NHL Betting Preview: Rangers vs Lightning

The New York Rangers go up against the Tampa Bay Lightning at Benchmark International Arena, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Wednesday, November 12.

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We’re expecting the Rangers and the Lightning to score a modest number of goals and that leads us to an Under 5.5 prediction. Let’s grab the +114 that this outcome happens.

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Teams’ Previous Meet Saw 4-0 Rangers Win

New York Rangers have claimed four straight road wins. Their latest game was a 6-3 home triumph at Madison Square Garden against Nashville Predators. Alexis Lafreniere landed 3 points which includes 1 goal and 2 assists.

Tampa Bay Lightning have enjoyed four consecutive home wins at Benchmark International Arena. Last time out, Washington Capitals were beaten 3-2. Jake Guentzel, Brandon Hagel and Emil Lilleberg scored one goal each. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy had a great game and ended up with 29 saves (.967).

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was the Rangers who came out on top when they last played the Lightning. At Madison Square Garden, a 4-0 win was recorded. The past 10 H2H clashes have seen both teams record five wins.

Starting Goalies

Igor Shesterkin (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	5-6-2	2.5	.909	1
23/24	36-17-2	2.58	.912	4

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	5-4-2	2.7	.904	0
23/24	30-20-2	2.9	.900	2

New York Rangers – Last 10 Games

5 wins, 4 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 2.6 goals from 27.3 shots on goal, with a 10.7% powerplay efficiency. The Rangers have given up 3.1 goals from 27.9 shots, averaging 3.5 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 80.0%.

Alexis Lafreniere is the top points scorer with 9 points, 2 goals and 7 assists, with Will Cuylle recording 7 points, 3 goals and 4 assists, in the last 10 games. Goalie Igor Shesterkin have a 3.37 goal against average with a .877 save percentage.

Tampa Bay Lightning – Last 10 Games

The Lightning have 7 wins and 3 losses, averaging 3.2 goals from 27.8 shots on goal, with a 11.5% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 2.3 goals from 27.8 shots, averaging 4.3 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 93.0%.

The top points scorer is Brandon Hagel with 13 points, 7 goals and 6 assists, while Nikita Kucherov is next best after having 11 points, 5 goals and 6 assists. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 2.01 GAA with a .922 SV%.

New York Rangers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction & Picks

We dive into the top New York Rangers vs Tampa Bay Lightning betting angles, including our main match prediction, best correct score play and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

An NHL clash featuring the total going under looks to be on the cards and you can get an appealing +114 that this happens. A lack of scoring power should be on show.

We keep a close eye on the NHL team news and our handicappers stay sharp by tracking the latest form and lineups. You’ll also find a full set of stats that offer valuable insight and help shape smarter hockey predictions ahead of the action.

Key Rangers vs Lightning stats:

The 5.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Rangers games.
The 5.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Rangers games.
The 5.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Rangers games on the road.
The 5.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Lightning games at home.
The 5.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Lightning games.
The 5.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Lightning games at home.

Under 5.5 Probability

The odds at the top betting apps suggest our pick has a 46.7% chance of winning. After careful examination, our analysts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 50-55%. This hockey bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

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If you’re wanting bigger odds for your Under bet, then there’s a way of changing the line and aiming for a lower goals total in the hope of a better return.

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Best Bet

Under 5.5 Goals @ +114 Watch Live Bet Now

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Published 23:43, 11 November 2025

Same Game Parlay Picks

Totals Under 5.5

Puck Line Rangers +1.5

Highest Scoring Period Second Period

We’ve compiled a same game parlay that includes Under 5.5 goals followed by the Rangers 1.5 on the puck line and the highest-scoring period to be the second.

Many betting sites now allow you to place a same game parlay on each individual game. It means that you can create a personalised hockey wager at bigger odds, with there generally being no limit as to the number of selections.

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Correct Score Prediction

Rangers

1 - 3 Lightning logo

Lightning

We’re predicting the Lightning to land a 3-1 victory and this is available at +1700. The correct score betting option provides plenty of fun and entertainment.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

1-0

2-0

2-1

New York Rangers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Lightning Made Favorites by the Books

The sportsbooks’ betting odds have Tampa Bay Lightning as -161 favorites for this game, implying that they are 62% likely to win. The market suggests that New York Rangers are least likely to win at +132.

The puck line is 1.5 and total goals is 5.5. A Totals wager is always available and can often provide value selections. If you want to back Over 5.5, it’s -132.

