Vélez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 28 Apr 2025

Vélez Set to Deliver Victory

There are several reasons to back Vélez Sarsfield on the Full-Time Result betting market, especially at value odds of -105. We think that the favourites will prove too strong for Gimnasia.

Teams’ Last Battle Saw 3-1 Gimnasia Victory

Vélez Sarsfield have been dealt two consecutive home defeats in the Primera División. They beat Talleres 1-0 in their last league game and this was on the road. El Fortín had just 35% possession and recorded two shots on target, with Maher Carrizo netting the winner early in the second half.

On Wednesday night, Vélez lost 2-1 when visiting Bolivian Primera División side San Antonio Bulo Bulo in the Copa Libertadores.

Gimnasia have lost three straight away games. Their previous appearance was a 3-0 home defeat to River Plate. Diego Flores' side had 44% possession and three shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 3-1 home victory for Gimnasia when they last faced Vélez. In the previous 5 H2H games, there have been three draws and one win for both Vélez and Gimnasia.

Primera División		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
23	Gimnasia	16	4	4	8	9	18	-9	9:18	16
28	Vélez Sarsfield	16	4	2	10	7	22	-15	7:22	14

View Full Table

3 wins, 6 losses and 1 draw, averaging 0.5 goals from 2.4 shots on goal and 5.5 attempts. Vélez have had 53.7% possession and 4.2 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.2 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 8.4 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 4.6 corners.

Braian Romero has 3 goals, with Maher Carrizo scoring 2. Agustin Bouzat and Isaias Andrada have recorded the most assists with 1 apiece.

Gimnasia have 2 victories, 4 defeats and 4 draws, with an average of 0.5 goals from 7.9 attempts and 2.6 shots on goal. El Lobo average 46.1% possession, 4.0 corners in their favour and 5.2 corners against, while conceding 1.0 goals from 8.6 attempts and 4.1 shots on goal.

Rodrigo Castillo is top of the team’s scoring charts with 2, while Lucas Nahuel Castro and Pablo De Blasis both have 1. Lucas Nahuel Castro has managed to clock up 1 assists in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Vélez Sarsfield confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Tomas Marchiori (GK), Agustin Lagos, Damian Fernandez, Valentin Gomez, Elias Gomez, Christian Ordonez, Claudio Baeza, Agustin Bouzat, Maher Carrizo, Braian Romero, Alvaro Montoro.

Gimnasia confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Nelson Insfran (GK), Fabricio Corbalan, Leonardo Morales, Gaston Suso, Pedro Silva Torrejon, Pablo De Blasis, Facundo Di Biasi, Juan Pintado, Lucas Nahuel Castro, Bautista Merlini, Rodrigo Castillo.

Vélez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia Prediction & Betting Tips

We’re confident in the chances of Vélez Sarsfield when they line up in this Primera División clash, with our selection making lots of appeal. Take the odds of -105 that the favourites claim a victory.

The formbook is always a good place to start ahead of making football predictions. Team news is also an important port of call, while the stats we present always tell an interesting story.

Key Vélez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia league stats:

• Vélez have won 11 of their last 20 games at home.
• Gimnasia have lost 8 of their last 10 games on the road.
• Gimnasia have lost 3 of their last 5 games.
• Gimnasia have lost their last 3 games on the road.

Vélez to Win Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 51.3% chance of winning. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

If you’re looking to squeeze more juice from the odds, consider Vélez on the Asian Handicap. Those expecting our winner to exceed expectations can bet them to cover the line.

Our Match Prediction

Vélez To Win @ -105 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Vélez 1 - 0 Gimnasia

We’re betting on Vélez to secure a 1-0 winning scoreline. Odds of +380 can be taken and it’s great fun to predict a correct score and hopefully land a winner.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Maher Carrizo to Score +245

Maher Carrizo (Vélez) has racked up two goals in his past five Primera Division matches. We’ll throw a dart at +245 for this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look pretty attractive.

Latest Maher Carrizo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+265

First

+480

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Corners Prediction

Vélez Over 5.5 Corners -110

We’ve seen an average of 6.50 corners for Vélez in their past ten home games, while Gimnasia have let the opposition have a corner average of 7.80 in the last five away matches. We’re expecting history to be repeated and that would mean the Vélez Team Corners line is covered at -110.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Vélez

Total

8.80 4.20 4.60

Home

9.00 6.50 2.50

Away

8.30 3.00 5.30

Gimnasia

Total

9.20 4.00 5.20

Home

8.70 5.10 3.60

Away

11.00 3.40 7.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

+102

Under 9.5

-147

Vélez Corners

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-138

Gimnasia Corners

Over 3.5

-150

Under 3.5

+110

Most Corners

1

-179

X

+575

2

+165

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Vélez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Vélez Win on the Cards According to the Bookies

The bookies have Vélez Sarsfield at -104 in the Full-Time Result market, implying the market leaders are 51% likely to win this Primera Division match according to the latest betting odds. Gimnasia are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +310.

The odds suggest that Under 2.5 Goals is the likelier outcome in this match.

You can back Vélez Sarsfield at -263 on the Draw No Bet market, with money back if the game is a draw. Gimnasia are +170 with the football betting sites to win this Primera División game.

Full-Time Result

1

-104

X

+220

2

+310

Half-Time Result

1

+180

X

-116

2

+360

Double Chance

1X

-435

12

-294

X2

-123

Draw No Bet

1

-263

2

+170

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-106

2 Hcp +0.5

-123

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-263

Over 2.5

+190

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+140

No

-204

Braian Romero Top of First Goalscorer List

There’s the chance to back Braian Romero at +340 to be the First Goalscorer, with the favourite on this market available at similar odds to find the net last.

Braian Romero (Vélez)

First

+190

Anytime

+340

Maher Carrizo (Vélez)

First

+265

Anytime

+480

Florian Monzón (Vélez)

First

+280

Anytime

+510

Rodrigo Castillo (Gimnasia)

First

+310

Anytime

+600

Álvaro Montoro (Vélez)

First

+410

Anytime

+700

Ivo Mammini (Gimnasia)

First

+410

Anytime

+750

Jan Hurtado (Gimnasia)

First

+440

Anytime

+750

Imanol Machuca (Vélez)

First

+460

Anytime

+800

Thiago Fernandez (Vélez)

First

+475

Anytime

+850

Santino Primante (Gimnasia)

First

+525

Anytime

+900

Maximiliano Porcel (Vélez)

First

+575

Anytime

+1050

Norberto Briasco (Gimnasia)

First

+600

Anytime

+1050

Tomás Galván (Vélez)

First

+600

Anytime

+1050

Franco Torres (Gimnasia)

First

+600

Anytime

+1150

Bautista Merlini (Gimnasia)

First

+650

Anytime

+1150

Francisco Pizzini (Vélez)

First

+700

Anytime

+1300

Pablo De Blasis (Gimnasia)

First

+750

Anytime

+1300

Lucas Castro (Gimnasia)

First

+750

Anytime

+1300

Matias Pellegrini (Vélez)

First

+750

Anytime

+1400

Agustín Bouzat (Vélez)

First

+800

Anytime

+1600

Jeremías Merlo (Gimnasia)

First

+800

Anytime

+1600

Martin Fernandez (Gimnasia)

First

+850

Anytime

+1400

Jano Gordon (Vélez)

First

+900

Anytime

+1600

Christian Ordóñez (Vélez)

First

+950

Anytime

+1800

Nicolás Garayalde (Gimnasia)

First

+1000

Anytime

+1900

Damián Fernández (Vélez)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Leandro Mamut (Gimnasia)

First

+1050

Anytime

+1900

Mateo Seoane (Vélez)

First

+1200

Anytime

+2200

Agustín Lagos (Vélez)

First

+1200

Anytime

+2200

Vélez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia Lineups & Team News

Our Vélez vs Gimnasia team news will highlight the injuries for both squads, with the lineups giving you a helping hand with your bets.

If you’re looking for the latest player information, check out the Primera División squads.

Vélez Sarsfield Team Page Gimnasia La Plata Team Page