Calgary Flames vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, Picks & Odds | 26 Nov 2025

NHL Betting Preview: Flames vs Lightning

The Calgary Flames go up against the Tampa Bay Lightning at Benchmark International Arena, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Wednesday, November 26.

We’re heading to the 3-Way Moneyline and our betting prediction is for the Lightning to win in regulation time. The home team have a strong chance of beating the Flames and the -115 makes plenty of appeal.

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Calgary Flames have won three on the spin, triumphing 5-2 in their previous game. This was on the road against Vancouver Canucks at Delta Center. Kevin Bahl was on target along with four of his teammates. Goalie Dustin Wolf stopped 28 shots (.933).

Tampa Bay Lightning were winners for the fourth straight time in their last game. Landing a 3-0 home victory against Philadelphia Flyers at Benchmark International Arena. Brandon Hagel had two goals and Anthony Cirelli scored the other. Andrei Vasilevskiy made 20 saves for his shutout.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Lightning have beaten the Flames in the last two encounters. A 8-3 victory at Scotiabank Saddledome was followed by a 3-0 win at Benchmark International Arena. The Lightning have won six of the previous 10 H2H meetings.

Starting Goalies

Dustin Wolf (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	6-11-2	3	.895	1
23/24	7-7-1	3.16	.893	0

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	9-5-2	2.4	.911	1
23/24	30-20-2	2.9	.900	2

5 wins, 4 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 2.7 goals from 31.5 shots on goal, with a 9.5% powerplay efficiency. The Flames have given up 2.4 goals from 27.4 shots, averaging 4.3 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 90.7%.

Rasmus Andersson is the top points scorer with 12 points, 3 goals and 9 assists, with Matt Coronato recording 9 points, 5 goals and 4 assists, in the past 10 games. Goalie Dustin Wolf have a 2.43 goal against average with a .912 save percentage, including one shutout.

The Lightning have 7 wins and 3 losses, averaging 3.4 goals from 25.5 shots on goal, with a 12.5% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 2.7 goals from 26.6 shots, averaging 4.8 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 89.6%.

The top points scorer is Nikita Kucherov with 15 points, 6 goals and 9 assists, while Brandon Hagel is next best after having 13 points, 7 goals and 6 assists. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 1.96 GAA with a .928 SV%, including one shutout.

Calgary Flames vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction & Picks

Get the edge with our best Calgary Flames vs Tampa Bay Lightning tips: a key match prediction, correct score recommendation, top player prop bets and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

There is merit in simply backing Tampa Bay Lightning to beat their opponents in 60 minutes when it comes to this NHL encounter. Especially as odds of -115 are available for this value pick.

Incoming team news often impacts the NHL betting lines in significant ways. Our handicappers factor this in alongside recent form, while key stats are also carefully weighed to strengthen each hockey prediction.

Key Flames vs Lightning stats:

• Lightning have won 4 consecutive games.
• Lightning have won 7 of their last 10 games.
• Lightning have won 13 of their last 20 games.
• Flames have lost 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
• Flames have lost 13 of their last 20 games.
• Lightning have won the last 2 games between these teams.

Lightning 3-Way Moneyline Probability

The top betting apps are estimating that there is a 53.5% likelihood of this pick winning. After careful examination, our analysts calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

We regularly consider a Match Winner & Total Goals wager as a way of backing Tampa Bay at bigger odds. You simply need to decide whether to go Over or Under as part of the combo.

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Our Game Prediction

Lightning 3-Way Moneyline @ -115 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Mikael Backlund Over 1.5 Shots -164

Mikael Backlund (Flames) has fired Over 1.5 shots on goal in 5 straight road games. If you agree with our verdict that he can cover the line again, then you can land odds of -164 that this happens.

Latest Mikael Backlund Player Prop Odds

Goals

Anytime

+425

First

+2500

Assists

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-400

Shots on Goal

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

+120

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Correct Score Prediction

Flames 1 - 3 Lightning

A 3-1 win in favor of the Lightning is available at odds of +1500. Take a chance on the correct score and get rewarded for predicting the right scoreline.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Flames

Lightning

1-0

Flames

+5000

Lightning

+4500

2-0

Flames

+5000

Lightning

+3500

2-1

Flames

+1500

Lightning

+1200

3-0

Flames

+4000

Lightning

+2200

3-1

Flames

+2200

Lightning

+1500

3-2

Flames

+950

Lightning

+750

4-0

Flames

+5500

Lightning

+2800

4-1

Flames

+2200

Lightning

+1150

4-2

Flames

+2000

Lightning

+1300

4-3

Flames

+1200

Lightning

+1000

5-0

Flames

+11000

Lightning

+4500

5-1

Flames

+4000

Lightning

+1700

5-2

Flames

+2500

Lightning

+1300

5-3

Flames

+3000

Lightning

+2200

5-4

Flames

+2500

Lightning

+2200

6-0

Flames

+2500

Lightning

+7000

6-1

Flames

+10000

Lightning

+4000

6-2

Flames

+5000

Lightning

+2400

6-3

Flames

+4500

Lightning

+2500

6-4

Flames

+6600

Lightning

+4500

6-5

Flames

+6000

Lightning

+5500

7-0

Flames

+6000

Lightning

+11000

7-1

Flames

+6000

Lightning

+6600

7-2

Flames

+13000

Lightning

+6000

7-3

Flames

+9000

Lightning

+5000

7-4

Flames

+9000

Lightning

+6600

7-5

Flames

+14000

Lightning

+11000

7-6

Flames

+14000

Lightning

+13000

8-1

Flames

+14000

Lightning

+11000

8-2

Flames

+14000

Lightning

+10000

8-3

Flames

+14000

Lightning

+11000

8-4

Flames

+14000

Lightning

+11000

8-5

Flames

+14000

Lightning

+14000

View More

Calgary Flames vs Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The sportsbooks have Tampa Bay Lightning at -196 when it comes to the Moneyline betting, implying the favorites are 66% likely to win this game according to the latest odds. For those wanting to back Calgary Flames, you will find +162 about the underdogs.

The puck line is calculated to be 1.5, while total goals comes in at 5.5. The beauty of Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. There’s an opportunity to bet Over 5.5 at -120.

There are hundreds of game lines and team props when it comes to wagering on the National Hockey League and we recommend visiting the top betting sites to find the wager that matches your view on the game.

Moneyline

Flames

+162

Lightning

-196

3-Way Moneyline

Flames

+250

Tie

+330

Lightning

-115

Puck Line

Flames +1.5

-161

Lightning -1.5

+130

Total Goals

Under 5.5

-102

Over 5.5

-120

You will find Jake Guentzel at +850 to be First Goalscorer which makes him the favorite. There’s the chance to get +135 that he finds the net at anytime.

Player Goals

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

First

+130

Anytime

+900

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

First

+135

Anytime

+850

Brandon Hagel (Lightning)

First

+170

Anytime

+1100

Anthony Cirelli (Lightning)

First

+220

Anytime

+1400

Nazem Kadri (Flames)

First

+230

Anytime

+1400

Matt Coronato (Flames)

First

+240

Anytime

+1300

Nicholas Paul (Lightning)

First

+270

Anytime

+1500

Jonathan Huberdeau (Flames)

First

+320

Anytime

+1900

Morgan Frost (Flames)

First

+350

Anytime

+1900

Dominic James (Lightning)

First

+400

Anytime

+2200

Oliver Bjorkstrand (Lightning)

First

+400

Anytime

+2500

Joel Farabee (Flames)

First

+425

Anytime

+2200

Yegor Sharangovich (Flames)

First

+425

Anytime

+2200

Mikael Backlund (Flames)

First

+425

Anytime

+2500

Blake Coleman (Flames)

First

+450

Anytime

+2500

Yanni Gourde (Lightning)

First

+475

Anytime

+2800

Jack Finley (Lightning)

First

+575

Anytime

+2800

Connor Zary (Flames)

First

+625

Anytime

+3000

Rasmus Andersson (Flames)

First

+625

Anytime

+3000

Gage Goncalves (Lightning)

First

+625

Anytime

+3000

Zemgus Girgensons (Lightning)

First

+650

Anytime

+3000

Pontus Holmberg (Lightning)

First

+650

Anytime

+3000

Darren Raddysh (Lightning)

First

+700

Anytime

+3500

MacKenzie Weegar (Flames)

First

+750

Anytime

+4000

Adam Klapka (Flames)

First

+800

Anytime

+4500

Charle-Edouard D'Astous (Lightning)

First

+850

Anytime

+4500

Yan Kuznetsov (Flames)

First

+1200

Anytime

+5500

Ryan Lomberg (Flames)

First

+1200

Anytime

+8000

John Beecher (Flames)

First

+1300

Anytime

+6600

Emil Lilleberg (Lightning)

First

+1700

Anytime

+8000

Player Assists

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

+135

Brandon Hagel (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-141

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-149

Darren Raddysh (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-161

Nazem Kadri (Flames)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-189

Rasmus Andersson (Flames)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-208

Jonathan Huberdeau (Flames)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-233

Anthony Cirelli (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-250

Matt Coronato (Flames)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-303

Oliver Bjorkstrand (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-294

Morgan Frost (Flames)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-303

MacKenzie Weegar (Flames)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-323

Mikael Backlund (Flames)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-400

Player Shots

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

Over 3.5

-100

Under 3.5

-135

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

Over 2.5

-105

Under 2.5

-130

Brandon Hagel (Lightning)

Over 2.5

-141

Under 2.5

-100

Nazem Kadri (Flames)

Over 2.5

-164

Under 2.5

+120

Matt Coronato (Flames)

Over 2.5

-100

Under 2.5

-135

Anthony Cirelli (Lightning)

Over 1.5

-141

Under 1.5

-100

Jonathan Huberdeau (Flames)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-130

Morgan Frost (Flames)

Over 1.5

-120

Under 1.5

-110

Oliver Bjorkstrand (Lightning)

Over 1.5

-141

Under 1.5

-100

Mikael Backlund (Flames)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

+120

Blake Coleman (Flames)

Over 1.5

-141

Under 1.5

+105

Rasmus Andersson (Flames)

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

+120

Darren Raddysh (Lightning)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

+130

MacKenzie Weegar (Flames)

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

+115

Micro betting provides an interesting rollercoaster ride for NHL bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Goal and Next Goalscorer. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Calgary Flames Stats

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 2 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.30 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.00 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 5.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.80 goals and allowed 2.50 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 2.80 pts and allowed 3.20 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.10 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 5.30 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 5.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.40 goals and allowed 2.70 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 2.80 goals and allowed 2.50 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 31.5
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 4.3
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 14.6
• Blocks: 16
• Faceoff Wins : 30.4
• Hits: 21.2
• Giveaways: 16
• Takeaways: 4.1

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 30
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 5.1
• Empty Net Goals: 0
• Penalty Minutes: 15.3
• Blocks: 16.7
• Faceoff Wins : 29
• Hits: 20.1
• Giveaways: 17.5
• Takeaways: 4.2

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 25.5
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 4.8
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 14
• Blocks: 12.4
• Faceoff Wins : 25.3
• Hits: 20.2
• Giveaways: 14.4
• Takeaways: 4.3

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 29.3
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 4.1
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 11.8
• Blocks: 13.8
• Faceoff Wins : 26.4
• Hits: 20.5
• Giveaways: 15.4
• Takeaways: 4

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

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