Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 24 Nov 2024


Few Goals Expected
We can’t resist the opportunity to back Under 2.5 when Wellington go up against Melbourne Victory. The Total Goals market provides the opportunity to take a price of -110 and we anticipate a return here.
Victory Won Last H2H in Extra Time
Wellington Phoenix won last time out by a 3-0 scoreline. It was on the road against Central Coast Mariners at Industree Group Stadium. The Nix had 46% possession and five shots on target, with Hideki Ishige, Kosta Barbarouses and Sam Sutton each scoring one goal.
Melbourne Victory claimed a home win in their previous game. A 2-0 triumph against Brisbane Roar at AAMI Park made it three consecutive victories. Patrick Kisnorbo's team were restricted to just 38% possession and had three shots on goal, while Nishan Velupillay and Jason Geria were both on target.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Victory had the edge in the most recent encounter between these teams. At Sky Stadium, they recorded a 2-1 win over Wellington. In the past 10 H2H meetings, there has been three draws. Victory have won five games and Wellington two.
A-League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | ![]() |
26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 44:36 | 43 |
11 | ![]() |
26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 27:43 | 24 |
Wellington have 4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 8.9 attempts and 3.9 shots on goal. Giancarlo Italiano's side have averaged 52.1% possession and 4.5 corners per game, conceding 0.8 goals and 6.6 corners from 10.7 attempts and 4.0 shots on goal.
Kosta Barbarouses leads the way with 4 goals, with Tim Payne and Oskar Zawada scoring 2 each. Leading assistor is Hideki Ishige with 3.
Melbourne Victory – Last 10 League GamesVictory have 5 victories, 2 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 1.7 goals from 10.0 attempts and 4.7 shots on goal. The Boys in Blue average 44.3% possession, 4.3 corners awarded and 8.0 corners against them, while conceding 1.3 goals from 11.7 attempts and 4.7 shots on goal.
Nishan Velupillay and Daniel Arzani have 3 and they’re top of the team’s scoring charts, with Jason Geria on 2. Reno Piscopo and Kasey Bos have both managed 2 assists in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Wellington Phoenix confirmed lineup (4-2-2-2): Josh Oluwayemi (GK), Matthew Sheridan, Alex Rufer, Scott Wootton, Isaac Robert Hughes, Kazuki Nagasawa, Paulo Retre, Oskar van Hattum, Nathan Walker, Kosta Barbarouses, Hideki Ishige.
Melbourne Victory confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Jack Duncan (GK), Jason Geria, Brendan Hamill, Roderick Miranda, Kasey Bos, Jordi Valadon, Ryan Teague, Clarismario Rodrigus, Zinedine Machach, Daniel Arzani, Nikolaos Vergos.
Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory Prediction & Betting Tips
The best plan of attack could be backing Under 2.5 Goals for this A-League encounter. We can land odds of -110 when it comes to this wager and that looks to be a very fair price.
The latest team news and current form are always useful information when it comes to providing football tips. It’s also important to pay attention to the available stats so that we make the best predictions.
Key Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory league stats:
Under 2.5 Probability
According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. Based on our tipsters research, we calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.
Under 2.5 Goals is a pick that can be included in a Bet Builder. You can load up the bet slip with a variety of options and get paid out if they all end up winning, with bigger odds secured.

Correct Score Prediction
There’s the option to bet on the two teams to play out a 0-0 draw. Odds of +650 are on offer and this is a correct score wager that should provide plenty of entertainment.
Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory Odds
With a 56% chance of winning, Melbourne Victory are favourites to win this A-League match and they’re available at betting odds of -125 with the bookies. The market suggests that Wellington Phoenix are least likely to win at +350.
It’s hard to split the odds between Over 2.5 Goals and Under 2.5 Goals for this match.
To combine various A-League selections within the same match, you will find football betting sites offer a Bet Builder. Start adding the picks you fancy until you’re happy with the overall payout.







- A-League: 14/02 2025 Melbourne Victory 1 Wellington 0
- A-League: 24/11 2024 Wellington 1 Melbourne Victory 0
- A-League: 18/05 2024 Wellington 1 Melbourne Victory 2
- A-League: 12/05 2024 Melbourne Victory 0 Wellington 0
- A-League: 12/04 2024 Wellington 1 Melbourne Victory 0
- A-League: 19/01 2024 Wellington 1 Melbourne Victory 1
- A-League: 10/11 2023 Melbourne Victory 1 Wellington 1
- A-League: 01/04 2023 Wellington 1 Melbourne Victory 2
- A-League: 03/02 2023 Melbourne Victory 3 Wellington 1
- A-League: 29/04 2022 Melbourne Victory 3 Wellington 1


- 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.90 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.00 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.30 corners awarded and 6.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.70 corners awarded and 6.40 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.00 corners awarded and 4.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.70 corners awarded and 5.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.00 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 43.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 47.20% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 55.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 53.20% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Wellington Phoenix this season are Kosta Barbarouses (9), Corban Piper (2), Hideki Ishige (2)
- Top Assistors for Wellington Phoenix this season are Hideki Ishige (7), Kazuki Nagasawa (3), Marco Rojas (2)
Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory Lineups & Team News
Our Wellington vs Victory team news will highlight the injuries for both squads, with the lineups giving you a helping hand with your bets.
The A-League squad information is a great asset when it comes to making your bets.
Wellington Phoenix Confirmed Lineup 4-2-2-2
Melbourne Victory Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Wellington Phoenix Confirmed Lineup 4-2-2-2
Melbourne Victory Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Wellington Phoenix Substitutes
- 3Corban Piper
- 11Stefan Colakovski
- 12Mohamed Al-Taay
- 21Marco Rojas
- 30Alby Kelly-Heald
- 36Tze-Xuan Loke
- 39Jayden Smith
Melbourne Victory Substitutes
- 3Adama Traore
- 10Bruno Fornaroli
- 18Fabian Monge
- 19Jing Reec
- 22Joshua Rawlins
- 27Reno Piscopo
- 30Daniel Graskoski
Previous Wellington Phoenix Lineups
Previous Melbourne Victory Lineups
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Auckland | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 49:27 | 53 |
2 | Melb City | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 41:25 | 48 |
3 | Western United | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 55:37 | 47 |
4 | Western Sydney | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 58:40 | 46 |
5 | Melb Victory | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 44:36 | 43 |
6 | Adelaide United | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 53:55 | 38 |
7 | Sydney FC | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 53:46 | 37 |
8 | Macarthur | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 50:45 | 33 |
9 | Newcastle Jets | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 43:44 | 30 |
10 | Central Coast | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 29:51 | 26 |
11 | Wellington | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 27:43 | 24 |
12 | Brisbane Roar | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 32:51 | 21 |
13 | Perth Glory | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 22:56 | 17 |
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Auckland | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 26:14 | 28 |
2 | Melb City | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 20:11 | 26 |
3 | Melb Victory | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26:16 | 25 |
4 | Western United | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23:14 | 24 |
5 | Sydney FC | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 36:25 | 21 |
6 | Western Sydney | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 31:23 | 20 |
7 | Adelaide United | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 27:27 | 17 |
8 | Newcastle Jets | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 22:22 | 12 |
9 | Wellington | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:17 | 11 |
10 | Central Coast | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13:27 | 11 |
11 | Macarthur | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 22:25 | 10 |
12 | Brisbane Roar | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12:26 | 8 |
13 | Perth Glory | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11:29 | 8 |

















