Watford vs Burnley Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 18 Apr 2025

We’re Not Expecting the Goal Tally to Exceed Two

We’re expecting a low goal tally when Watford and Burnley go up against each other. The Total Goals market provides the opportunity to wager on Under 2.5 and the price of -163 looks attractive.

Teams’ Last H2H Saw 2-1 Burnley Win

Watford were beaten last game and this was on their travels at The Hawthorns. West Bromwich Albion claimed a 2-1 win. Tom Cleverley's team had most of the ball recording 61% possession and three shots on target, with Moussa Sissoko getting the goal.

Burnley won their previous game, beating Norwich City at home. It was a 2-1 win at Turf Moor. The Lancashire club had 45% possession and managed two shots on goal, with Hannibal Mejbri and Jaidon Anthony both on target.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Burnley claimed victory in the previous meeting between these teams. A 2-1 home win was registered against Watford at Turf Moor. The previous 8 H2H meetings have involved four Burnley wins, one Watford victory and three draws.

4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws, averaging 0.8 goals from 3.2 shots on goal and 9.3 attempts. Watford have had 57.7% possession and 6.0 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 0.7 goals from 3.4 shots on goal and 7.1 attempts, while being awarded 4.5 corners.

Moussa Sissoko is the top scorer with 4 goals, while Mamadou Doumbia, Matthew Pollock, Tom Dele-Bashiru and Edo Kayembe each have 1. Leading assistor is Imran Louza with 3.

Burnley have won 7 and drawn 3, averaging 3.4 shots on goal, 8.1 attempts and 1.8 goals. Scott Parker's men average 56.4% possession, 5.2 corners awarded and 3.8 corners against, while 0.4 goals have been conceded from 5.3 attempts and 1.9 shots on goal.

Jaidon Anthony and Josh Brownhill have scored 4 goals, followed by Zian Flemming with 2. Jaidon Anthony has managed 3 assists in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Watford confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Egil Selvik (GK), Jeremy Ngakia, Matthew Pollock, James Abankwah, Caleb Wiley, Imran Louza, Pierre Dwomoh, Moussa Sissoko, Edo Kayembe, Rocco Vata, Mamadou Doumbia.

Burnley confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): James Trafford (GK), Connor Roberts, CJ Egan-Riley, Maxime Esteve, Lucas Pires, Josh Brownhill, Josh Cullen, Marcus Edwards, Hannibal Mejbri, Jaidon Anthony, Zian Flemming.

Watford vs Burnley Prediction & Betting Tips

The price of -163 looks particularly appealing when it comes to wagering Under 2.5 for this Championship showdown. It’s expected that these teams could be set to play out a low-scoring clash.

Sportsgambler.com boast football expertise and that comes from knowing the team news once it’s announced. The latest form will also fuel our predictions and we make sure that the best stats are on hand.

Key Watford vs Burnley league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Watford games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Watford games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Watford games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 16 of the last 20 Burnley games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Burnley games on the road.

Under 2.5 Probability

According to the bookies, our pick has a 61.9% chance of landing a return. However, our tipsters in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 65-70%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

There’s the chance to back Under 2.5 Goals and BTTS No if you want to get more bang for your buck, with bettors able to take this selection through the Total Goals & Both Teams to Score market.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -163 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Watford 0 - 1 Burnley

We’ve picked out a correct score of 1-0 being landed by Burnley. You can secure odds of +480 and this provides an alternative way to place a wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Josh Brownhill to Score +290

Josh Brownhill (Burnley) has managed four goals in his past ten Championship matches. When it comes to him finding the net, we believe the +290 available is appealing when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Josh Brownhill Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+280

First

+575

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-167

Shots

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Burnley Under 5.5 Corners -138

The 5.5 corners line has not been covered by Burnley in their past three games, with the corner count against Watford going under 5.5 in their last five matches. There’s a price of -138 for this Team Corners bet and we think the Burnley line is too big.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Watford

Total

10.50 6.00 4.50

Home

10.00 5.80 4.20

Away

9.20 4.60 4.60

Burnley

Total

9.00 5.20 3.80

Home

9.50 6.00 3.50

Away

8.30 4.20 4.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-125

Under 9.5

-110

Watford Corners

Over 4.5

+110

Under 4.5

-150

Burnley Corners

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-138

Most Corners

1

+165

X

+575

2

-182

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Watford vs Burnley Odds

For this Championship match, the leading bookies’ betting odds mean Burnley are the -150 favourite to win and that means a 60% chance of winning. For those wanting to back Watford, you will find +450 about this outsider.

