Detroit Red Wings vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks & Odds | 21 Jan 2026

NHL Betting Preview: Red Wings vs Maple Leafs

The Detroit Red Wings clash with the Toronto Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena, with face-off scheduled for 20:00 on Wednesday, January 21.

The betting prediction is to back the Maple Leafs at -120. We think that the Red Wings are massively opposable, so this is the best angle of attack with our wager.

Detroit Red Wings claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 4-3 (OT) triumph against Ottawa Senators at Little Caesars Arena made it back-to-back wins. Lucas Raymond found the net along with three other players.

Toronto Maple Leafs were defeated last time out. Scotiabank Arena saw them beaten at home to Minnesota Wild by a 6-3 scoreline. Auston Matthews, John Tavares and Nick Robertson each scored one goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Red Wings beat the Leafs in their last head-to-head encounter. It was a 3-2 scoreline at Little Caesars Arena. The Red Wings have won three on the spin against the Leafs. They’ve also claimed 6 victories in the past 10 head-to-head encounters.

Starting Goalies

John Gibson (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	24-15-3	2.6	.905	4
23/24	13-27-1	3.54	.888	0

Joseph Woll (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	14-11-5	3.1	.905	2
23/24	12-11-1	2.93	.907	0

7 wins, 2 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 3.2 goals from 22.9 shots on goal, with a 23.8% powerplay efficiency. The Red Wings have been giving up 2.4 goals from 29.3 shots, averaging 3.0 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 76.7%.

Alex DeBrincat is the top points scorer with 12 points, 6 goals and 6 assists, with James van Riemsdyk racking up 11 points, 4 goals and 7 assists, in the past 10 games. Goalie John Gibson have a 1.87 goal against average with a .932 save percentage, including one shutout.

The Leafs have 6 wins, 2 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 3.7 goals from 26.7 shots on goal, with a 18.5% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 3.5 goals from 32.6 shots, averaging 3.5 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 82.9%.

The top points scorer is Auston Matthews with 15 points, 10 goals and 5 assists, while Oliver Ekman-Larsson is next best after registering 8 points, 2 goals and 6 assists. Goalie Joseph Woll have a 3.68 GAA with a .884 SV%, including one shutout.

Detroit Red Wings vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks

Our Detroit Red Wings vs Toronto Maple Leafs preview includes expert betting advice on all fronts — from a match prediction and correct score guidance to player prop selections and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

We’re keeping our pick simple and backing Toronto Maple Leafs to win. The home team should be able to triumph in this NHL game and you can get them at a tempting -120.

We put solid research behind every hockey prediction, starting with recent form and a clear read on injuries. From there, key NHL stats and advanced metrics help complete the picture and support smarter betting decisions

Key Red Wings vs Maple Leafs stats:

• Maple Leafs have won 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• Maple Leafs have won 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• Red Wings have lost 3 of their last 5 games on the road.

Leafs Moneyline Probability

The top betting apps make it a 54.6% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Taking all factors into consideration, our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. This hockey bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

If you’re looking to squeeze more juice from the odds, consider Toronto against the Puck Line. There are some great options when it comes to our pick covering the various spreads.

Make your bet count—our comprehensive bonus guide highlights the latest free bets and betting promo codes worth grabbing.

Our Game Prediction

Maple Leafs Moneyline @ -120 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jan 21, 00:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Patrick Kane Under 2.5 Shots -161

Patrick Kane (Red Wings) has totaled Under 2.5 shots on goal in 8 of the past 10 games. There is juice when it comes to going under the Shots on Goal line and this is priced at -161.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Red Wings 2 - 4 Maple Leafs

You can secure odds of +1500 that the Maple Leafs are able to land a 4-2 victory. Correct score betting can provide plenty of fun and it’s a way of landing bigger odds.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Red Wings

Maple Leafs

1-0

Red Wings

+5500

Maple Leafs

+5500

2-0

Red Wings

+5000

Maple Leafs

+5000

2-1

Red Wings

+1500

Maple Leafs

+1500

3-0

Red Wings

+3500

Maple Leafs

+3400

3-1

Red Wings

+2000

Maple Leafs

+1900

3-2

Red Wings

+900

Maple Leafs

+850

4-0

Red Wings

+4500

Maple Leafs

+4000

4-1

Red Wings

+1800

Maple Leafs

+1600

4-2

Red Wings

+1600

Maple Leafs

+1500

4-3

Red Wings

+1000

Maple Leafs

+950

5-0

Red Wings

+8000

Maple Leafs

+7000

5-1

Red Wings

+3000

Maple Leafs

+2500

5-2

Red Wings

+1800

Maple Leafs

+1600

5-3

Red Wings

+2400

Maple Leafs

+2200

5-4

Red Wings

+1900

Maple Leafs

+1800

6-0

Red Wings

+12500

Maple Leafs

+10000

6-1

Red Wings

+7000

Maple Leafs

+5500

6-2

Red Wings

+3500

Maple Leafs

+3000

6-3

Red Wings

+3000

Maple Leafs

+2800

6-4

Red Wings

+4500

Maple Leafs

+4500

6-5

Red Wings

+4500

Maple Leafs

+4500

7-1

Red Wings

+11000

Maple Leafs

+9000

7-2

Red Wings

+9000

Maple Leafs

+7500

7-3

Red Wings

+6000

Maple Leafs

+5000

7-4

Red Wings

+6600

Maple Leafs

+6000

7-5

Red Wings

+10000

Maple Leafs

+9000

7-6

Red Wings

+11000

Maple Leafs

+10000

8-1

Red Wings

+11000

Maple Leafs

+14000

8-2

Red Wings

+11000

Maple Leafs

+12500

8-3

Red Wings

+11000

Maple Leafs

+12500

8-4

Red Wings

+12000

Maple Leafs

+11000

8-5

Red Wings

+14000

Maple Leafs

+13000

View More

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Detroit Red Wings vs Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Toronto Maple Leafs are on offer at -120 on the Moneyline if you want to back this team, with Detroit Red Wings available at -100. The hosts have a 55% chance of victory in the eyes of the leading sportsbooks.

The puck line is calculated to be 1.5, while total goals comes in at 6.5. The Totals offers hockey bettors an alternative way of getting involved. If you fancy Over 6.5, this outcome can be backed at +102.

The best betting sites offer hundreds of game lines and team props when it comes to National Hockey League clashes. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Red Wings

-100

Maple Leafs

-120

3-Way Moneyline

Red Wings

+165

Tie

+310

Maple Leafs

+132

Puck Line

Red Wings +1.5

-250

Maple Leafs -1.5

+198

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-123

Over 6.5

+102

If you’re looking for an alternative to the game lines, check out the goalie and player props instead. It’s great to wager on Goalscorers, Assists, Points, Shots on Goal, Blocked Shots and Powerplay Points as potential options.

It’s possible to use stats to your advantage when it comes to NHL micro betting, especially if you’re predicting outcomes such as the Next Goal and Next Goalscorer. Check out the live team and player props and see if you can find an angle.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Detroit Red Wings Stats

Toronto Maple Leafs Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 8 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 2 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.60 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 5.60 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.20 goals and allowed 2.40 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.20 pts and allowed 2.40 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 7.20 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 7.40 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.70 goals and allowed 3.50 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 4.30 goals and allowed 3.10 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 1
• Shots: 22.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 3
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 6
• Blocks: 12
• Faceoff Wins : 23.6
• Hits: 16.2
• Giveaways: 15.1
• Takeaways: 3.9

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 25.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 2.9
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 5.8
• Blocks: 11.9
• Faceoff Wins : 27.7
• Hits: 15.3
• Giveaways: 14.5
• Takeaways: 3.9

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 26.7
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 3.5
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 7.6
• Blocks: 7.8
• Faceoff Wins : 22
• Hits: 19.4
• Giveaways: 16.6
• Takeaways: 4.8

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.9
• Shots: 28.6
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.1
• Empty Net Goals: 0.5
• Penalty Minutes: 7.1
• Blocks: 10.4
• Faceoff Wins : 30.1
• Hits: 22.4
• Giveaways: 15.7
• Takeaways: 4.9

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

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