Villarreal vs Manchester City Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 21 Oct 2025
Champions League Betting Preview: Villarreal vs Manchester City
Spanish La Liga team Villarreal host Premier League side Manchester City in this Champions League match at Estadio de la Ceramica, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Tuesday 21 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.
Back Villarreal to Make Life Difficult for Citizens
Villarreal should prove to be competitive against Man City. With this in mind, we’ll back the home team on the Asian Handicap +0.75 at odds of -105, meaning a split stake between 0.5 and +1.0.
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City Landed Victory in Last Game
Villarreal drew their last game 2-2 at home, with the action taking place at Estadio de la Ceramica against Real Betis in La Liga. Marcelino Garcia's men recorded 40% possession and had three shots on target, while Tajon Buchanan and Alberto Moleiro each scored one goal.
Manchester City won their previous game, beating Everton at home. It was a 2-0 Premier League victory at Etihad Stadium. The North-West club had seven shots on goal and boasted 71% possession, with Erling Haaland scoring twice.
In their previous Champions League matches, Villarreal played out a 2-2 draw at home to Juventus, while there was a 2-2 City draw away to Monaco.
| Champions League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 |  Man City |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 26 |  Villarreal |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 2:3 | 1 |
Villarreal have 6 wins, 2 losses and 2 draws, averaging 2.0 goals from 5.2 shots on goal and 13.9 attempts. El Submarino Amarillo have averaged 46.0% possession, 435.3 passes and 5.0 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.2 goals from 3.7 shots on goal, 11.8 attempts and 3.4 corners.
Tajon Buchanan and Pape Gueye are the leading goalscorers with 4, while Alberto Moleiro has 2. Sergi Cardona and Etta Eyong have racked up the most assists with 2, while goalkeeper Luiz Junior has 3 clean sheets.
Manchester City – Last 10 League & Champions League GamesCity have won 7, lost 2 and drawn 1, with an average of 2.2 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 13.7 attempts. There’s been an average of 58.3% possession, 552.4 passes, 4.9 corners awarded and 3.4 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.7 goals from 2.9 shots on goal and 9.8 attempts.
Erling Haaland has scored 12 goals, followed by Matheus Nunes, Phil Foden, Tijjani Reijnders and Rayan Cherki on 1. Jeremy Doku has clocked up 3 assists, with Gianluigi Donnarumma, James Trafford and Ederson keeping 5 clean sheets between them in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Villarreal predicted lineup (4-4-2): Arnau Tenas (GK), Santiago Mouriño, Rafa Marín, Renato Veiga, Sergi Cardona, Tajon Buchanan, Pape Gueye, Thomas Partey, Manor Solomon, Nicolas Pepe, Georges Mikautadze.
Manchester City predicted lineup (4-1-4-1): Gianluigi Donnarumma (GK), Matheus Nunes, Josko Gvardiol, Ruben Dias, Nico O'Reilly, Nico González, Oscar Bobb, Phil Foden, Tijjani Reijnders, Savinho, Erling Haaland.
Villarreal vs Manchester City Prediction & Betting Tips
Get the full betting picture for Villarreal vs Manchester City, including our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, key corners pick, must-watch player props and a tailored bet builder ready to use.
Match Prediction
Villarreal can perform well in this Champions League game and we’re backing the home team at -105 on the Asian Handicap. We think that they will prove competitive and +0.75 is a value bet.
Injuries and suspensions are studied by the team at Sportsgambler.com. Our football predictions also come from studying the latest Champions League form, with the numbers playing a huge part before the tips are decided.
Key Villarreal vs Manchester City Champions League & league stats:
Villarreal +0.75 Probability
The top bookmakers are estimating that there is a 51.3% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, our experts think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.
There are several options available including selling goals. If you want more juice from your wager, then you can go down this route and take your own view.
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Correct Score Prediction
1
-
1
Man City
There are odds of +600 available that we see a 1-1 scoreline played out. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.
Player Prop Picks
Oscar Bobb (City) hasn’t registered a shot on goal in eight consecutive games. We think he might not cover the line, with odds of -132 being served up for this Shots on Target bet.
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Erling Haaland (City) has scored at least one goal in eight straight games. We’ll use this stat and take odds of -127 that he is able to score at least one goal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.
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Corners Prediction
The 5.5 corners line has not been covered by City in five consecutive away matches. We’re expecting City to fall short of the line, with this Team Corners bet on offer at -139.
Villarreal
Man City
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Bet Builder Tips
We’ve lined up a bet builder including these picks: Villarreal to cover the +0.75 Asian Handicap, BTTS Yes accompanied by no shots on target from Oscar Bobb (City).
The bet builder option allows you to combine different outcomes within the same football game. You can predict a number of outcomes and get bigger odds than a single bet. The odds can combine to great effect.
Villarreal vs Manchester City Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
City Match Odds Suggest Victory
Manchester City are available at -147 to come away with a triumph in this Champions League clash, meaning a 60% likelihood of winning according to the published betting odds. Villarreal are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and the outsiders can be backed at +370.
There’s a Half-Time Result market should you wish to predict the outcome at the break. Villarreal are +360 here and the draw is +150, with City on offer at +117.
Over 2.5 Goals is the shortest odds and that means three goals or more are anticipated. Both Teams to Score is one of the top markets and the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -149.
It’s fantastic to find hundreds of markets on offer for Champions League matches. You simply need to visit the best betting apps and select from the various football options that are presented.
Erling Haaland Favourite to Find the Net First
Erling Haaland is the First Goalscorer favourite at +230 and there’s an opportunity to back him to find the net anytime at -127.
Latest Champions League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.
