Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Apr 2025

Lightning Look Too Strong for Red Wings

We’re excited for this clash and our prediction is to back the Lightning -1.5 on the puck line. This means they will beat the Red Wings by two goals or more at -102.

6-3 Lightning Triumph in Previous H2H

Detroit Red Wings were beaten in their previous four road games and the latest was at Amerant Bank Arena. Florida Panthers claimed a 4-1 win. Red Wings racked up 23 shots and Alex DeBrincat bagged the only goal.

Tampa Bay Lightning were defeated last time out. Amalie Arena saw them beaten at home to Toronto Maple Leafs by a 4-3 (OT) scoreline. Victor Hedman, Nicklaus Perbix and Oliver Bjorkstrand scored one goal each.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Lightning won the last encounter between the pair. Enjoying a 6-3 triumph when facing the Red Wings at Little Caesars Arena. The Red Wings have triumphed in six of the previous 10 clashes between these teams.

Starting Goalies

Alex Lyon (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	3-4-0	2.6	.922	1
23/24	21-18-4	3.05	.904	2

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	1-3-2	3	.892	0
23/24	30-20-2	2.9	.900	2

4 wins, 5 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 2.5 goals from 24.9 shots on goal, with a 16.7% powerplay efficiency. The Red Wings have given up 3.1 goals from 29.1 shots, averaging 2.7 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 74.1%.

Patrick Kane is the top points scorer with 9 points, 3 goals and 6 assists, with Alex DeBrincat racking up 8 points, 5 goals and 3 assists, in the last 10 games. Goalie Cam Talbot have a 2.51 goal against average with a .918 save percentage.

The Lightning have 5 wins, 3 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 4.0 goals from 26.8 shots on goal, with a 22.5% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 2.4 goals from 28.9 shots, averaging 3.2 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 81.3%.

The top points scorer is Nikita Kucherov with 20 points, 5 goals and 15 assists, while Brayden Point is next best after having 13 points, 9 goals and 4 assists. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 1.72 GAA with a .936 SV%, including one shutout.

Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction & Picks

Game Prediction

Back Tampa Bay Lightning at -1.5 on the spread for this NHL clash. The -102 appeals and the puck line provides more value than the moneyline in our opinion.

The NHL handicappers at Sportsgambler.com check injury updates regularly and combine this with the form guide. We’re also able to consult a database of team, player and goalie stats and present the key numbers to our readers.

Key Red Wings vs Lightning stats:

• The -1.5 line has been covered by Lightning in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -1.5 line has been covered by Lightning in 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Red Wings in 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The +1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Red Wings in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Red Wings in 2 consecutive games.

Lightning -1.5 Probability

The sportsbooks imply that our pick has a 50.5% prospect of winning. Based on our cappers in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this hockey bet.

If you’re looking for an alternative to wagering Tampa Bay against the Puck Line, then consider a bet on the Winning Margin. You can choose from a range of fixed intervals and odds.

Best Bet

Lightning -1.5 @ -102 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Lucas Raymond Over 1.5 Shots -200

Lucas Raymond (Red Wings) has recorded Over 1.5 shots on goal in 4 straight games on the road. We’re expecting history to repeat itself and for him to cover the Shots on Goal line at odds of -200.

Latest Lucas Raymond Player Prop Odds

Goals

Anytime

+260

First

+1400

Shots on Goal

Over 1.5

-200

Under 1.5

+150

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Red Wings 1 - 3 Lightning

You can secure odds of +1400 that the Lightning are able to land a 3-1 victory. Correct score betting can provide plenty of fun and it’s a way of landing bigger odds.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Red Wings

