Vasco da Gama vs Bahia Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 24 Sep 2025

Série A Betting Preview: Vasco da Gama vs Bahia

Vasco da Gama host Bahia in this Brazilian Série A game, with kick-off set for 18:30 on Wednesday 24 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Bahia to Give Vasco a Tough Test

The best plan could involve backing Bahia with a +0.25 Asian Handicap at -118 when clashing with Vasco da Gama. Our stake is split between 0 and +0.5, allowing us to land a return in the event of a draw.

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Vasco 3-2 Winners in Last H2H Battle

Vasco da Gama played Flamengo on the road in their last game. It was a 1-1 draw. Fernando Diniz's team ended up with just 39% possession and had four shots on target, with Rayan getting the goal.

Bahia drew away from home in their previous game. A 1-1 scoreline was played out against Ceará. The Salvador outfit boasted 62% possession and recorded six shots on goal, while Willian Jose found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was Vasco who triumphed when they last faced Bahia, a 3-2 home victory was recorded. Bahia have landed victory in five of the past 10 H2H games, with Vasco securing two wins along with three draws.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
6	Bahia	22	10	7	5	30	25	5	30:25	37
16	Vasco da Gama	23	6	6	11	33	34	-1	33:34	24

View Full Table

2 wins, 3 losses and 5 draws, averaging 1.9 goals from 5.2 shots on goal and 11.2 attempts. Vasco have had 58.3% possession and 5.3 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.6 goals from 4.9 shots on goal and 10.1 attempts, while being awarded 5.1 corners.

The three top scorers are Rayan, Philippe Coutinho and Pablo Vegetti, with these players all scoring 4 goals. Nuno Moreira and David are the top assists makers with 3.

Bahia have won 4, lost 2 and drawn 4, with an average of 1.6 goals from 5.0 shots on goal and 10.7 attempts. There’s been an average of 57.8% possession, 4.1 corners awarded and 4.3 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.4 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 8.2 attempts.

Jean Lucas and Luciano Juba have top scored with 3 goals, while Willian Jose is next on 2. Willian Jose has been the chief assist maker in the previous 10 games with 3.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Vasco da Gama predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Léo Jardim (GK), Paulo Henrique, Carlos Cuesta, Lucas Freitas, José Luis Rodríguez, Cauan Barros, Hugo Moura, Carlos Andres Gomez, Philippe Coutinho, Nuno Moreira, Pablo Vegetti.

Bahia predicted lineup (4-3-3): Ronaldo (GK), Santiago Arias, Gabriel Xavier, Santi Ramos Mingo, Luciano Juba, Nicolás Acevedo, Jean Lucas, Everton Ribeiro, Michel Araújo, Willian José, Mateo Sanabria.

Vasco da Gama vs Bahia Prediction & Betting Tips

Get the edge with our best Vasco da Gama vs Bahia tips: a key match prediction, expert corners pick, correct score recommendation, top player prop bets and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

Bahia +0.25 on the Asian Handicap looks like a sensible play at a price of -118. They should be able to swerve a loss in this Série A game and we’re confident that the away team can land a victory.

Our football predictions are always well-researched and it starts with a combination of team news and form guide. Once we have a clear idea of what might happen, we match up the latest Série A data.

Key Vasco da Gama vs Bahia league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Bahia in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Bahia in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Vasco in 6 consecutive games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Vasco in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Vasco in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Vasco in 8 of their last 10 games against Bahia.

Bahia +0.25 Probability

The best betting apps make it a 54.1% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, we think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

Lots of bettors wanting to back Bahia to cover the line will look to combine this pick in a Bet Builder. This provides you with the opportunity to secure a bigger price by featuring a number of selections.

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Our Match Prediction

Bahia Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -118 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Vasco 0 - 1 Bahia

We’ve picked out a correct score of 1-0 being landed by Bahia. You can secure odds of +700 and this provides an alternative way to place a wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Philippe Coutinho Over 0.5 Shots On Target -122

Philippe Coutinho (Vasco) can be backed to register one or more shots on goal at -122. We’ll take a chance with this Shots on Target pick as the betting odds look pretty attractive.

Latest Philippe Coutinho Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+330

First

+750

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-122

Under 0.5

-127

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Nicolás Acevedo To Score +1050

Nicolás Acevedo (Bahia) is available to be on the scoresheet at +1050. He looks like a value pick and we think that the odds offer plenty of appeal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Nicolás Acevedo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+1050

First

+2200

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-769

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Corners Prediction

Bahia Over 4.5 Corners -125

Bahia have had over 4.5 corners in two straight matches, while Vasco da Gama have had an average of 6.50 corners against them in their previous 10 home games. The number of Bahia corners might be larger than the line implies and that means a bet at odds of -125.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Vasco

Total

10.40 5.30 5.10

Home

11.50 5.00 6.50

Away

9.70 4.50 5.20

Bahia

Total

8.40 4.10 4.30

Home

8.20 4.50 3.70

Away

10.10 4.70 5.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-114

Under 9.5

-125

Vasco Corners

Over 4.5

-120

Under 4.5

-120

Bahia Corners

Over 4.5

-120

Under 4.5

-120

Most Corners

1

-102

X

+600

2

+117

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Vasco da Gama vs Bahia Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Tight Affair Likely According to the Betting Sites

With an approximate 44% chance of succeeding, the bookies are being cautious with their +125 betting odds for Vasco da Gama triumphing in this Série A encounter. Bahia are operating at larger odds than the opposition and the underdogs can be wagered at +210.

There’s the option to get some insurance on your bet by going down the Draw No Bet route. This allows you to back Vasco at -161 with a safety net or alternatively opt for Bahia at +118.

For those expecting a low-scoring contest, Under 2.5 is the market leader on the Total Goals market. If you’re betting on Both Teams to Score, you can back Yes at -122 and No at -116.

There are hundreds of markets which means lots of options to find a football bet for the latest Série A match. The best betting sites leave no stone unturned to provide a first-class service.

Full-Time Result

1

+125

X

+240

2

+210

Half-Time Result

1

+190

X

+112

2

+265

Double Chance

1X

-294

12

-345

X2

-167

Draw No Bet

1

-161

2

+118

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-106

2 Hcp +0.25

-118

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-137

Over 2.5

+106

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-122

No

-116

Pablo Vegetti Favourite to Be First Goalscorer

Those interested in Pablo Vegetti to find the net anytime can get +135, with the favourite on offer to score the first goal at odds of +340.

Pablo Vegetti (Vasco)

First

+135

Anytime

+340

Willian José (Bahia)

First

+310

Anytime

+600

Kayky da Silva Chagas (Bahia)

First

+320

Anytime

+700

Rayan Vitor (Vasco)

First

+330

Anytime

+700

Philippe Coutinho (Vasco)

First

+330

Anytime

+750

Matheus França (Vasco)

First

+390

Anytime

+850

Guilherme Estrella de Paiva (Vasco)

First

+500

Anytime

+1100

Nuno Moreira (Vasco)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

Michel Araujo (Bahia)

First

+600

Anytime

+1200

Jean Lucas Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Cauly Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Erick Luis Carvalho (Bahia)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Mateus Carvalho dos Santos (Vasco)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Rodrigo Nestor (Bahia)

First

+750

Anytime

+1400

Cauan Lucas Barros da Luz (Vasco)

First

+750

Anytime

+1600

Éverton Ribeiro (Bahia)

First

+950

Anytime

+1900

Paulo Henrique (Vasco)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

José Rodríguez (Vasco)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Nicolás Acevedo (Bahia)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Luciano Junior Batista "Juba" (Bahia)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Rayan Vitor (Vasco)

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

+120

Willian José (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-128

Under 0.5

-132

Philippe Coutinho (Vasco)

Over 0.5

-122

Under 0.5

-127

Kayky da Silva Chagas (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-112

Under 0.5

-139

Matheus França (Vasco)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-175

Pablo Vegetti (Vasco)

Over 1.5

+133

Under 1.5

-233

Nuno Moreira (Vasco)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-286

Michel Araujo (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-286

Cauly Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-345

Guilherme Estrella de Paiva (Vasco)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-370

Jean Lucas Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-370

Erick Luis Carvalho (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+225

Under 0.5

-400

Mateus Carvalho dos Santos (Vasco)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-476

Cauan Lucas Barros da Luz (Vasco)

Over 0.5

+255

Under 0.5

-500

Éverton Ribeiro (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-556

Paulo Henrique (Vasco)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-667

José Rodríguez (Vasco)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-667

Luciano Junior Batista "Juba" (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-714

Nicolás Acevedo (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-769

Vasco da Gama vs Bahia Lineups & Team News

Don’t bet on Vasco vs Bahia without reviewing the latest team news. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for Série A along with the latest injury news.

Vasco da Gama Team Page Bahia Team Page