Villarreal vs Ajax Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 20 Jan 2026
Champions League Betting Preview: Villarreal vs Ajax
Spanish La Liga team Villarreal host Dutch Eredivisie outfit Ajax at Estadio de la Ceramica, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Tuesday 20 January.
Villarreal should be able to beat Ajax by two goals or more. We’ll back them -1 at -115, meaning money back if the Yellow Submarine claim a one goal victory, although we think the margin should be bigger.
Villarreal’s last match ended in a 2–0 La Liga loss against Real Betis at Estadio de La Cartuja. Marcelino Garcia's men had 40% possession and totalled three shots on target.
Ajax played Go Ahead Eagles at home in their previous game. It was a 2-2 Eredivisie draw at Johan Cruyff Arena. The Amsterdam club were 51% in the possession stakes and recorded six shots on goal, while Davy Klaassen and Kasper Dolberg found the net.
In their previous Champions League matches, Villarreal hosted Danish Superliga team FC Copenhagen and lost 3-2, while Ajax won 4-2 away to Azerbaijan Premier League side Qarabag FK.
| Champions League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | Ajax |
8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 8:21 | 6 |
| 35 | Villarreal |
8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5:18 | 1 |
6 wins and 4 losses, averaging 1.7 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 11.1 attempts. Villarreal have had 42.0% possession, 373.2 passes and 3.1 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.6 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 12.0 attempts, while being awarded 4.7 corners.
Top goalscorer is Alberto Moleiro on 5 goals, while Gerard Moreno and Georges Mikautadze have both bagged 3. Leading assistor is Ayoze Perez with 3, while goalie Luiz Junior has recorded 2 clean sheets.
Ajax have won 5, lost 3 and drawn 2, averaging 14.8 attempts, 6.2 shots on goal and 2.0 goals. Fred Grim's side average 58.0% possession, 549.1 passes, 5.0 corners in their favour and 5.1 corners against, while 1.5 goals have been conceded from 5.0 shots on goal and 14.0 attempts.
Kasper Dolberg and Mika Godts have scored 4 goals, followed by Oscar Gloukh with 3. Mika Godts has been chief assist maker on 4, with Vitezslav Jaros recording 2 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Villarreal confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Arnau Tenas (GK), Santiago Mourino, Rafa Marin, Renato Veiga, Sergi Cardona, Nicolas Pepe, Santi Comesana, Thomas Partey, Alberto Moleiro, Ayoze Perez, Tani Oluwaseyi.
Ajax confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Vitezslav Jaros (GK), Anton Gaaei, Aaron Bouwman, Youri Baas, Owen Wijndal, Davy Klaassen, Youri Regeer, Jorthy Mokio, Oscar Gloukh, Kasper Dolberg, Mika Godts.
Villarreal vs Ajax Prediction & Betting Tips
Get the edge with our best Villarreal vs Ajax tips: a key match prediction, expert corners pick, correct score recommendation, top player prop bets and a ready-made bet builder.
Match Prediction
We like Villarreal -1 at betting odds of -115 for this Champions League match. This bet can land us a nice return if the home team are able to manage a convincing win and the signs look positive.
The Champions League injury and suspension data can be utilised to provide expert football betting tips. You can also identify that a stats-led approach is adopted by considering the most important stats.
Key Villarreal vs Ajax Champions League & league stats:
The top bookmakers are estimating that there is a 53.5% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, our tipsters have this number closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.
There are larger prices available to bettors who are prepared to move the line. By taking on more risk, you are able to get more juice from your selections as a result.
Don’t place a bet without checking our comprehensive guide to today’s best free bets and welcome bonuses.
Correct Score Prediction
An exciting bet could be a 2-0 victory in favor of the Yellow Submarine at odds of +750. A correct score wager provides a fun alternative and a nice potential return on the cards.
Player Prop Picks
Kasper Dolberg (Ajax) has registered at least one shot on goal in six straight games. We think this could be a telling statistic and we’ll back him to cover the Shots on Target line which is available at odds of +110.
Alberto Moleiro (Villarreal) has scored five goals in his past ten matches. We’ll take a chance at +210 for this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look really appealing.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The 5.5 corners line has not been covered by Villarreal in their past four games. We recommend backing the -110 that Villarreal aren’t able to cover the line, with this Team Corners wager hopefully providing a return.
Villarreal
Ajax
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
A bet builder always adds excitement and the picks are Villarreal with an Asian Handicap of -1, No on the Both Teams to Score market along with Kasper Dolberg (Ajax) to finish with a minimum of one shot on target.
