Toulouse vs Metz Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 19 Oct 2025

Ligue 1 Betting Preview: Toulouse vs Metz

Toulouse host Metz in this French Ligue 1 meeting at Stadium Municipal, with kick-off set for 11:15 on Sunday 19 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Expect Goals as Toulouse Take on Metz

We think the Total Goals market gives us plenty of value on the basis that we can bet on Over 2.5 at the available price of -114. We anticipate Toulouse and Metz to notch the goals which can land a payout.

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Toulouse 1-0 to the Good in Previous H2H

Toulouse won their last game 2-1. This was an away victory at Parc Olympique Lyonnais against Lyon. The Occitania side had just 30% possession and recorded five shots on target, with Emersonn grabbing the goals.

Metz have been defeated in three straight road games. Their previous contest was a 3-0 home defeat against Marseille at Stade Saint-Symphorien. Stephane Le Mignan's team were restricted to just 37% possession and one shot on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Toulouse have beaten Metz in the last two clashes. On their travels, a 1-0 win was secured at Stade Saint-Symphorien and that was preceded by a 3-0 home success at Stadium Municipal. There have been two Toulouse wins and one draw in the past 3 H2H matches.

Ligue 1		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
9	Toulouse	7	3	1	3	11	12	-1	11:12	10
18	Metz	7	0	2	5	5	16	-11	5:16	2

View Full Table

5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.7 goals from 11.0 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal. Toulouse have had 39.8% possession, 346.6 passes and 4.2 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.6 goals from 12.9 attempts and 3.7 shots on goal, while earning 6.0 corners.

Yann Gboho is the top scorer with 5 goals, Frank Magri has 3, with Emersonn and Aron Doennum on 2. Yann Gboho and Santiago Hidalgo are tied for the most assists on 2, with goalie Guillaume Restes managing 2 clean sheets.

Metz have lost 5 and drawn 2, averaging 7.0 attempts, 2.0 shots on goal and 0.7 goals. The Lorraine club average 49.3% possession, 452.6 passes, 4.1 corners in their favour and 5.4 corners against, while 2.3 goals have been conceded from 5.9 shots on goal and 13.4 attempts.

The top scorers have been Habibou Mouhamadou Diallo, Gauthier Hein, Jean-Philippe Gbamin, Boubacar Traore and Sadibou Sane, with 1 goals apiece. Gauthier Hein is top assists provider with 2, while Jonathan Fischer has kept one clean sheet in the previous 7 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Toulouse predicted lineup (3-4-3): Guillaume Restes (GK), Mark Mckenzie, Charlie Cresswell, Rasmus Nicolaisen, Djibril Sidibe, Mario Sauer, Cristhian Cásseres Jr, Warren Kamanzi, Aron Dönnum, Frank Magri, Yann Gboho.

Metz predicted lineup (3-4-3): Jonathan Fischer (GK), Sadibou Sane, Jean-Philippe Gbamin, Terry Yegbe, Koffi Frank Kouao, Boubacar Traoré, Jessy Deminguet, Fode Ballo-Toure, Gauthier Hein, Habib Diallo, Cheikh Sabaly.

Toulouse vs Metz Prediction & Betting Tips

Our expert Toulouse vs Metz tips include betting advice on all fronts — from a main match prediction and player prop picks to corners guidance, a correct score selection and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

Goals could be the order of the day when it comes to this Ligue 1 encounter, so let’s plump for the -114 when it comes to Over 2.5. We’re expecting a return based on the numbers that are available.

Injuries and suspensions are studied by the team at Sportsgambler.com. Our football predictions also come from studying the latest Ligue 1 form, with the numbers playing a huge part before the tips are decided.

Key Toulouse vs Metz league stats:

• The 2.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Toulouse games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Toulouse games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 2 Toulouse games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 3 Metz games on the road.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 7 Metz games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 2 of the last 3 games between these teams.

Over 2.5 Probability

According to the odds, there’s a 53.2% likelihood of our pick winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

The Over 2.5 Goals pick can be combined with other selections as part of a Bet Builder. You can get much bigger odds by going down this route although you need all picks to win.