The best NHL sportsbooks offer a wide variety of game lines and team props for every matchup, with plenty of options available both before and during the game. Be sure to explore all the lines and odds before placing your bets.

Moneyline

3-Way Moneyline

Puck Line

Total Goals

Best Betting Offers

Last 5 & H2H

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Home
Away

Last 5 Games

Rangers

NHL: 11/11 Predators3 Rangers 6
NHL: 09/11 Islanders5 Rangers 0
NHL: 08/11 Rangers4 Red Wings 1
NHL: 05/11 Hurricanes3 Rangers 0
NHL: 02/11 Rangers3 Kraken 2

Lightning

NHL: 09/11 Capitals2 Lightning 3
NHL: 07/11 Lightning6 Golden Knights 3
NHL: 05/11 Lightning2 Avalanche 3
NHL: 02/11 Lightning4 Mammoth 2
NHL: 31/10 Stars1 Lightning 2

Head to Head

NY Rangers vs Tampa Bay

NHL: 18/04 2025 Lightning 0 Rangers 4
NHL: 08/04 2025 Lightning 5 Rangers 1
NHL: 29/12 2024 Rangers 2 Lightning 6
NHL: 15/03 2024 Rangers 3 Lightning 6
NHL: 08/02 2024 Lightning 1 Rangers 3
NHL: 31/12 2023 Rangers 5 Lightning 1
NHL: 06/04 2023 Lightning 3 Rangers 6
NHL: 30/12 2022 Rangers 1 Lightning 2
NHL: 12/10 2022 Lightning 1 Rangers 3
NHL: 12/06 2022 Rangers 1 Lightning 2

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

New York Rangers Stats

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Moneyline

5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

+1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games
+1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 9 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

-1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 3 of the last 10 games
-1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have not covered the -1.5 puck line in any of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

Game Totals: An average of 5.70 goals in the previous 10 games
Game Totals on the Road: An average of 5.40 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
Over 5.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
Over 5.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.60 goals and allowed 3.10 goals in the last 10 games
Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.40 pts and allowed 2.00 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

Game Totals: An average of 5.50 goals in the previous 10 games
Game Totals at Home: An average of 5.90 goals in the previous 10 home games
Over 5.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
Over 5.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.20 goals and allowed 2.30 goals in the last 10 games
Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 2.50 goals and allowed 3.40 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

Goals Powerplay: 0.3
Shots: 27.3
Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
Penalties: 3.5
Empty Net Goals: 0.1
Penalty Minutes: 7.9
Blocks: 15
Faceoff Wins : 30.3
Hits: 24
Giveaways: 11.9
Takeaways: 5.2

Last 10 Games on the Road

Goals Powerplay: 0.4
Shots: 28.3
Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
Penalties: 3.5
Empty Net Goals: 0.2
Penalty Minutes: 7.9
Blocks: 14.5
Faceoff Wins : 31.1
Hits: 22.8
Giveaways: 12.1
Takeaways: 5.8

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

Goals Powerplay: 0.6
Shots: 27.8
Goals Shorthanded: 0
Penalties: 4.3
Empty Net Goals: 0.3
Penalty Minutes: 10.3
Blocks: 14.7
Faceoff Wins : 26.6
Hits: 17.9
Giveaways: 14.7
Takeaways: 4.2

Last 10 Home Games

Goals Powerplay: 0.7
Shots: 25.7
Goals Shorthanded: 0
Penalties: 4.5
Empty Net Goals: 0
Penalty Minutes: 11
Blocks: 14
Faceoff Wins : 27.1
Hits: 25.6
Giveaways: 16
Takeaways: 3.6

Live Streaming

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Team News

New York Rangers Player Stats & Roster

#	Player	GP	MIN	G	A	P	+/-
23	Adam Fox	17	23.99	3	10	13	1
10	Artemi Panarin	17	20.85	5	7	12	-3
13	Alexis Lafreniere	17	17.61	3	8	11	-7

93	Mika Zibanejad	17	21.05	5	4	9	-9
50	Will Cuylle	17	17.44	4	4	8	-4
10	J.T. Miller	17	20.69	3	5	8	-2
14	Taylor Raddysh	17	12.75	5	1	6	3
42	Noah Laba	17	12.29	3	3	6	4
44	Vladislav Gavrikov	17	22.66	2	3	5	5
	Conor Sheary	17	15.36	0	5	5	0
39	Sam Carrick	17	12.56	1	4	5	3
4	Braden Schneider	17	18.26	1	3	4	-4
16	Vincent Trocheck	3	15.27	0	3	3	0
71	Juuso Paerssinen	12	9.18	2	1	3	2
22	Jonny Brodzinski	8	10.65	1	1	2	1
17	Will Borgen	17	18.65	0	2	2	3
84	Adam Edstroem	15	9.99	0	2	2	2
24	Carson Soucy	13	16.67	1	1	2	3
18	Urho Vaakanainen	12	14.93	0	2	2	2
94	Gabriel Perreault	1	14.1	0	1	1	1
73	Matthew Rempe	9	9.81	1	0	1	1
29	Matthew Robertson	9	16.56	1	0	1	-3
49	Jaroslav Chmelar	2	7.25	0	0	0	-1
78	Brennan Othmann	1	12.5	0	0	0	-1

#	Goalies	GP	GAA	SV%
31	Igor Shesterkin	13	2.46	0.909
32	Jonathan Quick	4	1.26	0.95

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Stats & Roster

#	Player	GP	MIN	G	A	P	+/-
59	Jake Guentzel	15	20.82	6	9	15	1
86	Nikita Kucherov	13	20.94	7	7	14	-2
38	Brandon Hagel	15	20.64	7	7	14	4

77	Victor Hedman	15	22.59	0	12	12	1
71	Anthony Cirelli	14	18.67	7	4	11	5
21	Brayden Point	15	18.98	3	6	9	-8
27	Ryan McDonagh	15	20.16	3	3	6	1
51	Charles-Edouard D'Astous	8	15.09	1	4	5	1
29	Pontus Holmberg	15	12.4	1	4	5	1
93	Gage Goncalves	15	12.19	1	4	5	3
22	Oliver Bjorkstrand	15	14.14	1	4	5	0
37	Yanni Gourde	15	16.01	3	1	4	2
17	Dominic James	9	12.77	1	3	4	1
90	Janis Jerome Moser	13	20.73	1	2	3	2
43	Darren Raddysh	9	14.16	1	2	3	-3
28	Zemgus Girgensons	8	15.03	2	1	3	-2
24	Maxwell Crozier	5	12.52	0	3	3	1
78	Emil Lilleberg	15	14.55	1	1	2	-1
81	Erik Cernak	15	19.22	0	2	2	0
14	Conor Geekie	6	10.03	0	1	1	0
	Curtis Douglas	9	5.11	0	0	0	1
41	Mitchell Chaffee	7	9.49	0	0	0	0
62	Jack Finley	4	8.48	0	0	0	0

#	Goalies	GP	GAA	SV%
31	Jonas Johansson	4	2.78	0.916
88	Andrei Vasilevskiy	11	2.55	0.907

Injuries & Suspensions

New York Rangers Injury Table

Type

Name

Info

Matthew Rempe

Injured

Tampa Bay Lightning Injury Table

Type

Name

Info

Anthony Cirelli

Injured

Maxwell Crozier

Injured

Nick Paul

Injured

Ryan McDonagh

Injured

Victor Hedman

Injured

Dominic James

Injured

Pontus Holmberg

Injured

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

Previous New York Rangers Lineups

10 Nov NHL

Predators 3-6 Rangers

Metropolitan	GP	W	L	OT	PTS	P%	RW	ROW	GF	GA	DIFF	Home	Road	S/O	L10	Strk
1 New Jersey	16	11	4	1	23	0.719	8	10	54	47	7	7-0-1	4-4-0	1-0	6-4	1L
2 Carolina	16	11	5	0	22	0.688	8	10	60	46	14	5-2-0	6-3-0	1-0	6-4	1L
3 Pittsburgh	17	9	5	3	21	0.618	9	9	57	48	9	4-2-1	5-3-2	0-3	4-6	2L
4 Philadelphia	15	8	5	2	18	0.6	4	5	43	39	4	6-3-1	2-2-1	3-0	6-4	1L
5 NY Islanders	16	8	6	2	18	0.563	7	8	53	53	0	4-3-1	4-3-1	0-2	5-5	2W
6 NY Rangers	17	8	7	2	18	0.529	6	8	41	43	-2	1-6-1	7-1-1	0-0	5-5	1W
7 Washington	16	8	7	1	17	0.531	7	8	46	39	7	4-4-0	4-3-1	0-1	4-6	1W
8 Columbus	16	8	7	1	17	0.531	5	6	50	51	-1	3-3-0	5-4-1	2-0	5-5	1W

