Vasco da Gama vs Independiente del Valle Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 22 Jul 2025

Copa Sudamericana Betting Preview: Vasco da Gama vs Independiente del Valle

Vasco da Gama host Independiente del Valle in the second leg of this Copa Sudamericana knockout round play-off tie, with kick-off set for 20:30 on Tuesday 22 July. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats and team news.

Vasco Primed to Win

Vasco da Gama should be able to deliver a return when they go up against IDV, with odds of -133 looking really appealing. We think that the Full-Time Result market is the way to play this wager.

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IDV Won First Leg 4-0

Vasco da Gama played Grêmio at home in their last game. It was a 1-1 Série A draw. The Rio de Janeiro club recorded seven shots on target and boasted 64% possession, with Lucas Freitas registering the goal.

Independiente del Valle won their previous game, beating Aucas at home. It was a 2-1 LigaPro triumph.

Head-to-Head Statistics

IDV won 4-0 at home against Vasco in the first leg of this Copa Sudamericana knockout round play-off tie. Their dominance was helped by Vasco's Lucas Piton being sent off in the 12th minute. IDV controlled 77% of possession and led the shots on target 13-3, with goals from Patrik Mercado (2), Mateo Carabajal, and Claudio Spinelli.

Confirmed Lineups

Vasco da Gama confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Leo Jardim (GK), Paulo Henrique, Joao Victor, Hugo Moura, Victor Luis, Tche Tche, Jair, Rayan, Nuno Moreira, David, Pablo Vegetti.

Independiente del Valle confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Guido Villar (GK), Matias Fernandez, Mateo Carabajal, Richard Schunke, Gustavo Cortez, Darwin Guagua, Jordy Alcivar, Patrik Mercado, Renato Ibarra, Claudio Spinelli, Ronald Briones.

Vasco da Gama vs Independiente del Valle Prediction & Betting Tips

We dive into the best Vasco da Gama vs Independiente del Valle betting angles, including an expert match prediction, correct score forecast, top player prop bets and a value-focused bet builder.

Match Prediction

Vasco da Gama look like the real deal to claim a victory, especially as odds of -133 are available. You can back this value selection with confidence when they line up in this Copa Sudamericana clash.

The latest Copa Sudamericana team news and current form are always useful information when it comes to providing football betting tips. It’s also important to pay attention to the available stats so that we make the best picks.

Key Vasco da Gama vs Independiente del Valle Copa Sudamericana & league stats:

• Vasco have won 10 of their last 20 games at home.

Vasco to Win Probability

According to the odds, there’s a 57.1% likelihood of our pick winning. After careful examination, our experts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 60-65%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

If you’re looking to squeeze more juice from the odds, consider Vasco on the Asian Handicap. Those expecting our winner to exceed expectations can bet them to cover the line.

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Our Match Prediction

Vasco To Win @ -133 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Vasco 2 - 0 IDV

There are betting odds of +600 that Vasco land a 2-0 victory. The correct score option is popular due to the potential return that can be achieved.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Pablo Vegetti to Score +106

Pablo Vegetti (Vasco) has managed six goals in his past nine home matches. There are odds of +106 available for this Anytime Goalscorer wager and we think this is a value proposition for the player to find the net.

Latest Pablo Vegetti Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

-109

First

+290

Shots

Over 6.5

+108

Under 6.5

-

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Vasco da Gama vs Independiente del Valle Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Vasco Match Odds Suggest Victory

For this Copa Sudamericana clash, Vasco da Gama are the -179 favourites to triumph according to the latest Full-Time Result betting odds. This reflects that they have a 64% chance of winning. Independiente del Valle are seen as the most unlikely winner at +480.

Vasco winning by one goal means that the Asian Handicap -1 selection would get a full refund. However, you would get paid out at +102 if they manage to beat IDV by two or more.

The lowest odds can be found for Over 2.5 Goals, which means at least three goals being netted. If you’re anticipating that both teams will score, the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -128.

For those wagering on Copa Sudamericana matches, it’s all about heading to the best football betting sites where hundreds of markets await you. Pre-match and In-Play options are plentiful.

Full-Time Result

1

-179

X

+275

2

+480

Half-Time Result

1

+110

X

+135

2

+440

Double Chance

1X

-833

12

-417

X2

+123

Draw No Bet

1

-500

2

+295

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1

+102

2 Hcp +1

-130

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-103

Over 2.5

-130

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-128

No

-109

Pablo Vegetti is the First Goalscorer Favourite

Pablo Vegetti is the market leader at +290 to be the First Goalscorer. Should you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.

Pablo Vegetti (Vasco)

First

-109

Anytime

+290

Philippe Coutinho (Vasco)

First

+185

Anytime

+440

Rayan Vitor (Vasco)

First

+240

Anytime

+575

Michael Hoyos (IDV)

First

+310

Anytime

+750

Nuno Moreira (Vasco)

First

+340

Anytime

+800

Danilo "Tchê Tchê" Neves (Vasco)

First

+420

Anytime

+1000

Paulo Lucas Santos de Paula (Vasco)

First

+540

Anytime

+1200

Junior Sornoza (IDV)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Paulo Henrique (Vasco)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Renato Ibarra (IDV)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Patrik Mercado (IDV)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Jean Pierre Arroyo (IDV)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Cristian Zabala (IDV)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Pablo Vegetti (Vasco)

Over 6.5

+108

Under 6.5

-

Philippe Coutinho (Vasco)

Over 4.5

+110

Under 4.5

-

Rayan Vitor (Vasco)

Over 4.5

-135

Under 4.5

-

Nuno Moreira (Vasco)

Over 3.5

+135

Under 3.5

-

Michael Hoyos (IDV)

Over 2.5

+143

Under 2.5

-

Danilo "Tchê Tchê" Neves (Vasco)

Over 1.5

-127

Under 1.5

-

Paulo Lucas Santos de Paula (Vasco)

Over 1.5

+118

Under 1.5

-

Junior Sornoza (IDV)

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

-

Paulo Henrique (Vasco)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Renato Ibarra (IDV)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-

Patrik Mercado (IDV)

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

-

Jean Pierre Arroyo (IDV)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Cristian Zabala (IDV)

Over 0.5

-103

Under 0.5

-

Latest Copa Sudamericana and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Vasco da Gama Stats

Independiente del Valle Stats

Full-Time Result

• 2 wins, 6 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 6 wins and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.80 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.30 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 9 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 away matches

Vasco da Gama vs Independiente del Valle Lineups & Team News

Be prepared — check the Vasco vs IDV team news before wagering. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed Copa Sudamericana lineups plus current injury reports.