Valencia vs Real Madrid Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 08 Feb 2026
La Liga Betting Preview: Valencia vs Real Madrid
Valencia go head-to-head with Real Madrid at Estadio Mestalla, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Sunday 8 February.
We’re backing Valencia +1 on the Asian Handicap against Real Madrid at -102. There’s money back should the underdogs lose by one goal and we will see a nice return from this bet if they manage to win or draw.
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Valencia lost in their last La Liga game. Real Betis won 2-1 at Estadio de La Cartuja. Carlos Corberan's side had 47% of possession and four shots on target, with Luis Rioja getting the goal.
On Wednesday night, Valencia were defeated 2-1 in the Copa del Rey when hosting Athletic Club.
Real Madrid have won their previous six games. The latest was a 2-1 home triumph at Santiago Bernabéu against Rayo Vallecano. Los Merengues enjoyed 57% possession and managed six shots on goal, with Vinicius Junior and Kylian Mbappe on the scoresheet.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The last head-to-head saw Real claim a 4-0 home win over Valencia at Santiago Bernabéu. The 10 H2H games most recently played have featured seven Real wins, one draw and two victories for Valencia.
| La Liga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |  Real Madrid |
22 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 47 | 18 | 29 | 47:18 | 54 |
| 16 |  Valencia |
22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 23:35 | 23 |
3 wins, 3 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 3.2 shots on goal and 12.3 attempts. Valencia have had 51.5% possession, 432.2 passes and 5.6 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.4 goals from 3.4 shots on goal and 10.5 attempts, while being awarded 4.7 corners.
Top goalscorer Hugo Duro has found the net 4 times, Pepelu 2, with Luis Rioja and two other players on 1. The leading assistors are Lucas Beltran and Filip Ugrinic with 2, while goalie Julen Agirrezabala has recorded one clean sheet.
Real have won 7, lost 1 and drawn 2, averaging 7.0 shots on goal, 18.6 attempts and 2.1 goals. Alvaro Arbeloa's team average 57.9% possession, 577.2 passes, 6.9 corners taken and 3.8 corners against them, while 0.8 goals have been conceded from 10.3 attempts and 3.6 shots on goal.
Kylian Mbappe has recorded 9 goals, Gonzalo Garcia 3, with Raul Asencio and Jude Bellingham both managing 2. Rodrygo has been the top assist maker on 3, with Thibaut Courtois notching 4 clean sheets in the last 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Valencia predicted lineup (4-4-2): Stole Dimitrievski (GK), Dimitri Foulquier, Eray Coemert, Jose Copete, Jose Gaya, Luis Rioja, Filip Ugrinic, Pepelu, Arnaut Danjuma, Lucas Beltran, Hugo Duro.
Real Madrid predicted lineup (4-1-2-3): Thibaut Courtois (GK), Federico Valverde, David Alaba, Dean Huijsen, Eduardo Camavinga, Aurelien Tchouameni, Arda Guler, Dani Ceballos, Franco Mastantuono, Kylian Mbappe, Rodrygo.
Valencia vs Real Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips
Tackle Valencia vs Real Madrid with all the betting insight you need, including our match prediction, scoreline forecast, corners market advice, key player prop selections and a hand-picked bet builder.
Match Prediction
We’re going for Valencia on the Asian Handicap +1 and feel confident that the underdogs can win or draw this La Liga clash. We feel as though there’s plenty of juice in the odds of -102.
Team news is very useful and our football tipsters are keen to identify the players who are doubtful with injury. You’ll also find us studying the form guide, with lots of La Liga data available which provides a clear picture from the stats.
Key Valencia vs Real Madrid league stats:
The latest odds at the best betting sites suggest our pick carries a 50.5% chance of winning. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.
Looking for more juice from your selection? By moving the line, you are able to get bigger betting odds although you will need to take a riskier bet.
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Correct Score Prediction
1
-
1
Real Madrid
The game ending in a 1-1 draw is available at odds of +650. Take a chance on the correct score and get rewarded for predicting the right scoreline.
Player Prop Picks
Arda Guler (Real Madrid) has covered the 1.5 shots total in seven of his past ten La Liga games away from home. We are in favour of betting the +128 that he is able to cover the line, with this Player Shots wager looking like it might yield dividends.
Hugo Duro (Valencia) has scored at least one goal in four straight La Liga home games. Considering the numbers, we think that odds of +270 offer plenty of appeal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The past 10 Valencia home matches have involved them having an average of 6.30 corners, with Real Madrid conceding over 4.5 corners in their last three away games. We think that the value can be found by wagering on Team Corners and you can secure +110 that Valencia go over the line.
Valencia
Real Madrid
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
If you want to follow our bet builder, try Valencia to cover the +1 Asian Handicap, BTTS Yes along with Arda Guler (Real Madrid) to finish with Over 1.5 shots.
Should you want to back different outcomes for the same football game, then a bet builder will suit your needs. You require all predictions to be on the money and our readers enjoy placing a tailored wager on a specific encounter taking place.
