Tondela vs Sporting Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 26 Oct 2025
Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Tondela vs Sporting
Tondela host Sporting in this Portuguese Primeira Liga fixture at Estadio Joao Cardoso, with kick-off set for 13:00 on Sunday 26 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.
Will Tondela Cover the Line?
We’re sweet on Tondela +1.75 at odds of -127 when it comes to their clash against Sporting, with half our Asian Handicap stake going on +1.5 and the other half going on +2.0. The hosts should perform well.
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5 Wins in Previous 6 H2H Games for Sporting
Tondela were beaten last game and this was on the road at Estadio dos Arcos. Rio Ave claimed a 3-0 victory. Ivo Vieira's team recorded two shots on target and had 52% possession.
Sporting CP drew 1-1 against Braga in their previous Primeira Liga game. This was on home soil at Estadio Jose Alvalade. The Lisbon club recorded 44% possession and totalled three shots on goal, while Luis Suarez found the net.
On Wednesday night, Sporting triumphed 2-1 at home to Marseille in the Champions League.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Sporting have won five on the bounce against Tondela. Their last encounter saw Sporting leave Estadio Joao Cardoso with a 3-1 victory. The previous 6 H2H matches have involved five Sporting victories and just one triumph for Tondela.
| Primeira Liga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sporting |
8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 5 | 15 | 20:5 | 19 |
| 17 | Tondela |
8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 4:14 | 5 |
Tondela have 1 win, 5 losses and 2 draws, averaging 0.5 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 12.0 attempts. The Gold and Green have averaged 46.4% possession, 340.4 passes and 4.0 corners per match, conceding 1.8 goals and 5.5 corners from 5.6 shots on goal and 13.5 attempts.
The four top scorers are Sphephelo Sithole, Pedro Henryque, Ivan Cavaleiro and Tiago Manso, with these players all scoring 1 goals. Leading assistor is Rony Lopes with 2, while goalie Bernardo Fontes has recorded one clean sheet.
Sporting – Last 10 League GamesSporting have won 7, lost 1 and drawn 2, with an average of 2.3 goals from 6.6 shots on goal and 17.1 attempts. There’s been an average of 57.5% possession, 492.2 passes, 6.2 corners taken and 3.3 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.6 goals from 2.3 shots on goal and 7.4 attempts.
Luis Suarez and Pedro Goncalves have 6 and they’re top of the team’s scoring charts, with Trincao on 4. Pedro Goncalves and Geovany Quenda are top assists providers with 3, while Rui Silva has recorded 4 clean sheets in the last 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Tondela predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Bernardo Fontes (GK), Bebeto, Brayan Medina, Christian Marques, Tiago Manso, Juan Rodriguez, Sphephelo Sithole, Pedro Henryque, Rony Lopes, Ivan Cavaleiro, Jordan Pefok.
Sporting predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Rui Silva (GK), Georgios Vagiannidis, Ousmane Diomande, Goncalo Inacio, Maximiliano Araujo, Hidemasa Morita, Morten Hjulmand, Geovany Quenda, Trincao, Pedro Goncalves, Luis Suarez.
Tondela vs Sporting Prediction & Betting Tips
Our Tondela vs Sporting betting preview covers everything you need, including a key match prediction, a corners betting angle, correct score insight and a value-packed bet builder recommendation.
Match Prediction
There’s a strong case for Tondela +1.75 in this Primeira Liga match. We think that the home team can keep the scoreline respectable and this wager allows for a nice return at odds of -127.
When it comes to making our expert football predictions, it’s important to study team news and observe the latest form. There are lots of Primeira Liga stats that can also help to shape our picks.
Key Tondela vs Sporting league stats:
Tondela +1.75 Probability
Based on the latest odds from the top bookmakers, our pick carries a 55.9% chance of winning. After careful examination, our experts have this probability somewhere between 60-65%. This is why we can recommend this wager.
If you want a viable alternative to backing Tondela on the Asian Handicap, then the Winning Margin market could be up your street. Choose from a range of options.
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Correct Score Prediction
There are odds of +525 available that Sporting land a 1-0 win. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.
