Uruguay vs Peru Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 05 Sep 2025

World Cup qualifying Betting Preview: Uruguay vs Peru

Uruguay host Peru in this World Cup qualifying fixture, with kick-off set for 19:30 on Thursday 4 September 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats and team news.

Under 2.5 Goals Looks the Best Betting Angle

We are expecting a low number of goals when Uruguay meet Peru. The odds of -135 for Under 2.5 look really attractive and we can play the Total Goals market with confidence.

If you're backing our Total Goals shout, take a minute to check our BetMGM review first, then grab the promo code before placing your bet.

Peru 1-0 Winners When Teams Last Met

Uruguay won their last game 2-0. This was a World Cup qualifying home triumph against Venezuela. La Celeste enjoyed 59% possession and had five shots on target, with Rodrigo Aguirre and Giorgian De Arrascaeta scoring one goal apiece.

Peru drew their previous game which was at home in the World Cup qualifier. The action ended 0-0 against Ecuador. Oscar Ibanez's side had 53% possession and five shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Peru defeated Uruguay in their last head-to-head clash. It was a 1-0 scoreline at home. The 4 most recent H2H meetings have involved two draws, while Uruguay and Peru have both won once.

South America World Cup Qualification		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	Uruguay	16	6	6	4	19	12	7	19:12	24
9	Peru	16	2	6	8	6	17	-11	6:17	12

View Full Table

Uruguay have 2 wins, 3 losses and 5 draws, averaging 0.6 goals from 2.5 shots on goal and 6.3 attempts. La Celeste have averaged 53.1% possession and 5.3 corners per game, with the opposition getting 0.7 goals from 4.0 shots on goal, 9.5 attempts and 4.5 corners.

Rodrigo Aguirre is the top scorer with 2 goals, while Giorgian De Arrascaeta, Federico Valverde and Manuel Ugarte each have 1. Maximiliano Araujo is the leading assists maker on 2.

Peru have 2 victories, 4 defeats and 4 draws, with an average of 2.7 shots on goal, 6.0 attempts and 0.5 goals. Oscar Ibanez's side average 42.3% possession, 2.6 corners taken and 4.6 corners against them, while 0.9 goals have been conceded from 8.6 attempts and 3.9 shots on goal.

We’ve seen Andy Polo, Jose Paolo Guerrero, Edison Flores, Miguel Araujo and Alexander Callens score 1 goals each. Bryan Reyna, Andy Polo and Piero Quispe have been the top assists providers with 1 in the previous 10 games.

Uruguay vs Peru Prediction & Betting Tips

Take on Uruguay vs Peru with our in-depth betting analysis, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice, key player props and a value-driven bet builder.

Match Prediction

There’s every chance that we’ll see a low goal count for this World Cup qualifying showdown. For this reason, we’ll take the odds of -135 about Under 2.5, with the two teams unlikely to deliver a combined three goals or more.

The team news that emerges can have an impact on the odds depending on which players are missing. Our football experts also study the form guide, while the latest stats are also checked before a World Cup qualifying verdict is reached.

Key Uruguay vs Peru stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 5 Uruguay games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 Uruguay games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 14 of the last 20 Uruguay games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 Peru games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 18 of the last 20 Peru games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Peru games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 games between these teams.

Under 2.5 Probability

Based on the latest odds from the top bookmakers, our pick carries a 57.5% chance of winning. After careful examination, our experts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 60-65%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

Those in search of a bigger price might consider combining the Under 2.5 Goals pick with a particular team to win. This is available through the Result & Total Goals market.

Maximize your betting potential with the latest free bets, sign-up and welcome offers — all listed in our expert bonus guide.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -135 Watch Live Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Correct Score Prediction

Uruguay 2 - 0 Peru

Uruguay are available at +380 when it comes to them winning 2-0. We like a correct score play and the chance to bag a nice return if our prediction is right.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Maximiliano Araujo Over 0.5 Shots On Target -147

Maximiliano Araujo (Uruguay) is available to finish with one or more shots on goal at -147. It’s hard to turn down such attractive odds for this player when it comes to Shots on Target.

Latest Maximiliano Araujo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+260

First

+525

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-108

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

---

Rodrigo Aguirre to Score +210

Rodrigo Aguirre (Uruguay) has racked up two goals in his past six games. Based on the numbers, we are looking to bet the +210 for him to find the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Rodrigo Aguirre Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+215

First

+430

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

+123

Shots

Over 2.5

+105

Under 2.5

-

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Uruguay vs Peru Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Uruguay Big Favourites According to Latest Odds

With a proposed 77% probability of securing a victory, the bookmakers are taking few risks with their -333 odds about Uruguay coming out on top in this World Cup qualifying encounter. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, the underdogs Peru are trading at +1050.

