Villarreal vs Real Madrid Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 24 Jan 2026

La Liga Betting Preview: Villarreal vs Real Madrid

Third-placed Villarreal take on second-placed Real Madrid at Estadio de la Ceramica, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Saturday 24 January.

There’s a strong case for backing Villarreal +0.5 on the Asian Handicap in their meeting with Real Madrid. Landing odds of -123 looks like great value and we simply need the Yellow Submarines to avoid a defeat here.

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Villarreal suffered a defeat in their last La Liga game. A 2-0 scoreline occurred at Estadio de La Cartuja against Real Betis. The Yellow Submarines had 40% possession and three shots on target.

On Tuesday night, Villarreal were beaten 2-1 when hosting Ajax in the Champions League.

Real Madrid beat Levante in their previous La Liga game, making it four straight league victories. It was a 2-0 home win at Santiago Bernabéu. Alvaro Arbeloa's side boasted 71% possession and had eleven shots on goal, with Kylian Mbappe and Raul Asencio finding the net.

Four days ago, Real claimed a 6-1 victory when facing Monaco at home in the Champions League.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Real have landed three consecutive wins over Villarreal. Their last clash was at Santiago Bernabéu, with Real claiming a 3-1 home victory. The previous 10 H2H games have featured five Real wins, three draws and two Villarreal victories.

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Real Madrid	20	15	3	2	43	17	26	43:17	48
3	Villarreal	19	13	2	4	37	19	18	37:19	41

View Full Table

8 wins and 2 losses, averaging 2.1 goals from 4.9 shots on goal and 10.9 attempts. Villarreal have had 42.3% possession, 375.2 passes and 3.1 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 0.9 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 12.0 attempts, while being awarded 5.2 corners.

Alberto Moleiro leads the way with 6 goals, while Gerard Moreno and Georges Mikautadze have scored 5 and 3 respectively. Leading assistor is Ayoze Perez with 3, while goalie Luiz Junior has recorded 4 clean sheets.

Real have 6 victories, 1 defeat and 3 draws, with an average of 2.1 goals from 19.7 attempts and 7.5 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 58.3% possession, 579.1 passes, 6.9 corners in their favour and 3.4 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.7 goals from 10.3 attempts and 3.5 shots on goal.

The top scorers have been Kylian Mbappe on 8, followed by Gonzalo Garcia and Jude Bellingham with 3. Arda Guler, Federico Valverde and Rodrygo have clocked up 3 assists, with Thibaut Courtois keeping 5 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Villarreal predicted lineup (4-4-2): Luiz Junior (GK), Pau Navarro, Juan Foyth, Renato Veiga, Alfonso Pedraza, Tajon Buchanan, Thomas Partey, Daniel Parejo, Alberto Moleiro, Gerard Moreno, Georges Mikautadze.

Real Madrid predicted lineup (4-3-3): Thibaut Courtois (GK), Federico Valverde, Raul Asencio, Dean Huijsen, Alvaro Carreras, Eduardo Camavinga, Dani Ceballos, Jude Bellingham, Gonzalo Garcia, Kylian Mbappe, Vinicius Junior.

Villarreal vs Real Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ve got your Villarreal vs Real Madrid bets covered, including our expert match prediction, correct score tip, corners outlook, must-see player props and a tailored bet builder built for value.

Match Prediction

Villarreal are a confident choice with a +0.5 goal start. The home team should be able to win or draw this La Liga game, with this Asian Handicap prediction looking like a value bet at -123.

The latest La Liga injury and suspension news can have a big bearing and we use this data as well as the latest form guide. We’re also keen to study the football stats so that we can get the fullest picture of how the action might happen.

Key Villarreal vs Real Madrid league stats:

• The +0.5 line has been covered by Villarreal in 9 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Villarreal in 18 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Real in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.

The betting apps are estimating that there is a 55.2% likelihood of this pick landing a return. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be somewhere between 60-65%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

Looking for more juice from your selection? By moving the line, you are able to get bigger betting odds although you will need to take a riskier bet.

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Our Match Prediction

Villarreal Asian Hcp +0.5 @ -123 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Villarreal 1 - 1 Real Madrid

We’re sweet on the prospect of a 1-1 draw which is available at odds of +650. Correct score betting can be rewarding and you can also get plenty of entertainment with this option.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Georges Mikautadze Over 0.5 Shots On Target -139

Georges Mikautadze (Villarreal) has registered at least one shot on goal in five consecutive La Liga matches. We’re expecting this data to be backed up and for him to cover the Shots on Target line at odds of -139.

Latest Georges Mikautadze Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+230

First

+650

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-125

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

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Tajon Buchanan to Score +430

Tajon Buchanan (Villarreal) has managed five goals in his past ten La Liga matches on home soil. It’s worth a gamble on the +430 for him to be Anytime Goalscorer as there’s plenty of juice in these betting odds.

Latest Tajon Buchanan Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+430

First

+1200

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-313

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Real Madrid To Have Most Corners -156

In six straight away games, Real Madrid have been awarded the most corners. Real might come out on top in terms of corners awarded and odds of -156 make appeal.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Villarreal

Total

8.30 3.10 5.20

Home

9.10 5.30 3.80

Away

8.20 2.80 5.40

Real Madrid

Total

10.30 6.90 3.40

Home

9.30 6.60 2.70

Away

10.20 6.10 4.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-137

Under 9.5

-104

Villarreal Corners

Over 4.5

+108

Under 4.5

-154

Real Madrid Corners

Over 5.5

-103

Under 5.5

-139

Most Corners

1

+155

X

+650

2

-152

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Villarreal vs Real Madrid Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The bookmakers have Real Madrid at -100 when it comes to 1x2. This suggests that the favourites have a 50% chance of winning this La Liga clash based on the betting odds. Villarreal are the +225 outsiders, with the draw being a different option which could yield dividends.

Real and Villarreal can be backed at -200 and +135 respectively on the Draw No Bet market. This is an ideal route for bettors who want to ensure they have money back if the scoreline ends level.

There’s a high probability that Over 2.5 Goals will be netted according to the current prices. If both teams to score is something you think will happen, there’s an opportunity to wager Yes at -238 on the BTTS market.

The top football betting sites definitely give customers lots of choice. When it comes to La Liga games, choose from hundreds of markets until you find the most attractive odds.

Full-Time Result

1

+225

X

+290

2

-100

Half-Time Result

1

+245

X

+155

2

+148

Double Chance

1X

-132

12

-400

X2

-303

Draw No Bet

1

+135

2

-200

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.5

-123

2 Hcp -0.5

-100

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+165

Over 2.5

-222

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-238

No

+175

Kylian Mbappé is priced at +300 when it comes to First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and also available at odds of -118 to find the net anytime.

Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid)

First

-118

Anytime

+300

Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid)

First

+205

Anytime

+650

Rodrygo (Real Madrid)

First

+215

Anytime

+650

Gonzalo García (Real Madrid)

First

+220

Anytime

+600

Georges Mikautadze (Villarreal)

First

+230

Anytime

+650

Ayoze Pérez (Villarreal)

First

+230

Anytime

+700

Gerard Moreno (Villarreal)

First

+240

Anytime

+700

Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid)

First

+260

Anytime

+800

Nicolas Pepe (Villarreal)

First

+270

Anytime

+800

Tani Oluwaseyi (Villarreal)

First

+280

Anytime

+850

Alberto Moleiro (Villarreal)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

Arda Guler (Real Madrid)

First

+380

Anytime

+1050

Franco Mastantuono (Real Madrid)

First

+380

Anytime

+1100

Tajon Buchanan (Villarreal)

First

+430

Anytime

+1200

Brahim Díaz (Real Madrid)

First

+500

Anytime

+1400

Pape Gueye (Villarreal)

First

+525

Anytime

+1500

Ilias Akhomach (Villarreal)

First

+550

Anytime

+1600

Eduardo Camavinga (Real Madrid)

First

+650

Anytime

+1900

Federico Valverde (Real Madrid)

First

+650

Anytime

+2000

Alfonso Pedraza (Villarreal)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Dani Parejo (Villarreal)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+115

Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

-100

Rodrygo (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-105

Gonzalo García (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-111

Georges Mikautadze (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-125

Ayoze Pérez (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

-130

Under 0.5

-133

Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-139

Gerard Moreno (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

-122

Under 0.5

-143

Alberto Moleiro (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-159

Nicolas Pepe (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-164

Tani Oluwaseyi (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-175

Arda Guler (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-244

Franco Mastantuono (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-238

Tajon Buchanan (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-313

Brahim Díaz (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-333

Pape Gueye (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-400

Federico Valverde (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-400

Ilias Akhomach (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-455

Eduardo Camavinga (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-556

Alfonso Pedraza (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-714

Dani Parejo (Villarreal)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-769

Villarreal have racked up four wins, four defeats and two draws in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 1.80 goals per game and conceding 1.50.

Real Madrid are unbeaten in the last six games on their travels. Los Merengues have recorded six victories, three draws and one defeat in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 2.00 goals per game and conceding 1.10.

Real won 2-1 when they last played Villarreal at Estadio de la Ceramica. The 7 previous H2H matches at Estadio de la Ceramica have involved five draws, while Villarreal and Real have both triumphed once.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Villarreal Home Stats		4-2-4	3.30	1.80	1.50	7	3	6	4
Real Madrid Away Stats		6-3-1	3.10	2.00	1.10	7	3	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Villarreal vs Real Madrid Lineups & Team News

Don’t bet on Villarreal vs Real without reviewing the latest team news. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for La Liga along with the latest injury news.

Villarreal Team Page Real Madrid Team Page

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