Vasco da Gama vs Bahia Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 24 Sep 2025
Série A Betting Preview: Vasco da Gama vs Bahia
Vasco da Gama host Bahia in this Brazilian Série A game, with kick-off set for 18:30 on Wednesday 24 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.
The best plan could involve backing Bahia with a +0.25 Asian Handicap at -118 when clashing with Vasco da Gama. Our stake is split between 0 and +0.5, allowing us to land a return in the event of a draw.
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Vasco da Gama played Flamengo on the road in their last game. It was a 1-1 draw. Fernando Diniz's team ended up with just 39% possession and had four shots on target, with Rayan getting the goal.
Bahia drew away from home in their previous game. A 1-1 scoreline was played out against Ceará. The Salvador outfit boasted 62% possession and recorded six shots on goal, while Willian Jose found the net.
Head-to-Head Statistics
It was Vasco who triumphed when they last faced Bahia, a 3-2 home victory was recorded. Bahia have landed victory in five of the past 10 H2H games, with Vasco securing two wins along with three draws.
| Série A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bahia |
35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 47:43 | 56 |
| 13 | Vasco da Gama |
35 | 12 | 6 | 17 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 50:52 | 42 |
2 wins, 3 losses and 5 draws, averaging 1.9 goals from 5.2 shots on goal and 11.2 attempts. Vasco have had 58.3% possession and 5.3 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.6 goals from 4.9 shots on goal and 10.1 attempts, while being awarded 5.1 corners.
The three top scorers are Rayan, Philippe Coutinho and Pablo Vegetti, with these players all scoring 4 goals. Nuno Moreira and David are the top assists makers with 3.
Bahia have won 4, lost 2 and drawn 4, with an average of 1.6 goals from 5.0 shots on goal and 10.7 attempts. There’s been an average of 57.8% possession, 4.1 corners awarded and 4.3 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.4 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 8.2 attempts.
Jean Lucas and Luciano Juba have top scored with 3 goals, while Willian Jose is next on 2. Willian Jose has been the chief assist maker in the previous 10 games with 3.
Confirmed Lineups
Vasco da Gama confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Leo Jardim (GK), Paulo Henrique, Carlos Cuesta, Lucas Freitas, Jose Rodriguez, Cauan Barros, Hugo Moura, Andres Gomez, Philippe Coutinho, Nuno Moreira, Pablo Vegetti.
Bahia confirmed lineup (4-1-4-1): Ronaldo (GK), Gilberto Junior, Gabriel Xavier, Santiago Ramos, Luciano Juba, Rezende, Michel Araujo, Everton Ribeiro, Jean Lucas, Mateo Sanabria, Willian Jose.
Vasco da Gama vs Bahia Prediction & Betting Tips
Get the edge with our best Vasco da Gama vs Bahia tips: a key match prediction, expert corners pick, correct score recommendation, top player prop bets and a ready-made bet builder.
Match Prediction
Bahia +0.25 on the Asian Handicap looks like a sensible play at a price of -118. They should be able to swerve a loss in this Série A game and we’re confident that the away team can land a victory.
Our football predictions are always well-researched and it starts with a combination of team news and form guide. Once we have a clear idea of what might happen, we match up the latest Série A data.
Key Vasco da Gama vs Bahia league stats:
The best betting apps make it a 54.1% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, we think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.
Lots of bettors wanting to back Bahia to cover the line will look to combine this pick in a Bet Builder. This provides you with the opportunity to secure a bigger price by featuring a number of selections.
Thinking about claiming free bets? Our bonus guide lists the best sign-up offers from the biggest names in betting.
Correct Score Prediction
We’ve picked out a correct score of 1-0 being landed by Bahia. You can secure odds of +600 and this provides an alternative way to place a wager.
Player Prop Picks
Philippe Coutinho (Vasco) can be backed to register one or more shots on goal at -122. We’ll take a chance with this Shots on Target pick as the betting odds look pretty attractive.
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Nicolás Acevedo (Bahia) is available to be on the scoresheet at +1050. He looks like a value pick and we think that the odds offer plenty of appeal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.
T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Corners Prediction
Bahia have had over 4.5 corners in two straight matches, while Vasco da Gama have had an average of 6.50 corners against them in their previous 10 home games. The number of Bahia corners might be larger than the line implies and that means a bet at odds of -125.
Vasco
Bahia
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Bet Builder Tips
If you want to follow our bet builder, try Bahia with an Asian Handicap of +0.25, less than three goals to be registered combined with Philippe Coutinho (Vasco) to finish with a minimum of one shot on target.
We recommend a bet builder as it’s an exciting way of wagering on a football match. It means that you can create a personalised bet at bigger odds depending on how many predictions you make.
Vasco da Gama vs Bahia Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
With an approximate 45% chance of succeeding, the bookies are being cautious with their +123 betting odds for Vasco da Gama triumphing in this Série A encounter. Bahia are operating at larger odds than the opposition and the underdogs can be wagered at +215.
