Werder Bremen vs St. Pauli Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 Oct 2025
Bundesliga Betting Preview: Werder Bremen vs St. Pauli
Werder Bremen host St. Pauli in this German Bundesliga fixture at Weserstadion, with kick-off set for 09:30 on Saturday 4 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.
St. Pauli +0.25 at -132 on the Asian Handicap could be the bet to have. We’re expecting them to avoid defeat against Werder Bremen, with our stake divided equally between 0 and +0.5 in the hope the away team can land a win.
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Werder Bremen have been defeated in back-to-back Bundesliga games. On the road at Allianz Arena, Bayern Munich recently beat them 4-0. The Werderaner had three shots on target and 45% possession.
St. Pauli have now been defeated in back-to-back league games. This includes losing at home to Bayer Leverkusen by a 2-1 scoreline. Alexander Blessin's side had 49% of possession and five shots on goal, while Hauke Wahl found the net.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Werder are unbeaten in the past four matches against St. Pauli, with the last encounter ending in a 0-0 draw at Weserstadion. The previous 4 H2H games have featured three draws and one Werder victory.
| Bundesliga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 |  Werder Bremen |
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 15:18 | 15 |
| 16 |  St. Pauli |
10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 9:20 | 7 |
3 wins, 3 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 5.1 shots on goal and 12.8 attempts. Werder have had 50.7% possession, 461.4 passes and 3.9 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.7 goals from 5.3 shots on goal and 14.9 attempts, while being awarded 5.5 corners.
Jens Stage is the top scorer with 4 goals, while Romano Schmid has 3 and Justin Njinmah 2. Yukinari Sugawara, Victor Okoh Boniface and Samuel Mbangula are tied for the most assists on 1, with goalie Michael Zetterer managing 3 clean sheets.
St. Pauli have won 2, lost 4 and drawn 4, averaging 10.3 attempts, 4.0 shots on goal and 1.1 goals. The Kiezkickers average 46.4% possession, 433.9 passes, 4.9 corners in their favour and 3.0 corners against, while 1.4 goals have been conceded from 5.1 shots on goal and 10.0 attempts.
Andreas Hountondji got 3 goals, Danel Sinani notched 2, while Hauke Wahl and two other players scored 1. Mathias Pereira Lage, Joel Chima Fujita and Manolis Saliakas have all made 1 assists in the last 10 games, while Nikola Vasilj has 2 clean sheets.
Confirmed Lineups
Werder Bremen confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Karl Hein (GK), Yukinari Sugawara, Karim Coulibaly, Marco Friedl, Felix Agu, Jens Stage, Senne Lynen, Romano Schmid, Cameron Puertas, Samuel Mbangula, Justin Njinmah.
St. Pauli confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Nikola Vasilj (GK), Hauke Wahl, Eric Smith, Lars Ritzka, Arkadiusz Pyrka, James Sands, Joel Chima Fujita, Louis Oppie, Danel Sinani, Martijn Kaars, Mathias Pereira Lage.
Werder Bremen vs St. Pauli Prediction & Betting Tips
We dive into the top Werder Bremen vs St. Pauli betting angles, including our main match prediction, correct score play, corners market tip, standout player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.
Match Prediction
When St. Pauli kick off this Bundesliga match, we will wager them at -132 on the Asian Handicap +0.25. Avoiding defeat seems well within their capability and a win could be on the cards.
Plenty of research goes into our football picks. It begins by focusing on the latest Bundesliga form and knowing the injury situation. The important numbers can then be utilised to help complete the picture.
Key Werder Bremen vs St. Pauli league stats:
The top bookmakers are estimating that there is a 56.8% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 60-65%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.
If you want to land a big potential return from a small stake, then a Bet Builder could be the way to go. Back St. Pauli to cover the line in a combination with other selections.
Maximize your first bet with the latest betting promotions. Our guide covers all the top welcome bonuses out there.
Correct Score Prediction
0
-
1
St. Pauli
Let’s go for St. Pauli to win 1-0, a bet which is available at +900. Correct score betting provides plenty of excitement and a potentially bigger return if you win.
Player Prop Picks
Romano Schmid (Werder) has finished with at least one shot on goal in his past two Bundesliga home games. There is odds of +115 on offer for this Shots on Target wager and we think he’ll cover the line.
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Andréas Hountondji (St. Pauli) has netted three goals in his past five Bundesliga matches. We think there’s value in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop bet at +280 which will hopefully see him find the net.
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Corners Prediction
The average number of corners in the previous five St. Pauli away matches has been 6.60. For Total Corners, we’re expecting the sides to fall short and you can get odds of -139.
Werder Bremen
St. Pauli
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Bet Builder Tips
Our bet builder picks are St. Pauli with an Asian Handicap of +0.25, less than three goals in total as well as Romano Schmid (Werder) to have one or more shots on target.
It’s now the case that you can wager a bet builder on a specific football match. You require all predictions to be on the money and our readers enjoy placing a tailored wager on a specific encounter taking place.
Werder Bremen vs St. Pauli Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
If you’re looking to wager St. Pauli to secure victory in the Bundesliga, then the bookmakers have chalked them up at +175. Werder Bremen are on offer at betting odds of +135 and the draw is +265.
If you fancy Werder but want money back if the game ends in a draw, then you can secure odds of -137. Alternatively, there’s the chance to wager on St. Pauli at +102 on the Draw No Bet market.
Over 2.5 Goals is the market leader and that means three or more goals are predicted. Both Teams to Score is one of the top markets and the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -179.
The leading football betting sites provide hundreds of markets for the latest Bundesliga games. Be sure to peruse all of the available options before going ahead with your preferred wager.
Those interested in favourite Andréas Hountondji to find the net first can get +600, while the Anytime Goalscorer angle could hold more appeal and this is +270.
Werder Bremen haven’t tasted victory at Weserstadion in the previous four matches. The Werderaner have finished with four defeats, three wins and three draws in the past 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.50.
St. Pauli have four defeats, three wins and three draws in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.10 goals per match and conceding 1.30.
The last Weserstadion meeting saw Werder and St. Pauli draw 0-0.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen Home Stats |
3-3-4 | 2.60 | 1.10 | 1.50 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 6 | |
| St. Pauli Away Stats |
3-3-4 | 2.40 | 1.10 | 1.30 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 6 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Werder Bremen League Stats
St. Pauli League Stats
- 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.90 corners awarded and 5.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.50 corners awarded and 4.20 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.70 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 3.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.90 corners awarded and 4.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 7.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.20 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 50.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 50.60% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 46.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 43.10% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Werder Bremen this season are Justin Njinmah (2), Romano Schmid (2), Isaac Schmidt (1)
- Top Assistors for Werder Bremen this season are Keke Topp (1), Marco Gruell (1), Samuel Mbangula (1)
Werder Bremen vs St. Pauli Lineups & Team News
Don’t miss the latest Werder vs St. Pauli team news before you bet. We’ll have the predicted and confirmed Bundesliga lineups for you plus all the latest on player injuries.
Werder Bremen Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
St Pauli Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Werder Bremen Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
St Pauli Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Werder Bremen Substitutes
- 5Amos Pieper
- 9Keke Topp
- 10Leonardo Bittencourt
- 17Marco Gruell
- 23Isaac Schmidt
- 24Patrice Covic
- 25Markus Kolke
- 28Skelly Alvero
- 44Victor Okoh Boniface
St Pauli Substitutes
- 1Ben Alexander Voll
- 2Manolis Saliakas
- 3Karol Mets
- 9Abdoulie Ceesay
- 14Fin Stevens
- 17Oladapo Afolayan
- 20Erik Ahlstrand
- 24Connor Metcalfe
- 25Adam Dzwigala
Previous Werder Bremen Lineups
Previous St. Pauli Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Bundesliga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 35:6 | 28 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 20:13 | 22 |
| 3 | Dortmund | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16:7 | 21 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 17:12 | 21 |
| 5 | Leverkusen | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 21:16 | 19 |
| 7 | Frankfurt | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 23:19 | 17 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:18 | 15 |
| 9 | FC Koln | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 10 | Freiburg | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:17 | 12 |
| 12 | B. M'gladbach | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:19 | 9 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 14 | Wolfsburg | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | 8 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 14:24 | 7 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9:20 | 7 |
| 17 | Mainz 05 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10:18 | 5 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8:23 | 5 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20:1 | 15 |
| 2 | Stuttgart | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 15 |
| 3 | Leverkusen | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:4 | 13 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:3 | 12 |
| 5 | Dortmund | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:1 | 10 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 7 | Frankfurt | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 9 |
| 8 | Union Berlin | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:8 | 9 |
| 9 | Freiburg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:8 | 8 |
| 10 | FC Koln | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 7 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:10 | 6 |
| 13 | Heidenheim | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | 5 |
| 14 | B. M'gladbach | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:14 | 5 |
| 15 | St. Pauli | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:13 | 4 |
| 16 | Augsburg | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:15 | 3 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | 2 |
| 18 | Mainz 05 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4:9 | 1 |
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