Vélez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 28 Apr 2025
There are several reasons to back Vélez Sarsfield on the Full-Time Result betting market, especially at value odds of -105. We think that the favourites will prove too strong for Gimnasia.
Vélez Sarsfield have been dealt two consecutive home defeats in the Primera División. They beat Talleres 1-0 in their last league game and this was on the road. El Fortín had just 35% possession and recorded two shots on target, with Maher Carrizo netting the winner early in the second half.
On Wednesday night, Vélez lost 2-1 when visiting Bolivian Primera División side San Antonio Bulo Bulo in the Copa Libertadores.
Gimnasia have lost three straight away games. Their previous appearance was a 3-0 home defeat to River Plate. Diego Flores' side had 44% possession and three shots on goal.
Head-to-Head Statistics
It was a 3-1 home victory for Gimnasia when they last faced Vélez. In the previous 5 H2H games, there have been three draws and one win for both Vélez and Gimnasia.
| Primera División | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |  Vélez Sarsfield |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6:3 | 10 |
| 14 |  Gimnasia |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 5:6 | 6 |
3 wins, 6 losses and 1 draw, averaging 0.5 goals from 2.4 shots on goal and 5.5 attempts. Vélez have had 53.7% possession and 4.2 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.2 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 8.4 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 4.6 corners.
Braian Romero has 3 goals, with Maher Carrizo scoring 2. Agustin Bouzat and Isaias Andrada have recorded the most assists with 1 apiece.
Gimnasia have 2 victories, 4 defeats and 4 draws, with an average of 0.5 goals from 7.9 attempts and 2.6 shots on goal. El Lobo average 46.1% possession, 4.0 corners in their favour and 5.2 corners against, while conceding 1.0 goals from 8.6 attempts and 4.1 shots on goal.
Rodrigo Castillo is top of the team’s scoring charts with 2, while Lucas Nahuel Castro and Pablo De Blasis both have 1. Lucas Nahuel Castro has managed to clock up 1 assists in the last 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Vélez Sarsfield confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Tomas Marchiori (GK), Agustin Lagos, Damian Fernandez, Valentin Gomez, Elias Gomez, Christian Ordonez, Claudio Baeza, Agustin Bouzat, Maher Carrizo, Braian Romero, Alvaro Montoro.
Gimnasia confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Nelson Insfran (GK), Fabricio Corbalan, Leonardo Morales, Gaston Suso, Pedro Silva Torrejon, Pablo De Blasis, Facundo Di Biasi, Juan Pintado, Lucas Nahuel Castro, Bautista Merlini, Rodrigo Castillo.
Vélez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia Prediction & Betting Tips
We’re confident in the chances of Vélez Sarsfield when they line up in this Primera División clash, with our selection making lots of appeal. Take the odds of -105 that the favourites claim a victory.
The formbook is always a good place to start ahead of making football predictions. Team news is also an important port of call, while the stats we present always tell an interesting story.
Key Vélez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia league stats:
According to the latest odds, our pick has a 51.3% chance of winning. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.
If you’re looking to squeeze more juice from the odds, consider Vélez on the Asian Handicap. Those expecting our winner to exceed expectations can bet them to cover the line.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
0
Gimnasia
We’re betting on Vélez to secure a 1-0 winning scoreline. Odds of +380 can be taken and it’s great fun to predict a correct score and hopefully land a winner.
Player Prop Picks
Maher Carrizo (Vélez) has racked up two goals in his past five Primera Division matches. We’ll throw a dart at +245 for this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look pretty attractive.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
We’ve seen an average of 6.50 corners for Vélez in their past ten home games, while Gimnasia have let the opposition have a corner average of 7.80 in the last five away matches. We’re expecting history to be repeated and that would mean the Vélez Team Corners line is covered at -110.
Vélez
Gimnasia
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Vélez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The bookies have Vélez Sarsfield at -104 in the Full-Time Result market, implying the market leaders are 51% likely to win this Primera Division match according to the latest betting odds. Gimnasia are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +310.
The odds suggest that Under 2.5 Goals is the likelier outcome in this match.
You can back Vélez Sarsfield at -263 on the Draw No Bet market, with money back if the game is a draw. Gimnasia are +170 with the football betting sites to win this Primera División game.
There’s the chance to back Braian Romero at +340 to be the First Goalscorer, with the favourite on this market available at similar odds to find the net last.
- Copa Libertadores Grp. H: 24/04 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 2 Vélez Sarsfield1
- Liga Profesional Apertura: 19/04 Talleres 0 Vélez Sarsfield1
- Liga Profesional Apertura: 15/04 Vélez Sarsfield 0 Sarmiento1
- Copa Libertadores Grp. H: 10/04 Olimpia 0 Vélez Sarsfield4
- Liga Profesional Apertura: 05/04 Rosario Central 2 Vélez Sarsfield1
Vélez Sarsfield League Stats
Gimnasia League Stats
- 3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 1 win, 8 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.50 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.40 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.10 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 0 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 0 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.20 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 1 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.20 corners awarded and 4.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.50 corners awarded and 2.50 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.00 corners awarded and 5.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.40 corners awarded and 7.60 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.00 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 9 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 53.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 63.90% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 10 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 46.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 44.80% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Vélez Sarsfield this season are Braian Romero (3), Maher Carrizo (2)
- Top Assistors for Vélez Sarsfield this season are Agustin Bouzat (1), Isaias Andrada (1)
Vélez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia Lineups & Team News
Our Vélez vs Gimnasia team news will highlight the injuries for both squads, with the lineups giving you a helping hand with your bets.
If you’re looking for the latest player information, check out the Primera División squads.
Vélez Sarsfield Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Gimnasia Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Vélez Sarsfield Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Gimnasia Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Vélez Sarsfield Substitutes
- 6Aaron Quiros
- 7Michael Santos
- 8Tomas Galvan
- 11Matias Pellegrini
- 12Randall Rodriguez
- 19Leonel Roldan
- 20Francisco Pizzini
- 21Jano Gordon
- 33Kevin Vazquez
- 37Tomas Cavanagh
- 39Imanol Machuca
- 40Thiago Silvero
Gimnasia Substitutes
- 1Luis Ingolotti
- 5Martin Fernandez
- 11Norberto Briasco
- 20Renzo Giampaoli
- 22Matias Melluso
- 25Alan Sosa
- 29Ivo Mammini
- 32Jorge de Asis
- 33Juan Villalba
- 34Leandro Mamut
- 36Nicolas Garayalde
- 38Manuel Panaro
Previous Vélez Sarsfield Lineups
Previous Gimnasia Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Vélez Sarsfield Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Guillermo Barros Schelotto
Gimnasia Player Stats & Squad
Primera División Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Tigre | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Vélez Sarsfield | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 10 |
| 4 | Lanús | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:6 | 8 |
| 5 | Belgrano | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 8 |
| 6 | Defensa Justicia | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 8 |
| 7 | Estudiantes | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 8 |
| 8 | Platense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 9 | River Plate | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 7 |
| 10 | Boca Juniors | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 11 | Independiente | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 6 |
| 13 | Sarmiento | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 6 |
| 14 | Gimnasia | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 15 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 6 |
| 16 | Barracas Central | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 17 | Huracán | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 5 |
| 18 | Rosario Central | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 5 |
| 19 | Argentinos Jrs | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 5 |
| 20 | Unión | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 21 | Talleres | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 22 | Banfield | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 23 | Central Córdoba | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1:2 | 4 |
| 24 | Aldosivi | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:4 | 3 |
| 25 | Racing Club | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | 3 |
| 26 | Atl. Tucumán | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | 2 |
| 27 | Instituto | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | 1 |
| 28 | Deportivo Riestra | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:4 | 1 |
| 29 | Newell's OB | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:8 | 1 |
| 30 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:5 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tigre | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Gimnasia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 4 | Ind. Rivadavia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 5 | Vélez Sarsfield | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 6 | Estudiantes | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 7 | Sarmiento | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 8 | Unión | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 |
| 9 | Lanús | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 10 | Barracas Central | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 11 | Banfield | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 12 | Belgrano | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 13 | Argentinos Jrs | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 4 |
| 14 | San Lorenzo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 15 | Talleres | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 16 | Racing Club | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 17 | Platense | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 18 | Huracán | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 19 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 20 | Central Córdoba | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 21 | Aldosivi | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 22 | River Plate | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 23 | Independiente | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 24 | Atl. Tucumán | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 25 | Defensa Justicia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 26 | Newell's OB | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 27 | Instituto | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 28 | Rosario Central | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 29 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | 1 |
| 30 | Deportivo Riestra | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
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