Vitória vs Bahia Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 Oct 2025

Série A Betting Preview: Vitória vs Bahia

Vitória host Bahia in this Brazilian Série A meeting at Estádio Manoel Barradas, with kick-off set for 20:30 on Thursday 16 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

When Vitória meet Bahia, we will back the hosts at -141 on the Asian Handicap +0.25. With the stake split between 0 and +0.5, they look capable of landing a return by avoiding defeat.

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Vitória were defeated in their last game. Away from home, they suffered a 4-3 loss against Vasco da Gama. Jair Ventura's team had just 31% possession and recorded three shots on target, while Aitor Cantalapiedra, Lucas Halter and Raul Caceres scored one goal each.

Bahia have back-to-back Série A losses away from home. Their previous league match was at home where they recorded a 1-0 win over Flamengo. The Squad of Steel were 52% in the possession stakes and managed four shots on goal, with Willian Jose on target late in the first half.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Bahia have won the last two encounters against Vitória, with home victories being achieved by scorelines of 2-1 and 2-0. In addition to a draw, Bahia have been dominant with two wins in the previous 3 H2H matches.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
7	Bahia	36	16	9	11	48	44	4	48:44	57
17	Vitória	35	9	12	14	32	48	-16	32:48	39

View Full Table

Vitória have 2 wins, 6 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.0 goals from 3.4 shots on goal and 8.0 attempts. Barra's Lion have averaged 42.4% possession and 3.9 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 2.4 goals from 4.9 shots on goal, 10.2 attempts and 4.4 corners.

Renato Kayzer is the top scorer with 3 goals, while Aitor Cantalapiedra and Erick both have 2. The leading assistors are Erick and Aitor Cantalapiedra with 2.

Bahia have 4 victories, 4 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 1.4 goals from 9.0 attempts and 4.5 shots on goal. Rogerio Ceni's side average 52.2% possession, 3.6 corners in their favour and 4.0 corners against, while conceding 1.7 goals from 10.5 attempts and 5.1 shots on goal.

The leading scorer has been Willian Jose with 3, while Rodrigo Nestor and Luciano Juba have 2. Willian Jose has been top assists provider with 3 in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Vitória confirmed lineup (3-2-4-1): Lucas Arcanjo (GK), Edu, Camutanga, Ze Marcos, Raul Caceres, Ramon, Erick, Ronald, Gabriel Baralhas, Aitor Cantalapiedra, Renato Kayzer.

Bahia confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Ronaldo (GK), Santiago Arias, Gabriel Xavier, David Duarte, Ademir Santos, Nicolas Acevedo, Rezende, Mateo Sanabria, Rodrigo Nestor, Tiago, Jean Lucas.

Vitória vs Bahia Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ve lined up expert Vitória vs Bahia betting tips, from our match prediction and correct score call to corners betting insight, best player prop picks and bet builder advice. Read on for the full breakdown.

Match Prediction

If you agree with our verdict that Vitória can avoid defeat in this Série A clash, then you can back them with a +0.25 goal start at -141. There are several reasons to back this selection.

In order to come up with the best football predictions, we like to know the Série A team news and study the latest form. There are also plenty of numbers to crunch from the available stats.

Key Vitória vs Bahia league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Vitória in 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Vitória in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Bahia in 4 consecutive games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Bahia in 8 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Bahia in 15 of their last 19 games on the road.

The betting odds at the top bookies suggest our pick carries a 58.5% chance of winning. However, our experts think that the probability sits between 65-70% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we can recommend this wager.

Buying and selling goals is something that can be done if you want to move the existing line. Take a position according to your viewpoint, whether you want more risk or reward.

Explore the latest free bet promotions and welcome bonuses in our expert betting guide, updated with the best offers.

Our Match Prediction

Vitória Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -141 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Vitória 1 - 0 Bahia

Vitória can be backed to win 1-0 when it comes to the correct score. We’ll go for the +525 that this happens and hopefully we’ll get a good run for our money.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Mateo Sanabria Under 0.5 Shots On Target -149

Mateo Sanabria (Bahia) is available at -149 to fail to register a shot on goal. He looks like an attractive pick and we’ll have a bet on this Shots on Target outcome as the betting odds stand out.

Latest Mateo Sanabria Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+430

First

+850

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-167

Shots

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

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Gabriel Baralhas To Score +800

Gabriel Baralhas (Vitória) can be backed at +800 to be among the goals. He looks like a value bet to find the net and we recommend backing this Anytime Goalscorer pick.

Latest Gabriel Baralhas Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+850

First

+1700

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-400

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Corners Prediction

Vitória To Have Most Corners +108

Vitória have had a corner average of 5.70 in the past 10 home games, with Bahia averaging 3.00 corners in their last 5 away matches. Vitória should be capable of winning this Corner Match Bet and the odds of +108 look value.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Vitória

Total

8.30 3.90 4.40

Home

10.60 5.70 4.90

Away

8.10 3.70 4.40

Bahia

Total

7.60 3.60 4.00

Home

7.20 3.60 3.60

Away

10.00 4.40 5.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-102

Under 9.5

-139

Vitória Corners

Over 4.5

-125

Under 4.5

-110

Bahia Corners

Over 4.5

-110

Under 4.5

-125

Most Corners

1

+110

X

+600

2

+104

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Vitória vs Bahia Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The draw is currently trading at +195 if you think this Série A encounter will end all square, while Vitória have betting odds of +165 and Bahia are +188 to land a victory of their own.

If you fancy Vitória but want money back if the game ends in a draw, then you can secure odds of -125. Alternatively, there’s the chance to wager on Bahia at -108 on the Draw No Bet market.

Under 2.5 Goals is operating at the shortest price for those anticipating two or less goals. Providing that at least one side fails to score, then the No pick on the Both Teams to Score market will be a winner at -154.

If you’re wanting hundreds of football markets, then the good news is that the best betting apps can provide this. For any Série A game, take your pick and hopefully find a winning angle.

Full-Time Result

1

+165

X

+195

2

+188

Half-Time Result

1

+245

X

-105

2

+255

Double Chance

1X

-263

12

-270

X2

-227

Draw No Bet

1

-125

2

-108

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

+123

2 Hcp +0.25

-154

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-217

Over 2.5

+163

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+108

No

-154

Favourite Romarinho da Silva is +550 to be the First Goalscorer, while similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.

Romarinho da Silva (Vitória)

First

+280

Anytime

+550

Renato Kayzer de Souza (Vitória)

First

+310

Anytime

+575

Kayky da Silva Chagas (Bahia)

First

+370

Anytime

+750

Matheus Paulo "Matheuzinho" (Vitória)

First

+410

Anytime

+900

Mateo Sanabria (Bahia)

First

+430

Anytime

+850

Erick de Arruda Serafim (Vitória)

First

+500

Anytime

+950

Ademir da Silva Santos Júnior (Bahia)

First

+550

Anytime

+1000

Osvaldo Filho (Vitória)

First

+550

Anytime

+1000

Michel Araujo (Bahia)

First

+650

Anytime

+1200

Cauly Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

First

+700

Anytime

+1300

Jean Lucas Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

First

+700

Anytime

+1300

Ronald dos Santos Lopes (Vitória)

First

+750

Anytime

+1500

Rodrigo Nestor (Bahia)

First

+850

Anytime

+1500

Gabriel Baralhas (Vitória)

First

+850

Anytime

+1700

Willian Oliveira (Vitória)

First

+900

Anytime

+1700

Éverton Ribeiro (Bahia)

First

+900

Anytime

+1800

Lucas Braga (Vitória)

First

+900

Anytime

+1900

Hueglo dos Santos Neris "Neris" (Vitória)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Ricardo Ryller (Vitória)

First

+1000

Anytime

+1900

Júlio César de 'Rezende' Miranda (Bahia)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2000

Nicolás Acevedo (Bahia)

First

+1200

Anytime

+2200

Romarinho da Silva (Vitória)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+125

Renato Kayzer de Souza (Vitória)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

+110

Kayky da Silva Chagas (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-122

Under 0.5

-132

Matheus Paulo "Matheuzinho" (Vitória)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-154

Mateo Sanabria (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-167

Erick de Arruda Serafim (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+117

Under 0.5

-185

Osvaldo Filho (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-200

Ademir da Silva Santos Júnior (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+143

Under 0.5

-238

Michel Araujo (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-286

Jean Lucas Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-345

Ronald dos Santos Lopes (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-333

Cauly Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-357

Gabriel Baralhas (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-400

Willian Oliveira (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-435

Lucas Braga (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+235

Under 0.5

-435

Ricardo Ryller (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-526

Hueglo dos Santos Neris "Neris" (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-714

Romarinho da Silva (Vitória)

Over 2.5

-130

Under 2.5

-

Renato Kayzer de Souza (Vitória)

Over 2.5

-105

Under 2.5

-

Kayky da Silva Chagas (Bahia)

Over 2.5

+145

Under 2.5

-

Erick de Arruda Serafim (Vitória)

Over 2.5

-102

Under 2.5

-

Matheus Paulo "Matheuzinho" (Vitória)

Over 1.5

-139

Under 1.5

-

Mateo Sanabria (Bahia)

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

Ademir da Silva Santos Júnior (Bahia)

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

-

Osvaldo Filho (Vitória)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-

Jean Lucas Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Ronald dos Santos Lopes (Vitória)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-

Willian Oliveira (Vitória)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Hueglo dos Santos Neris "Neris" (Vitória)

Over 0.5

-119

Under 0.5

-

Vitória vs Bahia Lineups & Team News

Be prepared — check the Vitória vs Bahia team news before wagering. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for Série A together with updated injury news.

Vitória Team Page Bahia Team Page

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