Pittsburgh Penguins vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction, Picks & Odds | 27 Mar 2025

Sabres Stand Out as a Value Bet

The best bet could be taking the Sabres to simply achieve a victory over the Penguins. Our prediction can be taken at -141 on the Moneyline which yields a potentially nice return.

Penguins 5-2 Win in Previous H2H Encounter

Pittsburgh Penguins have been beaten in successive games and the latest was on the road at Amalie Arena. Tampa Bay Lightning claimed a 6-1 win. Bryan Rust bagged the only goal from just 15 Penguins shots.

Buffalo Sabres were winners last time out. Their 3-2 victory against Ottawa Senators at KeyBank Center was their third straight home triumph. Tage Thompson, Jacob Bernard-Docker and Jack Quinn scored one goal each. Goalie James Reimer made 30 saves (.938).

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Penguins have claimed victories in the last two encounters against the Sabres. At PPG PAINTS Arena, the scoreline was 6-5 (OT) and then we saw 5-2 at KeyBank Center. We’ve seen six the Penguins wins in the past 10 meetings between the teams.

Starting Goalies

Tristan Jarry (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	5-1-0	2.4	.923	1
23/24	19-25-5	2.91	.903	6

James Reimer (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	10-10-2	3.1	.896	1
23/24	11-8-2	3.11	.904	2

5 wins, 4 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 3.1 goals from 23.7 shots on goal, with a 23.8% powerplay efficiency. The Penguins have given up 3.3 goals from 32.4 shots, averaging 2.9 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 69.0%.

Sidney Crosby is the top points scorer with 14 points, 6 goals and 8 assists, with Rickard Rakell racking up 10 points, 4 goals and 6 assists, over the past 10 games. Goalie Tristan Jarry have a 2.99 goal against average with a .907 save percentage.

The Sabres have 5 wins and 5 losses, averaging 2.8 goals from 25.9 shots on goal, with a 16.3% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 3.8 goals from 28.4 shots, averaging 4.8 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 83.3%.

The top points scorer is Ryan McLeod with 12 points, 3 goals and 9 assists, while Tage Thompson is next in line after registering 8 points, 5 goals and 3 assists. Goalie Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen have a 3.70 GAA with a .858 SV%.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction & Picks

Game Prediction

Buffalo Sabres should have the edge over their opponents and our pick is to side with them on the Moneyline. There is a tempting -141 for the home team to win this NHL encounter.

The NHL handicappers at Sportsgambler.com are aware of injuries that could affect the outcome along with the form guide. We also leave no stone unturned when it comes to analyzing the latest player and goalie stats.

Key Penguins vs Sabres stats:

• Sabres have won 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• Sabres have won 3 of their last 5 games.
• Sabres have won 3 consecutive games at home.
• Penguins have lost 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• Penguins have lost 15 of their last 20 games on the road.
• Penguins have lost their last 2 games.

Sabres Moneyline Probability

The sportsbooks imply that our pick has a 58.5% prospect of winning. However, our cappers think that the probability sits between 65-70% taking all factors into consideration. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

There are different ways to boost the odds on a Moneyline pick and some bettors take the Bet Builder option. It’s effectively a same game parlay where you throw in other selections.

Best Bet

Sabres Moneyline @ -141 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Rickard Rakell Under 2.5 Shots -156

Rickard Rakell (Penguins) has totaled Under 2.5 shots on goal in 9 of the past 10 games. Let’s stick with this betting trend and wager him to go under the Shots on Goal line at odds of -156.

Latest Rickard Rakell Player Prop Odds

Goals

Anytime

+165

First

+1000

Shots on Goal

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-156

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Penguins 2 - 5 Sabres

Let’s go for the Sabres to win 5-2, a bet which is available at +1500. Correct score betting provides plenty of excitement and a potentially bigger return if you win.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Penguins

Sabres

1-0

Penguins

+6000

Sabres

+5500

2-0

Penguins

+5000

Sabres

+5000

2-1

Penguins

+1700

Sabres

+1500

3-0

Penguins

+4000

Sabres

+3300

3-1

Penguins

+2000

Sabres

+1800

3-2

Penguins

+950

Sabres

+850

4-0

Penguins

+5000

Sabres

+4000

4-1

Penguins

+1900

Sabres

+1500

4-2

Penguins

+1700

Sabres

+1400

4-3

Penguins

+1050

Sabres

+950

5-0

Penguins

+9000

Sabres

+6000

5-1

Penguins

+3300

Sabres

+2200

5-2

Penguins

+2000

Sabres

+1500

5-3

Penguins

+2400

Sabres

+2000

5-4

Penguins

+2000

Sabres

+1800

6-0

Penguins

+13000

Sabres

+9000

6-1

Penguins

+7500

Sabres

+5000

6-2

Penguins

+4000

Sabres

+2800

6-3

Penguins

+3300

Sabres

+2500

6-4

Penguins

+4500

Sabres

+4000

6-5

Penguins

+4500

Sabres

+4500

7-0

Penguins

+4500

Sabres

+13000

7-1

Penguins

+12000

Sabres

+8000

7-2

Penguins

+10000

Sabres

+6600

7-3

Penguins

+6600

Sabres

+5000

7-4

Penguins

+6600

Sabres

+5500

7-5

Penguins

+10000

Sabres

+9000

7-6

Penguins

+11000

Sabres

+10000

8-1

Penguins

+11000

Sabres

+13000

8-2

Penguins

+11000

Sabres

+11000

8-3

Penguins

+11000

Sabres

+11000

8-4

Penguins

+12500

Sabres

+10000

8-5

Penguins

+14000

Sabres

+12500

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Pittsburgh Penguins vs Buffalo Sabres Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Sabres Made Favorites by the Books

The sportsbooks’ betting odds have Buffalo Sabres as -133 favorites for this game, implying that they are 57% likely to win. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Pittsburgh Penguins are trading at +112.

The puck line is 1.5 and total goals is 6.5. The Totals offers NHL bettors an alternative way of getting involved. If you're keen on Over 6.5, this selection is available at +102.

The Sabres are favorites to find the net first at odds of -125. Conversely, if you think the Penguins will score the opener, they are -115 to do so.

You can find a wide range of team props and game lines for every National Hockey League clash, with the betting sites creating many different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Moneyline

Penguins

+112

Sabres

-133

3-Way Moneyline

Penguins

+185

Tie

+335

Sabres

+114

Puck Line

Penguins +1.5

-213

Sabres -1.5

+172

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-123

Over 6.5

+102

Tage Thompson Favorite to Find the Net First

The First Goalscorer favorite is Tage Thompson at +800. Similar odds can be found if you’re interested in this player to register the last goal.

Player Goals

Tage Thompson (Sabres)

First

+125

Anytime

+800

Sidney Crosby (Penguins)

First

+155

Anytime

+950

Alex Tuch (Sabres)

First

+163

Anytime

+950

Rickard Rakell (Penguins)

First

+165

Anytime

+1000

John-Jason Peterka (Sabres)

First

+180

Anytime

+1050

Bryan Rust (Penguins)

First

+205

Anytime

+1200

Jason Zucker (Sabres)

First

+225

Anytime

+1200

Josh Norris (Sabres)

First

+225

Anytime

+1200

Jiri Kulich (Sabres)

First

+255

Anytime

+1400

Evgeni Malkin (Penguins)

First

+270

Anytime

+1500

Jack Quinn (Sabres)

First

+290

Anytime

+1500

Zach Benson (Sabres)

First

+290

Anytime

+1500

Ryan McLeod (Sabres)

First

+310

Anytime

+1600

Kevin Hayes (Penguins)

First

+310

Anytime

+1600

Rasmus Dahlin (Sabres)

First

+310

Anytime

+1600

Philip Tomasino (Penguins)

First

+310

Anytime

+1600

Danton Heinen (Penguins)

First

+330

Anytime

+1700

Thomas Novak (Penguins)

First

+330

Anytime

+1700

Peyton Krebs (Sabres)

First

+440

Anytime

+2200

Jordan Greenway (Sabres)

First

+440

Anytime

+2200

Emil Bemström (Penguins)

First

+450

Anytime

+2200

Blake Lizotte (Penguins)

First

+450

Anytime

+2200

Player Shots

Tage Thompson (Sabres)

Over 3.5

+135

Under 3.5

-175

Sidney Crosby (Penguins)

Over 2.5

-114

Under 2.5

-114

Alex Tuch (Sabres)

Over 2.5

+115

Under 2.5

-149

Rickard Rakell (Penguins)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-156

John-Jason Peterka (Sabres)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-156

Bryan Rust (Penguins)

Over 2.5

+105

Under 2.5

-137

Rasmus Dahlin (Sabres)

Over 2.5

-114

Under 2.5

-114

Micro Betting

Micro betting provides an interesting rollercoaster ride for NHL bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Goal and Next Goalscorer. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Pittsburgh Penguins Stats

Buffalo Sabres Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 1 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 1 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.50 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 5.20 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.10 goals and allowed 3.40 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 1.80 pts and allowed 3.40 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.70 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.50 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.90 goals and allowed 3.80 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.60 goals and allowed 2.90 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 23.7
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 2.9
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 7.1
• Blocks: 12.9
• Faceoff Wins : 31
• Hits: 21.8
• Giveaways: 16.3
• Takeaways: 4.7

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 26.1
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 2.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 6.7
• Blocks: 18.1
• Faceoff Wins : 30.3
• Hits: 22.2
• Giveaways: 16.1
• Takeaways: 4.8

