Calgary Flames vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks & Odds | 17 Mar 2025

Leafs Look a Great Bet on the Moneyline

We’re keeping things simple by backing the Maple Leafs on the 3-Way Moneyline. They should get the better of the Flames and our betting prediction is available at odds of -125.

Leafs Have Claimed 8 Wins in 10 on H2H

Calgary Flames have been defeated in back-to-back games. They were recently beaten at home to Colorado Avalanche by a 4-2 scoreline at Scotiabank Saddledome. Jonathan Huberdeau and Blake Coleman each scored one goal.

Toronto Maple Leafs were defeated last time out, making it three home losses on the spin. Scotiabank Arena saw them beaten 4-2 against Ottawa Senators. Auston Matthews and William Nylander scored one goal each.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Leafs won the most recent encounter between these teams. A 6-3 victory was registered against the Flames at Scotiabank Saddledome. The Leafs have beaten the Flames in the past five meetings. They’ve also claimed 8 wins in the past 10 head-to-head meetings.

Starting Goalies

Dustin Wolf (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	1-5-1	3.6	.875	0
23/24	7-7-1	3.16	.893	0

Joseph Woll (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	27-14-1	2.7	.909	1
23/24	12-11-1	2.93	.907	0

4 wins, 3 losses and 3 overtime losses, averaging 2.1 goals from 26.1 shots on goal, with a 13.5% powerplay efficiency. The Flames have been giving up 2.4 goals from 29.4 shots, averaging 3.7 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 91.9%.

Nazem Kadri and Jonathan Huberdeau are the top points scorers. They have both scored 8 points over the past 10 games, including 4 goals and 4 assists. Goalie Dustin Wolf have a 2.11 goal against average with a .923 save percentage, including one shutout.

The Leafs have 5 wins, 4 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 3.4 goals from 26.1 shots on goal, with a 23.7% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 3.7 goals from 29.6 shots, averaging 3.7 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 73.0%.

The top points scorer is William Nylander with 11 points, 4 goals and 7 assists, while Auston Matthews is next in line after registering 11 points, 3 goals and 8 assists. Goalie Anthony Stolarz have a 3.09 GAA with a .891 SV%.

Calgary Flames vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks

Game Prediction

Toronto Maple Leafs are available at -125 when it comes to winning this NHL encounter in 60 minutes. Our pick is that the home team will outscore Calgary Flames and there’s value available when it comes to these odds.

A great deal of research goes into our NHL predictions. We start by studying the latest form and getting a handle on injuries. The key player and goalie stats can then be used as the missing piece of the jigsaw.

Key Flames vs Maple Leafs stats:

• Maple Leafs have won 30 of their last 50 games this season.
• Maple Leafs have won 11 of their last 20 games.
• Flames have lost 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• Flames have lost 14 of their last 23 games on the road this season.
• Flames have lost their last 2 games.
• Maple Leafs have won the last 5 games between these teams.

Leafs 3-Way Moneyline Probability

The sportsbooks imply that our pick has a 55.6% prospect of winning. In the opinion of our analysts, there’s actually a probability of success between 60-65%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

Those looking for a bigger price about a win for Toronto should head to the Match Winner & Total Goals lines. You can combine this pick with an Over / Under prediction for more juice.

Best Bet

Maple Leafs 3-Way Moneyline @ -125 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jonathan Huberdeau Over 1.5 Shots -130

Jonathan Huberdeau (Flames) has recorded Over 1.5 shots on goal in 2 straight games. Out of all the prop bets available, we’re going to take the -130 when it comes to this Shots on Goal wager.

Latest Jonathan Huberdeau Player Prop Odds

Goals

Anytime

+240

First

+1300

Shots on Goal

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-100

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Flames 2 - 3 Maple Leafs

The Maple Leafs are available to back at +800 to secure a 3-2 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Flames

Maple Leafs

1-0

Flames

+5000

Maple Leafs

+4500

2-0

Flames

+5000

Maple Leafs

+4000

2-1

Flames

+1500

Maple Leafs

+1200

3-0

Flames

+4000

Maple Leafs

+2000

3-1

Flames

+2200

Maple Leafs

+1500

3-2

Flames

+950

Maple Leafs

+800

4-0

Flames

+6000

Maple Leafs

+3000

4-1

Flames

+2200

Maple Leafs

+1000

4-2

Flames

+2000

Maple Leafs

+1400

4-3

Flames

+1200

Maple Leafs

+1000

5-0

Flames

+11000

Maple Leafs

+4500

5-1

Flames

+4000

Maple Leafs

+2000

5-2

Flames

+2500

Maple Leafs

+1150

5-3

Flames

+3300

Maple Leafs

+2200

5-4

Flames

+2500

Maple Leafs

+2000

6-0

Flames

+2500

Maple Leafs

+7000

6-1

Flames

+10000

Maple Leafs

+4000

6-2

Flames

+5500

Maple Leafs

+2800

6-3

Flames

+4500

Maple Leafs

+2200

6-4

Flames

+6600

Maple Leafs

+5000

6-5

Flames

+6000

Maple Leafs

+5500

7-0

Flames

+6000

Maple Leafs

+11000

7-1

Flames

+6000

Maple Leafs

+6600

7-2

Flames

+14000

Maple Leafs

+6000

7-3

Flames

+9000

Maple Leafs

+5500

7-4

Flames

+10000

Maple Leafs

+5500

7-5

Flames

+14000

Maple Leafs

+11000

7-6

Flames

+14000

Maple Leafs

+12500

8-1

Flames

+14000

Maple Leafs

+11000

8-2

Flames

+14000

Maple Leafs

+10000

8-3

Flames

+14000

Maple Leafs

+11000

8-4

Flames

+14000

Maple Leafs

+12000

8-5

Flames

+14000

Maple Leafs

+13000

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Calgary Flames vs Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Leafs Win on the Cards According to the Books

The favorites are 67% likely to win according to the sportsbooks’ latest Moneyline odds, with Toronto Maple Leafs priced at -200 to triumph in this game. The market suggests that Calgary Flames are least likely to win at +164.

The puck line is 1.5 and the total goals line is 5.5. A wager on Totals allows bettors to use the latest NHL data to good effect. If you're keen on Over 5.5, this selection is available at -123.

The Leafs are -150 to find the net first and that makes them favorites. If you instead expect the Flames to bag the first goal, you can get odds of +110.

If you’re planning to wager on a National Hockey League clash, visit the betting sites and check out the hundreds of team props and game lines. Find the odds and lines which are the most attractive.

Moneyline

Flames

+164

Maple Leafs

-200

3-Way Moneyline

Flames

+265

Tie

+340

Maple Leafs

-122

Puck Line

Flames +1.5

-161

Maple Leafs -1.5

+130

Total Goals

Under 5.5

+102

Over 5.5

-123

Auston Matthews Favorite to Score the First Goal

Favorite Auston Matthews is priced at +550 to be the first player to light the lamp. There’s also the opportunity to back him to score at anytime at odds of -118.

Player Goals

Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs)

First

-118

Anytime

+550

William Nylander (Maple Leafs)

First

+132

Anytime

+750

Mitchell Marner (Maple Leafs)

First

+185

Anytime

+1000

Nazem Kadri (Flames)

First

+190

Anytime

+1050

John Tavares (Maple Leafs)

First

+195

Anytime

+1050

Matthew Knies (Maple Leafs)

First

+220

Anytime

+1150

Jonathan Huberdeau (Flames)

First

+240

Anytime

+1300

Matthew Coronato (Flames)

First

+290

Anytime

+1500

Bobby McMann (Maple Leafs)

First

+300

Anytime

+1500

Yegor Sharangovich (Flames)

First

+325

Anytime

+1600

Max Domi (Maple Leafs)

First

+330

Anytime

+1600

Connor Zary (Flames)

First

+350

Anytime

+1700

Blake Coleman (Flames)

First

+350

Anytime

+1700

Morgan Frost (Flames)

First

+370

Anytime

+1800

Nicholas Robertson (Maple Leafs)

First

+390

Anytime

+1800

Scott Laughton (Maple Leafs)

First

+390

Anytime

+1800

Pontus Holmberg (Maple Leafs)

First

+390

Anytime

+1800

Joel Farabee (Flames)

First

+420

Anytime

+2000

Martin Pospíšil (Flames)

First

+420

Anytime

+2000

Alexander Steeves (Maple Leafs)

First

+425

Anytime

+2000

Calle Järnkrok (Maple Leafs)

First

+425

Anytime

+2000

MacKenzie Weegar (Flames)

First

+480

Anytime

+2200

Player Shots

Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs)

Over 3.5

-143

Under 3.5

+110

Nazem Kadri (Flames)

Over 3.5

+125

Under 3.5

-161

Mitchell Marner (Maple Leafs)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-169

John Tavares (Maple Leafs)

Over 2.5

+116

Under 2.5

-154

Blake Coleman (Flames)

Over 2.5

+150

Under 2.5

-200

MacKenzie Weegar (Flames)

Over 2.5

+145

Under 2.5

-192

Jonathan Huberdeau (Flames)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-100

Bobby McMann (Maple Leafs)

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

+115

Morgan Frost (Flames)

Over 1.5

-139

Under 1.5

+105

Micro Betting

Among the various options for wagering on the NHL, you will find that micro betting is provided. It focuses on short-term in-game outcomes such as whether a goal will be scored within the next 10 minutes.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Calgary Flames Stats

Toronto Maple Leafs Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 1 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 2 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 4.60 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 5.20 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.10 goals and allowed 2.50 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 2.50 pts and allowed 2.70 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 7.30 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 5.80 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.50 goals and allowed 3.80 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 2.40 goals and allowed 3.40 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 26.1
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 3.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 7.9
• Blocks: 15.5
• Faceoff Wins : 28.3
• Hits: 25.1
• Giveaways: 17.3
• Takeaways: 4.3

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.8
• Shots: 26.2
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4.2
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 9.2
• Blocks: 14.3
• Faceoff Wins : 30.5
• Hits: 25
• Giveaways: 15.2
• Takeaways: 4.5

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.9
• Shots: 26.1
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 8.9
• Blocks: 14.7
• Faceoff Wins : 32.9
• Hits: 26.2
• Giveaways: 17.7
• Takeaways: 4.9

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 27.7
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 2.4
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 6
• Blocks: 17.2
• Faceoff Wins : 32.1
• Hits: 23.4
• Giveaways: 14
• Takeaways: 5.2

Team News

Calgary Flames Player Stats & Roster

#	Player	GP	MIN	G	A	P	+/-
10	Jonathan Huberdeau	65	19.27	25	24	49	-9
91	Nazem Kadri	65	19.15	23	25	48	-20
52	MacKenzie Weegar	65	23.89	7	32	39	11

27	Matt Coronato	60	17.21	16	17	33	3
20	Blake Coleman	65	17.73	13	18	31	-8
	Morgan Frost	64	15.49	13	17	30	-15
47	Connor Zary	49	15.89	12	12	24	-7
11	Mikael Backlund	64	18.81	11	13	24	0
4	Rasmus Andersson	65	24.1	8	15	23	-24
	Joel Farabee	65	15.04	11	12	23	-14
17	Yegor Sharangovich	57	17.12	12	11	23	-10
76	Martin Pospisil	65	13.81	4	17	21	0
7	Kevin Bahl	56	21.35	2	14	16	-1
58	Justin Kirkland	21	9.7	2	6	8	6
70	Ryan Lomberg	63	8.6	1	7	8	-2
94	Brayden Pachal	63	14.4	2	5	7	0
21	Kevin Rooney	54	9.42	4	3	7	-4
24	Jake Bean	48	15.64	2	5	7	-2
62	Daniil Miromanov	38	18.21	1	6	7	2
39	Anthony Mantha	13	13.9	4	3	7	6
44	Joel Hanley	37	17.7	1	4	5	5
86	Rory Kerins	5	12.22	0	4	4	3
8	Tyson Barrie	13	15.8	1	2	3	-7
98	Ilya Solovyov	5	15.68	0	1	1	-3
43	Adam Klapka	14	8.23	1	0	1	0
61	Clark Bishop	6	7.25	1	0	1	-2
42	Samuel Honzek	5	12.4	0	0	0	-1
15	Dryden Hunt	2	9.45	0	0	0	-2

#	Goalies	GP	GAA	SV%
32	Dustin Wolf	40	2.54	0.914
80	Daniel Vladar	25	2.98	0.893
1	Devin Cooley	-	-	-

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Toronto Maple Leafs Player Stats & Roster

#	Player	GP	MIN	G	A	P	+/-
16	Mitchell Marner	65	21.55	21	59	80	9
88	William Nylander	66	19.89	37	31	68	1
34	Auston Matthews	51	20.68	24	33	57	1

91	John Tavares	59	18.44	27	29	56	4
23	Matthew Knies	62	18.51	24	19	43	-2
44	Morgan Rielly	66	21.57	7	26	33	-20
74	Bobby McMann	58	14.53	17	11	28	4
24	Scott Laughton	64	14.95	11	16	27	-19
95	Oliver Ekman-Larsson	65	21.03	4	22	26	10
11	Max Domi	58	14.46	5	21	26	2
89	Nick Robertson	56	12.06	11	7	18	-5
8	Christopher Tanev	59	19.71	2	15	17	27
22	Jake McCabe	57	21.41	2	15	17	21
29	Pontus Holmberg	54	13.17	6	9	15	0
18	Steven Lorentz	64	10.36	5	9	14	2
67	Max Pacioretty	37	13.5	5	8	13	-2
25	Brandon Carlo	67	18.84	1	9	10	2
64	David Kampf	52	12.42	4	6	10	-3
2	Simon Benoit	62	16.3	1	5	6	2
51	Phillipe Myers	29	16.52	1	3	4	-7
39	Fraser Minten	15	12.23	2	2	4	-4
75	Ryan Reaves	35	7.8	0	2	2	-2
46	Alex Steeves	7	9.89	1	1	2	3
19	Calle Jaernkrok	5	13.08	1	1	2	0
35	Dennis Hildeby	6	60.13	0	0	0	0
71	Nikita Grebyonkin	7	8.74	0	0	0	-3
92	Alexander Nylander	5	9.88	0	0	0	-1
28	Jani Hakanpaeae	2	14.1	0	0	0	-1
36	Dakota Mermis	1	10.8	0	0	0	-2
61	Jacob Quillan	1	5.4	0	0	0	0

#	Goalies	GP	GAA	SV%
41	Anthony Stolarz	26	2.39	0.918
60	Joseph Woll	34	2.78	0.905
30	Matt Murray	2	3.54	0.879

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Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups