Montreal Canadiens vs Washington Capitals Prediction, Picks & Odds | 21 Apr 2025

WC2 Montreal Canadiens (40-31-11, 17-19-5 Away) square off against D1 Washington Capitals (51-22-9, 26-9-6 at Home) in this Stanley Cup Playoffs first round matchup at Capital One Arena.

There are lots of reasons to support the prediction that the Capitals will get the better of the Canadiens in 60 minutes. Therefore, we’re heading to the 3-Way Moneyline where you can get -108.

Montreal Canadiens have suffered successive road defeats. Their most recent game was a 4-2 home win at Bell Centre where they beat Carolina Hurricanes. Kaiden Guhle registered two goals, with Nick Suzuki and Jake Evans also finding the net. Goalie Sam Montembeault had 27 saves (.931).

Washington Capitals were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 5-2 reverse against Pittsburgh Penguins at PPG PAINTS Arena. Alexander Ovechkin and Connor McMichael scored one goal apiece.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 3-2 in favor of the Habs when they last played the Caps, with the encounter taking place at Capital One Arena. The Caps have triumphed in six of the previous 10 clashes between these teams.

Starting Goalies

Sam Montembeault (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	7-6-1	3.5	.865	0
23/24	16-15-9	3.14	.903	0

Logan Thompson (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	15-12-4	2.4	.915	2
23/24	25-14-3	2.7	.908	1

7 wins, 1 loss and 2 overtime losses, averaging 2.9 goals from 22.0 shots on goal, with a 8.6% powerplay efficiency. The Habs have given up 2.0 goals from 29.2 shots, averaging 3.8 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 89.5%.

Nick Suzuki is the top points scorer with 15 points, 8 goals and 7 assists, with Lane Hutson racking up 10 points, 1 goal and 9 assists, in the last 10 games. Goalie Sam Montembeault have a 2.11 goal against average with a .922 save percentage.

The Caps have 4 wins and 6 losses, averaging 2.6 goals from 27.7 shots on goal, with a 21.7% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 4.4 goals from 27.6 shots, averaging 5.1 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 86.3%.

The top points scorer is Dylan Strome with 14 points, 6 goals and 8 assists, while Alexander Ovechkin is next in line after having 13 points, 8 goals and 5 assists. Goalie Charlie Lindgren have a 3.11 GAA with a .881 SV%.

Montreal Canadiens vs Washington Capitals Prediction & Picks

Game Prediction

There is merit in simply backing Washington Capitals to beat their opponents in 60 minutes when it comes to this NHL encounter. Especially as odds of -108 are available for this value pick.

We take note of any injuries affecting each franchise before going ahead with our hockey predictions. The form guide and stats also help the team at Sportsgambler.com crunch the numbers ahead of the NHL action.

Key Canadiens vs Capitals stats:

• Capitals have won 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• Capitals have won 16 of their last 25 games at home this season.
• Canadiens have lost 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
• Canadiens have lost 3 of their last 5 games.
• Canadiens have lost their last 2 games on the road.
• Capitals have won 6 of their last 10 games against Canadiens.

Caps 3-Way Moneyline Probability

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 51.8% chance of landing a return. After careful examination, our analysts have this probability close to 60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

If you can correctly predict that Washington will win along with the number of goals, then you are able to combine the two picks by going down the Match Winner & Total Goals route.

Our Game Prediction

Capitals 3-Way Moneyline @ -108 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Cole Caufield Over 2.5 Shots -130

Cole Caufield (Canadiens) has recorded Over 2.5 shots on goal in 4 straight road games. We think it’s achievable that he will cover the Shots on Goal line and there are odds of -130 available.

Latest Cole Caufield Player Prop Odds

Goals

Anytime

+210

First

+1200

Shots on Goal

Over 2.5

-130

Under 2.5

-100

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Correct Score Prediction

Canadiens 2 - 5 Capitals

Montreal Canadiens vs Washington Capitals Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

With a 65% chance of securing victory, Washington Capitals are favorites for this game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -189. The market suggests that Montreal Canadiens are least likely to win at +155.

The puck line is 1.5, with the total goals line at 5.5. The beauty of Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you’re wanting to back Over 5.5, the odds are -132.