The Asian Handicap can be a good value alternative to Full-Time Result betting. Uruguay -1.5 are available to back at -102 and that means you need them to beat Peru by two or more goals.

Under 2.5 Goals is a short-priced option for those expecting two goals or less. If you’re anticipating that one team or more will draw a blank, then the No option on the Both Teams to Score market is chalked up at -244.

It’s great that you can tap into hundreds of markets for every World Cup qualifying game. Each of the leading football betting sites provide exciting pre-match and In-Play betting options.

Full-Time Result

1

-333

X

+420

2

+1050

Half-Time Result

1

-123

X

+135

2

+800

Double Chance

1X

-2500

12

-625

X2

+235

Draw No Bet

1

-1429

2

+600

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.5

-102

2 Hcp +1.5

-120

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-135

Over 2.5

+110

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+170

No

-244

Giorgian de Arrascaeta Heads First Goalscorer Market

Those interested in favourite Giorgian de Arrascaeta to find the net first can get +350, while the Anytime Goalscorer angle could hold more appeal and this is +155.

Giorgian de Arrascaeta (Uruguay)

First

+155

Anytime

+350

Rodrigo Aguirre (Uruguay)

First

+215

Anytime

+430

Maximiliano Araujo (Uruguay)

First

+260

Anytime

+525

Paul Brian Rodríguez (Uruguay)

First

+270

Anytime

+550

Facundo Pellistri (Uruguay)

First

+300

Anytime

+600

Cristian Olivera (Uruguay)

First

+360

Anytime

+800

Rodrigo Bentancur (Uruguay)

First

+525

Anytime

+1100

Nicolás Fonseca (Uruguay)

First

+550

Anytime

+1200

Ronald Araujo (Uruguay)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Luis Ramos (Peru)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Joaquín Piquerez (Uruguay)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Nahitan Nández (Uruguay)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Guillermo Varela (Uruguay)

First

+750

Anytime

+1500

Kevin Quevedo (Peru)

First

+800

Anytime

+1600

Andy Polo (Peru)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Sebastián Cáceres (Uruguay)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Santiago Bueno (Uruguay)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Giorgian de Arrascaeta (Uruguay)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

+148

Rodrigo Aguirre (Uruguay)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

+123

Maximiliano Araujo (Uruguay)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-108

Paul Brian Rodríguez (Uruguay)

Over 0.5

-127

Under 0.5

-125

Facundo Pellistri (Uruguay)

Over 0.5

-122

Under 0.5

-128

Cristian Olivera (Uruguay)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-147

Luis Ramos (Peru)

Over 0.5

+143

Under 0.5

-286

Rodrigo Bentancur (Uruguay)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-313

Kevin Quevedo (Peru)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-313

Andy Polo (Peru)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-357

Nicolás Fonseca (Uruguay)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-370

Ronald Araujo (Uruguay)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-455

Guillermo Varela (Uruguay)

Over 0.5

+265

Under 0.5

-526

Nahitan Nández (Uruguay)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-526

Joaquín Piquerez (Uruguay)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-556

Giorgian de Arrascaeta (Uruguay)

Over 2.5

-156

Under 2.5

-

Rodrigo Aguirre (Uruguay)

Over 2.5

+105

Under 2.5

-

Paul Brian Rodríguez (Uruguay)

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

-

Facundo Pellistri (Uruguay)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Cristian Olivera (Uruguay)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Luis Ramos (Peru)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-

Kevin Quevedo (Peru)

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-

Rodrigo Bentancur (Uruguay)

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

-

Andy Polo (Peru)

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

-

Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.

Uruguay Stats

Peru Stats

Full-Time Result

• 2 wins, 3 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 8 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 0.60 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.00 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 1.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 1 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 0.50 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 0.40 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 1.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 0 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 1 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 5.30 corners awarded and 4.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 6.40 corners awarded and 2.20 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 9.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 8.60 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 10 and least corners in 0 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 2.60 corners awarded and 4.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 2.22 corners awarded and 5.67 corners against in the last 9 away matches
• An average of 7.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 7.89 corners awarded in the last 9 away matches
• Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 8 of the last 9 away matches

Possession

• An average of 53.10% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 55.80% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 42.30% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 39.67% possession in the last 9 away matches
• Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 2 of the last 9 away matches

You can watch and bet on World Cup qualifying games thanks to the live streaming service that’s available. This is only available to eligible sportsbook customers and is subject to geo-restrictions.

It’s great to watch live sports and you’ll find a wide range of choice with the leading betting apps.

Uruguay vs Peru Live Streaming Watch Live Geo-restrictions apply. To use the services you need to be logged in, a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours.

Uruguay vs Peru Lineups & Team News

Avoid surprises — review the Uruguay vs Peru team news before you bet. We’ll keep you informed with the confirmed World Cup qualifying lineups and current injury news.