The bet builder route is a great one for football fans requiring a tailored same-game multi on a match. You require all predictions to be on the money and our readers enjoy placing a tailored wager on a specific encounter taking place.
Villarreal vs Ajax Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The bookies are taking few risks with their betting odds of -294 for Villarreal winning which indicates that they have a 75% chance of triumphing in this Champions League encounter. If you’re searching for a different slant, outsiders Ajax are available at +700.
The Half-Time Result market means that your bet will always be settled at the interval. Villarreal are -141, while Ajax are alternatively priced at +480 and the draw is +200.
Over 2.5 Goals is the shortest odds and that means three goals or more are anticipated. A different approach is a Both Teams to Score bet and Yes has been priced at -179.
Hundreds of markets are now a guarantee for each of the Champions League matches, with the recommended football betting sites making sure that customers have quality options.
Those interested in favourite Georges Mikautadze to find the net first are able to get +370. If the Anytime Goalscorer angle makes more appeal, then this is +110.
Latest Champions League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.
Villarreal Stats
Ajax Stats
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals scored and 2.50 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.70 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 9 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 10 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.10 corners awarded and 4.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.90 corners awarded and 4.60 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 7.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.50 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.00 corners awarded and 5.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.10 corners awarded and 5.50 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 42.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 45.10% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 home matches
Villarreal vs Ajax Lineups & Team News
Be prepared — check the Villarreal vs Ajax team news before wagering. Expect the predicted and confirmed Champions League lineups along with timely injury updates.
Villarreal Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Ajax Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Villarreal Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Ajax Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Villarreal Substitutes
- 1Luiz Junior
- 7Gerard Moreno
- 9Georges Mikautadze
- 10Daniel Parejo
- 13Diego Conde
- 17Tajon Buchanan
- 24Alfonso Pedraza
- 26Pau Navarro
- 32Hugo Lopez
Ajax Substitutes
- 2Lucas Rosa
- 4Ko Itakura
- 7Raul Moro
- 12Joeri Heerkens
- 17Oliver Edvardsen
- 22Remko Pasveer
- 28Kian Fitz-Jim
- 37Josip Sutalo
- 41Gerald Alders
- 43Rayane Bounida
- 48Sean Steur
- 68Abdellah Ouazane
Previous Villarreal Lineups
Previous Ajax Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Villarreal Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Marcelino Garcia
Ajax Player Stats & Squad
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 23:4 | 24 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22:8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20:8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:7 | 17 |
| 5 | Barcelona | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22:14 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:10 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:11 | 16 |
| 8 | Man City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:9 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21:12 | 15 |
| 10 | Inter Milan | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15:7 | 15 |
| 11 | PSG | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21:11 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:7 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:10 | 13 |
| 14 | Atlético Madrid | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:15 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 13 |
| 16 | Leverkusen | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:14 | 12 |
| 17 | Dortmund | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19:17 | 11 |
| 18 | Olympiacos | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:14 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:17 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | 10 |
| 21 | Monaco | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:14 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag FK | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:21 | 10 |
| 23 | Bodo/Glimt | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 24 | Benfica | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:12 | 9 |
| 25 | Marseille | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 26 | Pafos | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | 9 |
| 27 | Union S-G | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 30 | Napoli | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | 8 |
| 31 | FC Copenhagen | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:21 | 8 |
| 32 | Ajax | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:21 | 6 |
| 33 | Frankfurt | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10:21 | 4 |
| 34 | Slavia Prague | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5:19 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:18 | 1 |
| 36 | Kairat Almaty | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7:22 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:2 | 12 |
| 2 | Tottenham | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:0 | 12 |
| 3 | Arsenal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:3 | 12 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:1 | 12 |
| 5 | Sporting | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:3 | 12 |
| 6 | Barcelona | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:5 | 9 |
| 7 | Newcastle | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:2 | 9 |
| 8 | Atlético Madrid | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 9 |
| 9 | Real Madrid | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | 9 |
| 10 | Liverpool | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:6 | 9 |
| 11 | Man City | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 12 | Juventus | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 8 |
| 13 | PSG | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 7 |
| 14 | Dortmund | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 7 |
| 15 | Club Brugge | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:7 | 7 |
| 16 | Napoli | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 17 | Galatasaray | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 18 | Qarabag FK | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:8 | 7 |
| 19 | Atalanta | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 20 | Pafos | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:8 | 7 |
| 21 | Benfica | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 6 |
