Detroit Red Wings vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks & Odds | 17 Apr 2025

Leafs Great Value against Red Wings

Our betting prediction is that there will be home-ice advantage when the Maple Leafs face the Red Wings. You can currently get -164 about this happening which look like great odds.

Leafs Won 5-2 in Teams’ Previous H2H

Detroit Red Wings have won their previous three games. A 5-2 triumph recently occurred on the road at Prudential Center when playing New Jersey Devils. Dylan Larkin was one of five different players on the scoresheet. Goalie Alex Lyon stopped 28 shots (.933).

Toronto Maple Leafs have won six straight home games. In their last appearance, they won on the road, beating Buffalo Sabres 4-0 at KeyBank Center. The goals were shared around between four players including Mitchell Marner. For the shutout, Anthony Stolarz made 35 saves.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Leafs won the last encounter between the pair. Enjoying a 5-2 triumph when facing the Red Wings at Little Caesars Arena. In the previous 10 games between the teams, they have won five apiece.

Starting Goalies

Cam Talbot (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	4-1-0	3	.898	0
23/24	27-20-4	2.5	.913	3

Joseph Woll (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	27-14-1	2.7	.909	1
23/24	12-11-1	2.93	.907	0

6 wins, 3 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 3.0 goals from 27.1 shots on goal, with a 10.3% powerplay efficiency. The Red Wings have given up 2.8 goals from 28.7 shots, averaging 2.4 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 87.5%.

Lucas Raymond is the top points scorer with 10 points, 3 goals and 7 assists, with Alex DeBrincat racking up 8 points, 5 goals and 3 assists, in the past 10 games. Goalie Cam Talbot have a 2.36 goal against average with a .920 save percentage.

The Leafs have 8 wins, 1 loss and 1 overtime loss, averaging 3.3 goals from 27.3 shots on goal, with a 12.1% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 1.7 goals from 30.1 shots, averaging 3.8 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 84.2%.

The top points scorer is Mitchell Marner with 14 points, 5 goals and 9 assists, while Auston Matthews is next best after having 13 points, 5 goals and 8 assists. Goalie Anthony Stolarz have a 0.99 GAA with a .965 SV%, including three shutouts.

Detroit Red Wings vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks

Game Prediction

There is merit in backing Toronto Maple Leafs to have the edge over the visitors in this NHL game. Especially as odds of -164 are available when it comes to this pick.

We’re always monitoring the team news. Combined with the latest form, this helps us secure the best value. Our expert NHL handicappers also take a data-led approach, with the key numbers proving useful.

Key Red Wings vs Maple Leafs stats:

• Maple Leafs have won 5 of their last 5 games at home.
• Maple Leafs have won 8 of their last 10 games.
• Maple Leafs have won 6 consecutive games at home this season.
• Red Wings have lost 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
• Red Wings have lost 12 of their last 20 games on the road.

Leafs Moneyline Probability

The sportsbooks imply that our pick has a 62.1% prospect of winning. However, our cappers have this number closer to 70% based on their in-depth research. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

As an option, you could consider the Puck Line where you can back Toronto to cover the spread. That means you need a specific margin of victory to yield a return.

Best Bet

Maple Leafs Moneyline @ -164 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Dylan Larkin Under 2.5 Shots -143

Dylan Larkin (Red Wings) hasn't covered the 2.5 shots on goal total in 8 of the past 10 games. Let’s stick with this betting trend and wager him to go under the Shots on Goal line at odds of -143.

Latest Dylan Larkin Player Prop Odds

Goals

Anytime

+165

First

+950

Shots on Goal

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-143

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Red Wings 2 - 3 Maple Leafs

The Maple Leafs are available at +800 when it comes to them winning 3-2. We like a correct score play and the chance to bag a nice return if our prediction is right.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Red Wings

