New York Rangers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, Picks & Odds | 12 Nov 2025

NHL Betting Preview: Rangers vs Lightning

The New York Rangers go up against the Tampa Bay Lightning at Benchmark International Arena, with face-off scheduled for 20:00 on Wednesday, November 12.

We’re expecting the Rangers and the Lightning to score a modest number of goals and that leads us to an Under 5.5 prediction. Let’s grab the +114 that this outcome happens.

New York Rangers have claimed four straight road wins. Their latest game was a 6-3 home triumph at Madison Square Garden against Nashville Predators. Alexis Lafreniere landed 3 points which includes 1 goal and 2 assists.

Tampa Bay Lightning have enjoyed four consecutive home wins at Benchmark International Arena. Last time out, Washington Capitals were beaten 3-2. Jake Guentzel, Brandon Hagel and Emil Lilleberg scored one goal each. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy had a great game and ended up with 29 saves (.967).

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was the Rangers who came out on top when they last played the Lightning. At Madison Square Garden, a 4-0 win was recorded. The past 10 H2H clashes have seen both teams record five wins.

Starting Goalies

Igor Shesterkin (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	20-12-6	2.5	.913	1
23/24	36-17-2	2.58	.912	4

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	29-10-3	2.3	.914	2
23/24	30-20-2	2.9	.900	2

5 wins, 4 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 2.6 goals from 27.3 shots on goal, with a 10.7% powerplay efficiency. The Rangers have given up 3.1 goals from 27.9 shots, averaging 3.5 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 80.0%.

Alexis Lafreniere is the top points scorer with 9 points, 2 goals and 7 assists, with Will Cuylle recording 7 points, 3 goals and 4 assists, in the last 10 games. Goalie Igor Shesterkin have a 3.37 goal against average with a .877 save percentage.

The Lightning have 7 wins and 3 losses, averaging 3.2 goals from 27.8 shots on goal, with a 11.5% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 2.3 goals from 27.8 shots, averaging 4.3 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 93.0%.

The top points scorer is Brandon Hagel with 13 points, 7 goals and 6 assists, while Nikita Kucherov is next best after having 11 points, 5 goals and 6 assists. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 2.01 GAA with a .922 SV%.

New York Rangers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction & Picks

Be ready for New York Rangers vs Tampa Bay Lightning with our in-depth betting tips, featuring a key match prediction, our expected scoreline, best player prop picks and a value-focused bet builder.

Game Prediction

An NHL clash featuring the total going under looks to be on the cards and you can get an appealing +114 that this happens. A lack of scoring power should be on show.

We keep a close eye on the NHL team news and our handicappers stay sharp by tracking the latest form and lineups. You’ll also find a full set of stats that offer valuable insight and help shape smarter hockey predictions ahead of the action.

Key Rangers vs Lightning stats:

• The 5.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Rangers games.
• The 5.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Rangers games.
• The 5.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Rangers games on the road.
• The 5.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Lightning games at home.
• The 5.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Lightning games.
• The 5.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Lightning games at home.

Under 5.5 Probability

The odds at the top betting apps suggest our pick has a 46.7% chance of winning. After careful examination, our analysts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 50-55%. This hockey bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

If you’re wanting bigger odds for your Under bet, then there’s a way of changing the line and aiming for a lower goals total in the hope of a better return.

Take your betting up a notch with the latest promos, free bets and top betting offers inside our easy-to-use bonus guide.

Our Game Prediction

Under 5.5 Goals @ +114 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Nov 12, 00:43). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Brandon Hagel Over 2.5 Shots -135

Brandon Hagel (Lightning) has covered the 2.5 shots on goal total in 8 of the past 10 games. The stats suggest that he can oblige with our Overs wager and we’re more than happy to take the -135 available.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Rangers 1 - 3 Lightning

We’re predicting the Lightning to land a 3-1 victory and this is available at +1700. The correct score betting option provides plenty of fun and entertainment.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Rangers

