Valencia vs Villarreal Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 25 Oct 2025

La Liga Betting Preview: Valencia vs Villarreal

Valencia host Villarreal in the Derbi de la Comunitat at Estadio Mestalla, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Saturday 25 October. Our Spanish La Liga betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

The way forward could be to back Valencia with a +0.25 Asian Handicap at -118 against Villarreal. This means our stake is split between 0 and +0.5, which allows us to land a return with a draw.

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Valencia faced Deportivo Alavés away when last in action. It was a 0-0 draw at Estadio Mendizorroza. Los Che had only 37% possession and recorded two shots on target.

Villarreal drew 2-2 in their previous La Liga game. This was at home against Real Betis at Estadio de la Ceramica. Marcelino Garcia's men were restricted to 40% possession and had three shots on goal, while Tajon Buchanan and Alberto Moleiro were both on target.

On Tuesday night, Villarreal were beaten 2-0 in the Champions League when hosting Manchester City.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Villarreal have avoided defeat against Valencia in the past three meetings, with their last encounter ending in a 1-1 draw at Estadio de la Ceramica. The previous 10 H2H games have ended in four Villarreal victories, three draws and three Valencia wins.

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Villarreal	15	11	2	2	31	13	18	31:13	35
16	Valencia	15	3	6	6	14	23	-9	14:23	15

View Full Table

2 wins, 4 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.1 goals from 3.0 shots on goal and 9.7 attempts. Valencia have had 47.5% possession, 386.3 passes and 4.6 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.5 goals from 4.9 shots on goal and 13.7 attempts, while being awarded 4.9 corners.

Arnaut Danjuma and Hugo Duro are the top scorers with 3 goals each, while Diego Lopez has 2. Leading assistor is Luis Rioja with 3, while goalie Julen Agirrezabala has recorded 3 clean sheets.

Villarreal have 6 victories, 2 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 2.0 goals from 13.9 attempts and 5.2 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 46.0% possession, 435.3 passes, 5.0 corners awarded and 3.4 corners against them, while they’ve conceded 1.2 goals from 11.8 attempts and 3.7 shots on goal.

Tajon Buchanan and Pape Gueye top the team’s scoring charts on 4 goals, with Alberto Moleiro on 2. Sergi Cardona and Etta Eyong have been top assists providers with 2, while Luiz Junior has kept 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Valencia confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Julen Agirrezabala (GK), Thierry Correia, Cesar Tarrega, Jose Copete, Jose Gaya, Luis Rioja, Javier Guerra, Pepelu, Diego Lopez, Arnaut Danjuma, Lucas Beltran.

Villarreal confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Luiz Junior (GK), Santiago Mourino, Juan Foyth, Renato Veiga, Sergi Cardona, Nicolas Pepe, Santi Comesana, Pape Gueye, Alberto Moleiro, Gerard Moreno, Georges Mikautadze.

Valencia vs Villarreal Prediction & Betting Tips

Step into Valencia vs Villarreal with confidence as we bring you our main match prediction, projected scoreline, key corners betting angle, best player prop picks and a custom-built bet builder.

Match Prediction

Valencia +0.25 look like a value bet on the Asian Handicap. We think that the hosts have a good chance of recording a win in this derby clash and it’s therefore a confident selection at -118.

Our football picks always stem from lots of research and it begins by looking at the latest La Liga team news and current form. When we have a strong view of what might happen, we match up the latest numbers.

Key Valencia vs Villarreal league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Valencia in 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Valencia in 14 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Villarreal in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Villarreal in 2 consecutive games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Valencia in 2 consecutive games against Villarreal.

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 54.1% chance of winning. However, our tipsters research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

There’s a chance to land a larger price and this can be attained by moving the line. Increase your odds for your selection by taking a different wagering stance.

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Our Match Prediction

Valencia Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -118 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Valencia 2 - 1 Villarreal

A 2-1 win in favor of Valencia is available at odds of +950. Take a chance on the correct score and get rewarded for predicting the right scoreline.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Hugo Duro Under 0.5 Shots On Target +130

Hugo Duro (Valencia) has finished without a shot on goal in three consecutive La Liga games. It stands to reason that he will fall short of the line and you can get odds of +130 for this Shots on Target wager.

Latest Hugo Duro Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+205

First

+480

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+120

Shots

Over 2.5

-111

Under 2.5

-

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Javi Guerra to Score +800

Javi Guerra (Valencia) has managed two goals in his past ten La Liga home matches. He looks like an attractive wager to be on the scoresheet and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer selection at odds of +800.

Latest Javi Guerra Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+800

First

+2000

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-556

Shots

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Valencia To Have Most Corners +102

On average, Valencia have had 6.20 corners in the past 5 home games, with Villarreal managing an average of 2.80 corners in the previous 5 away matches. Valencia look value at +102 to rack up the most corners.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Valencia

Total

9.50 4.60 4.90

Home

9.90 5.10 4.80

Away

9.30 3.50 5.80

Villarreal

Total

8.40 5.00 3.40

Home

10.40 6.20 4.20

Away

7.90 3.20 4.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-108

Under 9.5

-132

Valencia Corners

Over 4.5

-100

Under 4.5

-138

Villarreal Corners

Over 4.5

-120

Under 4.5

-120

Most Corners

1

+112

X

+600

2

+102

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Valencia vs Villarreal Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Villarreal are regarded as having a 52% chance of winning this La Liga clash in the eyes of the bookies. It means that their current betting odds are -106. Valencia are regarded as the least likely winner at +270.