Lightning

1-0

Red Wings

+5500

Lightning

+6000

2-0

Red Wings

+6000

Lightning

+4000

2-1

Red Wings

+1700

Lightning

+1600

3-0

Red Wings

+6000

Lightning

+2000

3-1

Red Wings

+2800

Lightning

+1400

3-2

Red Wings

+1100

Lightning

+900

4-0

Red Wings

+8000

Lightning

+2200

4-1

Red Wings

+3400

Lightning

+950

4-2

Red Wings

+2500

Lightning

+1200

4-3

Red Wings

+1400

Lightning

+1100

5-0

Red Wings

+1400

Lightning

+3400

5-1

Red Wings

+6000

Lightning

+1300

5-2

Red Wings

+3500

Lightning

+1050

5-3

Red Wings

+4000

Lightning

+1900

5-4

Red Wings

+2800

Lightning

+2000

6-0

Red Wings

+2800

Lightning

+5000

6-1

Red Wings

+13000

Lightning

+2800

6-2

Red Wings

+7500

Lightning

+1800

6-3

Red Wings

+6000

Lightning

+2000

6-4

Red Wings

+7500

Lightning

+4000

6-5

Red Wings

+6000

Lightning

+5000

7-0

Red Wings

+6000

Lightning

+7500

7-1

Red Wings

+6000

Lightning

+4500

7-2

Red Wings

+6000

Lightning

+4000

7-3

Red Wings

+12000

Lightning

+3500

7-4

Red Wings

+12000

Lightning

+5000

7-5

Red Wings

+14000

Lightning

+9000

7-6

Red Wings

+14000

Lightning

+12000

8-0

Red Wings

+14000

Lightning

+12000

8-1

Red Wings

+14000

Lightning

+7500

8-2

Red Wings

+14000

Lightning

+7500

8-3

Red Wings

+14000

Lightning

+9000

8-4

Red Wings

+14000

Lightning

+9000

8-5

Red Wings

+14000

Lightning

+12000

9-1

Red Wings

+14000

Lightning

+12500

9-2

Red Wings

+14000

Lightning

+12000

9-3

Red Wings

+14000

Lightning

+14000

View More

Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Make Lightning Big Favorites

The latest Moneyline betting odds give Tampa Bay Lightning a 76% chance of winning this game which means they’re overwhelming -313 favorites with the sportsbooks. Detroit Red Wings are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +245.

The puck line is 1.5 and the total goals line is currently 6.5. A Totals wager is always available and can often provide value selections. If you're keen on Over 6.5, this selection is available at +110.

Wagering on the Race to 3 Goals allows bettors to back favorites Lightning at -200. On the flip side, the Red Wings are +325 should you think they’ll get to this total first.

National Hockey League fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the wide range of game lines and team props which are available for every clash on the coupon. Head to the betting sites and find the best value wagers.

Moneyline

Red Wings

+245

Lightning

-313

3-Way Moneyline

Red Wings

+390

Tie

+380

Lightning

-179

Puck Line

Red Wings +1.5

-106

Lightning -1.5

-114

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-133

Over 6.5

+110

Nikita Kucherov Favorite to Light the Lamp First

Nikita Kucherov is the market leader at +700 to be the First Goalscorer. Should you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.

Player Goals

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

First

+106

Anytime

+700

Brayden Point (Lightning)

First

+106

Anytime

+700

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

First

+135

Anytime

+800

Brandon Hagel (Lightning)

First

+150

Anytime

+900

Dylan Larkin (Red Wings)

First

+200

Anytime

+1150

Alex DeBrincat (Red Wings)

First

+220

Anytime

+1200

Oliver Björkstrand (Lightning)

First

+245

Anytime

+1300

Anthony Cirelli (Lightning)

First

+245

Anytime

+1300

Lucas Raymond (Red Wings)

First

+260

Anytime

+1400

Nick Paul (Lightning)

First

+265

Anytime

+1400

Patrick Kane (Red Wings)

First

+300

Anytime

+1600

Yanni Gourde (Lightning)

First

+310

Anytime

+1600

Mitchell Chaffee (Lightning)

First

+375

Anytime

+1800

Gage Goncalves (Lightning)

First

+410

Anytime

+2000

Conor Sheary (Lightning)

First

+410

Anytime

+2000

Marco Kasper (Red Wings)

First

+425

Anytime

+2000

Vladimir Tarasenko (Red Wings)

First

+460

Anytime

+2200

Victor Hedman (Lightning)

First

+460

Anytime

+2200

Jonatan Berggren (Red Wings)

First

+480

Anytime

+2200

Elmer Söderblom (Red Wings)

First

+480

Anytime

+2200

JT Compher (Red Wings)

First

+480

Anytime

+2200

Player Shots

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

Over 3.5

+125

Under 3.5

-164

Brayden Point (Lightning)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-156

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

Over 2.5

-114

Under 2.5

-114

Brandon Hagel (Lightning)

Over 2.5

+115

Under 2.5

-149

Dylan Larkin (Red Wings)

Over 2.5

-125

Under 2.5

-103

Alex DeBrincat (Red Wings)

Over 2.5

-135

Under 2.5

+104

Victor Hedman (Lightning)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-156

Lucas Raymond (Red Wings)

Over 1.5

-200

Under 1.5

+150

Vladimir Tarasenko (Red Wings)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-130

Micro Betting

It’s possible to use stats to your advantage when it comes to NHL micro betting, especially if you’re predicting outcomes such as the Next Goal and Next Goalscorer. Check out the live team and player props and see if you can find an angle.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Detroit Red Wings Stats

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.60 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 5.60 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.50 goals and allowed 3.10 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 1.90 pts and allowed 3.70 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.50 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.30 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 4.00 goals and allowed 2.50 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 4.30 goals and allowed 2.00 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 24.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 2.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 7.9
• Blocks: 13.3
• Faceoff Wins : 25.7
• Hits: 24.6
• Giveaways: 14
• Takeaways: 4.2

