Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks & Odds | 06 Dec 2025

NHL Betting Preview: Canadiens vs Maple Leafs

The Montreal Canadiens meet the Toronto Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Saturday, December 6.

The Maple Leafs should be able to come out on top against the Canadiens. Our betting prediction is to back them on the Moneyline where an attractive -132 can be landed.

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Montreal Canadiens won their previous game, beating Winnipeg Jets at home. It was a 3-2 (SO) win at Bell Centre. Oliver Kapanen and Juraj Slafkovsky scored one goal apiece. Goalie Jakub Dobes stopped 29 shots (.935).

Toronto Maple Leafs have triumphed in their last three games. The latest of these was on the road where Carolina Hurricanes were beaten 5-1 at Lenovo Center. Bobby McMann scored two goals, with Auston Matthews, Matthew Knies and Scott Laughton also scoring. Goalie Joseph Woll played a starring role, stopping 22 shots (.957).

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was the Habs who came out on top when they last played the Leafs. At Bell Centre, a 5-2 win was recorded. The Leafs have won eight of the past 10 games that these teams have played.

Starting Goalies

Jakub Dobes (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	9-3-2	3.1	.892	0

Dennis Hildeby (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	1-2-1	2.9	.919	0

4 wins, 5 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 2.8 goals from 25.3 shots on goal, with a 15.2% powerplay efficiency. The Habs have been giving up 4.1 goals from 28.9 shots, averaging 5.0 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 84.0%.

Nick Suzuki is the top points scorer with 11 points, 4 goals and 7 assists, with Cole Caufield racking up 11 points, 2 goals and 9 assists, in the past 10 games. Goalie Jakub Dobes have a 4.07 goal against average with a .862 save percentage.

The Leafs have 5 wins, 3 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 3.2 goals from 25.6 shots on goal, with a 6.9% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 2.6 goals from 32.0 shots, averaging 3.2 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 93.8%.

The top points scorer is Oliver Ekman-Larsson with 9 points, 2 goals and 7 assists, while William Nylander is next best after registering 8 points, 3 goals and 5 assists. Goalie Joseph Woll have a 2.30 GAA with a .927 SV%.

Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks

Make the most of Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs with our betting analysis that includes an expert match prediction, expected scoreline and a hand-picked bet builder designed for value.

Game Prediction

The -132 about Toronto Maple Leafs look very attractive when it comes to the Moneyline. We think the visitors can be beaten in this NHL clash, so this is our pick.

Injuries can influence the outcome and our NHL handicappers factor that in alongside the latest form guide. We apply the same approach to the stats to build the clearest picture of how the game might unfold.

Key Canadiens vs Maple Leafs stats:

• Maple Leafs have won 4 of their last 5 games.
• Maple Leafs have won 3 consecutive games.
• Canadiens have lost 6 of their last 10 games.
• Canadiens have lost 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
• Maple Leafs have won 8 of their last 10 games against Canadiens.

Leafs Moneyline Probability

According to the top betting sites, there’s a 56.8% chance of our pick landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 60-65%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this hockey wager.

Sometimes it’s worth going in search of bigger odds and a Bet Builder allows you to make a Moneyline pick along with a number of other same-game selections.

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Our Game Prediction

Maple Leafs Moneyline @ -132 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Canadiens 2 - 5 Maple Leafs

Let’s take a chance on the +1500 available that the Maple Leafs secure a 5-2 victory. There’s a nice potential return waiting if we’re able to predict the correct score.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Canadiens

Maple Leafs

1-0

Canadiens

+6600

Maple Leafs

+6000

2-0

Canadiens

+5500

Maple Leafs

+5000

2-1

Canadiens

+1700

Maple Leafs

+1600

3-0

Canadiens

+4000

Maple Leafs

+3400

3-1

Canadiens

+2200

Maple Leafs

+1900

3-2

Canadiens

+950

Maple Leafs

+900

4-0

Canadiens

+5000

Maple Leafs

+4000

4-1

Canadiens

+1900

Maple Leafs

+1500

4-2

Canadiens

+1700

Maple Leafs

+1500

4-3

Canadiens

+1050

Maple Leafs

+950

5-0

Canadiens

+9000

Maple Leafs

+6000

5-1

Canadiens

+3000

Maple Leafs

+2200

5-2

Canadiens

+1900

Maple Leafs

+1500

5-3

Canadiens

+2400

Maple Leafs

+2000

5-4

Canadiens

+1900

Maple Leafs

+1700

6-0

Canadiens

+13000

Maple Leafs

+9000

6-1

Canadiens

+7000

Maple Leafs

+5000

6-2

Canadiens

+3500

Maple Leafs

+2500

6-3

Canadiens

+3000

Maple Leafs

+2400

6-4

Canadiens

+4500

Maple Leafs

+4000

6-5

Canadiens

+4500

Maple Leafs

+4000

7-0

Canadiens

+4500

Maple Leafs

+13000

7-1

Canadiens

+12000

Maple Leafs

+8000

7-2

Canadiens

+9000

Maple Leafs

+6000

7-3

Canadiens

+6000

Maple Leafs

+4500

7-4

Canadiens

+6600

Maple Leafs

+5500

7-5

Canadiens

+10000

Maple Leafs

+9000

7-6

Canadiens

+10000

Maple Leafs

+10000

8-1

Canadiens

+10000

Maple Leafs

+12500

8-2

Canadiens

+10000

Maple Leafs

+11000

8-3

Canadiens

+10000

Maple Leafs

+11000

8-4

Canadiens

+12000

Maple Leafs

+9000

8-5

Canadiens

+13000

Maple Leafs

+12000

View More

Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Toronto Maple Leafs are -137 favorites and that means a 58% chance of winning this game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. Montreal Canadiens are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +114.

1.5 is where the puck line lies, with total goals being 6.5 right now. Hockey fans love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Totals wager. If you want to wager Over 6.5, there are odds of -110.

Whether you are wagering pre-game or in-game on the National Hockey League, the top betting apps serve up a wide range of game lines and team props. The selections are practically endless, and it’s great to have so many options at your fingertips.

Moneyline

Canadiens

+114

Maple Leafs

-137

3-Way Moneyline

Canadiens

+180

Tie

+330

Maple Leafs

+115

Puck Line

Canadiens +1.5

-213

Maple Leafs -1.5

+172

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-110

Over 6.5

-110

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Montreal Canadiens Stats

Toronto Maple Leafs Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 9 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 3 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 1 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 7.10 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.80 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.90 goals and allowed 4.20 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.40 pts and allowed 3.40 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.80 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 7.00 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.20 goals and allowed 2.60 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.40 goals and allowed 3.60 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 25.3
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 5
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 13.1
• Blocks: 12.8
• Faceoff Wins : 26.2
• Hits: 24.4
• Giveaways: 14.3
• Takeaways: 5.2

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 1
• Shots: 23.8
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4.5
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 10.1
• Blocks: 12.8
• Faceoff Wins : 28.3
• Hits: 18
• Giveaways: 14.3
• Takeaways: 5

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.2
• Shots: 25.6
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.2
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 8.3
• Blocks: 12.8
• Faceoff Wins : 34
• Hits: 23.2
• Giveaways: 16.4
• Takeaways: 4.4

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 25
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.3
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 7.5
• Blocks: 11.9
• Faceoff Wins : 33.5
• Hits: 23.6
• Giveaways: 16.9
• Takeaways: 4.5

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

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