Venezia vs Fiorentina Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 12 May 2025

We Think Under 2.5 Goals is the Value Bet

We’re not expecting the net to bulge too many times, with Under 2.5 Goals anticipated when Venezia and Fiorentina clash. The Total Goals market selection gives us generous betting odds of -150.

Last H2H Battle Saw No Goals Scored

Survival-chasing Venezia played out a 1-1 draw in their last game. This was away from home at Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino against Torino. Eusebio Di Francesco's team managed three shots on target and recorded 45% possession, with Kike Perez bagging the goal.

Fiorentina were beaten in their previous game and this was on the road at Stadio Olimpico. Roma claimed a 1-0 victory. La Viola boasted 59% possession and had five shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

We saw Fiorentina draw 0-0 at home to Venezia at Stadio Artemio Franchi when the teams last went head-to-head. In the previous 3 H2H games, we have seen one Venezia victory, one Fiorentina win and one draw.

Venezia have 1 win, 2 losses and 7 draws, averaging 0.6 goals from 9.6 attempts and 3.3 shots on goal. I Lagunari have averaged 44.8% possession, 337.7 passes and 3.7 corners per game, conceding 0.8 goals and 4.4 corners from 13.8 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal.

Kike Perez, John Yeboah, Gianluca Busio, Daniel Fila and Christian Gytkjaer are joint-top scorers with 1 goals on the board. Leading assistors have been Christian Gytkjaer and Mikael Egill Ellertsson with 1, while goalkeeper Ionut Andrei Radu has 4 clean sheets.

Fiorentina have won 5, lost 3 and drawn 2, with an average of 9.1 attempts, 3.8 shots on goal and 1.2 goals. The Florence side average 50.9% possession, 426.8 passes, 2.8 corners in their favour and 4.6 corners against, while 0.8 goals have been conceded from 4.0 shots on goal and 10.6 attempts.

Robin Gosens has scored 3, followed by Rolando Mandragora, Moise Kean and Albert Gudmundsson with 2 goals apiece. Dodo has been chief assist maker on 3, with David De Gea recording 4 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Venezia confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Ionut Andrei Radu (GK), Joel Schingtienne, Jay Idzes, Fali Cande, Alessio Zerbin, Kike Perez, Hans Nicolussi Caviglia, Gianluca Busio, Mikael Egill Ellertsson, Gaetano Oristanio, John Yeboah.

Fiorentina confirmed lineup (3-4-3): David De Gea (GK), Marin Pongracic, Pablo Mari, Luca Ranieri, Dodo, Nicolo Fagioli, Rolando Mandragora, Robin Gosens, Amir Richardson, Lucas Beltran, Cher Ndour.

Venezia vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting Tips

We’re not expecting these teams to score any more than two goals between them in this Serie A game. On this basis, we’ll bet on Under 2.5 Goals which is currently priced at odds of -150.

The team news that filters through can have a knock-on effect as far as the odds are concerned. We use this information along with the form guide, while the latest stats are also taken into consideration.

Key Venezia vs Fiorentina league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in any of the last 5 Venezia games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 Venezia games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 9 Venezia games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 games between these teams.

Under 2.5 Probability

The latest odds imply that our pick has a 60% prospect of winning. Our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 65-70%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

There’s an opportunity to combine Under 2.5 Goals with BTTS No if you want a bigger potential return, with bettors able to land this pick through the Total Goals & Both Teams to Score market.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -150 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Venezia 1 - 1 Fiorentina

The game ending in a 1-1 draw is available at odds of +440. Take a chance on the correct score and get rewarded for predicting the right scoreline.

Player Prop Picks

Hans Nicolussi Caviglia Over 0.5 Shots On Target +160

Hans Nicolussi Caviglia (Venezia) has totalled one or more shots on goal in three straight Serie A matches on home soil. We think that the value can be found by wagering on Shots on Target and you can get +160 that he goes over the line.

Latest Hans Nicolussi Caviglia Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+600

First

+1200

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-294

Shots

Over 1.5

-122

Under 1.5

-

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Rolando Mandragora to Score +575

Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina) has netted two goals in his past nine Serie A matches. We believe this is the best of the player props, with a healthy +575 available when it comes to betting him to score at any time.

Latest Rolando Mandragora Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+390

First

+900

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-222

Shots

Over 1.5

-179

Under 1.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Fiorentina Under 4.5 Corners -150

The 4.5 corners line has not been covered by Fiorentina in ten straight away games, while the past three Venezia home matches have seen under 4.5 corners conceded. There’s a chance to go under the Fiorentina Team Corners line and we’re confident this will happen, with odds of -150 on offer.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Venezia

Total

8.10 3.70 4.40

Home

10.10 4.20 5.90

Away

9.50 3.70 5.80

Fiorentina

Total

7.40 2.80 4.60

Home

6.90 2.80 4.10

Away

8.70 2.90 5.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-102

Under 8.5

-139

Venezia Corners

Over 3.5

-152

Under 3.5

+106

Fiorentina Corners

Over 3.5

-159

Under 3.5

+112

Most Corners

1

+105

X

+480

2

-102

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Venezia vs Fiorentina Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Betting Sites Predicting a Close Encounter

Fiorentina are available at betting odds of +170 to win away to Venezia, with the home side trading at +180 with the bookies. Should you wish to back the draw, it’s on offer at +200 for this Serie A encounter.