It sometimes pays to take the Draw No Bet option meaning there’s a safety net if the game ends all square. Villarreal can be backed at -227 or alternatively Valencia are on offer at +163.

The odds suggest that Over 2.5 Goals is a strong probability in this exciting contest. Both Teams to Score is one of the top markets and the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -154.

There are hundreds of markets from which to select your preferred wager when it comes to La Liga games. The best football betting sites push the boat out to provide lots of choice.

Full-Time Result

1

+270

X

+260

2

-106

Half-Time Result

1

+300

X

+133

2

+145

Double Chance

1X

-125

12

-357

X2

-370

Draw No Bet

1

+163

2

-227

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.5

-118

2 Hcp -0.5

-105

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-100

Over 2.5

-130

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-154

No

+115

Favourite Georges Mikautadze is now available at +380 to be the First Goalscorer. You will find similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.

Georges Mikautadze (Villarreal)

First

+165

Anytime

+380

Hugo Duro (Valencia)

First

+205

Anytime

+480

Ayoze Pérez (Villarreal)

First

+215

Anytime

+525

Gerard Moreno (Villarreal)

First

+245

Anytime

+575

Nicolas Pepe (Villarreal)

First

+245

Anytime

+575

Tani Oluwaseyi (Villarreal)

First

+265

Anytime

+600

Alberto Moleiro (Villarreal)

First

+330

Anytime

+700

Manor Solomon (Villarreal)

First

+330

Anytime

+750

Daniel Raba (Valencia)

First

+340

Anytime

+800

Arnaut Danjuma (Valencia)

First

+360

Anytime

+850

Tajon Buchanan (Villarreal)

First

+370

Anytime

+900

Lucas Beltrán (Valencia)

First

+450

Anytime

+1150

Ilias Akhomach (Villarreal)

First

+480

Anytime

+1050

Pape Gueye (Villarreal)

First

+480

Anytime

+1150

Alfonso Pedraza (Villarreal)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Luis Rioja (Valencia)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Dani Parejo (Villarreal)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Filip Ugrinic (Valencia)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Javi Guerra (Valencia)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Renato Veiga (Villarreal)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

André Ribeiro Almeida (Valencia)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

José Gayà (Valencia)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Santiago Mouriño (Villarreal)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Santi Comesaña (Villarreal)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Baptiste Santamaria (Valencia)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Georges Mikautadze (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

+145

Hugo Duro (Valencia)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+120

Ayoze Pérez (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-102

Nicolas Pepe (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-103

Gerard Moreno (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

-128

Under 0.5

-122

Tani Oluwaseyi (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-125

Arnaut Danjuma (Valencia)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-147

Daniel Raba (Valencia)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-159

Manor Solomon (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-179

Tajon Buchanan (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-213

Pape Gueye (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-233

Lucas Beltrán (Valencia)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-227

Alberto Moleiro (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-250

Ilias Akhomach (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-286

Luis Rioja (Valencia)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-400

Filip Ugrinic (Valencia)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-476

Alfonso Pedraza (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-500

Dani Parejo (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-556

Javi Guerra (Valencia)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-556

André Ribeiro Almeida (Valencia)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-667

Baptiste Santamaria (Valencia)

Over 0.5

+360

Under 0.5

-833

Renato Veiga (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

+370

Under 0.5

-909

José Gayà (Valencia)

Over 0.5

+370

Under 0.5

-909

Santiago Mouriño (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

+380

Under 0.5

-1000

Georges Mikautadze (Villarreal)

Over 2.5

-139

Under 2.5

-

Hugo Duro (Valencia)

Over 2.5

-111

Under 2.5

-

Ayoze Pérez (Villarreal)

Over 2.5

+115

Under 2.5

-

Nicolas Pepe (Villarreal)

Over 2.5

-105

Under 2.5

-

Pape Gueye (Villarreal)

Over 1.5

-182

Under 1.5

-

Ilias Akhomach (Villarreal)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Lucas Beltrán (Valencia)

Over 1.5

+115

Under 1.5

-

Tajon Buchanan (Villarreal)

Over 1.5

+128

Under 1.5

-

Arnaut Danjuma (Valencia)

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

-

Daniel Raba (Valencia)

Over 1.5

-133

Under 1.5

-

Manor Solomon (Villarreal)

Over 1.5

-102

Under 1.5

-

Tani Oluwaseyi (Villarreal)

Over 1.5

-189

Under 1.5

-

Gerard Moreno (Villarreal)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Alfonso Pedraza (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

-127

Under 0.5

-

Luis Rioja (Valencia)

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

-

Filip Ugrinic (Valencia)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-

Javi Guerra (Valencia)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

Baptiste Santamaria (Valencia)

Over 0.5

-128

Under 0.5

-

Valencia have collected six wins, two draws and two defeats in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 0.60.

Villarreal have finished with five wins, four losses and one draw in the last 10 away matches, scoring an average of 1.20 goals per game and conceding 1.50.

Valencia drew 1-1 with Villarreal when the sides last met at Estadio Mestalla. The 8 most recent H2H meetings at Estadio Mestalla have included six Valencia victories along with two draws.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Valencia Home Stats		6-2-2	2.10	1.50	0.60	4	6	4	6
Villarreal Away Stats		5-1-4	2.70	1.20	1.50	6	4	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Valencia vs Villarreal Lineups & Team News

Be smart with your bets — check the Valencia vs Villarreal team news beforehand. We’ll bring you the expected and confirmed lineups for La Liga along with up-to-date injury news.

Valencia Team Page Villarreal Team Page

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