Vélez Sarsfield vs River Plate Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 Nov 2025
Primera División Betting Preview: Vélez Sarsfield vs River Plate
Vélez Sarsfield go head-to-head with River Plate, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Sunday 16 November.
Vélez Sarsfield look a good bet to defeat River Plate and we can back the home team at -106 with a +0.25 goal start on the Asian Handicap. This means splitting the stake equally between 0 and +0.5 in the quest for a return.
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Vélez Sarsfield have been beaten in consecutive Primera División games. On their travels, they recently lost 2-0 against Gimnasia. Guillermo Barros Schelotto's side had the majority of the ball enjoying 55% possession and one shot on target.
River Plate suffered a defeat in their previous league game. A 2-0 scoreline occurred on the road against Boca Juniors, making it two Primera División losses on the spin. Los Millonarios had three shots on goal and recorded 55% possession.
Head-to-Head Statistics
River haven’t lost to Vélez in their past five games. In their last clash, River claimed a 4-1 win at home. The past 9 H2H matches have included four draws, three River wins and two Vélez victories.
| Primera División | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | River Plate |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 6 | Vélez Sarsfield |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:0 | 3 |
5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 7.9 attempts. Vélez have had 53.3% possession and 6.0 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 0.9 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 8.5 attempts, while being awarded 4.0 corners.
Top scorers Manuel Lanzini and Braian Romero have found the net 3 times, with Maher Carrizo getting 2. Leading assistor is Matias Pellegrini with 2.
River have 3 victories, 6 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 0.9 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 10.1 attempts. There’s been an average of 60.5% possession, 6.2 corners awarded and 4.7 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.2 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 7.8 attempts.
Gonzalo Montiel and Giuliano Galoppo have top scored with 2, while Maximiliano Meza is next on 1. The top assistors in the last 10 games are Juan Quintero, Maximiliano Salas and Ignacio Fernandez who have all made 1.
Confirmed Lineups
Vélez Sarsfield confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Tomas Marchiori (GK), Jano Gordon, Thiago Silvero, Aaron Quiros, Tomas Cavanagh, Agustin Bouzat, Rodrigo Aliendro, Dilan Godoy, Tomas Galvan, Manuel Lanzini, Maher Carrizo.
River Plate confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Franco Armani (GK), Fabricio Bustos, Juan Carlos Portillo, Lautaro Rivero, Milton Casco, Santiago Lencina, Giuliano Galoppo, Enzo Perez, Juan Quintero, Maximiliano Salas, Sebastian Driussi.
Vélez Sarsfield vs River Plate Prediction & Betting Tips
Get the edge with our best Vélez Sarsfield vs River Plate tips: a key match prediction, expert corners pick, correct score recommendation, top player prop bets and a ready-made bet builder.
Match Prediction
Vélez Sarsfield +0.25 on the Asian Handicap could be the way forward at odds of -106. The home team should be able to avoid defeat in this Primera División clash and we’re optimistic that they can land a win.
Knowing the players that are injured give us a helping hand when putting together football betting tips. Once we’ve also looked at the Primera División form guide, we use the available stats and make predictions.
Key Vélez Sarsfield vs River Plate league stats:
The betting odds at the top bookies suggest our pick carries a 51.5% chance of winning. However, we think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we regard this as a value wager.
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Correct Score Prediction
We’ve picked out a correct score of 1-0 being landed by Vélez. You can secure odds of +600 and this provides an alternative way to place a wager.
Player Prop Picks
Maher Carrizo (Vélez) has managed two goals in his past five Primera División matches. The Anytime Goalscorer odds look really appealing based on the stats and we’ll take a chance on him at odds of +430.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The 4.5 corners line has not been covered by River in their past five away games, with the corner count against Vélez going under 4.5 in their last ten home matches. When it comes to Team Corners, we’re expecting River to fall short and you can get odds of -138.
Vélez
River
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Check out our bet builder which has the following: Vélez on the Asian Handicap at +0.25, one or both teams not scoring merged with River Under 4.5 corners.
We advise a bet builder as it can be a fun approach when betting on a football game. You’re able to scan through each market and pick out the selections that make the most appeal. The odds for each pick are multiplied together.
Vélez Sarsfield vs River Plate Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
For this Primera División clash, River Plate are the +128 favourites to triumph according to the latest Full-Time Result betting odds. This reflects that they have a 44% chance of winning. For those wanting to back Vélez Sarsfield, you will find +245 about this outsider.
If you want to back the favourites with some insurance, then River are -189 on the Draw No Bet market. Alternatively, Vélez are +130 and there is money back if the game ends all square.
Under 2.5 Goals is currently the betting favourite and a bet on this option would mean you need no more than two goals to be scored. If you’re anticipating that one team or more will draw a blank, then the No option on the Both Teams to Score market is chalked up at -167.
The best football betting sites ensure that customers are able to choose from a wide range of options. It’s no exaggeration that they provide hundreds of markets when it comes to Primera División matches.
There is +200 available that Maximiliano Salas finds the net anytime, while the favourite to score the first goal is on offer at +430.
- Liga Profesional Clausura: 10/11 Gimnasia 2 Vélez Sarsfield0
- Liga Profesional Clausura: 01/11 Vélez Sarsfield 0 Talleres1
- Liga Profesional Clausura: 19/10 Sarmiento 0 Vélez Sarsfield2
- Liga Profesional Clausura: 12/10 Vélez Sarsfield 1 Rosario Central2
- Liga Profesional Clausura: 07/10 Deportivo Riestra 2 Vélez Sarsfield2
- Primera División: 05/05 2025 River 4 Vélez 1
- Primera División: 19/10 2024 River 1 Vélez 1
- Primera División: 30/05 2023 Vélez 2 River 2
- Primera División: 18/07 2022 Vélez 2 River 2
- Copa Libertadores: 07/07 2022 River 0 Vélez 0
- Copa Libertadores: 30/06 2022 Vélez 1 River 0
- Primera División: 14/08 2021 River 2 Vélez 0
- Primera División: 23/09 2019 River 1 Vélez 2
- Primera División: 04/02 2019 Vélez 1 River 2
Vélez Sarsfield League Stats
River Plate League Stats
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 6.00 corners awarded and 4.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.40 corners awarded and 2.20 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.60 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.20 corners awarded and 4.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 corners awarded and 4.90 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.90 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 53.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 58.60% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
Vélez Sarsfield vs River Plate Lineups & Team News
Check the Vélez vs River team news before you place your bets. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed Primera División lineups along with the latest injury developments.
Vélez Sarsfield Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
River Plate Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Vélez Sarsfield Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
River Plate Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Vélez Sarsfield Substitutes
- 5Claudio Baeza
- 7Michael Santos
- 10Diego Valdes
- 14Agustin Lagos
- 17Alex Veron
- 19Leonel Roldan
- 20Francisco Pizzini
- 23Florian Monzon
- 34Alvaro Busso
- 35Matias Arias
- 49Demian Dominguez
- 50Tobias Andrada
River Plate Substitutes
- 14Sebastian Boselli
- 18Gonzalo Martinez
- 25Jeremias Ledesma
- 26Ignacio Fernandez
- 30Cristian Jaime
- 31Facundo Gonzalez
- 32Agustin Ruberto
- 36Ulises Gimenez
- 37Thiago Acosta
- 38Ian Subiabre
- 40Agustin Obregon
- 99Joaquin Freitas
Previous Vélez Sarsfield Lineups
Previous River Plate Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Vélez Sarsfield Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Guillermo Barros Schelotto
River Plate Player Stats & Squad
Primera División Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lanús | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 2 | Ind. Rivadavia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Talleres | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 4 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 5 | River Plate | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 6 | Vélez Sarsfield | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 7 | Banfield | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 8 | Estudiantes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 9 | Huracán | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 10 | Independiente | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 11 | Aldosivi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 12 | Platense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 13 | Defensa Justicia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 14 | Unión | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 15 | Argentinos Jrs | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Belgrano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 17 | Boca Juniors | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 18 | Deportivo Riestra | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 19 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 20 | Gimnasia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 21 | Racing Club | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 22 | Rosario Central | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 23 | Sarmiento | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 24 | Tigre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 25 | San Lorenzo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 26 | Atl. Tucumán | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 27 | Newell's OB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 28 | Barracas Central | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 29 | Central Córdoba | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 30 | Instituto | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Talleres | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Banfield | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 4 | Independiente | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 5 | Aldosivi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 6 | Unión | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 7 | Lanús | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | River Plate | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Vélez Sarsfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Estudiantes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Huracán | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | Platense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Defensa Justicia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | Argentinos Jrs | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Belgrano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 17 | Boca Juniors | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 18 | Deportivo Riestra | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 19 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 20 | Gimnasia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 21 | Racing Club | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 22 | Rosario Central | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 23 | Sarmiento | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 24 | Tigre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 25 | Atl. Tucumán | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 26 | Newell's OB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 27 | San Lorenzo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 28 | Barracas Central | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 29 | Central Córdoba | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 30 | Instituto | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
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