New York Islanders vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, Picks & Odds | 29 Mar 2025

Lightning Primed to Win

There’s a strong case that the Lightning win in regulation time and that means wagering the home team on the 3-Way Moneyline. You can get a juicy -135 that they overcome the Islanders.

Lightning Have 7 Wins in Past 10 on H2H

New York Islanders have lost in their previous three outings. In a recent home game at UBS Arena, they were turned over 5-2 by Vancouver Canucks. Anthony DeAngelo and Casey Cizikas scored one goal each.

Tampa Bay Lightning were winners last time out. Their 8-0 victory against Utah Hockey Club at Amalie Arena was their third straight home triumph. Nikita Kucherov recorded 4 points, including 1 goal and 3 assists. Andrei Vasilevskiy made 25 saves for his shutout.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Islanders had the edge in the most recent encounter between these teams. At Amalie Arena, they recorded a 3-2 win over the Lightning. The previous 10 games featuring these teams have resulted in seven the Lightning victories.

Starting Goalies

Ilya Sorokin (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	3-4-1	3.4	.877	0
23/24	25-19-12	3.01	.908	2

Jonas Johansson (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	2-1-0	3.1	.913	0
23/24	12-7-5	3.37	.890	2

4 wins, 3 losses and 3 overtime losses, averaging 2.7 goals from 30.6 shots on goal, with a 12.1% powerplay efficiency. The Islanders have given up 3.1 goals from 31.1 shots, averaging 2.5 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 80.0%.

Noah Dobson and Anthony DeAngelo are the top points scorers. They have both scored 9 points over the past 10 games, including 2 goals and 7 assists. Goalie Ilya Sorokin have a 2.68 goal against average with a .913 save percentage.

The Lightning have 5 wins, 4 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 3.4 goals from 28.2 shots on goal, with a 17.7% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 2.6 goals from 23.7 shots, averaging 3.2 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 93.8%.

The top points scorer is Nikita Kucherov with 13 points, 4 goals and 9 assists, while Brandon Hagel is next best after registering 10 points, 3 goals and 7 assists. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 1.86 GAA with a .917 SV%, including two shutouts.

New York Islanders vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction & Picks

Game Prediction

We’re keeping things simple by backing Tampa Bay Lightning on the 60-minute line. They should get the better of their opponents in this NHL encounter and our pick is available at -135.

The formbook is always a good place to start ahead of making NHL picks. Team news is also an important port of call, while the player and goalie stats we present always tell an interesting story.

Key Islanders vs Lightning stats:

• Lightning have won 9 of their last 10 games at home.
• Lightning have won 16 of their last 20 games at home.
• Lightning have won 3 consecutive games at home.
• Islanders have lost 6 of their last 10 games.
• Islanders have lost 12 of their last 20 games.
• Islanders have lost their last 3 games.
• Lightning have won 7 of their last 10 games against Islanders.

Lightning 3-Way Moneyline Probability

According to the sportsbooks, there’s a 57.5% likelihood of our pick landing a return. However, our analysts have this number between 60-65% based on their in-depth research. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

The Puck Line provides you with the opportunity to get more juice on your wagers. You can move the line for Tampa Bay and choose the odds that suit you.

Best Bet

Lightning 3-Way Moneyline @ -135 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Anders Lee Over 2.5 Shots +120

Anders Lee (Islanders) has totaled Over 2.5 shots on goal in 4 straight road games. We’re going to take him on the Overs for Shots on Goal, with this line making plenty of appeal at odds of +120.

Latest Anders Lee Player Prop Odds

Goals

Anytime

+245

First

+1300

Shots on Goal

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-156

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Islanders 1 - 3 Lightning

A 3-1 win in favor of the Lightning is available at odds of +1400. Take a chance on the correct score and get rewarded for predicting the right scoreline.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Islanders