National Hockey League fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the wide range of game lines and team props which are available for every clash on the coupon. Head to the betting sites and find the best value wagers.

Moneyline

Canadiens

+155

Capitals

-189

3-Way Moneyline

Canadiens

+250

Tie

+320

Capitals

-112

Puck Line

Canadiens +1.5

-164

Capitals -1.5

+134

Total Goals

Under 5.5

+108

Over 5.5

-132

There is +116 available that Alex Ovechkin finds the net at any stage. He is available at +750 to register the first goal which makes him favorite.

Player Goals

Alex Ovechkin (Capitals)

First

+116

Anytime

+750

Dylan Strome (Capitals)

First

+210

Anytime

+1150

Nick Suzuki (Canadiens)

First

+210

Anytime

+1200

Cole Caufield (Canadiens)

First

+210

Anytime

+1200

Tom Wilson (Capitals)

First

+225

Anytime

+1200

Patrik Laine (Canadiens)

First

+255

Anytime

+1400

Pierre-Luc Dubois (Capitals)

First

+275

Anytime

+1400

Connor McMichael (Capitals)

First

+275

Anytime

+1400

Juraj Slafkovsky (Canadiens)

First

+285

Anytime

+1500

Ivan Demidov (Canadiens)

First

+320

Anytime

+1700

Anthony Beauvillier (Capitals)

First

+350

Anytime

+1700

Ryan Leonard (Capitals)

First

+350

Anytime

+1700

Jakob Chychrun (Capitals)

First

+350

Anytime

+1700

Ethen Frank (Capitals)

First

+350

Anytime

+1700

Brendan Gallagher (Canadiens)

First

+370

Anytime

+1800

Andrew Mangiapane (Capitals)

First

+375

Anytime

+1900

Taylor Raddysh (Capitals)

First

+390

Anytime

+1900

Lars Eller (Capitals)

First

+425

Anytime

+2000

Ivan Miroshnichenko (Capitals)

First

+460

Anytime

+2200

Hendrix Lapierre (Capitals)

First

+460

Anytime

+2200

John Carlson (Capitals)

First

+460

Anytime

+2200

Alex Newhook (Canadiens)

First

+460

Anytime

+2200

Player Shots

Alex Ovechkin (Capitals)

Over 3.5

-123

Under 3.5

-105

Nick Suzuki (Canadiens)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-185

Cole Caufield (Canadiens)

Over 2.5

-130

Under 2.5

-100

Jakob Chychrun (Capitals)

Over 2.5

-100

Under 2.5

-130

John Carlson (Capitals)

Over 2.5

+150

Under 2.5

-200

Dylan Strome (Capitals)

Over 1.5

-192

Under 1.5

+145

Tom Wilson (Capitals)

Over 1.5

-192

Under 1.5

+145

Patrik Laine (Canadiens)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

+125

Connor McMichael (Capitals)

Over 1.5

-135

Under 1.5

+104

Juraj Slafkovsky (Canadiens)

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-169

Brendan Gallagher (Canadiens)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-143

It’s possible to use stats to your advantage when it comes to NHL micro betting, especially if you’re predicting outcomes such as the Next Goal and Next Goalscorer. Check out the live team and player props and see if you can find an angle.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Montreal Canadiens Stats

Washington Capitals Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 3 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.40 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 5.50 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.60 goals and allowed 2.80 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 2.00 pts and allowed 3.50 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.20 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.90 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.60 goals and allowed 3.60 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.90 goals and allowed 3.00 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 23.7
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4.3
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 10.3
• Blocks: 16.5
• Faceoff Wins : 26.9
• Hits: 25.8
• Giveaways: 15.5
• Takeaways: 3.8

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 24.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4.6
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 11.7
• Blocks: 15.5
• Faceoff Wins : 29.4
• Hits: 22.2
• Giveaways: 13.5
• Takeaways: 4.2

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 27.7
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4.4
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 13.2
• Blocks: 13.3
• Faceoff Wins : 29.6
• Hits: 25.7
• Giveaways: 15.2
• Takeaways: 5

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 28
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 3.6
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 8.8
• Blocks: 13.3
• Faceoff Wins : 27.8
• Hits: 24.8
• Giveaways: 14.8
• Takeaways: 5.3

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

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