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 25.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 4.8
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 16.7
• Blocks: 12.1
• Faceoff Wins : 27.9
• Hits: 21.4
• Giveaways: 14.9
• Takeaways: 3.8

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.3
• Shots: 28.3
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 4.5
• Empty Net Goals: 0
• Penalty Minutes: 11.8
• Blocks: 15.3
• Faceoff Wins : 29
• Hits: 25.6
• Giveaways: 17.9
• Takeaways: 3.6

Team News

Pittsburgh Penguins Player Stats & Roster

#	Player	GP	MIN	G	A	P	+/-
87	Sidney Crosby	71	20.35	25	54	79	-22
67	Rickard Rakell	72	19.36	32	30	62	-18
17	Bryan Rust	62	19.74	26	29	55	-23

65	Erik Karlsson	73	23.33	10	40	50	-24
71	Evgeni Malkin	62	17.9	15	31	46	-22
24	Matt Grzelcyk	73	20.41	1	33	34	-5
58	Kris Letang	66	23.6	8	20	28	-14
43	Danton Heinen	70	13.5	8	17	25	-2
18	Thomas Novak	54	13.23	13	9	22	-7
53	Philip Tomasino	55	13.35	10	11	21	-6
13	Kevin Hayes	56	12.23	10	10	20	-14
46	Blake Lizotte	54	12.54	9	9	18	-3
20	Conor Timmins	59	16.42	3	9	12	7
55	Noel Acciari	73	13.68	5	6	11	-24
18	Jesse Puljujaervi	26	11.6	3	6	9	-1
19	Connor Dewar	39	11.04	3	4	7	-2
23	Vladislav Kolyachonok	33	13.13	2	5	7	-10
5	Ryan Shea	30	16.92	2	3	5	-7
38	Owen Pickering	25	14.82	1	2	3	-5
27	Ryan Graves	52	15.22	1	2	3	-14
73	Pierre-Olivier Joseph	47	15.26	0	3	3	-22
83	Matt Nieto	31	12.23	1	2	3	-8
48	Valtteri Puustinen	10	9.89	1	1	2	-4
15	Joona Koppanen	4	13.9	1	0	1	-1
22	Samuel Poulin	6	10.1	0	1	1	1
52	Emil Bemstroem	11	8.82	0	1	1	0
14	Bokondji Imama	16	5.67	1	0	1	2
3	Jack St. Ivany	19	16.37	0	1	1	-3
30	Joel Blomqvist	15	51.5	0	0	0	0
11	Vasiliy Ponomaryov	4	9.23	0	0	0	-1
2	Rutger McGroarty	3	11.63	0	0	0	-1
4	Nate Clurman	1	11.1	0	0	0	0

#	Goalies	GP	GAA	SV%
39	Alex Nedeljkovic	35	3.15	0.894
35	Tristan Jarry	29	3.2	0.891

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Buffalo Sabres Player Stats & Roster

#	Player	GP	MIN	G	A	P	+/-
72	Tage Thompson	64	18.76	35	26	61	-1
77	John-Jason Peterka	65	18.32	22	33	55	-4
26	Rasmus Dahlin	62	24.36	13	42	55	2

89	Alex Tuch	70	19.44	27	24	51	9
17	Jason Zucker	62	16.07	19	27	46	3
71	Ryan McLeod	67	16.72	17	26	43	10
25	Owen Power	70	21.65	7	29	36	-13
13	Josh Norris	56	18.35	21	14	35	-6
4	Bowen Byram	70	22.92	7	26	33	7
22	Jack Quinn	62	14.97	11	16	27	-21
9	Zach Benson	63	14.61	10	14	24	0
19	Peyton Krebs	69	13.62	6	13	19	-7
20	Jiri Kulich	50	14.44	12	7	19	0
23	Mattias Samuelsson	50	18.82	3	7	10	-2
75	Connor Clifton	61	15.42	0	10	10	-6
29	Beck Malenstyn	66	10.49	4	5	9	-17
12	Jordan Greenway	34	15.07	3	5	8	-4
78	Jacob Bryson	44	14.32	0	7	7	-5
24	Jacob Bernard-Docker	28	13.08	2	5	7	4
81	Sam Lafferty	50	9.71	2	3	5	-11
48	Tyson Kozak	17	10.73	2	1	3	-3
27	Devon Levi	9	53.4	0	0	0	0
63	Isak Rosen	4	9.88	0	0	0	-2
33	Ryan Johnson	3	17.67	0	0	0	-2
57	Brett Murray	3	7.9	0	0	0	-2
44	Josh Dunne	1	7.3	0	0	0	-2

#	Goalies	GP	GAA	SV%
1	Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen	51	3.16	0.888
47	James Reimer	16	2.93	0.9
32	Felix Sandstroem	-	-	-

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Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups