest a Close Encounter

Tondela are the skinniest price to succeed in this Primeira Liga clash, with the favourites afforded a 44% probability based on their +125 betting odds with the bookies. Estrela Amadora are the +260 outsiders, with the draw being a different option which could yield dividends.

Should you want to back Tondela to win but want money back if the game ends level, then there is -188 available on the Draw No Bet market. Opponents Estrela have been chalked up at +137.5.

Under 2.5 Goals is operating at the shortest price for those anticipating two or less goals. An alternative approach is playing the BTTS market and going for the -143 about Both Teams to Score No.

The leading football betting sites have excellent coverage when it comes to all Primeira Liga games. That means hundreds of markets from which to choose and something to suit everyone.

Full-Time Result

1

+125

X

+185

2

+260

Half-Time Result

1

+210

X

-105

2

+300

Double Chance

1X

-350

12

-250

X2

-175

Draw No Bet

1

-188

2

+137.5

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-103

2 Hcp +0.25

-114

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-200

Over 2.5

+150

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+105

No

-143

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Tondela vs Estrela Amadora Lineups & Team News

The Tondela vs Estrela team news could change everything — review it before betting. Receive the predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups from us, plus the most recent injury updates.

Tondela Team Page Estrela Amadora Team Page