Lightning

1-0

Islanders

+5500

Lightning

+5000

2-0

Islanders

+5500

Lightning

+3500

2-1

Islanders

+1600

Lightning

+1400

3-0

Islanders

+4500

Lightning

+2200

3-1

Islanders

+2500

Lightning

+1400

3-2

Islanders

+1000

Lightning

+800

4-0

Islanders

+6600

Lightning

+2500

4-1

Islanders

+2500

Lightning

+1050

4-2

Islanders

+2200

Lightning

+1300

4-3

Islanders

+1300

Lightning

+1000

5-0

Islanders

+12500

Lightning

+4000

5-1

Islanders

+4500

Lightning

+1600

5-2

Islanders

+2800

Lightning

+1200

5-3

Islanders

+3400

Lightning

+2000

5-4

Islanders

+2500

Lightning

+2000

6-0

Islanders

+2500

Lightning

+6000

6-1

Islanders

+11000

Lightning

+3400

6-2

Islanders

+6000

Lightning

+2200

6-3

Islanders

+5000

Lightning

+2400

6-4

Islanders

+6600

Lightning

+4500

6-5

Islanders

+6000

Lightning

+5000

7-0

Islanders

+6000

Lightning

+9000

7-1

Islanders

+6000

Lightning

+6000

7-2

Islanders

+6000

Lightning

+5000

7-3

Islanders

+10000

Lightning

+4500

7-4

Islanders

+10000

Lightning

+5500

7-5

Islanders

+14000

Lightning

+10000

7-6

Islanders

+14000

Lightning

+12000

8-0

Islanders

+14000

Lightning

+14000

8-1

Islanders

+14000

Lightning

+10000

8-2

Islanders

+14000

Lightning

+9000

8-3

Islanders

+14000

Lightning

+10000

8-4

Islanders

+14000

Lightning

+10000

8-5

Islanders

+14000

Lightning

+13000

9-2

Islanders

+14000

Lightning

+14000

View More

New York Islanders vs Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Lightning Big Favorites According to Latest Odds

Tampa Bay Lightning have short betting odds and they’re overwhelming -250 favorites for this game. This means the sportsbooks give them a 71% chance of winning. The market suggests that New York Islanders are least likely to win at +205.

The puck line is 1.5 and total goals is 6.5. The beauty of Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. There’s an opportunity to bet Over 6.5 at +112.

If you think the Lightning can find the net first, they are the -150 favorites. If you expect the Islanders to score the opening goal, then odds of +110 are available.

The betting sites offer a huge selection of team props and game lines for every National Hockey League encounter. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Islanders

+205

Lightning

-250

3-Way Moneyline

Islanders

+300

Tie

+350

Lightning

-139

Puck Line

Islanders +1.5

-122

Lightning -1.5

-100

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-139

Over 6.5

+112

Nikita Kucherov Favorite to Score the First Goal

There is +118 available that Nikita Kucherov finds the net at anytime. If you’re interested in the favorite to score the first goal, then you are able to secure +700.

Player Goals

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

First

+118

Anytime

+700

Brayden Point (Lightning)

First

+118

Anytime

+700

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

First

+135

Anytime

+800

Brandon Hagel (Lightning)

First

+165

Anytime

+950

Bowie Horvat (Islanders)

First

+230

Anytime

+1300

Anders Lee (Islanders)

First

+245

Anytime

+1300

Oliver Björkstrand (Lightning)

First

+270

Anytime

+1400

Anthony Cirelli (Lightning)

First

+270

Anytime

+1400

Kyle Palmieri (Islanders)

First

+280

Anytime

+1500

Nick Paul (Lightning)

First

+290

Anytime

+1500

Simon Holmström (Islanders)

First

+295

Anytime

+1500

Yanni Gourde (Lightning)

First

+310

Anytime

+1600

Anthony Duclair (Islanders)

First

+375

Anytime

+1800

Mitchell Chaffee (Lightning)

First

+410

Anytime

+1900

Jean-Gabriel Pageau (Islanders)

First

+430

Anytime

+2000

Maxim Tsyplakov (Islanders)

First

+430

Anytime

+2000

Conor Sheary (Lightning)

First

+450

Anytime

+2000

Gage Goncalves (Lightning)

First

+450

Anytime

+2000

Victor Hedman (Lightning)

First

+500

Anytime

+2200

Player Shots

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

Over 2.5

-185

Under 2.5

+140

Brayden Point (Lightning)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-156

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

Over 2.5

-105

Under 2.5

-123

Brandon Hagel (Lightning)

Over 2.5

+105

Under 2.5

-135

Bowie Horvat (Islanders)

Over 2.5

-118

Under 2.5

-110

Anders Lee (Islanders)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-156

Victor Hedman (Lightning)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-156

Kyle Palmieri (Islanders)

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

+140

Micro Betting

You don’t have to wait for the final outcome when it comes to NHL micro betting. Instead, there’s the opportunity to wager on live lines which tend to be settled in a shorter space of time and the in-game odds are always changing.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

New York Islanders Stats

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.90 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 5.90 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.70 goals and allowed 3.20 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 2.40 pts and allowed 3.50 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.20 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 5.90 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.50 goals and allowed 2.70 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 4.40 goals and allowed 1.50 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 30.6
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 2.5
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 5
• Blocks: 16.6
• Faceoff Wins : 30.1
• Hits: 20.8
• Giveaways: 15.8
• Takeaways: 3.9

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.3
• Shots: 31.3
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 2.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 5.7
• Blocks: 16.5
• Faceoff Wins : 30.2
• Hits: 18.5
• Giveaways: 15
• Takeaways: 3.6

