Vélez Sarsfield vs Atlético Tucumán Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 29 Sep 2025

Primera División Betting Preview: Vélez Sarsfield vs Atlético Tucumán

Vélez Sarsfield host Atlético Tucumán in this Argentine Primera División meeting, with kick-off set for 19:00 on Monday 29 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Vélez Sarsfield are priced at -106 to secure a Full-Time Result victory and we think these odds are too big. We’re expecting the hosts to land a win against Tucumán and a nice potential return is on the cards.

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Vélez Sarsfield have landed back-to-back Primera División home victories. Their last league game was a 2-1 away win against San Martín de San Juan. El Fortín managed five shots on target and recorded 45% possession, while Manuel Lanzini and Dilan Godoy scored one goal each.

On Tuesday night, Vélez were beaten 1-0 away to Racing Club in the Copa Libertadores.

Atlético Tucumán have back-to-back Primera División defeats on the road. Their previous league game was at home where they claimed a 2-0 victory against River Plate. Lucas Pusineri's team were restricted to just 33% possession and managed eight shots on goal, with Clever Ferreira and Leandro Diaz finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Vélez are unbeaten in the past three games against Tucumán. In their last encounter, Vélez won 2-1 away from home. The past 7 H2H games have featured three triumphs for Vélez, one for Tucumán along with three draws.

Primera División		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
22	Atl. Tucumán	16	5	1	10	17	21	-4	17:21	16
28	Vélez Sarsfield	16	4	2	10	7	22	-15	7:22	14

View Full Table

Vélez have 5 wins, 2 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 7.0 attempts and 3.5 shots on goal. Guillermo Barros Schelotto's team have averaged 50.5% possession and 5.0 corners per game, conceding 0.8 goals and 4.7 corners from 9.6 attempts and 4.0 shots on goal.

Maher Carrizo is the top scorer with 3 goals, while Dilan Godoy, Braian Romero and Tomas Galvan each have 2. Braian Romero is the top assists maker on 2.

Tucumán have 4 victories, 3 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 4.4 shots on goal, 10.4 attempts and 1.1 goals. El Decano average 44.8% possession, 5.3 corners awarded and 4.7 corners against, while 0.8 goals have been conceded from 8.4 attempts and 3.3 shots on goal.

Leandro Diaz is the leading scorer with 3 goals, followed by Franco Nicola on 2, with Clever Ferreira and two others bagging 1. Nicolas Lamendola has managed 2 assists in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Vélez Sarsfield confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Tomas Marchiori (GK), Agustin Lagos, Emanuel Mammana, Lisandro Magallan, Elias Gomez, Agustin Bouzat, Claudio Baeza, Matias Pellegrini, Tomas Galvan, Francisco Pizzini, Braian Romero.

Atlético Tucumán confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Matias Mansilla (GK), Damian Alberto Martinez, Clever Ferreira, Marcelo Ortiz, Miguel Brizuela, Adrian Sanchez, Kevin Ortiz, Kevin Lopez, Nicolas Lamendola, Mateo Bajamich, Leandro Diaz.

Vélez Sarsfield vs Atlético Tucumán Prediction & Betting Tips

Join us as we dissect the top Vélez Sarsfield vs Atlético Tucumán betting picks — from the main match prediction and scoreline forecast to a sharp corners bet, standout player props and a value-focused bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’ll take the plunge and back Vélez Sarsfield to secure victory when they line up in this Primera División game. There’s plenty of confidence behind this wager and the odds of -106 look attractive.

The football betting tips are created after keeping tabs on the latest Primera División team news along with the form guide. We also delve into the latest stats which can provide a barometer for how the action might play out.

Key Vélez Sarsfield vs Atlético Tucumán league stats:

• Vélez have won 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• Vélez have won 11 of their last 20 games at home.
• Vélez have won 2 consecutive games at home.
• Tucumán have lost 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• Tucumán have lost 8 of their last 10 games on the road.
• Tucumán have lost their last 2 games on the road.

The best football betting sites make it a 51.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

If you’re looking for bigger odds, check out Vélez on the Asian Handicap. You can potentially back them at -1 or even -1.5 if you’re expecting a comfortable win.

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Our Match Prediction

Vélez To Win @ -106 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Vélez 1 - 0 Tucumán

A 1-0 win in favor of Vélez is available at odds of +400. Take a chance on the correct score and get rewarded for predicting the right scoreline.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Leandro Diaz Over 0.5 Shots On Target -141

Leandro Diaz (Tucumán) is available at -141 to finish with one or more shots on goal. The odds look attractive based on the evidence and we’ll take a chance on him on the Shots on Target market.

Latest Leandro Diaz Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+340

First

+700

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

+105

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Braian Romero to Score +180

Braian Romero (Vélez) has scored at least one goal in his past two Primera División home games. We’ll bear these numbers in mind and take odds of +180 that he is able to feature on the scoresheet when we wager on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Braian Romero Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+175

First

+400

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

+145

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Corners Prediction

Tucumán Over 3.5 Corners -156

It’s been an average of 6.40 Tucumán corners in the past 5 games, while the previous four Vélez matches have involved them conceding over 3.5 corners. There’s an opportunity to go over the Tucumán Team Corners line and we’re expecting this to happen, with odds of -156 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Vélez

Total

9.70 5.00 4.70

Home

9.20 6.10 3.10

Away

8.80 2.40 6.40

Tucumán

Total

10.00 5.30 4.70

Home

9.20 5.10 4.10

Away

8.90 4.10 4.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-112

Under 9.5

-127

Vélez Corners

Over 5.5

+102

Under 5.5

-143

Tucumán Corners

Over 3.5

-154

Under 3.5

+107

Most Corners

1

-172

X

+600

2

+180

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Vélez Sarsfield vs Atlético Tucumán Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The Full-Time Result odds of -111 suggest that Vélez Sarsfield are likely victors and there’s a 53% probability that the favourites win this Primera División clash. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Atlético Tucumán are trading at +360.

Asian Handicap betting is popular and you can wager Vélez -0.5 at -112 should you want to go for the favourites, with Tucumán +0.5 available at -110 and you will also win with the latter if it’s a draw.

The Total Goals market always provides an interesting angle and Under 2.5 Goals is the shortest-priced option. For those wanting to back Both Teams to Score No, this is currently priced at -189.

There are hundreds of markets which means lots of options to find a football wager for the latest Primera División game. The leading betting apps leave no stone unturned to provide a first-class service.

Full-Time Result

1

-111

X

+215

2

+360

Half-Time Result

1

+160

X

-106

2

+400

Double Chance

1X

-526

12

-286

X2

-114

Draw No Bet

1

-303

2

+205

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-112

2 Hcp +0.5

-110

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-227

Over 2.5

+170

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+130

No

-189

Braian Romero is available at +175 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer, with the favourite priced at odds of +400 to find the net first.

Braian Romero (Vélez)

First

+175

Anytime

+400

Maher Carrizo (Vélez)

First

+250

Anytime

+575

Florian Monzón (Vélez)

First

+280

Anytime

+650

Leandro Diaz (Tucumán)

First

+340

Anytime

+700

Diego Valdés (Vélez)

First

+400

Anytime

+900

Franco Nicola (Tucumán)

First

+480

Anytime

+1000

Imanol Machuca (Vélez)

First

+500

Anytime

+1150

Lautaro Godoy (Tucumán)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Francisco Pizzini (Vélez)

First

+600

Anytime

+1200

Tomás Galván (Vélez)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Mateo Bajamich (Tucumán)

First

+700

Anytime

+1400

Manuel Lanzini (Vélez)

First

+750

Anytime

+1600

Nicolás Laméndola (Tucumán)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Matias Pellegrini (Vélez)

First

+900

Anytime

+1900

Rodrigo Aliendro (Vélez)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Jano Gordon (Vélez)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Agustín Bouzat (Vélez)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Braian Romero (Vélez)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

+145

Leandro Diaz (Tucumán)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

+105

Maher Carrizo (Vélez)

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-115

Florian Monzón (Vélez)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-133

Diego Valdés (Vélez)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-185

Franco Nicola (Tucumán)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-213

Mateo Bajamich (Tucumán)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-263

Imanol Machuca (Vélez)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-263

Lautaro Godoy (Tucumán)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-303

Francisco Pizzini (Vélez)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-313

Tomás Galván (Vélez)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-357

Nicolás Laméndola (Tucumán)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-400

Matias Pellegrini (Vélez)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-435

Manuel Lanzini (Vélez)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-500

Vélez Sarsfield vs Atlético Tucumán Lineups & Team News

Stay informed and review the Vélez vs Tucumán team news before placing your bets. Receive the predicted and confirmed Primera División lineups from us, plus the most recent injury updates.

Vélez Sarsfield Team Page Atlético Tucumán Team Page

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