Villarreal Stats
Manchester City Stats
- 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.20 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 0.40 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.60 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.00 corners awarded and 3.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.20 corners awarded and 4.20 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.40 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 3.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.40 corners awarded and 4.10 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.50 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 46.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 50.50% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 home matches
Villarreal vs Manchester City Lineups & Team News
Check the Villarreal vs City team news before you place your bets. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Champions League together with updated injury news.
Villarreal Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
Manchester City Predicted Lineup 4-1-4-1
Villarreal Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
Manchester City Predicted Lineup 4-1-4-1
Previous Villarreal Lineups
Previous Manchester City Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Villarreal Squad
Manchester City Squad| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 |
| 3 | PSG | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 6 |
| 4 | Inter Milan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 6 |
| 5 | Arsenal | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 6 |
| 6 | Qarabag FK | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 7 | Dortmund | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 8 | Man City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 9 | Tottenham | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 10 | Atlético Madrid | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 |
| 11 | Newcastle | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 |
| 12 | Marseille | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 |
| 13 | Club Brugge | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 3 |
| 13 | Sporting | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 3 |
| 15 | Frankfurt | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:6 | 3 |
| 16 | Barcelona | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 17 | Liverpool | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 18 | Chelsea | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 19 | Napoli | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 20 | Union S-G | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 21 | Galatasaray | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 22 | Atalanta | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 23 | Juventus | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6:6 | 2 |
| 24 | Bodo/Glimt | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 2 |
| 25 | Leverkusen | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 26 | Villarreal | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 27 | PSV | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 28 | FC Copenhagen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 29 | Olympiacos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | 1 |
| 30 | Monaco | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:6 | 1 |
| 31 | Slavia Prague | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | 1 |
| 32 | Pafos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:5 | 1 |
| 33 | Benfica | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 34 | Athletic Club | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 35 | Ajax | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:6 | 0 |
| 36 | Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:9 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlético Madrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Frankfurt | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 3 |
| 3 | PSG | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 4 | Marseille | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 5 | Dortmund | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 6 | Club Brugge | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 7 | Sporting | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 8 | Inter Milan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 9 | Bayern Munich | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 10 | Arsenal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 11 | Qarabag FK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 12 | Man City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 13 | Liverpool | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 14 | Real Madrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 15 | Napoli | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 16 | Atalanta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 18 | Chelsea | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 19 | Galatasaray | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 20 | Juventus | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4:4 | 1 |
| 21 | Bodo/Glimt | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 22 | Villarreal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 23 | FC Copenhagen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 24 | Monaco | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 25 | Slavia Prague | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 26 | Leverkusen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 27 | Olympiacos | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 28 | Benfica | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 29 | Newcastle | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 30 | Barcelona | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 31 | PSV | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 32 | Athletic Club | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 33 | Ajax | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 34 | Pafos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 35 | Union S-G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | 0 |
| 36 | Kairat Almaty | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | 0 |
La Liga Table
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 20:9 | 24 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 24:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 4 | Atlético Madrid | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16:10 | 16 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:10 | 16 |
| 6 | Espanyol | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:11 | 15 |
| 7 | Elche | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11:9 | 14 |
| 8 | Athletic Club | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:9 | 14 |
| 9 | Sevilla | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:14 | 13 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 11 | Alavés | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 12 | Getafe | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:12 | 11 |
| 13 | Osasuna | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 7:9 | 10 |
| 14 | Levante | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:17 | 8 |
| 15 | Mallorca | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:14 | 8 |
| 16 | Valencia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:14 | 8 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 9 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 18 | Real Sociedad | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:13 | 6 |
| 19 | Real Oviedo | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4:16 | 6 |
| 20 | Girona | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6:19 | 6 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Villarreal | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:3 | 13 |
| 2 | Atlético Madrid | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Barcelona | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:2 | 12 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 12 |
| 5 | Elche | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 11 |
| 6 | Osasuna | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 10 |
| 7 | Espanyol | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 8 | Athletic Club | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 10 |
| 9 | Real Betis | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 9 |
| 10 | Valencia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 11 | Alavés | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 12 | Getafe | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 5:7 | 5 |
| 14 | Mallorca | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:5 | 5 |
| 15 | Sevilla | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9:10 | 4 |
| 16 | Real Sociedad | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 17 | Girona | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:10 | 4 |
| 18 | Real Oviedo | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:10 | 3 |
| 19 | Rayo Vallecano | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | 2 |
| 20 | Levante | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:12 | 1 |
Premier League Table
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:3 | 19 |
| 2 | Man City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:6 | 16 |
| 3 | Bournemouth | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:11 | 15 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14:11 | 15 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 6 | Tottenham | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:7 | 14 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 14 |
| 8 | Crystal Palace | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:8 | 13 |
| 9 | Man United | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | 13 |
| 10 | Brighton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 11 | Aston Villa | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 12 |
| 12 | Everton | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 13 | Newcastle | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:7 | 9 |
| 14 | Fulham | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:12 | 8 |
| 15 | Leeds | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:13 | 8 |
| 16 | Brentford | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | 7 |
| 17 | Burnley | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:15 | 7 |
| 18 | Nott’m Forest | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:15 | 5 |
| 19 | West Ham | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:16 | 4 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:16 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:1 | 10 |
| 2 | Sunderland | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 10 |
| 3 | Bournemouth | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 10 |
| 4 | Man City | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:3 | 9 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 6 | Man United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 7 | Everton | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 8 |
| 8 | Brighton | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 9 | Burnley | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 10 | Brentford | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 11 | Fulham | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 13 | Aston Villa | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 7 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 15 | Newcastle | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 16 | Leeds | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 5 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 4 |
| 18 | Nott’m Forest | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 19 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:11 | 1 |
| 20 | West Ham | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:10 | 0 |
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