Lightning

1-0

Rangers

+5000

Lightning

+5000

2-0

Rangers

+4500

Lightning

+4500

2-1

Rangers

+1400

Lightning

+1300

3-0

Rangers

+3400

Lightning

+2800

3-1

Rangers

+1900

Lightning

+1700

3-2

Rangers

+900

Lightning

+800

4-0

Rangers

+4500

Lightning

+3500

4-1

Rangers

+1800

Lightning

+1400

4-2

Rangers

+1700

Lightning

+1500

4-3

Rangers

+1100

Lightning

+1000

5-0

Rangers

+8000

Lightning

+6000

5-1

Rangers

+3000

Lightning

+2200

5-2

Rangers

+1900

Lightning

+1500

5-3

Rangers

+2500

Lightning

+2200

5-4

Rangers

+2200

Lightning

+2000

6-0

Rangers

+12500

Lightning

+9000

6-1

Rangers

+7000

Lightning

+5000

6-2

Rangers

+4000

Lightning

+2800

6-3

Rangers

+3500

Lightning

+2800

6-4

Rangers

+5500

Lightning

+4500

6-5

Rangers

+5500

Lightning

+5000

7-0

Rangers

+5500

Lightning

+14000

7-1

Rangers

+12000

Lightning

+8000

7-2

Rangers

+10000

Lightning

+7000

7-3

Rangers

+7000

Lightning

+5500

7-4

Rangers

+7500

Lightning

+6600

7-5

Rangers

+12000

Lightning

+11000

7-6

Rangers

+12500

Lightning

+12000

8-1

Rangers

+12500

Lightning

+14000

8-2

Rangers

+12500

Lightning

+12000

8-3

Rangers

+12500

Lightning

+12500

8-4

Rangers

+14000

Lightning

+11000

8-5

Rangers

+14000

Lightning

+14000

View More

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

New York Rangers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The sportsbooks’ betting odds have Tampa Bay Lightning as -143 favorites for this game, implying that they are 59% likely to win. The market suggests that New York Rangers are least likely to win at +118.

The puck line is 1.5 and total goals is 5.5. A Totals wager is always available and can often provide value selections. If you want to back Over 5.5, it’s -123.

The best NHL sportsbooks offer a wide variety of game lines and team props for every matchup, with plenty of options available both before and during the game. Be sure to explore all the lines and odds before placing your bets.

Moneyline

Rangers

+118

Lightning

-143

3-Way Moneyline

Rangers

+180

Tie

+330

Lightning

+117

Puck Line

Rangers +1.5

-213

Lightning -1.5

+172

Total Goals

Under 5.5

+102

Over 5.5

-123

If you have a view on Goaltender Saves, Blocked Shots, Powerplay Points or Goals, then the player and goalie props could be an option. It’s a great way of betting on a player to perform well and the gambling sites provide lots of interesting options.

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some bettors prefer to look at the NHL micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term wagers and this might include the Next Goalscorer or Next Goal.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

New York Rangers Stats

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 9 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 3 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have not covered the -1.5 puck line in any of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.70 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 5.40 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 5.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.60 goals and allowed 3.10 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.40 pts and allowed 2.00 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.50 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 5.90 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 5.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.20 goals and allowed 2.30 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 2.50 goals and allowed 3.40 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.3
• Shots: 27.3
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 3.5
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 7.9
• Blocks: 15
• Faceoff Wins : 30.3
• Hits: 24
• Giveaways: 11.9
• Takeaways: 5.2

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 28.3
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 3.5
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 7.9
• Blocks: 14.5
• Faceoff Wins : 31.1
• Hits: 22.8
• Giveaways: 12.1
• Takeaways: 5.8

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 27.8
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4.3
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 10.3
• Blocks: 14.7
• Faceoff Wins : 26.6
• Hits: 17.9
• Giveaways: 14.7
• Takeaways: 4.2

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 25.7
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4.5
• Empty Net Goals: 0
• Penalty Minutes: 11
• Blocks: 14
• Faceoff Wins : 27.1
• Hits: 25.6
• Giveaways: 16
• Takeaways: 3.6

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

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