Buffalo Sabres vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, Picks & Odds | 13 Apr 2025

Our puck line prediction involves the Sabres with a +1.5 start against the Lightning. They can still afford to lose by a single goal and we’re grabbing the -111 for some value.

Buffalo Sabres have suffered a defeat in back-to-back games including a recent 3-2 (SO) loss. This occurred on the road at Amerant Bank Arena against Florida Panthers. Rasmus Dahlin and John-Jason Peterka scored one goal each. Goalie Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 32 shots (.941).

Tampa Bay Lightning were beaten 4-3 (OT) at Amalie Arena in their last game. This loss at home to Detroit Red Wings was their second straight defeat. Gage Goncalves managed two goals and Anthony Cirelli had the other.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Sabres won the last encounter between the pair. Enjoying a 3-2 triumph when facing the Lightning at KeyBank Center. The Sabres have won six of the previous 10 H2H meetings.

Starting Goalies

James Reimer (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	10-10-2	3.1	.896	1
23/24	11-8-2	3.11	.904	2

Jonas Johansson (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	5-4-0	2.9	.896	0
23/24	12-7-5	3.37	.890	2

7 wins, 2 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 4.2 goals from 28.2 shots on goal, with a 18.8% powerplay efficiency. The Sabres have given up 2.9 goals from 29.4 shots, averaging 3.6 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 80.6%.

Alex Tuch is the top points scorer with 13 points, 7 goals and 6 assists, with Rasmus Dahlin recording 12 points, 4 goals and 8 assists, in the last 10 games. Goalie James Reimer have a 2.27 goal against average with a .923 save percentage, including one shutout.

The Lightning have 5 wins, 2 losses and 3 overtime losses, averaging 3.9 goals from 26.2 shots on goal, with a 22.2% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 2.2 goals from 29.0 shots, averaging 3.1 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 80.7%.

The top points scorer is Nikita Kucherov with 19 points, 5 goals and 14 assists, while Brayden Point is next in line after having 11 points, 7 goals and 4 assists. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 1.99 GAA with a .925 SV%, including one shutout.

Buffalo Sabres vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction & Picks

Game Prediction

Buffalo Sabres at -111 look like a value pick when it comes to the +1.5 puck line and we’re not expecting them to be easily beaten in this NHL encounter.

The NHL predictions are only provided once we have a handle on the team news and the latest form guide. We are also on point when it comes to the most valuable player and goalie stats.

Key Sabres vs Lightning stats:

• The +1.5 line has been covered by Sabres in 5 of their last 5 games.
• The +1.5 line has been covered by Sabres in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The +1.5 line has been covered by Sabres in 7 consecutive games.
• The -1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Lightning in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Lightning in 12 of their last 20 games.
• The -1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Lightning in 2 consecutive games.
• The -1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Lightning in 4 consecutive games against Sabres.

Sabres +1.5 Probability

The sportsbooks make it a 52.6% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

We recommend moving the line if you are searching for bigger odds about the same selection. Take your pick and get the juice that you want from your Puck Line bet in the process.

Our Game Prediction

Sabres +1.5 @ -111 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: John-Jason Peterka To Score +240

John-Jason Peterka (Sabres) has been on the scoresheet in his past 3 games. We’ll take a chance at +240 for this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds looks really appealing.

Latest John-Jason Peterka Player Prop Odds

Goals

Anytime

+245

First

+1400

Shots on Goal

Over 2.5

+150

Under 2.5

-200

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Sabres 5 - 3 Lightning

We’re taking a correct score bet which involves the Sabres to win 5-3. The odds of +3400 make plenty of appeal and you should hopefully get some entertainment with this wager.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Sabres

Lightning

1-0

Sabres

+7000

Lightning

+6600

2-0

Sabres

+8000

Lightning

+4500

2-1

Sabres

+2200

Lightning

+1800

3-0

Sabres

+6600

Lightning

+2800

3-1

Sabres

+3300

Lightning

+1700

3-2

Sabres

+1200

Lightning

+950

4-0

Sabres

+9000

Lightning

+2800

4-1

Sabres

+3300

Lightning

+1100

4-2

Sabres

+2500

Lightning

+1300

4-3

Sabres

+1300

Lightning

+1000

5-0

Sabres

+15000

Lightning

+4000

5-1

Sabres

+5500

Lightning

+1500

5-2

Sabres

+3300

Lightning

+1050

5-3

Sabres

+3400

Lightning

+1700

5-4

Sabres

+2200

Lightning

+1700

6-0

Sabres

+2200

Lightning

+5500

6-1

Sabres

+12500

Lightning

+2800

6-2

Sabres

+6000

Lightning

+1700

6-3

Sabres

+5000

Lightning

+1800

6-4

Sabres

+6000

Lightning

+3400

6-5

Sabres

+5000

Lightning

+4000

7-0

Sabres

+5000

Lightning

+8000

7-1

Sabres

+5000

Lightning

+4500

7-2

Sabres

+14000

Lightning

+4000

7-3

Sabres

+9000

Lightning

+3300

7-4

Sabres

+9000

Lightning

+4000

7-5

Sabres

+12000

Lightning

+7500

7-6

Sabres

+11000

Lightning

+9000

8-0

Sabres

+11000

Lightning

+12000

8-1

Sabres

+11000

Lightning

+7500

8-2

Sabres

+11000

Lightning

+6600

8-3

Sabres

+11000

Lightning

+7000

8-4

Sabres

+11000

Lightning

+7000

8-5

Sabres

+11000

Lightning

+10000

9-1

Sabres

+11000

Lightning

+12000

9-2

Sabres

+11000

Lightning

+11000

9-3

Sabres

+11000

Lightning

+12000

9-4

Sabres

+11000

Lightning

+14000

View More

Buffalo Sabres vs Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

According to the Moneyline betting odds, Tampa Bay Lightning are red-hot -238 favorites with the sportsbooks and that means a 70% chance of winning this game. Buffalo Sabres are the underdogs at +195 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The puck line stands at 1.5 and the total goals line is 6.5. There are many ways to wager on the NHL including Totals. If you want to wager Over 6.5, there are odds of -122.

There’s the chance to back favorites Lightning at -160 to open the scoring. The Sabres to be the first team to score is available at odds of +120.

You can find hundreds of game lines and team props for every National Hockey League clash, with the betting sites creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Moneyline

Sabres

+195

Lightning

-238

3-Way Moneyline

Sabres

+370

Tie

+390

Lightning

-172

Puck Line

Sabres +1.5

-128

Lightning -1.5

+104

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-100

Over 6.5

-122

Those interested in Nikita Kucherov to light the lamp at anytime are able to get -100. There is the chance to back the favorite to score the first goal at odds of +700.

Player Goals

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

First

-100

Anytime

+700

Brayden Point (Lightning)

First

-100

Anytime

+700

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

First

+128

Anytime

+850

Brandon Hagel (Lightning)

First

+143

Anytime

+900

Tage Thompson (Sabres)

First

+170

Anytime

+1100

Alex Tuch (Sabres)

First

+220

Anytime

+1300

Oliver Björkstrand (Lightning)

First

+235

Anytime

+1300

Anthony Cirelli (Lightning)

First

+235

Anytime

+1300

John-Jason Peterka (Sabres)

First

+245

Anytime

+1400

Yanni Gourde (Lightning)

First

+250

Anytime

+1400

Nick Paul (Lightning)

First

+250

Anytime

+1400

Josh Norris (Sabres)

First

+300

Anytime

+1700

Jason Zucker (Sabres)

First

+300

Anytime

+1700

Mitchell Chaffee (Lightning)

First

+360

Anytime

+1900

Jiri Kulich (Sabres)

First

+360

Anytime

+1900

Ryan McLeod (Sabres)

First

+380

Anytime

+2000

Jack Quinn (Sabres)

First

+380

Anytime

+2000

Conor Sheary (Lightning)

First

+400

Anytime

+2000

Gage Goncalves (Lightning)

First

+400

Anytime

+2000

Rasmus Dahlin (Sabres)

First

+410

Anytime

+2200

Noah Östlund (Sabres)

First

+440

Anytime

+2200

Zach Benson (Sabres)

First

+440

Anytime

+2200

Isak Rosén (Sabres)

First

+440

Anytime

+2200

Victor Hedman (Lightning)

First

+440

Anytime

+2200

Player Shots

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

Over 3.5

+125

Under 3.5

-164

Brayden Point (Lightning)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-164

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

Over 2.5

-114

Under 2.5

-114

Brandon Hagel (Lightning)

Over 2.5

+115

Under 2.5

-149

Tage Thompson (Sabres)

Over 2.5

-164

Under 2.5

+125

Alex Tuch (Sabres)

Over 2.5

+150

Under 2.5

-200

John-Jason Peterka (Sabres)

Over 2.5

+150

Under 2.5

-200

Rasmus Dahlin (Sabres)

Over 2.5

+105

Under 2.5

-135

Victor Hedman (Lightning)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-164

Anthony Cirelli (Lightning)

Over 1.5

-135

Under 1.5

+104

Jason Zucker (Sabres)

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

+115

Among the various options for wagering on the NHL, you will find that micro betting is provided. It focuses on short-term in-game outcomes such as whether a goal will be scored within the next 10 minutes.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Buffalo Sabres Stats

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 9 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 7.30 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 7.60 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 4.30 goals and allowed 3.00 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.50 pts and allowed 4.10 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.20 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.50 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.90 goals and allowed 2.30 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 4.20 goals and allowed 2.30 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 28.2
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.3
• Penalties: 3.6
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 7.8
• Blocks: 12.8
• Faceoff Wins : 23.9
• Hits: 15.8
• Giveaways: 15.1
• Takeaways: 5.8

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 1
• Shots: 25.6
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.4
• Penalties: 5
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 15.7
• Blocks: 13
• Faceoff Wins : 26.1
• Hits: 18.3
• Giveaways: 13.1
• Takeaways: 4.8

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.8
• Shots: 26.2
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.1
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 7.6
• Blocks: 16.7
• Faceoff Wins : 26.3
• Hits: 15.5
• Giveaways: 15.2
• Takeaways: 3.8

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.8
• Shots: 25.8
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.1
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 8.3
• Blocks: 16.6
• Faceoff Wins : 28.7
• Hits: 16.1
• Giveaways: 17.2
• Takeaways: 3.8

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

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