East Atlantic	GP	W	L	OT	PTS	P%	RW	ROW	GF	GA	DIFF	Home	Road	S/O	L10	Strk
1 Montreal	16	10	4	2	22	0.688	5	10	58	52	6	5-2-1	5-2-1	0-1	6-4	1L
2 Boston	18	11	7	0	22	0.611	7	10	62	59	3	8-3-0	3-4-0	1-0	8-2	7W
3 Ottawa	17	8	5	4	20	0.588	5	6	59	61	-2	5-2-2	3-3-2	2-0	6-4	1L
4 Tampa Bay	15	8	5	2	18	0.6	6	8	46	41	5	4-3-0	4-2-2	0-0	7-3	2W
5 Detroit	16	9	7	0	18	0.563	6	7	46	51	-5	5-3-0	4-4-0	2-0	4-6	3L
6 Florida	16	8	7	1	17	0.531	7	7	43	48	-5	5-1-1	3-6-0	1-1	5-5	1W
7 Toronto	17	8	8	1	17	0.5	6	8	62	65	-3	7-4-1	1-4-0	0-0	5-5	3L
8 Buffalo	15	5	6	4	14	0.467	4	4	41	49	-8	5-3-2	0-3-2	1-0	3-7	3L

East Central	GP	W	L	OT	PTS	P%	RW	ROW	GF	GA	DIFF	Home	Road	S/O	L10	Strk
1 Colorado	17	11	1	5	27	0.794	10	11	68	43	25	5-0-2	6-1-3	0-2	6-4	4W
2 Dallas	17	10	4	3	23	0.676	7	8	52	53	-1	5-3-1	5-1-2	2-1	7-3	3W
3 Winnipeg	16	10	6	0	20	0.625	9	10	52	42	10	5-3-0	5-3-0	0-0	5-5	1W
4 Chicago	16	8	5	3	19	0.594	7	8	53	41	12	3-2-1	5-3-2	0-1	6-4	3W
5 Utah	16	9	7	0	18	0.563	6	9	51	50	1	4-1-0	5-6-0	0-0	5-5	3L
6 Minnesota	18	7	7	4	18	0.5	5	6	51	59	-8	4-3-3	3-4-1	1-0	4-6	1L
7 St Louis	17	6	8	3	15	0.441	6	6	47	65	-18	3-4-3	3-4-0	0-1	3-7	1W
8 Nashville	18	5	9	4	14	0.389	4	4	47	65	-18	4-5-2	1-4-2	1-0	2-8	5L

West Pacific	GP	W	L	OT	PTS	P%	RW	ROW	GF	GA	DIFF	Home	Road	S/O	L10	Strk
1 Anaheim	16	11	4	1	23	0.719	8	10	64	50	14	5-1-0	6-3-1	1-0	8-2	1L
2 LA Kings	17	8	5	4	20	0.588	5	7	50	52	-2	1-4-2	7-1-2	1-3	6-4	2W
3 Seattle	16	7	4	5	19	0.594	4	7	40	46	-6	4-1-3	3-3-2	0-2	4-6	2L
4 San Jose	17	8	6	3	19	0.559	4	8	55	57	-2	4-3-3	4-3-0	0-1	7-3	4W
5 Vegas	15	7	4	4	18	0.6	6	7	48	45	3	4-3-2	3-1-2	0-1	4-6	3L
6 Edmonton	17	7	6	4	18	0.529	4	7	52	61	-9	5-1-2	2-5-2	0-2	4-6	1W
7 Vancouver	18	8	9	1	17	0.472	4	6	53	63	-10	3-5-1	5-4-0	2-0	4-6	2L
8 Calgary	18	4	12	2	10	0.278	3	3	38	58	-20	2-4-1	2-8-1	1-1	3-7	3L

New York Rangers

Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL Betting Preview: Rangers vs Lightning

Head-to-Head Statistics

Starting Goalies

New York Rangers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction & Picks

Game Prediction

Under 5.5 Probability

Best Bet

Same Game Parlay Picks

Correct Score Prediction

Latest Correct Score Odds

New York Rangers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

Lightning Made Favorites by the Books

Last 5 & H2H

Head to Head

Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

New York Rangers Injury Table

Tampa Bay Lightning Injury Table

Starting Lineups

Previous New York Rangers Lineups

Previous Tampa Bay Lightning Lineups

Get the Latest Betting Tips