Corners Prediction
In their past five games, Tondela have covered the 2.5 corners line, while the previous six Sporting matches have involved them conceding over 2.5 corners. We recommend backing the -130 that Tondela are able to cover the line, with this Team Corners bet landing a handsome potential return.
Tondela
Sporting
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Bet Builder Tips
If you want to follow our bet builder, try Tondela on the Asian Handicap at +1.75, both teams to score No and also Tondela to finish with over 2.5 corners.
The bet builder route is a great one for football fans requiring a tailored same-game multi on a match. You’re able to scan through each market and pick out the selections that make the most appeal. The odds for each pick are multiplied together.
Tondela vs Sporting Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
Sporting Victory on the Cards According to Betting Sites
Sporting CP have been chalked up as the convincing -385 favourites for this Primeira Liga encounter. This means that the bookmakers afford them a 79% probability of winning. Tondela are the +850 underdogs, while the draw can also be backed as an alternative.
Sporting and Tondela can be backed at -149 and +750 respectively on the Half-Time Result market. This is an ideal route for bettors who want a quick settlement and the draw is +175.
The odds suggest that Over 2.5 Goals is a strong probability in this exciting contest. If you anticipate that one team or more will achieve a shutout, then Both Teams to Score No is -152.
Hundreds of markets are now a guarantee for each of the Primeira Liga games, with the best football betting sites making sure that customers have quality options.
Luis Javier Suárez is the First Goalscorer Favourite
Those interested in Luis Javier Suárez to find the net anytime can get -133, with the favourite on offer to score the first goal at odds of +210.
Tondela League Stats
Sporting League Stats
- 1 win, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 8 matches
- 1 defeat and 2 draws in the previous 3 home matches
- 7 wins, 1 defeat and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.50 goals scored and 1.75 conceded in the previous 8 matches
- An average of 0.67 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 3 home matches
- An average of 2.25 goals per game in the previous 8 matches
- An average of 1.67 goals per game in the previous 3 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 8 matches
- BTTS Yes in 1 of the previous 3 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 8 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 1 of the previous 3 home matches
- An average of 2.30 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.00 corners awarded and 5.50 corners conceded in the last 8 matches
- An average of 3.33 corners awarded and 4.00 corners against in the last 3 home matches
- An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 8 matches
- An average of 7.33 corners awarded in the last 3 home matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 8 matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 2 of the last 3 home matches
- An average of 6.20 corners awarded and 3.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 3.60 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.20 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 46.38% possession in the last 8 matches
- An average of 51.67% possession in the last 3 home matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 8 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 3 home matches
- An average of 57.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 60.00% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Tondela this season are Ivan Cavaleiro (1), Pedro Henryque (1), Sphephelo Sithole (1)
- Top Assistors for Tondela this season are Rony Lopes (2)
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Tondela vs Sporting Lineups & Team News
Always review the Tondela vs Sporting team news before locking in your bets. We’ll provide full coverage of predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups alongside the newest injury information.
Tondela Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Sporting Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Tondela Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Sporting Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Tondela Lineups
Previous Sporting Lineups
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19:1 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20:5 | 19 |
| 3 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:4 | 19 |
| 4 | Benfica | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13:4 | 18 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 15 |
| 6 | Famalicão | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:4 | 13 |
| 7 | Vitória | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | 11 |
| 8 | Braga | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 10 |
| 9 | Nacional | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | 10 |
| 10 | Alverca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:16 | 10 |
| 11 | Arouca | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11:13 | 8 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | 8 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | 8 |
| 15 | Estrela | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 16 | Estoril | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | 6 |
| 17 | Tondela | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:14 | 5 |
| 18 | AVS | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:20 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Moreirense | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Porto | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:0 | 10 |
| 3 | Gil Vicente | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 9 |
| 4 | Benfica | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 8 |
| 5 | Vitória | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 6 | Sporting | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:3 | 7 |
| 7 | Alverca | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 8 | Famalicão | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:2 | 5 |
| 9 | Rio Ave | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 5 |
| 10 | Arouca | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:11 | 5 |
| 11 | Braga | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 4 |
| 12 | Estrela | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 4 |
| 13 | Estoril | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 14 | Santa Clara | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 15 | Nacional | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 16 | Tondela | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | 2 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:7 | 2 |
| 18 | AVS | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:9 | 0 |
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