New York Rangers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks & Odds | 16 Oct 2025

NHL Betting Preview: Rangers vs Maple Leafs

The New York Rangers meet the Toronto Maple Leafs in this NHL matchup at Scotiabank Arena, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Thursday, October 16. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and the starting lineups.

Best Bet Could Be Backing Over 5.5

The prediction for the matchup between the Rangers and the Maple Leafs is for Over 5.5. We’re especially taken by the odds of -141 that this happens.

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4-3 Victory for Leafs in Pair’s Last Battle

New York Rangers have suffered back-to-back defeats, recently being beaten at home by Edmonton Oilers 2-0 at Madison Square Garden. They racked up 30 shots on goal, with goalie Igor Shesterkin stopping 20 shots (.952).

Toronto Maple Leafs last game saw them claim a 7-4 home win over Nashville Predators at Scotiabank Arena. Matthew Knies had 3 points, all of them were assists.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Leafs have claimed back-to-back victories over the Rangers. Both successes came at Madison Square Garden and the scorelines were 3-2 and 4-3. The Leafs have won six of the previous 10 H2H meetings.

Starting Goalies

Igor Shesterkin (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	2-2-0	0.8	.972	1
23/24	36-17-2	2.58	.912	4

Anthony Stolarz (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	1-2-0	3.1	.886	0
23/24	16-7-1	2.03	.925	2

5 wins and 5 losses, averaging 3.6 goals from 29.2 shots on goal, with a 15.4% powerplay efficiency. The Rangers have been giving up 2.7 goals from 29.1 shots, averaging 2.1 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 90.5%.

Mika Zibanejad and J.T. Miller are the top points scorers. They have both scored 11 points over the past 10 games, including 4 goals and 7 assists. Goalie Igor Shesterkin have a 1.44 goal against average with a .951 save percentage, including two shutouts.

The Leafs have 4 wins, 5 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 2.9 goals from 26.1 shots on goal, with a 5.0% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 3.7 goals from 30.0 shots, averaging 4.6 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 89.1%.

The top points scorer is William Nylander with 10 points, 3 goals and 7 assists, while Auston Matthews is next in line after registering 8 points, 4 goals and 4 assists. Goalie Joseph Woll have a 3.36 GAA with a .890 SV%, including one shutout.

New York Rangers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks

The New York Rangers vs Toronto Maple Leafs betting tips feature sharp analysis across major markets, including a key match prediction, correct score guidance and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

There’s a great opportunity to bet on Overs, especially when you consider the attractive -141 available. Wager on at least six goals being scored when it comes to this NHL game.

Our hockey picks are always well-researched, starting with a combination of the latest NHL team news and current form. Once we’ve got a solid read on the matchup, we layer in the key data to back it up.

Key Rangers vs Maple Leafs stats:

• The 5.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Rangers games on the road.
• The 5.5 line has been covered in 14 of the last 20 Rangers games on the road.
• The 5.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Maple Leafs games.
• The 5.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Maple Leafs games.

Over 5.5 Probability

Based on the odds from the best betting apps, our pick has a 58.5% chance of winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 65-70%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this hockey wager.

You don’t just have to stick with the odds for a Total bet considering that the line can be moved accordingly. Choose a riskier or safer policy with your Over wager.

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Best Bet

Over 5.5 Goals @ -141 Watch Live Bet Now

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Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Correct Score Prediction

Rangers 4 - 2 Maple Leafs

There are betting odds of +1800 that the Rangers land a 4-2 victory. The correct score option is popular due to the potential return that can be achieved.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Rangers

Maple Leafs

1-0

Rangers

+5500

Maple Leafs

+5000

2-0

Rangers

+5000

Maple Leafs

+5000

2-1

Rangers

+1500

Maple Leafs

+1400

3-0

Rangers

+4000

Maple Leafs

+2800

3-1

Rangers

+2200

Maple Leafs

+1900

3-2

Rangers

+900

Maple Leafs

+800

4-0

Rangers

+5000

Maple Leafs

+3300

4-1

Rangers

+1900

Maple Leafs

+1300

4-2

Rangers

+1800

Maple Leafs

+1500

4-3

Rangers

+1100

Maple Leafs

+1000

5-0

Rangers

+9000

Maple Leafs

+5500

5-1

Rangers

+3300

Maple Leafs

+2000

5-2

Rangers

+2000

Maple Leafs

+1400

5-3

Rangers

+2500

Maple Leafs

+2200

5-4

Rangers

+2200

Maple Leafs

+1900

6-0

Rangers

+14000

Maple Leafs

+9000

6-1

Rangers

+8000

Maple Leafs

+4500

6-2

Rangers

+4000

Maple Leafs

+2500

6-3

Rangers

+3500

Maple Leafs

+2500

6-4

Rangers

+5500

Maple Leafs

+4500

6-5

Rangers

+5000

Maple Leafs

+4500

7-0

Rangers

+5000

Maple Leafs

+13000

7-1

Rangers

+13000

Maple Leafs

+8000

7-2

Rangers

+11000

Maple Leafs

+6600

7-3

Rangers

+7000

Maple Leafs

+4500

7-4

Rangers

+7500

Maple Leafs

+5500

7-5

Rangers

+11000

Maple Leafs

+10000

7-6

Rangers

+12000

Maple Leafs

+11000

8-1

Rangers

+12000

Maple Leafs

+12500

8-2

Rangers

+12000

Maple Leafs

+11000

8-3

Rangers

+12000

Maple Leafs

+11000

8-4

Rangers

+14000

Maple Leafs

+10000

8-5

Rangers

+14000

Maple Leafs

+12500

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New York Rangers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Expecting a Leafs Victory

Toronto Maple Leafs have the shortest price to win this game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 60% probability due to their -152 Moneyline betting odds. New York Rangers are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +126.

The puck line is 1.5 and the total goals line is currently 5.5. A wager on Totals allows bettors to use the latest data to good effect. If you want to back Over 5.5, it’s -141.

National Hockey League bettors are spoilt for choice thanks to the hundreds of game lines and team props which are available for every clash on the coupon. Head to the top sportsbooks and find the best value picks.

Moneyline

Rangers

+126

Maple Leafs

-152

3-Way Moneyline

Rangers

+200

Tie

+320

Maple Leafs

+108

Puck Line

Rangers +1.5

-192

Maple Leafs -1.5

+156

Total Goals

Under 5.5

+112

Over 5.5

-141

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

New York Rangers Stats

Toronto Maple Leafs Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 3 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 3 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.30 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.80 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 5.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.60 goals and allowed 2.70 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 4.20 pts and allowed 2.60 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.60 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 7.00 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 5.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.90 goals and allowed 3.70 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.40 goals and allowed 3.60 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 29.2
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.4
• Penalties: 2.1
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 4.2
• Blocks: 15.5
• Faceoff Wins : 28.6
• Hits: 20.6
• Giveaways: 16.1
• Takeaways: 6.6

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 28.4
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.4
• Penalties: 3.4
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 7.1
• Blocks: 13.9
• Faceoff Wins : 30.1
• Hits: 21.5
• Giveaways: 15.5
• Takeaways: 5.4

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.2
• Shots: 26.1
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4.6
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 11.1
• Blocks: 20.7
• Faceoff Wins : 32.7
• Hits: 36.5
• Giveaways: 15.3
• Takeaways: 3.7

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 27.1
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4.5
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 9.8
• Blocks: 21.1
• Faceoff Wins : 33.3
• Hits: 33.6
• Giveaways: 14.7
• Takeaways: 4.2

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Team News

New York Rangers Player Stats & Roster

#	Player	GP	MIN	G	A	P	+/-
23	Adam Fox	5	23.42	3	1	4	1
39	Sam Carrick	5	13.42	0	3	3	3
10	J.T. Miller	5	20.02	1	2	3	-1

13	Alexis Lafreniere	5	18.22	1	1	2	-3
10	Artemi Panarin	5	20.84	0	2	2	-2
42	Noah Laba	5	11.82	0	2	2	1
84	Adam Edstroem	5	10.96	0	2	2	1
71	Juuso Paerssinen	1	9.4	0	1	1	1
16	Vincent Trocheck	2	14.15	0	1	1	-2
24	Carson Soucy	3	15.07	1	0	1	2
73	Matthew Rempe	5	11.26	1	0	1	2
50	Will Cuylle	5	17.4	1	0	1	-1
4	Braden Schneider	5	18.3	0	1	1	-1
17	Will Borgen	5	18.42	0	1	1	2
93	Mika Zibanejad	5	20.18	1	0	1	-3
14	Taylor Raddysh	5	11.62	1	0	1	1
	Conor Sheary	5	15.38	0	1	1	-1
18	Urho Vaakanainen	5	15.82	0	0	0	-1
44	Vladislav Gavrikov	5	22.18	0	0	0	2
22	Jonny Brodzinski	2	8.05	0	0	0	0
44	Matthew Robertson	2	18.1	0	0	0	0

#	Goalies	GP	GAA	SV%
31	Igor Shesterkin	4	0.76	0.972
32	Jonathan Quick	1	1.03	0.952

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Toronto Maple Leafs Player Stats & Roster

#	Player	GP	MIN	G	A	P	+/-
88	William Nylander	4	19.6	2	5	7	0
23	Matthew Knies	4	20.58	1	5	6	3
91	John Tavares	4	17.65	1	4	5	1

34	Auston Matthews	4	21.58	3	1	4	4
44	Morgan Rielly	4	21.35	1	3	4	-2
19	Calle Jaernkrok	4	10.83	3	0	3	0
95	Oliver Ekman-Larsson	4	18.38	1	2	3	-1
74	Bobby McMann	4	15.28	2	1	3	2
18	Steven Lorentz	2	6.7	0	2	2	3
22	Jake McCabe	4	21.73	1	1	2	6
55	Nicolas Roy	4	12.08	1	1	2	-2
63	Matias Maccelli	4	13.78	0	1	1	0
8	Christopher Tanev	4	19.88	0	1	1	4
81	Dakota Joshua	4	11.1	0	1	1	-4
2	Simon Benoit	4	17.1	0	1	1	2
89	Nick Robertson	4	11.2	0	1	1	-1
11	Max Domi	4	13.35	1	0	1	-1
53	Easton Cowan	2	14.1	0	1	1	2
25	Brandon Carlo	4	18.05	0	0	0	1

#	Goalies	GP	GAA	SV%
	Cayden Primeau	1	4	0.871
41	Anthony Stolarz	3	3.05	0.886

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Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.