Vélez Sarsfield vs River Plate Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 Nov 2025

Primera División Betting Preview: Vélez Sarsfield vs River Plate

Vélez Sarsfield go head-to-head with River Plate, with kick-off set for 16:00 on Sunday 16 November.

Vélez Sarsfield look a good bet to defeat River Plate and we can back the home team at -106 with a +0.25 goal start on the Asian Handicap. This means splitting the stake equally between 0 and +0.5 in the quest for a return.

Vélez Sarsfield have been beaten in consecutive Primera División games. On their travels, they recently lost 2-0 against Gimnasia. Guillermo Barros Schelotto's side had the majority of the ball enjoying 55% possession and one shot on target.

River Plate suffered a defeat in their previous league game. A 2-0 scoreline occurred on the road against Boca Juniors, making it two Primera División losses on the spin. Los Millonarios had three shots on goal and recorded 55% possession.

Head-to-Head Statistics

River haven’t lost to Vélez in their past five games. In their last clash, River claimed a 4-1 win at home. The past 9 H2H matches have included four draws, three River wins and two Vélez victories.

Primera División		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Vélez Sarsfield	9	5	4	0	10	5	5	10:5	19
16	River Plate	8	3	2	3	8	8	0	8:8	11

View Full Table

5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 7.9 attempts. Vélez have had 53.3% possession and 6.0 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 0.9 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 8.5 attempts, while being awarded 4.0 corners.

Top scorers Manuel Lanzini and Braian Romero have found the net 3 times, with Maher Carrizo getting 2. Leading assistor is Matias Pellegrini with 2.

River have 3 victories, 6 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 0.9 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 10.1 attempts. There’s been an average of 60.5% possession, 6.2 corners awarded and 4.7 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.2 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 7.8 attempts.

Gonzalo Montiel and Giuliano Galoppo have top scored with 2, while Maximiliano Meza is next on 1. The top assistors in the last 10 games are Juan Quintero, Maximiliano Salas and Ignacio Fernandez who have all made 1.

Confirmed Lineups

Vélez Sarsfield confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Tomas Marchiori (GK), Jano Gordon, Thiago Silvero, Aaron Quiros, Tomas Cavanagh, Agustin Bouzat, Rodrigo Aliendro, Dilan Godoy, Tomas Galvan, Manuel Lanzini, Maher Carrizo.

River Plate confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Franco Armani (GK), Fabricio Bustos, Juan Carlos Portillo, Lautaro Rivero, Milton Casco, Santiago Lencina, Giuliano Galoppo, Enzo Perez, Juan Quintero, Maximiliano Salas, Sebastian Driussi.

Vélez Sarsfield vs River Plate Prediction & Betting Tips

Get the edge with our best Vélez Sarsfield vs River Plate tips: a key match prediction, expert corners pick, correct score recommendation, top player prop bets and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

Vélez Sarsfield +0.25 on the Asian Handicap could be the way forward at odds of -106. The home team should be able to avoid defeat in this Primera División clash and we’re optimistic that they can land a win.

Knowing the players that are injured give us a helping hand when putting together football betting tips. Once we’ve also looked at the Primera División form guide, we use the available stats and make predictions.

Key Vélez Sarsfield vs River Plate league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Vélez in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Vélez in 13 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by River in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by River in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by River in 2 consecutive games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Vélez in 6 of their last 9 games against River.

The betting odds at the top bookies suggest our pick carries a 51.5% chance of winning. However, we think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

Those wanting an alternative to Asian Handicap can consider Winning Margin where there are several options. Take a view on Vélez and their performance.

Check our complete list of betting promo codes, free bet deals and the latest welcome bonuses before wagering.

Our Match Prediction

Vélez Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -106 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Nov 14, 23:38). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Vélez 1 - 0 River

We’ve picked out a correct score of 1-0 being landed by Vélez. You can secure odds of +600 and this provides an alternative way to place a wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Maher Carrizo to Score +430

Maher Carrizo (Vélez) has managed two goals in his past five Primera División matches. The Anytime Goalscorer odds look really appealing based on the stats and we’ll take a chance on him at odds of +430.

Latest Maher Carrizo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+430

First

+950

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-200

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

River Under 4.5 Corners -138

The 4.5 corners line has not been covered by River in their past five away games, with the corner count against Vélez going under 4.5 in their last ten home matches. When it comes to Team Corners, we’re expecting River to fall short and you can get odds of -138.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Vélez

Total

9.60 5.20 4.40

Home

9.60 6.10 3.50

Away

10.00 5.00 5.00

River

Total

7.90 3.80 4.10

Home

10.60 7.50 3.10

Away

8.40 2.80 5.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-122

Under 8.5

-116

Vélez Corners

Over 3.5

-156

Under 3.5

+110

River Corners

Over 4.5

-100

Under 4.5

-141

Most Corners

1

+118

X

+600

2

-111

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Vélez Sarsfield vs River Plate Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

For this Primera División clash, River Plate are the +128 favourites to triumph according to the latest Full-Time Result betting odds. This reflects that they have a 44% chance of winning. For those wanting to back Vélez Sarsfield, you will find +245 about this outsider.

If you want to back the favourites with some insurance, then River are -189 on the Draw No Bet market. Alternatively, Vélez are +130 and there is money back if the game ends all square.

Under 2.5 Goals is currently the betting favourite and a bet on this option would mean you need no more than two goals to be scored. If you’re anticipating that one team or more will draw a blank, then the No option on the Both Teams to Score market is chalked up at -167.

The best football betting sites ensure that customers are able to choose from a wide range of options. It’s no exaggeration that they provide hundreds of markets when it comes to Primera División matches.

Full-Time Result

1

+245

X

+205

2

+128

Half-Time Result

1

+310

X

-106

2

+195

Double Chance

1X

-164

12

-270

X2

-333

Draw No Bet

1

+130

2

-189

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-114

2 Hcp -0.25

-110

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-233

Over 2.5

+175

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+116

No

-167

There is +200 available that Maximiliano Salas finds the net anytime, while the favourite to score the first goal is on offer at +430.

Maximiliano Salas (River)

First

+200

Anytime

+430

Sebastián Driussi (River)

First

+230

Anytime

+480

Braian Romero (Vélez)

First

+260

Anytime

+600

Facundo Colidio (River)

First

+270

Anytime

+550

Miguel Borja (River)

First

+290

Anytime

+600

Maher Carrizo (Vélez)

First

+430

Anytime

+950

Juan Quintero (River)

First

+540

Anytime

+1150

Giuliano Galoppo (River)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

Diego Valdés (Vélez)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Pity Martínez (River)

First

+750

Anytime

+1500

Maximiliano Meza (River)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Matias Galarza Fonda (River)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Francisco Pizzini (Vélez)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Kevin Duvan Castaño (River)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Tomás Galván (Vélez)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Ignacio Fernández (River)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Manuel Lanzini (Vélez)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Maximiliano Salas (River)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

+120

Sebastián Driussi (River)

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

+116

Braian Romero (Vélez)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

+102

Facundo Colidio (River)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-100

Miguel Borja (River)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-115

Maher Carrizo (Vélez)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-200

Juan Quintero (River)

Over 0.5

+143

Under 0.5

-250

Giuliano Galoppo (River)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-313

Diego Valdés (Vélez)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-345

Manuel Lanzini (Vélez)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-833

Vélez Sarsfield vs River Plate Lineups & Team News

Check the Vélez vs River team news before you place your bets. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed Primera División lineups along with the latest injury developments.

Vélez Sarsfield Team Page River Plate Team Page

Top Football Pages