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 28.2
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.2
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 7.8
• Blocks: 15.6
• Faceoff Wins : 30.5
• Hits: 18
• Giveaways: 15
• Takeaways: 3.6

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.8
• Shots: 27.5
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 3
• Empty Net Goals: 0.5
• Penalty Minutes: 7.6
• Blocks: 14.5
• Faceoff Wins : 30.6
• Hits: 17.4
• Giveaways: 15.2
• Takeaways: 3.6

Team News

New York Islanders Player Stats & Roster

#	Player	GP	MIN	G	A	P	+/-
14	Bo Horvat	70	20.29	24	25	49	6
27	Anders Lee	71	17.1	26	22	48	14
21	Kyle Palmieri	71	18.45	22	23	45	-7

74	Simon Holmstroem	64	17.05	17	21	38	9
44	Jean-Gabriel Pageau	68	17.04	12	25	37	10
8	Noah Dobson	60	23.61	8	26	34	-10
7	Maxim Tsyplakov	66	15.07	8	22	30	4
13	Mathew Barzal	30	20.35	6	14	20	10
6	Ryan Pulock	64	21.21	4	15	19	7
28	Alexander Romanov	55	22.75	4	14	18	11
3	Adam Pelech	50	21.49	0	17	17	3
77	Anthony DeAngelo	24	23.57	3	12	15	-2
53	Casey Cizikas	71	12.87	6	8	14	-15
	Adam Boqvist	31	13.57	4	9	13	-5
18	Pierre Engvall	51	11.27	6	5	11	-10
11	Anthony Duclair	41	15.32	7	4	11	-12
48	Scott Perunovich	33	15.87	2	7	9	-2
32	Kyle Maclean	70	9.75	4	5	9	-11
24	Scott Mayfield	58	16.83	2	5	7	13
43	Marc Gatcomb	28	9.28	5	1	6	-1
39	Isaiah George	33	15.65	1	4	5	-3
20	Hudson Fasching	32	10.1	0	2	2	-8
2	Mike Reilly	17	15.01	0	2	2	-1
34	Grant Hutton	13	13.46	0	2	2	1
17	Matt Martin	24	7.79	0	1	1	-2
47	Liam Foudy	2	7.45	0	0	0	-1
16	Julien Gauthier	1	7.7	0	0	0	0
48	Samuel Bolduc	1	5.9	0	0	0	-1

#	Goalies	GP	GAA	SV%
30	Ilya Sorokin	54	2.75	0.906
50	Marcus Hoegberg	10	1.92	0.931
40	Semyon Varlamov	10	2.89	0.889
1	Jakub Skarek	2	3.94	0.872

View More

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Stats & Roster

#	Player	GP	MIN	G	A	P	+/-
86	Nikita Kucherov	68	21.32	32	73	105	17
38	Brandon Hagel	72	20.95	33	47	80	29
21	Brayden Point	67	19.59	36	35	71	12

59	Jake Guentzel	71	20	36	34	70	14
77	Victor Hedman	69	23.19	13	44	57	13
71	Anthony Cirelli	70	18.82	26	26	52	25
22	Oliver Bjorkstrand	72	15.23	19	23	42	1
20	Nick Paul	66	16.35	21	18	39	12
43	Darren Raddysh	63	17.92	5	29	34	9
27	Ryan McDonagh	72	20.57	3	24	27	39
37	Yanni Gourde	47	15.83	6	19	25	-3
81	Erik Cernak	66	18.33	3	17	20	27
78	Emil Lilleberg	66	15.41	0	18	18	-2
48	Nicklaus Perbix	64	14.86	4	13	17	5
41	Mitchell Chaffee	61	12.15	12	5	17	-2
93	Gage Goncalves	50	12.4	5	9	14	3
90	Janis Jerome Moser	44	19.28	2	11	13	16
14	Conor Geekie	49	12.14	6	6	12	-3
13	Cam Atkinson	38	8.79	4	5	9	-4
11	Luke Glendening	72	10.9	4	3	7	-8
28	Zemgus Girgensons	72	11.55	2	4	6	-4
67	Declan Carlile	3	13	1	0	1	2
53	Dylan Duke	2	7.85	1	0	1	0
64	Steven Santini	1	11.6	0	0	0	0
65	Maxwell Crozier	5	16.7	0	0	0	0
73	Conor Sheary	5	11.34	0	0	0	-2
33	Brandon Halverson	1	58	0	0	0	0
62	Jack Finley	1	8.4	0	0	0	1

#	Goalies	GP	GAA	SV%
88	Andrei Vasilevskiy	57	2.17	0.921
30	Kyle Konin	-	-	-
31	Jonas Johansson	15	3.05	0.898
70	Matt Tomkins	-	-	-

View More

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups