Calgary Flames vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, Picks & Odds | 26 Nov 2025

NHL Betting Preview: Flames vs Lightning

The Calgary Flames go up against the Tampa Bay Lightning at Benchmark International Arena, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Wednesday, November 26.

We’re heading to the 3-Way Moneyline and our betting prediction is for the Lightning to win in regulation time. The home team have a strong chance of beating the Flames and the -115 makes plenty of appeal.

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Calgary Flames have won three on the spin, triumphing 5-2 in their previous game. This was on the road against Vancouver Canucks at Delta Center. Kevin Bahl was on target along with four of his teammates. Goalie Dustin Wolf stopped 28 shots (.933).

Tampa Bay Lightning were winners for the fourth straight time in their last game. Landing a 3-0 home victory against Philadelphia Flyers at Benchmark International Arena. Brandon Hagel had two goals and Anthony Cirelli scored the other. Andrei Vasilevskiy made 20 saves for his shutout.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Lightning have beaten the Flames in the last two encounters. A 8-3 victory at Scotiabank Saddledome was followed by a 3-0 win at Benchmark International Arena. The Lightning have won six of the previous 10 H2H meetings.

Starting Goalies

Dustin Wolf (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	16-21-3	3	.895	2
23/24	7-7-1	3.16	.893	0

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	27-7-3	2.1	.919	2
23/24	30-20-2	2.9	.900	2

5 wins, 4 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 2.7 goals from 31.5 shots on goal, with a 9.5% powerplay efficiency. The Flames have given up 2.4 goals from 27.4 shots, averaging 4.3 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 90.7%.

Rasmus Andersson is the top points scorer with 12 points, 3 goals and 9 assists, with Matt Coronato recording 9 points, 5 goals and 4 assists, in the past 10 games. Goalie Dustin Wolf have a 2.43 goal against average with a .912 save percentage, including one shutout.

The Lightning have 7 wins and 3 losses, averaging 3.4 goals from 25.5 shots on goal, with a 12.5% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 2.7 goals from 26.6 shots, averaging 4.8 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 89.6%.

The top points scorer is Nikita Kucherov with 15 points, 6 goals and 9 assists, while Brandon Hagel is next best after having 13 points, 7 goals and 6 assists. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 1.96 GAA with a .928 SV%, including one shutout.

Calgary Flames vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction & Picks

Get the edge with our best Calgary Flames vs Tampa Bay Lightning tips: a key match prediction, correct score recommendation, top player prop bets and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

There is merit in simply backing Tampa Bay Lightning to beat their opponents in 60 minutes when it comes to this NHL encounter. Especially as odds of -115 are available for this value pick.

Incoming team news often impacts the NHL betting lines in significant ways. Our handicappers factor this in alongside recent form, while key stats are also carefully weighed to strengthen each hockey prediction.

Key Flames vs Lightning stats:

• Lightning have won 4 consecutive games.
• Lightning have won 7 of their last 10 games.
• Lightning have won 13 of their last 20 games.
• Flames have lost 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
• Flames have lost 13 of their last 20 games.
• Lightning have won the last 2 games between these teams.

Lightning 3-Way Moneyline Probability

The top betting apps are estimating that there is a 53.5% likelihood of this pick winning. After careful examination, our analysts calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

We regularly consider a Match Winner & Total Goals wager as a way of backing Tampa Bay at bigger odds. You simply need to decide whether to go Over or Under as part of the combo.

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Our Game Prediction

Lightning 3-Way Moneyline @ -115 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (23:56, 25 November 2025). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Mikael Backlund Over 1.5 Shots -164

Mikael Backlund (Flames) has fired Over 1.5 shots on goal in 5 straight road games. If you agree with our verdict that he can cover the line again, then you can land odds of -164 that this happens.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Flames 1 - 3 Lightning

A 3-1 win in favor of the Lightning is available at odds of +1500. Take a chance on the correct score and get rewarded for predicting the right scoreline.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Flames

Lightning

1-0

Flames

+5000

Lightning

+4500

2-0

Flames

+5000

Lightning

+3500

2-1

Flames

+1500

Lightning

+1200

3-0

Flames

+4000

Lightning

+2200

3-1

Flames

+2200

Lightning

+1500

3-2

Flames

+950

Lightning

+750

4-0

Flames

+6000

Lightning

+2500

4-1

Flames

+2200

Lightning

+1150

4-2

Flames

+2000

Lightning

+1300

4-3

Flames

+1300

Lightning

+1000

5-0

Flames

+11000

Lightning

+4500

5-1

Flames

+4000

Lightning

+1700

5-2

Flames

+2500

Lightning

+1300

5-3

Flames

+3300

Lightning

+2200

5-4

Flames

+2500

Lightning

+2200

6-0

Flames

+2500

Lightning

+7000

6-1

Flames

+10000

Lightning

+4000

6-2

Flames

+5000

Lightning

+2400

6-3

Flames

+4500

Lightning

+2500

6-4

Flames

+6600

Lightning

+4500

6-5

Flames

+6000

Lightning

+5500

7-0

Flames

+6000

Lightning

+11000

7-1

Flames

+6000

Lightning

+6600

7-2

Flames

+14000

Lightning

+6000

7-3

Flames

+9000

Lightning

+5000

7-4

Flames

+9000

Lightning

+6600

7-5

Flames

+14000

Lightning

+11000

7-6

Flames

+14000

Lightning

+13000

8-1

Flames

+14000

Lightning

+11000

8-2

Flames

+14000

Lightning

+10000

8-3

Flames

+14000

Lightning

+11000

8-4

Flames

+14000

Lightning

+11000

8-5

Flames

+14000

Lightning

+14000

View More

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Calgary Flames vs Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The sportsbooks have Tampa Bay Lightning at -175 when it comes to the Moneyline betting, implying the favorites are 64% likely to win this game according to the latest odds. For those wanting to back Calgary Flames, you will find +146 about the underdogs.

The puck line is calculated to be 1.5, while total goals comes in at 5.5. The beauty of Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. There’s an opportunity to bet Over 5.5 at -120.

There are hundreds of game lines and team props when it comes to wagering on the National Hockey League and we recommend visiting the top betting sites to find the wager that matches your view on the game.

Moneyline

Flames

+146

Lightning

-175

3-Way Moneyline

Flames

+260

Tie

+340

Lightning

-120

Puck Line

Flames +1.5

-169

Lightning -1.5

+138

Total Goals

Under 5.5

-102

Over 5.5

-120

The gambling sites will have goalie and player props available for each game. Check out the various odds and take a view on whether a player’s Assists, Blocked Shots or Powerplay Points will hit over or under a certain line.

Micro betting provides an interesting rollercoaster ride for NHL bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Goal and Next Goalscorer. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Calgary Flames Stats

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 2 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.30 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.00 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 5.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.80 goals and allowed 2.50 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 2.80 pts and allowed 3.20 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.10 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 5.30 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 5.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.40 goals and allowed 2.70 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 2.80 goals and allowed 2.50 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 31.5
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 4.3
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 14.6
• Blocks: 16
• Faceoff Wins : 30.4
• Hits: 21.2
• Giveaways: 16
• Takeaways: 4.1

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 30
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 5.1
• Empty Net Goals: 0
• Penalty Minutes: 15.3
• Blocks: 16.7
• Faceoff Wins : 29
• Hits: 20.1
• Giveaways: 17.5
• Takeaways: 4.2

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 25.5
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 4.8
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 14
• Blocks: 12.4
• Faceoff Wins : 25.3
• Hits: 20.2
• Giveaways: 14.4
• Takeaways: 4.3

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 29.3
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 4.1
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 11.8
• Blocks: 13.8
• Faceoff Wins : 26.4
• Hits: 20.5
• Giveaways: 15.4
• Takeaways: 4

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

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