Western United vs Melbourne City Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 Nov 2024
We’re Going Over With Our Total Goals Bet
Western United should combine with Melbourne City to yield at least three goals. On this basis, we’re playing the Total Goals market backing Over 2.5 at -163 which will give us a nice return if this outcome happens.
City Claimed 1-0 Victory in Last H2H
Western United drew their last game 1-1, with the action taking place at AAMI Park against Western Sydney. The Tarneit club had 42% possession and recorded five shots on target, with Hiroshi Ibusuki registering the goal.
Melbourne City were beaten 3-1 in their previous game, being turned over at home to Melbourne Victory at AAMI Park. Aurelio Vidmar's team were 53% in the possession stakes and managed five shots on goal, with Andrew Nabbout on the scoresheet.
Head-to-Head Statistics
City have won the last two clashes against United. They achieved winning scorelines of 2-1 and 1-0 at AAMI Park. In the previous 10 meetings between these teams, there has been one draw. City have won five games and United four.
A-League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | ![]() |
26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 41:25 | 48 |
3 | ![]() |
26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 55:37 | 47 |
United have 3 wins, 3 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.9 goals from 5.4 shots on goal and 9.5 attempts. The Green and Black have averaged 47.6% possession and 6.1 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 2.0 goals from 4.9 shots on goal, 11.7 attempts and 4.2 corners.
Top scorer Matthew Grimaldi has found the net 4 times, Michael Ruhs 3, with Riku Danzaki and Daniel Penha both scoring 2. Daniel Penha is the leading assists maker on 3.
Melbourne City – Last 10 League GamesCity have won 5, lost 4 and drawn 1, with an average of 6.9 shots on goal, 14.4 attempts and 2.5 goals. The Cranbourne East outfit average 56.8% possession, 7.3 corners taken and 5.4 corners against them, while 1.2 goals have been conceded from 10.4 attempts and 4.9 shots on goal.
Tolgay Arslan is top of the team’s scoring charts with 7 goals, Leo Natel has 4 and Jamie Maclaren is on 3. Leo Natel and Steven Peter Ugarkovic have managed 4 assists in the last 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Western United confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Matthew Sutton (GK), Tate Russell, Tomoki Imai, Dylan Leonard, Charbel Shamoon, Riku Danzaki, Rhys Bozinovski, Angus Thurgate, Matthew Grimaldi, Hiroshi Ibusuki, Oli Lavale.
Melbourne City confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Patrick Beach (GK), Callum Talbot, Kai Trewin, Samuel Souprayen, Nathaniel Atkinson, Steven Peter Ugarkovic, Zane Schreiber, Marco Tilio, Andreas Kuen, Harry Politidis, Andrew Nabbout.
Western United vs Melbourne City Prediction & Betting Tips
There could be some merit in backing Over 2.5 Goals when it comes to this A-League match. We think that this is a value betting angle and we’re happy to take the -163 that is currently available.
The team at Sportsgambler.com are right across the latest injuries and suspensions and the form guide also informs our football picks. This data is combined with the latest stats.
Key Western United vs Melbourne City league stats:
Over 2.5 Probability
According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 61.9% chance of winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 65-70%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.
Those feeling bullish when it comes to goals being scored might find the larger odds appealing when it comes to Over 3.5 Goals. This requires both sides to bag a combined four or more.

Correct Score Prediction
City are available at +510 to win by a 2-1 scoreline. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.
Western United vs Melbourne City Odds
Melbourne City are the shortest price to win this A-League game according to the bookies, with the gambling operators giving them a 51% probability due to their -102 betting odds. Western United are the +240 underdogs, while the draw can also be backed as an alternative.
The expectation is that Over 2.5 Goals will be scored according to the latest odds.
There are hundreds of markets when it comes to betting on the A-League coupon and we recommend visiting the leading betting sites to find the bet that matches your view on the game.







- A-League: 07/01 2025 Melbourne City 2 Western United 0
- A-League: 04/11 2024 Western United 0 Melbourne City 1
- A-League: 28/04 2024 Melbourne City 1 Western United 0
- A-League: 07/01 2024 Western United 1 Melbourne City 2
- A-League: 21/10 2023 Melbourne City 1 Western United 2
- A-League: 22/04 2023 Western United 1 Melbourne City 3
- A-League: 07/01 2023 Melbourne City 4 Western United 0
- A-League: 07/10 2022 Melbourne City 2 Western United 1
- A-League: 28/05 2022 Melbourne City 0 Western United 2
- A-League: 12/03 2022 Western United 2 Melbourne City 2


- 8 wins and 2 defeats in the previous 10 matches
- 8 wins, 1 defeat and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.80 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 4.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.90 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.00 corners awarded and 5.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 2.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.30 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.10 corners awarded and 2.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 3.90 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 47.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 50.80% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 57.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 55.00% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Western United this season are Noah Botic (12), Hiroshi Ibusuki (10), Matthew Grimaldi (5)
- Top Assistors for Western United this season are Riku Danzaki (7), Noah Botic (6), Angus Thurgate (5)
Western United vs Melbourne City Lineups & Team News
It’s good to know about any injuries and this is reflected in our United vs City team news, with this leading to predicted and confirmed lineups.
We’ve got details of the A-League squads so that you know every player on the roster.
Western United Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Melbourne City Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Western United Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Melbourne City Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Western United Substitutes
- 1Thomas Heward-Belle
- 14Jake Najdovski
- 19Noah Botic
- 20Abel Walatee
- 21Sebastian Pasquali
- 22Kane Vidmar
- 34James York
Melbourne City Substitutes
- 1Jamie Young
- 7Matthew Leckie
- 10Yonatan Cohen
- 22German Ferreyra
- 35Medin Memeti
- 42Benjamin Dunbar
- 47Kavian Rahmani
Previous Western United Lineups
Previous Melbourne City Lineups
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Auckland | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 49:27 | 53 |
2 | Melb City | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 41:25 | 48 |
3 | Western United | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 55:37 | 47 |
4 | Western Sydney | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 58:40 | 46 |
5 | Melb Victory | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 44:36 | 43 |
6 | Adelaide United | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 53:55 | 38 |
7 | Sydney FC | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 53:46 | 37 |
8 | Macarthur | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 50:45 | 33 |
9 | Newcastle Jets | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 43:44 | 30 |
10 | Central Coast | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 29:51 | 26 |
11 | Wellington | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 27:43 | 24 |
12 | Brisbane Roar | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 32:51 | 21 |
13 | Perth Glory | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 22:56 | 17 |
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Auckland | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 26:14 | 28 |
2 | Melb City | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 20:11 | 26 |
3 | Melb Victory | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26:16 | 25 |
4 | Western United | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23:14 | 24 |
5 | Sydney FC | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 36:25 | 21 |
6 | Western Sydney | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 31:23 | 20 |
7 | Adelaide United | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 27:27 | 17 |
8 | Newcastle Jets | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 22:22 | 12 |
9 | Wellington | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:17 | 11 |
10 | Central Coast | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13:27 | 11 |
11 | Macarthur | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 22:25 | 10 |
12 | Brisbane Roar | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12:26 | 8 |
13 | Perth Glory | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11:29 | 8 |

