There’s the option to get some insurance on your bet by going down the Draw No Bet route. This allows you to back Vasco at -164 with a safety net or alternatively opt for Bahia at +120.
For those expecting a low-scoring contest, Under 2.5 is the market leader on the Total Goals market. If you’re betting on Both Teams to Score, you can back Yes at -120 and No at -118.
There are hundreds of markets which means lots of options to find a football bet for the latest Série A match. The best betting sites leave no stone unturned to provide a first-class service.
Those interested in Pablo Vegetti to find the net anytime can get +135, with the favourite on offer to score the first goal at odds of +340.
- Série A: 29/10 2024 Vasco da Gama 3 Bahia 2
- Série A: 27/06 2024 Bahia 2 Vasco da Gama 1
- Série A: 03/09 2023 Bahia 1 Vasco da Gama 1
- Série A: 02/05 2023 Vasco da Gama 0 Bahia 1
- Série B: 28/08 2022 Bahia 2 Vasco da Gama 1
- Série B: 15/05 2022 Vasco da Gama 1 Bahia 0
- Série A: 31/01 2021 Vasco da Gama 0 Bahia 0
- Série A: 08/10 2020 Bahia 3 Vasco da Gama 0
- Série A: 05/12 2019 Bahia 1 Vasco da Gama 1
- Série A: 07/09 2019 Vasco da Gama 0 Bahia 2
Vasco da Gama League Stats
Bahia League Stats
- 2 wins, 3 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.90 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.30 corners awarded and 5.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.00 corners awarded and 6.50 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.50 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.10 corners awarded and 4.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 5.40 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 58.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 56.30% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 57.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 57.40% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Vasco da Gama this season are Pablo Vegetti (12), Rayan (6), Nuno Moreira (4)
- Top Assistors for Vasco da Gama this season are Lucas Piton (5), Nuno Moreira (4), David (3)
Vasco da Gama vs Bahia Lineups & Team News
Don’t bet on Vasco vs Bahia without reviewing the latest team news. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for Série A along with the latest injury news.
Vasco da Gama Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Bahia Confirmed Lineup 4-1-4-1
Vasco da Gama Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Bahia Confirmed Lineup 4-1-4-1
Vasco da Gama Substitutes
- 7David
- 9Matheus Franca
- 12Victor Luis
- 13Daniel Fuzato
- 14Guilherme Estrella
- 15Benjamin Garre
- 18Paulinho
- 29Lucas Oliveira
- 70Euder Da Silva
- 85Mateus Cocao
- 90Diego Minete
Bahia Substitutes
- 1Danilo Fernandes
- 8Cauly Oliveira Souza
- 11Rodrigo Nestor
- 13Santiago Arias
- 25Iago
- 26Nicolas Acevedo
- 37Kayky
- 44Luiz Gustavo Santos
- 57Kaue Furquim
- 66Jose Guilherme
- 77Tiago
- 83Fredi Gomes
Previous Vasco da Gama Lineups
Previous Bahia Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Série A Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 74:24 | 75 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 36 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 60:32 | 70 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 35 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 52:25 | 68 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 35 | 17 | 12 | 6 | 58:34 | 63 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 36 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 46:38 | 58 |
| 6 | Botafogo | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 50:32 | 58 |
| 7 | Bahia | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 47:43 | 56 |
| 8 | São Paulo | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 40:46 | 48 |
| 9 | Grêmio | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:48 | 46 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 36 | 13 | 6 | 17 | 40:54 | 45 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 38:42 | 45 |
| 12 | Atlético MG | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38:40 | 45 |
| 13 | Vasco da Gama | 35 | 12 | 6 | 17 | 50:52 | 42 |
| 14 | Ceará | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 32:35 | 42 |
| 15 | Internacional | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 40:48 | 41 |
| 16 | Vitória | 35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 32:48 | 39 |
| 17 | Santos | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 36:50 | 38 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 38:53 | 37 |
| 19 | Juventude | 35 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 33:64 | 33 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 28:66 | 17 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 18 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 45:8 | 44 |
| 2 | Fluminense | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 29:11 | 43 |
| 3 | Mirassol | 18 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 39:14 | 42 |
| 4 | Cruzeiro | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 33:12 | 42 |
| 5 | Bahia | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 31:14 | 42 |
| 6 | Palmeiras | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 35:11 | 41 |
| 7 | Botafogo | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 35:22 | 35 |
| 8 | Atlético MG | 17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 25:15 | 32 |
| 9 | Grêmio | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 23:15 | 32 |
| 10 | São Paulo | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 24:17 | 31 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 24:15 | 28 |
| 12 | Bragantino | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 23:24 | 28 |
| 13 | Internacional | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 24:19 | 27 |
| 14 | Vitória | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 27 |
| 15 | Ceará | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18:14 | 25 |
| 16 | Vasco da Gama | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 26:23 | 25 |
| 17 | Santos | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 18:19 | 24 |
| 18 | Juventude | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20:22 | 22 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20:22 | 21 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 17:35 | 10 |
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