Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, Picks & Odds | 05 Feb 2026

NHL Betting Preview: Panthers vs Lightning

The Florida Panthers square off against the Tampa Bay Lightning at Benchmark International Arena, with face-off scheduled for 19:30 on Thursday, February 5.

Take the Lightning at -119 on the 3-Way Moneyline to have the upper hand against the Panthers. We believe that the home team have a strong chance of claiming a regulation time victory.

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Florida Panthers claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 5-4 (SO) win occurred against Boston Bruins at Amerant Bank Arena. Anton Lundell found the net along with three other players.

Tampa Bay Lightning last game was a 4-3 (OT) victory over Buffalo Sabres at Benchmark International Arena. That means it’s now been nine home wins on the spin. Nikita Kucherov had 4 points which includes 1 goal and 3 assists.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw the Lightning claim a 4-2 win over the Panthers at Amerant Bank Arena. In the past 10 H2H meetings, the Panthers have won six.

Starting Goalies

Daniil Tarasov (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	8-7-2	2.7	.904	0
23/24	8-11-3	3.18	.908	0

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	26-7-3	2.2	.917	2
23/24	30-20-2	2.9	.900	2

5 wins and 5 losses, averaging 3.1 goals from 29.2 shots on goal, with a 15.4% powerplay efficiency. The Panthers have been giving up 3.1 goals from 23.4 shots, averaging 5.7 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 91.2%.

Sam Reinhart is the top points scorer with 10 points, 3 goals and 7 assists, with Matthew Tkachuk racking up 8 points, 3 goals and 5 assists, over the last 10 games. Goalie Sergei Bobrovsky have a 3.31 goal against average with a .854 save percentage.

The Lightning have 8 wins, 1 loss and 1 overtime loss, averaging 3.2 goals from 32.1 shots on goal, with a 22.0% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 2.3 goals from 25.3 shots, averaging 3.8 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 92.1%.

The top points scorer is Nikita Kucherov with 23 points, 6 goals and 17 assists, while Jake Guentzel is next in line after having 12 points, 5 goals and 7 assists. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 1.60 GAA with a .932 SV%, including one shutout.

Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction & Picks

Prepare for Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning with our expert betting guide featuring a trusted match prediction, a correct score recommendation and a well-crafted bet builder.

Game Prediction

Tampa Bay Lightning should be able to outscore their opponents and our pick is to side with them on the 60-minute line. There is a tempting -119 for them to win this NHL clash in regulation time.

To deliver the best possible hockey predictions, we start by locking in the team news and taking time to review the latest form. There’s also no shortage of data to crunch from the most up-to-date NHL stats available.

Key Panthers vs Lightning stats:

• Lightning have won 9 consecutive games at home.
• Lightning have won 18 of their last 20 games.
• Panthers have lost 4 of their last 5 games.
• Panthers have lost 11 of their last 20 games.

Lightning 3-Way Moneyline Probability

The top betting apps make it a 54.3% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our cappers think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we can recommend this hockey bet.

There are many options to simply backing Tampa Bay to win and perhaps Match Winner & Total Goals could be the way to go. We also recommend Puck Line & Winning Margin.

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Our Game Prediction

Lightning 3-Way Moneyline @ -119 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (00:56, 05 February 2026). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Panthers 2 - 4 Lightning

Let’s take a chance on the +1300 available that the Lightning secure a 4-2 victory. There’s a nice potential return waiting if we’re able to predict the correct score.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Panthers

Lightning

1-0

Panthers

+5500

Lightning

+4500

2-0

Panthers

+5500

Lightning

+4000

2-1

Panthers

+1600

Lightning

+1300

3-0

Panthers

+4500

Lightning

+2500

3-1

Panthers

+2400

Lightning

+1500

3-2

Panthers

+1000

Lightning

+750

4-0

Panthers

+6600

Lightning

+2800

4-1

Panthers

+2400

Lightning

+1200

4-2

Panthers

+2000

Lightning

+1300

4-3

Panthers

+1200

Lightning

+950

5-0

Panthers

+12000

Lightning

+5000

5-1

Panthers

+4500

Lightning

+1800

5-2

Panthers

+2500

Lightning

+1300

5-3

Panthers

+3000

Lightning

+2000

5-4

Panthers

+2400

Lightning

+1900

6-0

Panthers

+2400

Lightning

+7000

6-1

Panthers

+10000

Lightning

+4000

6-2

Panthers

+5500

Lightning

+2200

6-3

Panthers

+4500

Lightning

+2400

6-4

Panthers

+6000

Lightning

+4500

6-5

Panthers

+5500

Lightning

+5000

7-0

Panthers

+5500

Lightning

+11000

7-1

Panthers

+5500

Lightning

+6600

7-2

Panthers

+14000

Lightning

+5500

7-3

Panthers

+9000

Lightning

+4500

7-4

Panthers

+9000

Lightning

+5500

7-5

Panthers

+12500

Lightning

+10000

7-6

Panthers

+13000

Lightning

+12000

8-1

Panthers

+13000

Lightning

+11000

8-2

Panthers

+13000

Lightning

+10000

8-3

Panthers

+13000

Lightning

+10000

8-4

Panthers

+13000

Lightning

+10000

8-5

Panthers

+13000

Lightning

+13000

View More

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The sportsbooks’ betting odds have Tampa Bay Lightning as -189 favorites for this game, implying that they are 65% likely to win. Florida Panthers are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +155.

The puck line is calculated to be 1.5, while total goals comes in at 6.5. Hockey fans love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Totals wager. If you’re going for Over 6.5, then the odds are +112.

There are a huge selection of game lines and team props when it comes to betting on this popular league and we recommend visiting the best NHL sportsbooks to find the wager that matches your view on the clash.

Moneyline

Panthers

+155

Lightning

-189

3-Way Moneyline

Panthers

+265

Tie

+325

Lightning

-119

Puck Line

Panthers +1.5

-154

Lightning -1.5

+126

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-139

Over 6.5

+112

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Florida Panthers Stats

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 8 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.40 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.70 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.30 goals and allowed 3.10 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.10 pts and allowed 3.60 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.90 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.30 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.50 goals and allowed 2.40 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 4.00 goals and allowed 2.30 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.8
• Shots: 29.2
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 5.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 12.6
• Blocks: 14.5
• Faceoff Wins : 27.4
• Hits: 23.9
• Giveaways: 14.8
• Takeaways: 4.8

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.8
• Shots: 25.8
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 5.3
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 13.9
• Blocks: 12.8
• Faceoff Wins : 24.5
• Hits: 21.8
• Giveaways: 14.5
• Takeaways: 5.3

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.9
• Shots: 32.1
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.8
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 10.6
• Blocks: 13.2
• Faceoff Wins : 27.7
• Hits: 18.5
• Giveaways: 16.7
• Takeaways: 4.1

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 1
• Shots: 29.4
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.9
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 9.7
• Blocks: 14.9
• Faceoff Wins : 27.9
• Hits: 18.2
• Giveaways: 14.3
• Takeaways: 3.6

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Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

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