Villarreal vs Manchester City Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 21 Oct 2025

Champions League Betting Preview: Villarreal vs Manchester City

Spanish La Liga team Villarreal host Premier League side Manchester City in this Champions League match at Estadio de la Ceramica, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Tuesday 21 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Villarreal should prove to be competitive against Man City. With this in mind, we’ll back the home team on the Asian Handicap +0.75 at odds of -105, meaning a split stake between 0.5 and +1.0.

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Villarreal drew their last game 2-2 at home, with the action taking place at Estadio de la Ceramica against Real Betis in La Liga. Marcelino Garcia's men recorded 40% possession and had three shots on target, while Tajon Buchanan and Alberto Moleiro each scored one goal.

Manchester City won their previous game, beating Everton at home. It was a 2-0 Premier League victory at Etihad Stadium. The Citizens had seven shots on goal and boasted 71% possession, with Erling Haaland scoring twice.

In their previous Champions League matches, Villarreal played out a 2-2 draw at home to Juventus, while there was a 2-2 City draw away to Monaco.

Champions League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
9	Man City	5	3	1	1	10	5	5	10:5	10
34	Villarreal	5	0	1	4	2	10	-8	2:10	1

View Full Table

Villarreal have 6 wins, 2 losses and 2 draws, averaging 2.0 goals from 5.2 shots on goal and 13.9 attempts. El Submarino Amarillo have averaged 46.0% possession, 435.3 passes and 5.0 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.2 goals from 3.7 shots on goal, 11.8 attempts and 3.4 corners.

Tajon Buchanan and Pape Gueye are the leading goalscorers with 4, while Alberto Moleiro has 2. Sergi Cardona and Etta Eyong have racked up the most assists with 2, while goalkeeper Luiz Junior has 3 clean sheets.

City have won 7, lost 2 and drawn 1, with an average of 2.2 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 13.7 attempts. There’s been an average of 58.3% possession, 552.4 passes, 4.9 corners awarded and 3.4 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.7 goals from 2.9 shots on goal and 9.8 attempts.

Erling Haaland has scored 12 goals, followed by Matheus Nunes, Phil Foden, Tijjani Reijnders and Rayan Cherki on 1. Jeremy Doku has clocked up 3 assists, with Gianluigi Donnarumma, James Trafford and Ederson keeping 5 clean sheets between them in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Villarreal confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Luiz Junior (GK), Santiago Mourino, Juan Foyth, Renato Veiga, Alfonso Pedraza, Santi Comesana, Thomas Partey, Pape Gueye, Nicolas Pepe, Georges Mikautadze, Tajon Buchanan.

Manchester City confirmed lineup (4-1-4-1): Gianluigi Donnarumma (GK), Matheus Nunes, John Stones, Ruben Dias, Josko Gvardiol, Nico Gonzalez, Savinho, Rico Lewis, Bernardo Silva, Jeremy Doku, Erling Haaland.

Villarreal vs Manchester City Prediction & Betting Tips

Get the full betting picture for Villarreal vs Manchester City, including our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, key corners pick, must-watch player props and a tailored bet builder ready to use.

Match Prediction

Villarreal can perform well in this Champions League game and we’re backing the home team at -105 on the Asian Handicap. We think that they will prove competitive and +0.75 is a value bet.

Injuries and suspensions are studied by the team at Sportsgambler.com. Our football predictions also come from studying the latest Champions League form, with the numbers playing a huge part before the tips are decided.

Key Villarreal vs Manchester City Champions League & league stats:

• The +0.75 line has been covered by Villarreal in 12 consecutive games at home.
• The +0.75 line has been covered by Villarreal in 18 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by City in 13 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by City in 6 of their last 10 games on the road.

The top bookmakers are estimating that there is a 51.3% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, our experts think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

There are several options available including selling goals. If you want more juice from your wager, then you can go down this route and take your own view.

Check our complete list of betting promo codes, free bet deals and the latest welcome bonuses before wagering.

Our Match Prediction

Villarreal Asian Hcp +0.75 @ -105 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Villarreal 1 - 1 Man City

There are odds of +650 available that we see a 1-1 scoreline played out. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Oscar Bobb Under 0.5 Shots On Target -132

Oscar Bobb (City) hasn’t registered a shot on goal in eight consecutive games. We think he might not cover the line, with odds of -132 being served up for this Shots on Target bet.

Latest Oscar Bobb Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+320

First

+800

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-112

Under 0.5

-139

Shots

Over 1.5

-133

Under 1.5

-

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Erling Haaland to Score -127

Erling Haaland (City) has scored at least one goal in eight straight games. We’ll use this stat and take odds of -127 that he is able to score at least one goal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Erling Haaland Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

-133

First

+230

Shots On Target

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

+115

Shots

Over 4.5

+125

Under 4.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Man City Under 5.5 Corners -139

The 5.5 corners line has not been covered by City in five consecutive away matches. We’re expecting City to fall short of the line, with this Team Corners bet on offer at -139.