Maple Leafs

1-0

Red Wings

+5000

Maple Leafs

+4500

2-0

Red Wings

+5000

Maple Leafs

+4000

2-1

Red Wings

+1500

Maple Leafs

+1300

3-0

Red Wings

+4000

Maple Leafs

+2800

3-1

Red Wings

+2000

Maple Leafs

+1600

3-2

Red Wings

+900

Maple Leafs

+800

4-0

Red Wings

+5500

Maple Leafs

+3300

4-1

Red Wings

+2000

Maple Leafs

+1300

4-2

Red Wings

+1800

Maple Leafs

+1400

4-3

Red Wings

+1150

Maple Leafs

+1000

5-0

Red Wings

+10000

Maple Leafs

+5500

5-1

Red Wings

+3500

Maple Leafs

+2000

5-2

Red Wings

+2200

Maple Leafs

+1400

5-3

Red Wings

+2800

Maple Leafs

+2200

5-4

Red Wings

+2200

Maple Leafs

+2000

6-0

Red Wings

+2200

Maple Leafs

+8000

6-1

Red Wings

+9000

Maple Leafs

+4500

6-2

Red Wings

+4500

Maple Leafs

+2500

6-3

Red Wings

+4000

Maple Leafs

+2800

6-4

Red Wings

+5500

Maple Leafs

+4500

6-5

Red Wings

+5500

Maple Leafs

+5000

7-0

Red Wings

+5500

Maple Leafs

+12500

7-1

Red Wings

+14000

Maple Leafs

+8000

7-2

Red Wings

+12000

Maple Leafs

+6600

7-3

Red Wings

+8000

Maple Leafs

+5000

7-4

Red Wings

+8000

Maple Leafs

+6000

7-5

Red Wings

+12000

Maple Leafs

+10000

7-6

Red Wings

+12500

Maple Leafs

+12000

8-1

Red Wings

+12500

Maple Leafs

+12500

8-2

Red Wings

+12500

Maple Leafs

+11000

8-3

Red Wings

+12500

Maple Leafs

+12000

8-4

Red Wings

+12500

Maple Leafs

+11000

8-5

Red Wings

+12500

Maple Leafs

+14000

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Detroit Red Wings vs Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Leafs Have the Shortest Odds to Win

Toronto Maple Leafs are regarded as having a 63% chance of winning this game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -167. For those wanting to back Detroit Red Wings, you will find +138 about the underdogs.

The puck line is 1.5, with the total goals line at 5.5. The beauty of Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. There’s an opportunity to bet Over 5.5 at -130.

National Hockey League bettors are spoilt for choice thanks to the hundreds of game lines and team props which are available for every clash on the coupon. Head to the betting sites and find the best value picks.

Moneyline

Red Wings

+138

Maple Leafs

-167

3-Way Moneyline

Red Wings

+215

Tie

+320

Maple Leafs

+102

Puck Line

Red Wings +1.5

-189

Maple Leafs -1.5

+152

Total Goals

Under 5.5

+106

Over 5.5

-130

Auston Matthews Favorite to Be First Goalscorer

Auston Matthews is priced at +575 when it comes to First Goalscorer. He’s the favorite and also available at odds of -111 to light the lamp at anytime.

Player Goals

Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs)

First

-111

Anytime

+575

William Nylander (Maple Leafs)

First

+138

Anytime

+800

John Tavares (Maple Leafs)

First

+160

Anytime

+900

Dylan Larkin (Red Wings)

First

+165

Anytime

+950

Alex DeBrincat (Red Wings)

First

+180

Anytime

+1000

Mitchell Marner (Maple Leafs)

First

+195

Anytime

+1050

Matthew Knies (Maple Leafs)

First

+205

Anytime

+1100

Lucas Raymond (Red Wings)

First

+215

Anytime

+1200

Patrick Kane (Red Wings)

First

+250

Anytime

+1300

Bobby McMann (Maple Leafs)

First

+320

Anytime

+1600

Marco Kasper (Red Wings)

First

+340

Anytime

+1700

Max Domi (Maple Leafs)

First

+340

Anytime

+1700

Vladimir Tarasenko (Red Wings)

First

+390

Anytime

+1900

Nicholas Robertson (Maple Leafs)

First

+400

Anytime

+1900

Scott Laughton (Maple Leafs)

First

+400

Anytime

+1900

Pontus Holmberg (Maple Leafs)

First

+400

Anytime

+1900

JT Compher (Red Wings)

First

+420

Anytime

+2000

Jonatan Berggren (Red Wings)

First

+420

Anytime

+2000

Elmer Söderblom (Red Wings)

First

+420

Anytime

+2000

Alexander Steeves (Maple Leafs)

First

+440

Anytime

+2000

Calle Järnkrok (Maple Leafs)

First

+440

Anytime

+2000

Michael Rasmussen (Red Wings)

First

+450

Anytime

+2200

Player Shots

Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs)

Over 3.5

-111

Under 3.5

-116

William Nylander (Maple Leafs)

Over 2.5

-130

Under 2.5

-100

John Tavares (Maple Leafs)

Over 2.5

-100

Under 2.5

-130

Dylan Larkin (Red Wings)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-143

Alex DeBrincat (Red Wings)

Over 2.5

-156

Under 2.5

+120

Lucas Raymond (Red Wings)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-182