| 22 | Inter Milan | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 23 | Marseille | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 24 | Monaco | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3:2 | 6 |
| 25 | Olympiacos | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 5 |
| 26 | FC Copenhagen | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8:9 | 5 |
| 27 | Leverkusen | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8:10 | 5 |
| 28 | Bodo/Glimt | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 4 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 30 | PSV | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10:10 | 3 |
| 31 | Frankfurt | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 32 | Union S-G | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:11 | 3 |
| 33 | Slavia Prague | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:9 | 2 |
| 34 | Villarreal | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | 1 |
| 35 | Kairat Almaty | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:10 | 1 |
| 36 | Ajax | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:9 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 26 | 21 | 1 | 4 | 71:26 | 64 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 54:22 | 60 |
| 3 | Atlético Madrid | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 43:23 | 51 |
| 4 | Villarreal | 26 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 48:31 | 51 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 42:32 | 43 |
| 6 | Celta Vigo | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 36:28 | 40 |
| 7 | Espanyol | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:39 | 36 |
| 8 | Real Sociedad | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 38:38 | 35 |
| 9 | Athletic Club | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 30:36 | 35 |
| 10 | Osasuna | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 30:30 | 33 |
| 11 | Getafe | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 21:29 | 32 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | 30 |
| 13 | Sevilla | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 34:41 | 30 |
| 14 | Girona | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 27:42 | 30 |
| 15 | Valencia | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 27:39 | 29 |
| 16 | Alavés | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 23:34 | 27 |
| 17 | Elche | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 34:39 | 26 |
| 18 | Mallorca | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 29:42 | 24 |
| 19 | Levante | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 28:44 | 21 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 16:43 | 17 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 13 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 41:6 | 39 |
| 2 | Atlético Madrid | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 30:10 | 34 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 29:9 | 33 |
| 4 | Villarreal | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 29:11 | 31 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 25:15 | 24 |
| 6 | Osasuna | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 22:14 | 24 |
| 7 | Athletic Club | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17:15 | 23 |
| 8 | Elche | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 22:15 | 22 |
| 9 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24:20 | 21 |
| 10 | Valencia | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 16:13 | 20 |
| 11 | Espanyol | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16:18 | 20 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 15:10 | 19 |
| 13 | Mallorca | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 14 | Alavés | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 15 | Celta Vigo | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 19:15 | 17 |
| 16 | Girona | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13:21 | 16 |
| 17 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 18:19 | 15 |
| 18 | Getafe | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10:11 | 15 |
| 19 | Real Oviedo | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5:14 | 11 |
| 20 | Levante | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13:23 | 10 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 73:30 | 65 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 25 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 55:35 | 48 |
| 3 | Ajax | 25 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 47:31 | 44 |
| 4 | NEC Nijmegen | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 61:43 | 43 |
| 5 | Twente | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 41:26 | 41 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 42:40 | 39 |
| 7 | Sp. Rotterdam | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 32:42 | 37 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 38:31 | 34 |
| 9 | SC Heerenveen | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 42:43 | 34 |
| 10 | Fortuna Sittard | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 39:45 | 32 |
| 11 | Groningen | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 33:35 | 31 |
| 12 | Go Ahead E. | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 38:39 | 29 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 34:50 | 28 |
| 14 | Volendam | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 29:41 | 27 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 26:42 | 26 |
| 16 | NAC Breda | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 25:39 | 22 |
| 17 | Telstar | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 31:41 | 21 |
| 18 | Heracles | 25 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 32:65 | 17 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 39:17 | 29 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 32:19 | 28 |
| 3 | Ajax | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 24:11 | 27 |
| 4 | Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 22:12 | 25 |
| 5 | NEC Nijmegen | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 32:20 | 23 |
| 6 | Volendam | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:17 | 22 |
| 7 | Utrecht | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 8 | Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21:18 | 21 |
| 9 | AZ Alkmaar | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 25:21 | 20 |
| 10 | SC Heerenveen | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 24:22 | 20 |
| 11 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15:15 | 20 |
| 12 | Go Ahead E. | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 21:16 | 18 |
| 13 | Sp. Rotterdam | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14:19 | 18 |
| 14 | Groningen | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 15 | NAC Breda | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15:18 | 15 |
| 16 | Excelsior | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 17 | Heracles | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 21:28 | 13 |
| 18 | Telstar | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 21:24 | 11 |
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