If you think there will be two goals or less during the ninety minutes, then Under 2.5 Goals is a potential option.

Head over to the Bet Builder and you’ll find all the popular football betting site markets available. Serie A selections can then be combined together in a same-game accumulator which you can cheer on.

Full-Time Result

1

+180

X

+200

2

+170

Half-Time Result

1

+240

X

+107

2

+225

Double Chance

1X

-227

12

-270

X2

-238

Draw No Bet

1

-112

2

-122

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-159

2 Hcp -0.25

+125

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-164

Over 2.5

+128

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-112

No

-118

Moise Kean Favourite to Be First Goalscorer

Moise Kean is the market leader at +430 to be First Goalscorer but if you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.

Moise Kean (Fiorentina)

First

+190

Anytime

+430

Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina)

First

+350

Anytime

+750

Christian Gytkjær (Venezia)

First

+360

Anytime

+700

Michael Folorunsho (Fiorentina)

First

+360

Anytime

+750

Lucas Beltrán (Fiorentina)

First

+370

Anytime

+800

Daniel Fila (Venezia)

First

+370

Anytime

+850

Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina)

First

+390

Anytime

+900

Nicolò Zaniolo (Fiorentina)

First

+410

Anytime

+950

Alessio Zerbin (Venezia)

First

+430

Anytime

+950

Mirko Maric (Venezia)

First

+440

Anytime

+950

Gaetano Oristanio (Venezia)

First

+540

Anytime

+1000

John Yeboah (Venezia)

First

+575

Anytime

+1150

Hans Nicolussi Caviglia (Venezia)

First

+600

Anytime

+1200

Gianluca Busio (Venezia)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Yacine Adli (Fiorentina)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Amir Richardson (Fiorentina)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Issa Doumbia (Venezia)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Alfred Duncan (Venezia)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Nicolò Fagioli (Fiorentina)

First

+750

Anytime

+1500

Kike Pérez (Venezia)

First

+750

Anytime

+1600

Edoardo Bove (Fiorentina)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Robin Gosens (Fiorentina)

First

+850

Anytime

+1700

Fali Cande (Venezia)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Francesco Zampano (Venezia)

First

+900

Anytime

+1900

Mikael Egill Ellertsson (Venezia)

First

+950

Anytime

+1800

Cher Ndour (Fiorentina)

First

+950

Anytime

+1900

Bjarki Steinn Bjarkason (Venezia)

First

+1000

Anytime

+1900

Danilo Cataldi (Fiorentina)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Fabiano Parisi (Fiorentina)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Pablo Marí (Fiorentina)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-147

Lucas Beltrán (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-116

Under 0.5

-167

Daniel Fila (Venezia)

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-167

Michael Folorunsho (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-179

Christian Gytkjær (Venezia)

Over 0.5

-104

Under 0.5

-189

Nicolò Zaniolo (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-200

Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-222

Mirko Maric (Venezia)

Over 0.5

+114

Under 0.5

-227

Alessio Zerbin (Venezia)

Over 0.5

+132

Under 0.5

-270

John Yeboah (Venezia)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-278

Hans Nicolussi Caviglia (Venezia)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-294

Gaetano Oristanio (Venezia)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-294

Moise Kean (Fiorentina)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-313

Gianluca Busio (Venezia)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-400

Robin Gosens (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-588

Fali Cande (Venezia)

Over 0.5

+245

Under 0.5

-714

Pablo Marí (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-1667

Moise Kean (Fiorentina)

Over 3.5

+114

Under 3.5

-

Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina)

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

-

Gianluca Busio (Venezia)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Hans Nicolussi Caviglia (Venezia)

Over 1.5

-122

Under 1.5

-

John Yeboah (Venezia)

Over 1.5

+115

Under 1.5

-

Gaetano Oristanio (Venezia)

Over 1.5

+115

Under 1.5

-

Mirko Maric (Venezia)

Over 1.5

-109

Under 1.5

-

Alessio Zerbin (Venezia)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

Nicolò Zaniolo (Fiorentina)

Over 1.5

-114

Under 1.5

-

Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina)

Over 1.5

-179

Under 1.5

-

Daniel Fila (Venezia)

Over 1.5

-179

Under 1.5

-

Lucas Beltrán (Fiorentina)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

Michael Folorunsho (Fiorentina)

Over 1.5

-132

Under 1.5

-

Christian Gytkjær (Venezia)

Over 1.5

-127

Under 1.5

-

Robin Gosens (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

-

Fali Cande (Venezia)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-

Pablo Marí (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+118

Under 0.5

-

Venezia vs Fiorentina Lineups & Team News

Make sure you know the lineups ahead of kick-off, with injuries also playing a part when it comes to Venezia vs Fiorentina team news.

The Serie A squad information is a great asset when it comes to making your bets.

Venezia Team Page Fiorentina Team Page