Valencia vs Real Madrid Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Real Madrid are the -208 favourites on the 1x2 betting. That implies a 68% chance of triumphing in this La Liga encounter according to the latest odds. Valencia are the +500 outsiders, with the draw being a different option which could yield dividends.
Real can be backed at -102 on the Half-Time Result and you’ll need them to have their noses in front by the break. Valencia can be chanced at +430 and the draw is +155.
The Total Goals market indicates that Over 2.5 Goals is the betting favourite right now. The Yes pick in the Both Teams to Score market is considered to be the most likely result and it’s trading at -147.
When it comes to every La Liga match, you will find hundreds of markets available. Go through the various attractive options which are available at the best football betting sites.
Those interested in Kylian Mbappé to find the net anytime are able to get -154. There is the chance to back the favourite to score the first goal at odds of +225.
Valencia have managed four draws, three victories and three losses in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.20 goals per game and conceding 1.20.
Real Madrid have not tasted an away defeat in seven straight matches. Los Merengues have six victories, three draws and one defeat in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.90 goals per game and conceding 1.10.
Real overcame Valencia 2-1 when the sides last met at Estadio Mestalla. The past 7 H2H games at Estadio Mestalla have featured three Valencia victories, two draws and two Real wins.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia Home Stats |
3-4-3 | 2.40 | 1.20 | 1.20 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 3 | |
| Real Madrid Away Stats |
6-3-1 | 3.00 | 1.90 | 1.10 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 4 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- La Liga: 01/11 2025 Real Madrid 4 Valencia 0
- La Liga: 05/04 2025 Real Madrid 1 Valencia 2
- La Liga: 03/01 2025 Valencia 1 Real Madrid 2
- La Liga: 02/03 2024 Valencia 2 Real Madrid 2
- La Liga: 11/11 2023 Real Madrid 5 Valencia 1
- La Liga: 21/05 2023 Valencia 1 Real Madrid 0
- La Liga: 02/02 2023 Real Madrid 2 Valencia 0
- La Liga: 08/01 2022 Real Madrid 4 Valencia 1
- La Liga: 19/09 2021 Valencia 1 Real Madrid 2
- La Liga: 14/02 2021 Real Madrid 2 Valencia 0
Valencia League Stats
Real Madrid League Stats
- 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 7 wins, 1 defeat and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.10 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.90 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 4.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.30 corners awarded and 4.10 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.40 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.90 corners awarded and 3.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.80 corners awarded and 4.60 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.40 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 51.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 52.30% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 57.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 57.00% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Valencia this season are Hugo Duro (7), Arnaut Danjuma (3), Diego Lopez (3)
- Top Assistors for Valencia this season are Filip Ugrinic (3), Luis Rioja (3), Arnaut Danjuma (2)
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Valencia vs Real Madrid Lineups & Team News
The Valencia vs Real team news could change everything — review it before betting. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for La Liga together with updated injury news.
Valencia Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
Real Madrid Predicted Lineup 4-1-2-3
Valencia Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
Real Madrid Predicted Lineup 4-1-2-3
Previous Valencia Lineups
Previous Real Madrid Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Valencia Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Carlos Corberan
Real Madrid Player Stats & Squad
La Liga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 22 | 18 | 1 | 3 | 60:23 | 55 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 22 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 47:18 | 54 |
| 3 | Atlético Madrid | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 38:17 | 45 |
| 4 | Villarreal | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 39:23 | 42 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 36:28 | 35 |
| 6 | Espanyol | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 26:27 | 34 |
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 30:25 | 33 |
| 8 | Osasuna | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 28:28 | 29 |
| 9 | Real Sociedad | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 30:30 | 28 |
| 10 | Alavés | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 20:27 | 25 |
| 11 | Athletic Club | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 21:31 | 25 |
| 12 | Girona | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 21:36 | 25 |
| 13 | Elche | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 30:32 | 24 |
| 14 | Mallorca | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28:34 | 24 |
| 15 | Sevilla | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 29:37 | 24 |
| 16 | Valencia | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 23:35 | 23 |
| 17 | Getafe | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 16:27 | 23 |
| 18 | Rayo Vallecano | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 18:30 | 22 |
| 19 | Levante | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 24:34 | 18 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 12:34 | 16 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlético Madrid | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 26:7 | 31 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 31:5 | 30 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 25:7 | 30 |
| 4 | Villarreal | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 23:9 | 25 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 22:12 | 22 |
| 6 | Osasuna | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20:13 | 21 |
| 7 | Elche | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 8 | Mallorca | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18:14 | 19 |
| 9 | Espanyol | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 14:16 | 19 |
| 10 | Alavés | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:11 | 18 |
| 11 | Valencia | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 15:11 | 17 |
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18:16 | 17 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | 17 |
| 14 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 15 | Sevilla | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16:17 | 13 |
| 16 | Girona | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:18 | 13 |
| 17 | Getafe | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8:9 | 12 |
| 18 | Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 8:9 | 12 |
| 19 | Real Oviedo | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4:11 | 11 |
| 20 | Levante | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:20 | 7 |
Rayo Vallecano
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