A low-scoring game will be anticipated by many and Under 2.5 Goals currently has the shortest odds.

To combine various Championship selections within the same match, you will find football betting sites offer a Bet Builder. Start adding the picks you fancy until you’re happy with the overall payout.

Full-Time Result

1

+450

X

+260

2

-150

Half-Time Result

1

+500

X

+105

2

+137.5

Double Chance

1X

+115

12

-350

X2

-699

Draw No Bet

1

+275

2

-400

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.75

-102

2 Hcp -0.75

-109

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-150

Over 2.5

+120

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+110

No

-150

Zian Flemming Favorite to Be First Goalscorer

Zian Flemming is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +540. Alternatively, there’s the chance to back him to find the net at any stage at +230.

Zian Flemming (Burnley)

First

+230

Anytime

+540

Benson Manuel (Burnley)

First

+240

Anytime

+525

Josh Brownhill (Burnley)

First

+280

Anytime

+575

Lyle Foster (Burnley)

First

+295

Anytime

+650

Marcus Edwards (Burnley)

First

+310

Anytime

+650

Luca Koleosho (Burnley)

First

+325

Anytime

+750

Jeremy Sarmiento (Burnley)

First

+350

Anytime

+750

Vakoun Issouf Bayo (Watford)

First

+375

Anytime

+800

Jaidon Anthony (Burnley)

First

+450

Anytime

+1000

Mamadou Doumbia (Watford)

First

+450

Anytime

+1000

Kwadwo Baah (Watford)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

Josh Laurent (Burnley)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Hannibal Mejbri (Burnley)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Rocco Vata (Watford)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Edo Kayembe (Watford)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Tom Ince (Watford)

First

+750

Anytime

+1500

Giorgi Chakvetadze (Watford)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Tom Dele-Bashiru (Watford)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Moussa Sissoko (Watford)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Zian Flemming (Burnley)

Over 0.5

-141

Under 0.5

-119

Benson Manuel (Burnley)

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-127

Josh Brownhill (Burnley)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-167

Vakoun Issouf Bayo (Watford)

Over 0.5

+104

Under 0.5

-175

Lyle Foster (Burnley)

Over 0.5

+106

Under 0.5

-182

Jaidon Anthony (Burnley)

Over 0.5

+116

Under 0.5

-200

Marcus Edwards (Burnley)

Over 0.5

+116

Under 0.5

-200

Luca Koleosho (Burnley)

Over 0.5

+128

Under 0.5

-222

Jeremy Sarmiento (Burnley)

Over 0.5

+132

Under 0.5

-233

Mamadou Doumbia (Watford)

Over 0.5

+132

Under 0.5

-233

Kwadwo Baah (Watford)

Over 0.5

+163

Under 0.5

-294

Rocco Vata (Watford)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-417

Edo Kayembe (Watford)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-455

Tom Ince (Watford)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-476

Giorgi Chakvetadze (Watford)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-500

Josh Laurent (Burnley)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-500

Tom Dele-Bashiru (Watford)

Over 0.5

+295

Under 0.5

-769

Zian Flemming (Burnley)

Over 2.5

+102

Under 2.5

-

Benson Manuel (Burnley)

Over 2.5

+116

Under 2.5

-

Josh Brownhill (Burnley)

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

-

Lyle Foster (Burnley)

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

-

Marcus Edwards (Burnley)

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-

Luca Koleosho (Burnley)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-

Jeremy Sarmiento (Burnley)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

Vakoun Issouf Bayo (Watford)

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-

Jaidon Anthony (Burnley)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Mamadou Doumbia (Watford)

Over 1.5

-110

Under 1.5

-

Kwadwo Baah (Watford)

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-

Rocco Vata (Watford)

Over 0.5

-270

Under 0.5

-

Edo Kayembe (Watford)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Tom Ince (Watford)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Giorgi Chakvetadze (Watford)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

-

Watford vs Burnley Lineups & Team News

It’s good to know about any injuries and this is reflected in our Watford vs Burnley team news, with this leading to predicted and confirmed lineups.

The Championship squads highlight the star players operating for every team in the division.

Watford Team Page Burnley Team Page