NHL Betting Preview: Sabres vs Maple Leafs

The Buffalo Sabres lock horns with the Toronto Maple Leafs in this NHL matchup at Scotiabank Arena, with face-off scheduled for 17:00 on Saturday, October 25. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and the starting lineups.

Back a Cagey Encounter

It’s definitely worth considering an Under 6.5 goals bet, especially at betting odds of -139. The Sabres and the Maple Leafs could struggle to find the net enough times.

Expecting things to stay tight? Grab the latest BetMGM promo code and read our comprehensive review before placing your bet.

Sabres Too Strong for Leafs in Last H2H

Buffalo Sabres and Toronto Maple Leafs faced off last night, with the Sabres triumphing 5-3 at KeyBank Center.

The Sabres had 30 shots on goal. Mattias Samuelsson scored twice, with Tage Thompson, Jiri Kulich and Alex Tuch scoring one goal. The Leafs managed 34 shots on goal, with William Nylander, Auston Matthews and Dakota Joshua scoring one goal apiece.

Head-to-Head Statistics

In the past 10 games between the teams, the Leafs have won six.

Starting Goalies

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	24-24-5	3.2	.887	2
23/24	27-22-4	2.57	.910	5

Cayden Primeau (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	1-0-0	4	.867	0
23/24	8-9-4	2.99	.910	2

Buffalo Sabres – Last 10 Games

5 wins and 5 losses, averaging 2.9 goals from 30.4 shots on goal, with a 16.2% powerplay efficiency. The Sabres have been giving up 3.1 goals from 32.3 shots, averaging 4.4 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 93.2%.

Alex Tuch is the top points scorer with 9 points, 4 goals and 5 assists, with Jack Quinn racking up 8 points, 4 goals and 4 assists, in the past 10 games. Goalie Alex Lyon have a 2.61 goal against average with a .922 save percentage, including one shutout.

Toronto Maple Leafs – Last 10 Games

The Leafs have 4 wins, 5 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 3.0 goals from 26.8 shots on goal, with a 10.3% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 3.6 goals from 28.9 shots, averaging 3.1 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 87.1%.

The top points scorer is William Nylander with 14 points, 3 goals and 11 assists, while John Tavares is next in line after registering 10 points, 4 goals and 6 assists. Goalie Anthony Stolarz have a 3.46 GAA with a .881 SV%.

Buffalo Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks

Get ready for Buffalo Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs with all the betting angles covered, from an expert match prediction and correct score advice to player props and a custom bet builder.

Game Prediction

The -139 available that this NHL clash goes under the 6.5 goal line certainly looks appealing. Our pick is that the teams’ combined goals will fall short of the mark.

The NHL handicappers at Sportsgambler.com stay on top of injuries and team form that could impact the outcome. We also leave no stone unturned when analyzing the latest hockey stats to support every prediction.

Key Sabres vs Maple Leafs stats:

The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Sabres games on the road.
The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Sabres games.
The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Sabres games on the road.

Under 6.5 Probability

Looking at the latest betting odds, there’s a 58.1% likelihood of our pick delivering a return. After careful examination, our cappers calculate this probability to be somewhere between 65-70%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

The bigger odds can be found if you combine your Under wager on the Totals with a number of other same-game selections as part of a Bet Builder.

Before your next bet, explore our betting offers guide filled with top bonuses, the latest promotions, and free bet deals.

Best Bet

Under 6.5 Goals @ -139 Watch Live Bet Now

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Published 02:43, 25 October 2025

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Auston Matthews Under 0.5 Assists -135

Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs) has failed to record an assist in 8 of the past 10 games. This is a useful piece of information and we can back him to fall short when it comes to Player Assists at attractive odds of -135.

Latest Auston Matthews Player Prop Odds

Goals

Assists

Shots on Goal

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Same Game Parlay Picks

Totals Under 6.5

To Score Alex Tuch

Assists Auston Matthews Under 0.5

Get in the game with a same game parlay. Our picks are Under 6.5 on the total, Alex Tuch (Sabres) to find the net and Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs) to get Under 0.5 assists.

A same game parlay is a single event wager where you make predictions that are going to happen in a particular hockey game. Should a bettor get these selections correct, then they can achieve a good return from a small stake.

Bet Boosts

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Correct Score Prediction

Sabres

4 - 2 Maple Leafs logo

Maple Leafs

The Sabres are available at +1900 to win by a 4-2 scoreline. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

1-0

2-0

2-1

Buffalo Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Make Leafs Moneyline Favorites

Toronto Maple Leafs have the shortest price to win this game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 62% probability due to their -161 Moneyline betting odds. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +132 about Buffalo Sabres.

The puck line stands at 1.5 and the total goals line is 6.5. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on Totals. If you want to wager Over 6.5, there are odds of -102.

Before placing your bet, explore the top NHL sportsbooks for a wide selection of game lines and team props. Compare the lines and betting odds to find the most appealing options.

Moneyline

3-Way Moneyline

Puck Line

Total Goals

Auston Matthews Favorite to Light the Lamp First

The First Goalscorer favorite is Auston Matthews at +750. Similar odds can be found if you’re interested in this player to register the last goal.

Player Goals

Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs)

William Nylander (Maple Leafs)

Tage Thompson (Sabres)

John Tavares (Maple Leafs)

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Player Assists

Rasmus Dahlin (Sabres)

Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs)

Matthew Knies (Maple Leafs)

John Tavares (Maple Leafs)

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Player Shots

Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs)

John Tavares (Maple Leafs)

Alex Tuch (Sabres)

Josh Doan (Sabres)

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Micro Betting

An increasing number of bettors are now enjoying micro betting on the NHL and it’s something which is available on an in-game basis. Wait for the action to start and then wager on something specific to happen.

Best Betting Offers

Last 5 & H2H

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Last 5 Games

Sabres

NHL: 25/10 Maple Leafs3 Sabres 5
NHL: 23/10 Red Wings2 Sabres 4
NHL: 21/10 Sabres2 Canadiens 4
NHL: 18/10 Panthers0 Sabres 3
NHL: 16/10 Senators4 Sabres 8

Maple Leafs

NHL: 25/10 Maple Leafs3 Sabres 5
NHL: 22/10 Devils5 Maple Leafs 2
NHL: 19/10 Kraken4 Maple Leafs 3
NHL: 17/10 Rangers1 Maple Leafs 2
NHL: 15/10 Predators4 Maple Leafs 7

Head to Head

Buffalo vs Toronto

NHL: 25/10 2025 Maple Leafs 3 Sabres 5
NHL: 16/04 2025 Maple Leafs 4 Sabres 0
NHL: 21/12 2024 Maple Leafs 6 Sabres 3
NHL: 15/12 2024 Sabres 3 Maple Leafs 5
NHL: 31/03 2024 Maple Leafs 3 Sabres 0
NHL: 07/03 2024 Sabres 1 Maple Leafs 2
NHL: 22/12 2023 Maple Leafs 3 Sabres 9
NHL: 05/11 2023 Sabres 6 Maple Leafs 4
NHL: 14/03 2023 Sabres 4 Maple Leafs 3
NHL: 22/02 2023 Maple Leafs 6 Sabres 3

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Buffalo Sabres Stats

Toronto Maple Leafs Stats

Moneyline

5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

+1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 games
+1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

-1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 3 of the last 10 games
-1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 2 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

Game Totals: An average of 6.00 goals in the previous 10 games
Game Totals on the Road: An average of 7.50 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
Over 6.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.90 goals and allowed 3.10 goals in the last 10 games
Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.40 pts and allowed 4.10 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

Game Totals: An average of 6.60 goals in the previous 10 games
Game Totals at Home: An average of 7.00 goals in the previous 10 home games
Over 6.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 home games
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.00 goals and allowed 3.60 goals in the last 10 games
Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.20 goals and allowed 3.80 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

Goals Powerplay: 0.6
Shots: 30.4
Goals Shorthanded: 0.3
Penalties: 4.4
Empty Net Goals: 0.2
Penalty Minutes: 9.6
Blocks: 16.2
Faceoff Wins : 26.7
Hits: 18.8
Giveaways: 15
Takeaways: 4.6

Last 10 Games on the Road

Goals Powerplay: 0.7
Shots: 25.2
Goals Shorthanded: 0.3
Penalties: 3.5
Empty Net Goals: 0.3
Penalty Minutes: 7.3
Blocks: 15.5
Faceoff Wins : 25.7
Hits: 17.9
Giveaways: 15.1
Takeaways: 4.5

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

Goals Powerplay: 0.3
Shots: 26.8
Goals Shorthanded: 0
Penalties: 3.1
Empty Net Goals: 0.4
Penalty Minutes: 6.5
Blocks: 18.7
Faceoff Wins : 30.8
Hits: 28.3
Giveaways: 17.3
Takeaways: 4.2

Last 10 Home Games

Goals Powerplay: 0.3
Shots: 27.6
Goals Shorthanded: 0
Penalties: 3.8
Empty Net Goals: 0.4
Penalty Minutes: 8.7
Blocks: 19.4
Faceoff Wins : 32.2
Hits: 31
Giveaways: 18.2
Takeaways: 3.5

Live Streaming

It’s great to access NHL live streaming on your iPhone, iPad or Android device, with desktop also an option. Place a recent bet or have a funded sportsbook account.

You can log into your betting account on a daily basis and enjoy the chance to access high quality streams.

Sabres vs Maple Leafs Live Stream Watch Live Geo-restrictions apply. To use the services you need to be logged in, a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours.

Team News

Buffalo Sabres Player Stats & Roster

#	Player	GP	MIN	G	A	P	+/-
9	Zach Benson	5	19.38	0	7	7	2
89	Alex Tuch	8	20.16	3	4	7	3
22	Jack Quinn	8	14.94	3	3	6	0

26	Rasmus Dahlin	8	24.66	0	6	6	-7
72	Tage Thompson	8	19.11	2	4	6	-4
91	Josh Doan	8	15.08	2	4	6	2
17	Jason Zucker	8	14.38	4	1	5	-6
71	Ryan McLeod	8	18.41	2	3	5	0
23	Mattias Samuelsson	6	20.25	2	2	4	3
20	Jiri Kulich	8	16.45	3	1	4	-4
4	Bowen Byram	8	23.74	0	3	3	0
25	Owen Power	7	21.99	1	2	3	-2
19	Peyton Krebs	8	12.8	0	3	3	-2
48	Tyson Kozak	7	9.87	2	0	2	2
78	Jacob Bryson	5	9.46	0	1	1	1
21	Conor Timmins	8	20.94	0	1	1	-3
	Zach Metsa	3	9.4	0	0	0	2
36	Noah Oestlund	2	11.2	0	0	0	0
44	Josh Dunne	2	6.5	0	0	0	0
33	Ryan Johnson	3	9	0	0	0	0
15	Justin Danforth	4	11.7	0	0	0	-2
55	Mason Geertsen	4	4.2	0	0	0	-1
29	Beck Malenstyn	7	10.67	0	0	0	-3
13	Josh Norris	1	18.9	0	0	0	0

#	Goalies	GP	GAA	SV%
1	Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen	-	-	-
	Colten Ellis	1	2	0.935
34	Alex Lyon	7	2.61	0.922

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Stats & Roster

#	Player	GP	MIN	G	A	P	+/-
88	William Nylander	8	19.49	3	11	14	4
91	John Tavares	8	17.71	4	6	10	0
23	Matthew Knies	8	20.43	2	6	8	-1

95	Oliver Ekman-Larsson	8	20.26	1	6	7	1
34	Auston Matthews	8	22.2	5	2	7	3
44	Morgan Rielly	7	22.19	2	4	6	-4
19	Calle Jaernkrok	7	11.34	3	0	3	-4
55	Nicolas Roy	8	12.76	1	2	3	-4
74	Bobby McMann	8	15.54	2	1	3	0
53	Easton Cowan	5	12.76	0	2	2	2
18	Steven Lorentz	5	9.68	0	2	2	0
63	Matias Maccelli	8	13.93	1	1	2	1
81	Dakota Joshua	8	11.5	1	1	2	-6
22	Jake McCabe	8	21.04	1	1	2	4
2	Simon Benoit	8	17.43	0	1	1	1
8	Christopher Tanev	7	17.7	0	1	1	3
25	Brandon Carlo	8	18.91	0	1	1	0
89	Nick Robertson	7	11.01	0	1	1	-4
11	Max Domi	8	13.53	1	0	1	-5
36	Dakota Mermis	1	13.2	0	0	0	-2
51	Philippe Myers	1	14.1	0	0	0	-3

#	Goalies	GP	GAA	SV%
	Cayden Primeau	1	4	0.867
41	Anthony Stolarz	7	3.46	0.881

Injuries & Suspensions

Buffalo Sabres Injury Table

Type

Name

Info

Justin Danforth

Injured

Jordan Greenway

Injured

Josh Norris

Injured

Jacob Bryson

Injured

Michael Kesselring

Injured

Toronto Maple Leafs Injury Table

Type

Name

Info

Christopher Tanev

Injured

Morgan Rielly

Injured

Scott Laughton

Injured

Joseph Woll

Unavailable

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

Previous Buffalo Sabres Lineups

24 Oct NHL

Maple Leafs 3-5 Sabres

Metropolitan	GP	W	L	OT	PTS	P%	RW	ROW	GF	GA	DIFF	Home	Road	S/O	L10	Strk
1 New Jersey	8	7	1	0	14	0.875	7	7	31	19	12	4-0-0	3-1-0	0-0	7-1	7W
2 Carolina	7	6	1	0	12	0.857	3	5	29	19	10	2-0-0	4-1-0	1-0	6-1	1W
3 Pittsburgh	8	6	2	0	12	0.75	6	6	28	19	9	2-1-0	4-1-0	0-0	6-2	4W
4 Washington	8	6	2	0	12	0.75	5	6	26	14	12	3-2-0	3-0-0	0-0	6-2	2W
5 NY Islanders	7	4	3	0	8	0.571	4	4	27	24	3	3-2-0	1-1-0	0-0	4-3	4W
6 NY Rangers	9	3	4	2	8	0.444	3	3	21	21	0	0-4-1	3-0-1	0-0	3-6	2L
7 Philadelphia	7	3	3	1	7	0.5	2	3	19	18	1	3-1-0	0-2-1	0-0	3-4	1L
8 Columbus	7	3	4	0	6	0.429	3	3	20	21	-1	1-3-0	2-1-0	0-0	3-4	1L

East Atlantic	GP	W	L	OT	PTS	P%	RW	ROW	GF	GA	DIFF	Home	Road	S/O	L10	Strk
1 Montreal	9	6	3	0	12	0.667	3	6	32	27	5	3-1-0	3-2-0	0-0	6-3	1L
2 Detroit	8	5	3	0	10	0.625	4	5	24	25	-1	4-1-0	1-2-0	0-0	5-3	2L
3 Buffalo	8	4	4	0	8	0.5	4	4	24	23	1	4-2-0	0-2-0	0-0	4-4	2W
4 Florida	9	4	5	0	8	0.444	4	4	22	28	-6	3-1-0	1-4-0	0-0	4-5	1L
5 Toronto	8	3	4	1	7	0.438	2	3	27	30	-3	3-2-1	0-2-0	0-0	3-5	3L
6 Ottawa	8	3	4	1	7	0.438	2	2	24	34	-10	2-2-1	1-2-0	1-0	3-5	1W
7 Boston	9	3	6	0	6	0.333	2	3	29	33	-4	2-3-0	1-3-0	0-0	3-6	6L
8 Tampa Bay	7	1	4	2	4	0.286	1	1	18	24	-6	0-3-0	1-1-2	0-0	1-6	4L

East Central	GP	W	L	OT	PTS	P%	RW	ROW	GF	GA	DIFF	Home	Road	S/O	L10	Strk
1 Colorado	8	5	0	3	13	0.813	5	5	28	19	9	2-0-2	3-0-1	0-2	5-3	2L
2 Winnipeg	8	6	2	0	12	0.75	6	6	28	19	9	3-2-0	3-0-0	0-0	6-2	1W
3 Utah	8	6	2	0	12	0.75	4	6	28	20	8	4-0-0	2-2-0	0-0	6-2	5W
4 Chicago	8	4	2	2	10	0.625	3	4	25	20	5	2-1-1	2-1-1	0-1	4-4	2W
5 Nashville	8	3	3	2	8	0.5	3	3	19	25	-6	2-1-1	1-2-1	0-0	3-5	1W
6 St Louis	7	3	3	1	7	0.5	3	3	20	27	-7	1-3-1	2-0-0	0-0	3-4	2L
7 Dallas	7	3	3	1	7	0.5	2	2	22	26	-4	1-2-1	2-1-0	1-0	3-4	4L
8 Minnesota	8	3	4	1	7	0.438	2	2	21	27	-6	1-1-0	2-3-1	1-0	3-5	1L

West Pacific	GP	W	L	OT	PTS	P%	RW	ROW	GF	GA	DIFF	Home	Road	S/O	L10	Strk
1 Vegas	7	5	0	2	12	0.857	4	5	30	20	10	3-0-1	2-0-1	0-1	5-2	4W
2 Seattle	8	4	2	2	10	0.625	2	4	22	23	-1	2-0-0	2-2-2	0-1	4-4	1W
3 Anaheim	7	4	2	1	9	0.643	3	4	26	25	1	1-1-0	3-1-1	0-0	4-3	2W
4 Edmonton	8	4	3	1	9	0.563	3	4	24	25	-1	2-0-1	2-3-0	0-1	4-4	2W
5 Vancouver	8	4	4	0	8	0.5	3	3	22	24	-2	1-1-0	3-3-0	1-0	4-4	2L
6 LA Kings	8	3	3	2	8	0.5	0	2	22	27	-5	0-2-1	3-1-1	1-1	3-5	2W
7 San Jose	8	1	5	2	4	0.25	0	1	23	37	-14	0-2-2	1-3-0	0-0	1-7	1L
8 Calgary	9	1	7	1	3	0.167	0	0	16	34	-18	0-3-1	1-4-0	1-0	1-8	8L

Buffalo Sabres

Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL Betting Preview: Sabres vs Maple Leafs

Head-to-Head Statistics

Starting Goalies

Buffalo Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks

Game Prediction

Under 6.5 Probability

Best Bet

Player Prop Picks

Latest Auston Matthews Player Prop Odds

Same Game Parlay Picks

Correct Score Prediction

Latest Correct Score Odds

Buffalo Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

Books Make Leafs Moneyline Favorites

Player Goals

Player Assists

Player Shots

Micro Betting

Last 5 & H2H

Head to Head

Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Buffalo Sabres Injury Table

Toronto Maple Leafs Injury Table

Starting Lineups

Previous Buffalo Sabres Lineups

Previous Toronto Maple Leafs Lineups

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