Champions League & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Villarreal

Total

7.80 4.40 3.40

Home

9.70 5.60 4.10

Away

7.80 2.90 4.90

Man City

Total

9.30 5.20 4.10

Home

8.70 6.20 2.50

Away

8.40 4.40 4.00

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-100

Under 9.5

-143

Villarreal Corners

Over 3.5

-102

Under 3.5

-141

Man City Corners

Over 5.5

-120

Under 5.5

-118

Most Corners

1

+275

X

+700

2

-263

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Villarreal vs Manchester City Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Manchester City are available at -152 to come away with a triumph in this Champions League clash, meaning a 60% likelihood of winning according to the published betting odds. Villarreal are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and the outsiders can be backed at +380.

There’s a Half-Time Result market should you wish to predict the outcome at the break. Villarreal are +375 here and the draw is +155, with City on offer at +110.

Over 2.5 Goals is the shortest odds and that means three goals or more are anticipated. Both Teams to Score is one of the top markets and the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -172.

It’s fantastic to find hundreds of markets on offer for Champions League matches. You simply need to visit the best betting apps and select from the various football options that are presented.

Full-Time Result

1

+380

X

+310

2

-152

Half-Time Result

1

+375

X

+155

2

+110

Double Chance

1X

+117

12

-435

X2

-556

Draw No Bet

1

+240

2

-357

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.75

-102

2 Hcp -0.75

-120

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+143

Over 2.5

-179

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-172

No

+132

Erling Haaland is the First Goalscorer favourite at +230 and there’s an opportunity to back him to find the net anytime at -133.

Erling Haaland (City)

First

-133

Anytime

+230

Divine Mukasa (City)

First

+220

Anytime

+500

Sávio de Oliveira (City)

First

+220

Anytime

+525

Omar Marmoush (City)

First

+220

Anytime

+550

Phil Foden (City)

First

+245

Anytime

+600

Georges Mikautadze (Villarreal)

First

+250

Anytime

+650

Ayoze Pérez (Villarreal)

First

+310

Anytime

+850

Oscar Bobb (City)

First

+320

Anytime

+800

Tijjani Reijnders (City)

First

+340

Anytime

+850

Gerard Moreno (Villarreal)

First

+350

Anytime

+950

Nicolas Pepe (Villarreal)

First

+350

Anytime

+1000

Jérémy Doku (City)

First

+360

Anytime

+900

Alberto Moleiro (Villarreal)

First

+370

Anytime

+950

Tani Oluwaseyi (Villarreal)

First

+380

Anytime

+1000

Rodri (City)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Manor Solomon (Villarreal)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Tajon Buchanan (Villarreal)

First

+550

Anytime

+1400

Bernardo Silva (City)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

Ilias Akhomach (Villarreal)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Pape Gueye (Villarreal)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Rayan Aït Nouri (City)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Nico O'Reilly (City)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Mateo Kovacic (City)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Alfonso Pedraza (Villarreal)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Matheus Nunes (City)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Josko Gvardiol (City)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Nico Gonzalez (City)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Sávio de Oliveira (City)

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

+140

Divine Mukasa (City)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

+130

Omar Marmoush (City)

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

+118

Erling Haaland (City)

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

+115

Phil Foden (City)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

+108

Georges Mikautadze (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-102

Tijjani Reijnders (City)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-111

Ayoze Pérez (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

-127

Under 0.5

-123

Nicolas Pepe (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

-114

Under 0.5

-139

Oscar Bobb (City)

Over 0.5

-112

Under 0.5

-139

Gerard Moreno (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-159

Jérémy Doku (City)

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-172

Tani Oluwaseyi (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-175

Manor Solomon (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

+148

Under 0.5

-244

Rodri (City)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-263

Alberto Moleiro (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-286

Tajon Buchanan (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-294

Bernardo Silva (City)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-333

Pape Gueye (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-357

Ilias Akhomach (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

+215

Under 0.5

-385

Alfonso Pedraza (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-667

Nico O'Reilly (City)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-667

Josko Gvardiol (City)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-714

Nico Gonzalez (City)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-769

Erling Haaland (City)

Over 4.5

+125

Under 4.5

-

Divine Mukasa (City)

Over 2.5

+106

Under 2.5

-

Sávio de Oliveira (City)

Over 2.5

-118

Under 2.5

-

Omar Marmoush (City)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-

Phil Foden (City)

Over 2.5

+117

Under 2.5

-

Tijjani Reijnders (City)

Over 2.5

+108

Under 2.5

-

Tani Oluwaseyi (Villarreal)

Over 1.5

-120

Under 1.5

-

Jérémy Doku (City)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-

Nicolas Pepe (Villarreal)

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-

Gerard Moreno (Villarreal)

Over 1.5

+120

Under 1.5

-

Oscar Bobb (City)

Over 1.5

-133

Under 1.5

-

Ayoze Pérez (Villarreal)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

-

Georges Mikautadze (Villarreal)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

Alberto Moleiro (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Rodri (City)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

-

Tajon Buchanan (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Bernardo Silva (City)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-

Pape Gueye (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

-

Latest Champions League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Villarreal Stats

Manchester City Stats

Full-Time Result

• 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
• 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 2.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.60 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 2.20 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.20 goals scored and 0.40 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.60 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 5.00 corners awarded and 3.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 6.20 corners awarded and 4.20 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 8.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 10.40 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 3.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 4.40 corners awarded and 4.10 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 8.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 8.50 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 46.00% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 50.50% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 58.30% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 59.20% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 away matches

Villarreal vs Manchester City Lineups & Team News

Check the Villarreal vs City team news before you place your bets. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Champions League together with updated injury news.

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