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 26.6
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 2.5
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 6.1
• Blocks: 14.3
• Faceoff Wins : 25
• Hits: 23.5
• Giveaways: 14.7
• Takeaways: 3.5

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.9
• Shots: 26.8
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.2
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 8.1
• Blocks: 17.2
• Faceoff Wins : 26.9
• Hits: 15
• Giveaways: 14
• Takeaways: 3.6

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.9
• Shots: 27.3
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.1
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 8.3
• Blocks: 16.4
• Faceoff Wins : 29.2
• Hits: 16.8
• Giveaways: 15.5
• Takeaways: 3.8

Team News

Detroit Red Wings Player Stats & Roster

#	Player	GP	MIN	G	A	P	+/-
23	Lucas Raymond	78	19.01	26	49	75	-13
71	Dylan Larkin	78	20.18	29	37	66	-13
93	Alex DeBrincat	78	17.85	36	30	66	-16

88	Patrick Kane	68	17.95	20	35	55	-16
53	Moritz Seider	78	25.14	7	33	40	-10
92	Marco Kasper	73	15.3	16	16	32	-4
37	J.T. Compher	72	16.73	10	21	31	-8
11	Vladimir Tarasenko	76	14.78	10	21	31	-16
77	Simon Edvinsson	74	21	7	22	29	9
18	Andrew Copp	56	14.7	10	13	23	4
48	Jonatan Berggren	71	12.88	10	10	20	-12
27	Michael Rasmussen	73	13.35	11	8	19	-13
56	Erik Gustafsson	60	16.32	2	16	18	-19
	Craig Smith	55	11.37	9	9	18	-10
8	Ben Chiarot	77	21.26	4	9	13	-12
85	Elmer Soederblom	26	13.37	4	7	11	2
14	Tyler Motte	51	11.24	3	5	8	-12
20	Albert Johansson	57	16.22	2	6	8	-10
46	Jeff Petry	42	19	1	6	7	-2
3	Justin Holl	70	14.73	1	4	5	-10
	Austin Watson	9	6.76	2	0	2	0
56	Dominik Shine	9	8.64	0	1	1	-1
84	William Lagesson	4	13.95	0	0	0	-2
43	Carter Mazur	1	1.2	0	0	0	0

#	Goalies	GP	GAA	SV%
32	Jack Campbell	-	-	-
34	Petr Mrazek	38	3.35	0.891
33	Sebastian Cossa	1	2.67	0.857
34	Alex Lyon	28	2.84	0.896
39	Cam Talbot	45	2.86	0.904

View More

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Stats & Roster

#	Player	GP	MIN	G	A	P	+/-
86	Nikita Kucherov	74	21.38	34	82	116	21
38	Brandon Hagel	78	20.91	35	50	85	31
21	Brayden Point	73	19.65	41	38	79	15

59	Jake Guentzel	76	20.11	38	39	77	20
77	Victor Hedman	75	23.27	15	48	63	18
71	Anthony Cirelli	76	18.83	26	28	54	27
22	Oliver Bjorkstrand	78	15.15	21	25	46	2
20	Nick Paul	72	16.43	22	18	40	14
43	Darren Raddysh	69	17.45	5	30	35	10
27	Ryan McDonagh	78	20.55	3	27	30	40
37	Yanni Gourde	53	15.85	7	21	28	-1
81	Erik Cernak	72	18.36	3	18	21	28
48	Nicklaus Perbix	70	14.59	6	13	19	8
78	Emil Lilleberg	72	15.19	0	18	18	-1
41	Mitchell Chaffee	63	12.14	12	5	17	-2
93	Gage Goncalves	56	12.38	6	10	16	5
90	Janis Jerome Moser	50	18.91	2	11	13	20
14	Conor Geekie	49	12.14	6	6	12	-3
13	Cam Atkinson	38	8.79	4	5	9	-4
11	Luke Glendening	77	10.78	4	3	7	-9
28	Zemgus Girgensons	78	11.57	2	4	6	-5
67	Declan Carlile	3	13	1	0	1	2
53	Dylan Duke	2	7.85	1	0	1	0
64	Steven Santini	1	11.6	0	0	0	0
65	Maxwell Crozier	5	16.7	0	0	0	0
73	Conor Sheary	5	11.34	0	0	0	-2
33	Brandon Halverson	1	58	0	0	0	0
62	Jack Finley	1	8.4	0	0	0	1

#	Goalies	GP	GAA	SV%
88	Andrei Vasilevskiy	61	2.15	0.922
30	Kyle Konin	-	-	-
31	Jonas Johansson	17	2.97	0.903
70	Matt Tomkins	-	-	-

View More

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups