Detroit Red Wings vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks & Odds | 21 Jan 2026

NHL Betting Preview: Red Wings vs Maple Leafs

The Detroit Red Wings clash with the Toronto Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Wednesday, January 21.

The betting prediction is to back the Maple Leafs at -120. We think that the Red Wings are massively opposable, so this is the best angle of attack with our wager.

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Detroit Red Wings claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 4-3 (OT) triumph against Ottawa Senators at Little Caesars Arena made it back-to-back wins. Lucas Raymond found the net along with three other players.

Toronto Maple Leafs were defeated last time out. Scotiabank Arena saw them beaten at home to Minnesota Wild by a 6-3 scoreline. Auston Matthews, John Tavares and Nick Robertson each scored one goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Red Wings beat the Leafs in their last head-to-head encounter. It was a 3-2 scoreline at Little Caesars Arena. The Red Wings have won three on the spin against the Leafs. They’ve also claimed 6 victories in the past 10 head-to-head encounters.

Starting Goalies

John Gibson (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	19-9-1	2.8	.902	3
23/24	13-27-1	3.54	.888	0

Joseph Woll (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	11-5-3	2.9	.908	2
23/24	12-11-1	2.93	.907	0

7 wins, 2 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 3.2 goals from 22.9 shots on goal, with a 23.8% powerplay efficiency. The Red Wings have been giving up 2.4 goals from 29.3 shots, averaging 3.0 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 76.7%.

Alex DeBrincat is the top points scorer with 12 points, 6 goals and 6 assists, with James van Riemsdyk racking up 11 points, 4 goals and 7 assists, in the past 10 games. Goalie John Gibson have a 1.87 goal against average with a .932 save percentage, including one shutout.

The Leafs have 6 wins, 2 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 3.7 goals from 26.7 shots on goal, with a 18.5% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 3.5 goals from 32.6 shots, averaging 3.5 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 82.9%.

The top points scorer is Auston Matthews with 15 points, 10 goals and 5 assists, while Oliver Ekman-Larsson is next best after registering 8 points, 2 goals and 6 assists. Goalie Joseph Woll have a 3.68 GAA with a .884 SV%, including one shutout.

Detroit Red Wings vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks

Our Detroit Red Wings vs Toronto Maple Leafs preview includes expert betting advice on all fronts — from a match prediction and correct score guidance to player prop selections and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

We’re keeping our pick simple and backing Toronto Maple Leafs to win. The home team should be able to triumph in this NHL game and you can get them at a tempting -120.

We put solid research behind every hockey prediction, starting with recent form and a clear read on injuries. From there, key NHL stats and advanced metrics help complete the picture and support smarter betting decisions

Key Red Wings vs Maple Leafs stats:

• Maple Leafs have won 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• Maple Leafs have won 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• Red Wings have lost 3 of their last 5 games on the road.

Leafs Moneyline Probability

The top betting apps make it a 54.6% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Taking all factors into consideration, our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. This hockey bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

If you’re looking to squeeze more juice from the odds, consider Toronto against the Puck Line. There are some great options when it comes to our pick covering the various spreads.

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Our Game Prediction

Maple Leafs Moneyline @ -120 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (23:56, 20 January 2026). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Patrick Kane Under 2.5 Shots -161

Patrick Kane (Red Wings) has totaled Under 2.5 shots on goal in 8 of the past 10 games. There is juice when it comes to going under the Shots on Goal line and this is priced at -161.

Latest Patrick Kane Player Prop Odds

Goals

Anytime

+260

First

+1600

Assists

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-222

Shots on Goal

Over 2.5

+115

Under 2.5

-161

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Correct Score Prediction

Red Wings 2 - 4 Maple Leafs

You can secure odds of +1500 that the Maple Leafs are able to land a 4-2 victory. Correct score betting can provide plenty of fun and it’s a way of landing bigger odds.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Red Wings

Maple Leafs

1-0

Red Wings

+5500

Maple Leafs

+5500

2-0

Red Wings

+5000

Maple Leafs

+5000

2-1

Red Wings

+1500

Maple Leafs

+1500

3-0

Red Wings

+3500

Maple Leafs

+3300

3-1

Red Wings

+1900

Maple Leafs

+1900

3-2

Red Wings

+900

Maple Leafs

+850

4-0

Red Wings

+4500

Maple Leafs

+4000

4-1

Red Wings

+1700

Maple Leafs

+1600

4-2

Red Wings

+1600

Maple Leafs

+1500

4-3

Red Wings

+1050

Maple Leafs

+1000

5-0

Red Wings

+8000

Maple Leafs

+7000

5-1

Red Wings

+2800

Maple Leafs

+2500

5-2

Red Wings

+1800

Maple Leafs

+1600

5-3

Red Wings

+2400

Maple Leafs

+2200

5-4

Red Wings

+2000

Maple Leafs

+1900

6-0

Red Wings

+12000

Maple Leafs

+10000

6-1

Red Wings

+6600

Maple Leafs

+5500

6-2

Red Wings

+3500

Maple Leafs

+3000

6-3

Red Wings

+3000

Maple Leafs

+2800

6-4

Red Wings

+5000

Maple Leafs

+4500

6-5

Red Wings

+5000

Maple Leafs

+4500

7-1

Red Wings

+11000

Maple Leafs

+9000

7-2

Red Wings

+9000

Maple Leafs

+7500

7-3

Red Wings

+6000

Maple Leafs

+5500

7-4

Red Wings

+6600

Maple Leafs

+6000

7-5

Red Wings

+11000

Maple Leafs

+10000

7-6

Red Wings

+11000

Maple Leafs

+11000

8-2

Red Wings

+11000

Maple Leafs

+12500

8-3

Red Wings

+11000

Maple Leafs

+13000

8-4

Red Wings

+12500

Maple Leafs

+11000

8-5

Red Wings

+14000

Maple Leafs

+13000

View More

Detroit Red Wings vs Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Toronto Maple Leafs are on offer at -120 on the Moneyline if you want to back this team, with Detroit Red Wings available at -100. The hosts have a 55% chance of victory in the eyes of the leading sportsbooks.

The puck line is calculated to be 1.5, while total goals comes in at 6.5. The Totals offers hockey bettors an alternative way of getting involved. If you fancy Over 6.5, this outcome can be backed at +106.

The best betting sites offer hundreds of game lines and team props when it comes to National Hockey League clashes. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Red Wings

-100

Maple Leafs

-120

3-Way Moneyline

Red Wings

+160

Tie

+320

Maple Leafs

+135

Puck Line

Red Wings +1.5

-250

Maple Leafs -1.5

+198

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-130

Over 6.5

+106

You will find Auston Matthews at +750 to be First Goalscorer which makes him the favorite. There’s the chance to get -100 that he finds the net at anytime.

Player Goals

Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs)

First

-100

Anytime

+750

Alex DeBrincat (Red Wings)

First

+155

Anytime

+1100

Dylan Larkin (Red Wings)

First

+190

Anytime

+1300

John Tavares (Maple Leafs)

First

+200

Anytime

+1400

Matthew Knies (Maple Leafs)

First

+220

Anytime

+1300

Lucas Raymond (Red Wings)

First

+230

Anytime

+1400

Patrick Kane (Red Wings)

First

+260

Anytime

+1600

Bobby McMann (Maple Leafs)

First

+300

Anytime

+1900

James van Riemsdyk (Red Wings)

First

+340

Anytime

+2200

Matias Maccelli (Maple Leafs)

First

+360

Anytime

+2200

Max Domi (Maple Leafs)

First

+375

Anytime

+2200

Andrew Copp (Red Wings)

First

+400

Anytime

+2500

Nicholas Robertson (Maple Leafs)

First

+425

Anytime

+2200

Marco Kasper (Red Wings)

First

+425

Anytime

+2500

Easton Cowan (Maple Leafs)

First

+450

Anytime

+3000

J.T. Compher (Red Wings)

First

+475

Anytime

+2800

Emmitt Finnie (Red Wings)

First

+525

Anytime

+3000

Scott Laughton (Maple Leafs)

First

+575

Anytime

+2800

Moritz Seider (Red Wings)

First

+600

Anytime

+3300

Nicolas Roy (Maple Leafs)

First

+650

Anytime

+3500

Morgan Rielly (Maple Leafs)

First

+725

Anytime

+4000

Oliver Ekman-Larsson (Maple Leafs)

First

+825

Anytime

+4000

Calle Jarnkrok (Maple Leafs)

First

+825

Anytime

+4000

Elmer Soderblom (Red Wings)

First

+825

Anytime

+4500

Michael Rasmussen (Red Wings)

First

+850

Anytime

+4500

Mason Appleton (Red Wings)

First

+850

Anytime

+5000

Simon Edvinsson (Red Wings)

First

+875

Anytime

+4500

Steven Lorentz (Maple Leafs)

First

+900

Anytime

+4500

Axel Sandin Pellikka (Red Wings)

First

+1100

Anytime

+5500

Ben Chiarot (Red Wings)

First

+1300

Anytime

+5500

Player Assists

Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-135

Lucas Raymond (Red Wings)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-154

Matthew Knies (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-175

Moritz Seider (Red Wings)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-175

Alex DeBrincat (Red Wings)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-189

John Tavares (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-189

Dylan Larkin (Red Wings)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-208

Patrick Kane (Red Wings)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-222

Morgan Rielly (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-222

Matias Maccelli (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-250

Max Domi (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-278

Oliver Ekman-Larsson (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-286

James van Riemsdyk (Red Wings)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-286

Andrew Copp (Red Wings)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-303

Bobby McMann (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-370

Player Shots

Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs)

Over 3.5

-105

Under 3.5

-135

Alex DeBrincat (Red Wings)

Over 3.5

+110

Under 3.5

-149

Dylan Larkin (Red Wings)

Over 2.5

-161

Under 2.5

+115

John Tavares (Maple Leafs)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-175

Patrick Kane (Red Wings)

Over 2.5

+115

Under 2.5

-161

Matthew Knies (Maple Leafs)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-105

Lucas Raymond (Red Wings)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

+120

Bobby McMann (Maple Leafs)

Over 1.5

-189

Under 1.5

+140

James van Riemsdyk (Red Wings)

Over 1.5

-141

Under 1.5

-100

Matias Maccelli (Maple Leafs)

Over 1.5

+105

Under 1.5

-141

Max Domi (Maple Leafs)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-135

Moritz Seider (Red Wings)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

+125

Morgan Rielly (Maple Leafs)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-105

It’s possible to use stats to your advantage when it comes to NHL micro betting, especially if you’re predicting outcomes such as the Next Goal and Next Goalscorer. Check out the live team and player props and see if you can find an angle.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Detroit Red Wings Stats

Toronto Maple Leafs Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 8 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 2 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.60 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 5.60 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.20 goals and allowed 2.40 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.20 pts and allowed 2.40 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 7.20 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 7.40 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.70 goals and allowed 3.50 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 4.30 goals and allowed 3.10 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 1
• Shots: 22.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 3
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 6
• Blocks: 12
• Faceoff Wins : 23.6
• Hits: 16.2
• Giveaways: 15.1
• Takeaways: 3.9

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 25.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 2.9
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 5.8
• Blocks: 11.9
• Faceoff Wins : 27.7
• Hits: 15.3
• Giveaways: 14.5
• Takeaways: 3.9

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 26.7
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 3.5
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 7.6
• Blocks: 7.8
• Faceoff Wins : 22
• Hits: 19.4
• Giveaways: 16.6
• Takeaways: 4.8

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.9
• Shots: 28.6
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.1
• Empty Net Goals: 0.5
• Penalty Minutes: 7.1
• Blocks: 10.4
• Faceoff Wins : 30.1
• Hits: 22.4
• Giveaways: 15.7
• Takeaways: 4.9

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Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

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