Vélez Sarsfield vs Lanús Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 30 Aug 2025

Primera División Betting Preview: Vélez Sarsfield vs Lanús

Vélez Sarsfield host Lanús in this Argentine Primera División meeting, with kick-off set for 20:30 on Saturday 30 August 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Lanús Should Be Able to Cover the Line

We’ll chance Lanús +0.25 on the Asian Handicap and divide our stake between 0 and +0.5 when they meet Vélez Sarsfield. A win delivers a payout at -130 although a draw would still land a return.

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2-0 Lanús Triumph in Previous H2H

Vélez Sarsfield won their previous Primera División game 2-0. This road win against Godoy Cruz made it two league victories on the spin. El Fortín recorded 43% possession and had two shots on target, while Juan Escobar (own goal) and Maher Carrizo scored one goal each.

Lanús played River Plate at home in their previous game. It was a 1-1 draw. Mauricio Pellegrino's team had four shots on goal and 47% possession, with Rodrigo Castillo finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Lanús boast an unbeaten record in the past three games with Vélez. Their last encounter saw Lanús land a 2-0 Copa Argentina home victory. The past 10 H2H games have featured four triumphs for Lanús, three for Vélez and three draws.

Primera División		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
15	Lanús	16	4	8	4	13	11	2	13:11	20
28	Vélez Sarsfield	16	4	2	10	7	22	-15	7:22	14

View Full Table

Vélez have 5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 0.9 goals from 2.8 shots on goal and 6.1 attempts. El Fortín have averaged 52.1% possession and 4.8 corners per game, with the opposition getting 0.8 goals from 3.6 shots on goal, 10.0 attempts and 3.7 corners.

Top goalscorer Maher Carrizo has found the net 3 times, Braian Romero 2, with Dilan Godoy and two other players on 1. Agustin Bouzat has made the most assists with 2.

Lanús have won 4, lost 4 and drawn 2, averaging 9.0 attempts, 4.3 shots on goal and 1.0 goals. Mauricio Pellegrino's men average 51.2% possession, 4.4 corners awarded and 5.1 corners against them, while 1.0 goals have been conceded from 3.4 shots on goal and 7.5 attempts.

Rodrigo Castillo has scored 4 goals, followed by Jose Maria Canale, Franco Watson, Marcelino Moreno and Eduardo Salvio on 1. Walter Bou, Sasha Marcich and Gonzalo Perez have managed 1 assists in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Vélez Sarsfield predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Tomás Marchiori (GK), Jano Gordon, Emanuel Mammana, Lisandro Magallan, Elias Gomez, Agustin Bouzat, Claudio Baeza, Maher Carrizo, Tomás Galván, Imanol Machuca, Braian Romero.

Lanús predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Nahuel Losada (GK), Gonzalo Pérez, Carlos Izquierdoz, José Canale, Sasha Marcich, Agustin Cardozo, Agustín Medina, Eduardo Salvio, Marcelino Moreno, Alexis Segovia, Rodrigo Castillo.

Vélez Sarsfield vs Lanús Prediction & Betting Tips

Explore our best Vélez Sarsfield vs Lanús picks, including our main match prediction, correct score forecast, player performance props and a bet builder ready to use.

Match Prediction

We’re siding with Lanús at -130 in this Primera División match with a +0.25 goal advantage. It’s expected that they will have an edge and we can therefore feel bullish of a return with this wager.

We’re always focused on the Primera División form guide to identify the latest betting trends. When it comes to key players getting injured, that can also have a bearing. The latest stats provide even more information to make a football prediction.

Key Vélez Sarsfield vs Lanús league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Lanús in 4 consecutive games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Lanús in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Lanús in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Vélez in 13 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Vélez in 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Vélez in 3 consecutive games against Lanús.

Lanús +0.25 Probability

According to the best betting sites, our pick has a 56.5% chance of landing a return. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success between 60-65%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

If the initial odds don’t grab your fancy, there’s the option to shoot for more juice by moving the line when it comes to your pick. It all comes down to how confident you feel.

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Our Match Prediction

Lanús Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -130 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Vélez 0 - 1 Lanús

We’ve got a correct score prediction which involves Lanús winning 1-0. Odds of +525 look appealing and we should get a run for our money here.

Player Prop Picks

Maher Carrizo Under 0.5 Shots On Target -154

Maher Carrizo (Vélez) can be backed at -154 to fail to have a shot on goal. When it comes to wagering Shots on Target, we think the betting odds really stand out for this pick.

Latest Maher Carrizo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+400

First

+750

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-154

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Rodrigo Castillo to Score +450

Rodrigo Castillo (Lanús) has netted four goals in his past five Primera División games. It’s worth a gamble on the +450 for him to be Anytime Goalscorer as there’s plenty of juice in these betting odds.

Latest Rodrigo Castillo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+450

First

+800

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-192

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Vélez Sarsfield vs Lanús Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Expecting Close Encounter

Lanús are chalked up at betting odds of +220 to defeat Vélez Sarsfield, with their opponents operating at +143 with the bookmakers. If you want to back the draw, it’s available at +200 for this Primera División clash.

Vélez can be backed alternatively on the Draw No Bet market and that means getting -154. However, if you want insurance on the underdogs instead, Lanús are +112.

The Total Goals odds suggest that Under 2.5 is the likelier outcome in this contest. If you believe this suggests that there will be a one-sided or low-scoring affair, then BTTS No could be a great pick at -204.

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Full-Time Result

1

+143

X

+200

2

+220

Half-Time Result

1

+225

X

-119

2

+300

Double Chance

1X

-294

12

-263

X2

-185

Draw No Bet

1

-154

2

+112

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

+104

2 Hcp +0.25

-130

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-303

Over 2.5

+215

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+143

No

-204

Braian Romero Favourite to Find the Net First

There is +240 available that Braian Romero finds the net, while he is available at +450 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.

Braian Romero (Vélez)

First

+240

Anytime

+450

Florian Monzón (Vélez)

First

+390

Anytime

+650

Walter Bou (Lanús)

First

+390

Anytime

+700

Maher Carrizo (Vélez)

First

+400

Anytime

+750

Rodrigo Castillo (Lanús)

First

+450

Anytime

+800

Alexis Canelo (Lanús)

First

+460

Anytime

+800

Eduardo Salvio (Lanús)

First

+510

Anytime

+900

Diego Valdés (Vélez)

First

+525

Anytime

+1000

Marcelino Moreno (Lanús)

First

+575

Anytime

+1050

Imanol Machuca (Vélez)

First

+650

Anytime

+1100

Lautaro Acosta (Lanús)

First

+700

Anytime

+1200

Francisco Pizzini (Vélez)

First

+700

Anytime

+1300

Tomás Galván (Vélez)

First

+800

Anytime

+1500

Ramiro Angel Carrera (Lanús)

First

+900

Anytime

+1500

Alexis Segovia (Lanús)

First

+900

Anytime

+1600

Dylan Aquino (Lanús)

First

+950

Anytime

+1700

Franco Watson (Lanús)

First

+950

Anytime

+1800

Agustín Cardozo (Lanús)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2000

Matias Pellegrini (Vélez)

First

+1150

Anytime

+1900

Rodrigo Aliendro (Vélez)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2200

Agustín Bouzat (Vélez)

First

+1200

Anytime

+2200

Braian Romero (Vélez)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

+106

Florian Monzón (Vélez)

Over 0.5

-104

Under 0.5

-152

Maher Carrizo (Vélez)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-154

Walter Bou (Lanús)

Over 0.5

+106

Under 0.5

-167

Rodrigo Castillo (Lanús)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-192

Alexis Canelo (Lanús)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-192

Diego Valdés (Vélez)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-189

Eduardo Salvio (Lanús)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-227

Marcelino Moreno (Lanús)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-263

Francisco Pizzini (Vélez)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-286

Lautaro Acosta (Lanús)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-278

Imanol Machuca (Vélez)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-270

Dylan Aquino (Lanús)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-313

Alexis Segovia (Lanús)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-333

Tomás Galván (Vélez)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-357

Ramiro Angel Carrera (Lanús)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-357

Matias Pellegrini (Vélez)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-370

Franco Watson (Lanús)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-500

Rodrigo Aliendro (Vélez)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-714

Agustín Cardozo (Lanús)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-833

Agustín Bouzat (Vélez)

Over 0.5

+400

Under 0.5

-1000

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Vélez Sarsfield vs Lanús Lineups & Team News

Double-check the Vélez vs Lanús team news before placing your bets. We’ll deliver the predicted and confirmed Primera División lineups as well as the most recent injury news.

Vélez Sarsfield Team Page Lanús Team Page