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Our Match Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals @ -114 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Toulouse 2 - 1 Metz

We’re predicting Toulouse to land a 2-1 victory and this is available at +650. The correct score betting option provides plenty of fun and entertainment.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Yann Gboho to Score +230

Yann Gboho (Toulouse) has netted four goals in his past five Ligue 1 home matches. We believe that there is merit in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop wager at +230 which means we need to him to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Yann Gboho Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+220

First

+510

Shots

Over 2.5

+105

Under 2.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Toulouse Under 5.5 Corners +110

The 5.5 corners line has not been covered by Toulouse in four straight home games. The Toulouse Team Corners tally could be lower than the line implies and that leads us to a wager at odds of +110.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Toulouse

Total

10.20 4.20 6.00

Home

8.80 4.80 4.00

Away

10.20 5.20 5.00

Metz

Total

9.57 4.14 5.43

Home

7.75 3.75 4.00

Away

12.00 4.67 7.33

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-108

Under 9.5

-132

Toulouse Corners

Over 5.5

-150

Under 5.5

+110

Metz Corners

Over 2.5

-163

Under 2.5

+120

Most Corners

1

-294

X

+700

2

+310

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Toulouse vs Metz Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Odds Suggest Toulouse Win

Favourites Toulouse are regarded as the likeliest winners for this Ligue 1 clash. The -179 about them triumphing means a 64% chance of coming out on top based on their current betting odds. Metz are the +460 outsiders, with the draw being a different option which could yield dividends.

If you fancy Toulouse to beat Metz by two or more goals, you can get -106 on the Asian Handicap -1. You’ll even get your stake returned if they only win by a single goal.

You can back Under 2.5 Goals or Over 2.5 Goals at roughly the same price right now. If you think both teams will score, then BTTS Yes could appeal. Otherwise, you can back BTTS No as an alternative.

There are hundreds of markets when it comes to betting on the Ligue 1 coupon and we recommend visiting the best betting sites to find the football wager that matches your view on the game.

Full-Time Result

1

-179

X

+325

2

+460

Half-Time Result

1

+107

X

+138

2

+410

Double Chance

1X

-769

12

-500

X2

+130

Draw No Bet

1

-476

2

+290

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1

-106

2 Hcp +1

-118

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+102

Over 2.5

-125

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-119

No

-112

Frank Magri Favourite to Score the First Goal

Frank Magri is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +400. If you want to back him to score the last goal, you can get similar odds.

Frank Magri (Toulouse)

First

+170

Anytime

+400

Yann Gboho (Toulouse)

First

+220

Anytime

+510

Emersonn Correia da Silva (Toulouse)

First

+225

Anytime

+480

Santiago Hidalgo (Toulouse)

First

+230

Anytime

+550

Noah Edjouma (Toulouse)

First

+270

Anytime

+650

Mário Sauer (Toulouse)

First

+280

Anytime

+700

Habib Diallo (Metz)

First

+350

Anytime

+750

Cheikh Tidiane Sabaly (Metz)

First

+440

Anytime

+1000

Aron Dönnum (Toulouse)

First

+450

Anytime

+1150

Gauthier Hein (Metz)

First

+475

Anytime

+1000

Abu Francis (Toulouse)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Morgan Bokele (Metz)

First

+500

Anytime

+1100

Ibou Sané (Metz)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

Alexis Vossah (Toulouse)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

Brian Madjo (Metz)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

Giorgi Abuashvili (Metz)

First

+600

Anytime

+1200

Dayann Methalie (Toulouse)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Giorgi Tsitaishvili (Metz)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Charlie Cresswell (Toulouse)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Cristian Cásseres (Toulouse)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Rasmus Nicolaisen (Toulouse)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Mark McKenzie (Toulouse)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Seny Koumbassa (Toulouse)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Frank Magri (Toulouse)

Over 3.5

+128

Under 3.5

-

Yann Gboho (Toulouse)

Over 2.5

+105

Under 2.5

-

Emersonn Correia da Silva (Toulouse)

Over 2.5

+105

Under 2.5

-

Santiago Hidalgo (Toulouse)

Over 2.5

+117

Under 2.5

-

Habib Diallo (Metz)

Over 2.5

+105

Under 2.5

-

Charlie Cresswell (Toulouse)

Over 1.5

-103

Under 1.5

-

Brian Madjo (Metz)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Ibou Sané (Metz)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Morgan Bokele (Metz)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Gauthier Hein (Metz)

Over 1.5

+118

Under 1.5

-

Aron Dönnum (Toulouse)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Cheikh Tidiane Sabaly (Metz)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-

Mário Sauer (Toulouse)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Noah Edjouma (Toulouse)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

-

Abu Francis (Toulouse)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Giorgi Abuashvili (Metz)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Giorgi Tsitaishvili (Metz)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Rasmus Nicolaisen (Toulouse)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

Four Home Defeats for Toulouse in Previous Ten

Toulouse have four draws, four defeats and two wins in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 1.90.

Metz have been beaten in three consecutive away games.

Toulouse overcame Metz 3-0 when the sides last met at Stadium Municipal.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Toulouse Home Stats		2-4-4	3.40	1.50	1.90	5	5	8	2
Metz Away Stats		0-0-3	5.00	1.33	3.67	3	0	2	1

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Toulouse vs Metz Lineups & Team News

Make sure to look over the Toulouse vs Metz team news before betting. We’ll provide full coverage of predicted and confirmed Ligue 1 lineups alongside the newest injury information.

Toulouse Team Page Metz Team Page