Toulouse vs Metz Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 19 Oct 2025

Ligue 1 Betting Preview: Toulouse vs Metz

Toulouse host Metz in this French Ligue 1 meeting at Stadium Municipal, with kick-off set for 11:15 on Sunday 19 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

We think the Total Goals market gives us plenty of value on the basis that we can bet on Over 2.5 at the available price of -114. We anticipate Toulouse and Metz to notch the goals which can land a payout.

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Toulouse won their last game 2-1. This was an away victory at Parc Olympique Lyonnais against Lyon. The Occitania side had just 30% possession and recorded five shots on target, with Emersonn grabbing the goals.

Metz have been defeated in three straight road games. Their previous contest was a 3-0 home defeat against Marseille at Stade Saint-Symphorien. Stephane Le Mignan's team were restricted to just 37% possession and one shot on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Toulouse have beaten Metz in the last two clashes. On their travels, a 1-0 win was secured at Stade Saint-Symphorien and that was preceded by a 3-0 home success at Stadium Municipal. There have been two Toulouse wins and one draw in the past 3 H2H matches.

Ligue 1		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
9	Toulouse	14	4	5	5	20	19	1	20:19	17
17	Metz	14	3	2	9	14	31	-17	14:31	11

View Full Table

5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.7 goals from 11.0 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal. Toulouse have had 39.8% possession, 346.6 passes and 4.2 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.6 goals from 12.9 attempts and 3.7 shots on goal, while earning 6.0 corners.

Yann Gboho is the top scorer with 5 goals, Frank Magri has 3, with Emersonn and Aron Doennum on 2. Yann Gboho and Santiago Hidalgo are tied for the most assists on 2, with goalie Guillaume Restes managing 2 clean sheets.

Metz have lost 5 and drawn 2, averaging 7.0 attempts, 2.0 shots on goal and 0.7 goals. The Lorraine club average 49.3% possession, 452.6 passes, 4.1 corners in their favour and 5.4 corners against, while 2.3 goals have been conceded from 5.9 shots on goal and 13.4 attempts.

The top scorers have been Habibou Mouhamadou Diallo, Gauthier Hein, Jean-Philippe Gbamin, Boubacar Traore and Sadibou Sane, with 1 goals apiece. Gauthier Hein is top assists provider with 2, while Jonathan Fischer has kept one clean sheet in the previous 7 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Toulouse confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Guillaume Restes (GK), Djibril Sidibe, Charlie Cresswell, Rasmus Nicolaisen, Aron Doennum, Cristian Casseres Jr., Abu Francis, Dayann Methalie, Frank Magri, Emersonn, Yann Gboho.

Metz confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Jonathan Fischer (GK), Jean-Philippe Gbamin, Sadibou Sane, Fode Ballo-Toure, Koffi Kouao, Boubacar Traore, Alpha Toure, Giorgi Abuashvili, Gauthier Hein, Cheikh Sabaly, Habibou Mouhamadou Diallo.

Toulouse vs Metz Prediction & Betting Tips

Our expert Toulouse vs Metz tips include betting advice on all fronts — from a main match prediction and player prop picks to corners guidance, a correct score selection and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

Goals could be the order of the day when it comes to this Ligue 1 encounter, so let’s plump for the -114 when it comes to Over 2.5. We’re expecting a return based on the numbers that are available.

Injuries and suspensions are studied by the team at Sportsgambler.com. Our football predictions also come from studying the latest Ligue 1 form, with the numbers playing a huge part before the tips are decided.

Key Toulouse vs Metz league stats:

• The 2.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Toulouse games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Toulouse games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 2 Toulouse games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 3 Metz games on the road.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 7 Metz games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 2 of the last 3 games between these teams.

According to the odds, there’s a 53.2% likelihood of our pick winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

The Over 2.5 Goals pick can be combined with other selections as part of a Bet Builder. You can get much bigger odds by going down this route although you need all picks to win.

Before you make your picks, explore our detailed betting guide filled with free bets, the latest promo codes and welcome bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals @ -114 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Toulouse 2 - 1 Metz

We’re predicting Toulouse to land a 2-1 victory and this is available at +700. The correct score betting option provides plenty of fun and entertainment.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Yann Gboho to Score +230

Yann Gboho (Toulouse) has netted four goals in his past five Ligue 1 home matches. We believe that there is merit in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop wager at +230 which means we need to him to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Yann Gboho Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+220

First

+510

Shots

Over 2.5

-102

Under 2.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Toulouse Under 5.5 Corners +110

The 5.5 corners line has not been covered by Toulouse in four straight home games. The Toulouse Team Corners tally could be lower than the line implies and that leads us to a wager at odds of +110.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Toulouse

Total

10.20 4.20 6.00

Home

8.80 4.80 4.00

Away

10.20 5.20 5.00

Metz

Total

9.57 4.14 5.43

Home

7.75 3.75 4.00

Away

12.00 4.67 7.33

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-106

Under 9.5

-133

Toulouse Corners

Over 5.5

-125

Under 5.5

-110

Metz Corners

Over 3.5

+110

Under 3.5

-150

Most Corners

1

-303

X

+700

2

+330

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Toulouse vs Metz Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Favourites Toulouse are regarded as the likeliest winners for this Ligue 1 clash. The -185 about them triumphing means a 65% chance of coming out on top based on their current betting odds. Metz are the +510 outsiders, with the draw being a different option which could yield dividends.

If you fancy Toulouse to beat Metz by two or more goals, you can get -114 on the Asian Handicap -1. You’ll even get your stake returned if they only win by a single goal.

The Total Goals market indicates that Over 2.5 Goals is the betting favourite right now. If you think both teams will score, then BTTS Yes could appeal. Otherwise, you can back BTTS No as an alternative.

There are hundreds of markets when it comes to betting on the Ligue 1 coupon and we recommend visiting the best betting sites to find the football wager that matches your view on the game.

Full-Time Result

1

-185

X

+320

2

+510

Half-Time Result

1

+102

X

+138

2

+440

Double Chance

1X

-909

12

-476

X2

+135

Draw No Bet

1

-526

2

+320

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1

-114

2 Hcp +1

-109

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+102

Over 2.5

-127

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-114

No

-119

Frank Magri is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +380. If you want to back him to score the last goal, you can get similar odds.

Frank Magri (Toulouse)

First

+160

Anytime

+380

Yann Gboho (Toulouse)

First

+220

Anytime

+510

Emersonn Correia da Silva (Toulouse)

First

+225

Anytime

+480

Santiago Hidalgo (Toulouse)

First

+235

Anytime

+540

Noah Edjouma (Toulouse)

First

+270

Anytime

+600

Mário Sauer (Toulouse)

First

+280

Anytime

+650

Habib Diallo (Metz)

First

+360

Anytime

+800

Gauthier Hein (Metz)

First

+450

Anytime

+1050

Aron Dönnum (Toulouse)

First

+450

Anytime

+1050

Abu Francis (Toulouse)

First

+460

Anytime

+1150

Cheikh Tidiane Sabaly (Metz)

First

+475

Anytime

+1100

Morgan Bokele (Metz)

First

+550

Anytime

+1200

Dayann Methalie (Toulouse)

First

+575

Anytime

+1300

Alexis Vossah (Toulouse)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

Giorgi Abuashvili (Metz)

First

+575

Anytime

+1300

Brian Madjo (Metz)

First

+600

Anytime

+1200

Ibou Sané (Metz)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Cristian Cásseres (Toulouse)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Giorgi Tsitaishvili (Metz)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Charlie Cresswell (Toulouse)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Rasmus Nicolaisen (Toulouse)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Mark McKenzie (Toulouse)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Seny Koumbassa (Toulouse)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Warren Kamanzi (Toulouse)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Frank Magri (Toulouse)

Over 3.5

+125

Under 3.5

-

Emersonn Correia da Silva (Toulouse)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-

Santiago Hidalgo (Toulouse)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Habib Diallo (Metz)

Over 2.5

+115

Under 2.5

-

Yann Gboho (Toulouse)

Over 2.5

-102

Under 2.5

-

Noah Edjouma (Toulouse)

Over 1.5

-189

Under 1.5

-

Mário Sauer (Toulouse)

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-

Gauthier Hein (Metz)

Over 1.5

+123

Under 1.5

-

Aron Dönnum (Toulouse)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-

Cheikh Tidiane Sabaly (Metz)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-

Morgan Bokele (Metz)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Charlie Cresswell (Toulouse)

Over 1.5

-106

Under 1.5

-

Giorgi Tsitaishvili (Metz)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

-

Abu Francis (Toulouse)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Ibou Sané (Metz)

Over 0.5

-270

Under 0.5

-

Brian Madjo (Metz)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Giorgi Abuashvili (Metz)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

-

Rasmus Nicolaisen (Toulouse)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

Toulouse have four draws, four defeats and two wins in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 1.90.

Metz have been beaten in three consecutive away games.

Toulouse overcame Metz 3-0 when the sides last met at Stadium Municipal.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Toulouse Home Stats		2-4-4	3.40	1.50	1.90	5	5	8	2
Metz Away Stats		0-0-3	5.00	1.33	3.67	3	0	2	1

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Toulouse vs Metz Lineups & Team News

Make sure to look over the Toulouse vs Metz team news before betting. We’ll provide full coverage of predicted and confirmed Ligue 1 lineups alongside the newest injury information.

Toulouse Team Page Metz Team Page

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