Patrick Kane (Red Wings)

Over 2.5

+115

Under 2.5

-149

Mitchell Marner (Maple Leafs)

Over 1.5

-200

Under 1.5

+150

Matthew Knies (Maple Leafs)

Over 1.5

-182

Under 1.5

+140

Micro Betting

You don’t have to wait for the final outcome when it comes to NHL micro betting. Instead, there’s the opportunity to wager on live lines which tend to be settled in a shorter space of time and the in-game odds are always changing.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Detroit Red Wings Stats

Toronto Maple Leafs Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 3 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 2 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.70 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.10 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.40 goals and allowed 3.30 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 2.60 pts and allowed 3.50 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.50 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.20 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.90 goals and allowed 3.60 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.00 goals and allowed 3.20 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 29.4
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 2.2
• Empty Net Goals: 0.5
• Penalty Minutes: 4.4
• Blocks: 16.3
• Faceoff Wins : 25
• Hits: 19.6
• Giveaways: 14.8
• Takeaways: 4.8

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 25.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 2.2
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 5.2
• Blocks: 18
• Faceoff Wins : 25.5
• Hits: 22.1
• Giveaways: 13.7
• Takeaways: 3.9

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.3
• Shots: 24.6
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4.3
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 10.5
• Blocks: 21.6
• Faceoff Wins : 32.3
• Hits: 38.9
• Giveaways: 15.4
• Takeaways: 3.3

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 25.8
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4.3
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 9.7
• Blocks: 20.9
• Faceoff Wins : 31.7
• Hits: 33.4
• Giveaways: 14.2
• Takeaways: 4

Team News

Detroit Red Wings Player Stats & Roster

#	Player	GP	MIN	G	A	P	+/-
88	Patrick Kane	2	17.4	1	3	4	0
93	Alex DeBrincat	2	18.4	0	3	3	0
71	Dylan Larkin	2	20.15	1	1	2	2

23	Lucas Raymond	2	19.3	2	0	2	3
18	Andrew Copp	2	15.45	1	0	1	-1
58	Emmitt Finnie	2	13.05	0	1	1	2
92	Marco Kasper	2	14.25	1	0	1	-2
20	Albert Johansson	2	14.2	0	1	1	1
77	Simon Edvinsson	2	21.9	1	0	1	1
53	Moritz Seider	2	25.45	0	1	1	-3
22	Mason Appleton	2	13.5	0	0	0	-2
27	Michael Rasmussen	2	10.75	0	0	0	-3
37	J.T. Compher	2	15.75	0	0	0	1
28	Michael Brandsegg-Nygaard	2	13	0	0	0	-2
	Axel Sandin Pellikka	2	20.45	0	0	0	0
8	Ben Chiarot	2	20.45	0	0	0	-3
23	Travis Hamonic	1	13.6	0	0	0	-3
48	Jonatan Berggren	1	8.8	0	0	0	-1
85	Elmer Soederblom	1	10.7	0	0	0	-2
24	Jacob Bernard-Docker	1	10.3	0	0	0	3

#	Goalies	GP	GAA	SV%
39	Cam Talbot	2	2.18	0.889
36	John Gibson	1	8.06	0.615

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Toronto Maple Leafs Player Stats & Roster

#	Player	GP	MIN	G	A	P	+/-
44	Morgan Rielly	2	21.5	1	3	4	1
88	William Nylander	2	19.95	1	3	4	1
91	John Tavares	2	18.75	0	2	2	0

55	Nicolas Roy	2	12.25	1	1	2	0
19	Calle Jaernkrok	2	9.75	2	0	2	1
18	Steven Lorentz	2	6.7	0	2	2	3
74	Bobby McMann	2	16.25	1	0	1	0
63	Matias Maccelli	2	15.2	0	1	1	0
34	Auston Matthews	2	21.1	1	0	1	0
11	Max Domi	2	13.9	1	0	1	-2
8	Christopher Tanev	2	20.4	0	1	1	1
23	Matthew Knies	2	20.4	0	1	1	0
25	Brandon Carlo	2	19	0	0	0	3
95	Oliver Ekman-Larsson	2	17.25	0	0	0	-3
22	Jake McCabe	2	21.85	0	0	0	3
2	Simon Benoit	2	16.5	0	0	0	-1
89	Nick Robertson	2	11.85	0	0	0	-2
81	Dakota Joshua	2	11.85	0	0	0	-3

#	Goalies	GP	GAA	SV%
41	Anthony Stolarz	2	3.05	0.906
	Cayden Primeau	-	-	-

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Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups