Pittsburgh Penguins vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks & Odds | 03 Nov 2025

NHL Betting Preview: Penguins vs Maple Leafs

The Pittsburgh Penguins face off against the Toronto Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena, with face-off scheduled for 19:30 on Monday, November 3. Our betting preview features expert NHL predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and the starting lineups.

There is -114 available for Under 6.5 goals, with the Penguins and the Maple Leafs expected to go under the line with their combined score.

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Pittsburgh Penguins were beaten in their previous game and this was on the road at Canada Life Centre. Winnipeg Jets claimed a 5-2 win. Sidney Crosby and Blake Lizotte each scored one goal.

Toronto Maple Leafs have made it back-to-back wins at home. Their last game saw them land a 5-2 road victory at Xfinity Mobile Arena against Philadelphia Flyers. The goals were shared around between five players including Auston Matthews. Goalie Anthony Stolarz made 31 saves (.939).

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Leafs had the edge in the most recent encounter between these teams. At PPG PAINTS Arena, they recorded a 6-5 win over the Penguins. The past 10 H2H games have seen the Leafs land seven wins.

Starting Goalies

Tristan Jarry (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	12-3-1	2.7	.906	1
23/24	19-25-5	2.91	.903	6

Anthony Stolarz (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	6-5-1	3.5	.884	0
23/24	16-7-1	2.03	.925	2

6 wins, 2 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 3.8 goals from 26.8 shots on goal, with a 28.6% powerplay efficiency. The Penguins have been giving up 2.5 goals from 31.0 shots, averaging 4.0 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 87.5%.

Sidney Crosby is the top points scorer with 14 points, 8 goals and 6 assists, with Evgeni Malkin racking up 13 points, 3 goals and 10 assists, over the past 10 games. Goalie Arturs Silovs have a 2.52 goal against average with a .921 save percentage.

The Leafs have 5 wins, 4 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 3.5 goals from 30.4 shots on goal, with a 11.4% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 3.6 goals from 27.9 shots, averaging 3.5 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 85.7%.

The top points scorer is John Tavares with 14 points, 6 goals and 8 assists, while Matthew Knies is next in line after having 14 points, 4 goals and 10 assists. Goalie Anthony Stolarz have a 3.30 GAA with a .884 SV%.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks

We bring you the complete Pittsburgh Penguins vs Toronto Maple Leafs betting insight, including our top match prediction, correct score forecast, player prop advice and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

The teams might not go over the 6.5 goal line with their combined score. We’re sweet on our Under pick and odds of -114 are available when it comes to this NHL clash.

We only publish our hockey predictions once we’ve got a clear and confident read on team news and the latest form. We also stay sharp by digging into the most valuable NHL stats to support every pick we make.

Key Penguins vs Maple Leafs stats:

• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Penguins games on the road.
• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Penguins games on the road.

Under 6.5 Probability

According to the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 53.2% chance of winning. After careful examination, our cappers have this probability close to 60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this hockey bet.

The best sportsbooks will allow you to shoot for bigger odds on your Under bet. By moving the line and going for a lower Total, there’s the chance to get more juice.

Thinking about placing a wager? Explore our updated guide filled with top betting offers, free bets, and promotions.

Our Game Prediction

Under 6.5 Goals @ -114 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: John Tavares Over 2.5 Shots -175

John Tavares (Maple Leafs) has finished with Over 2.5 shots on goal in 6 straight games. We recommend backing the -175 that he is able to cover the line, with this Shots on Goal wager hopefully providing a return.

Correct Score Prediction

Penguins 3 - 2 Maple Leafs

A potentially entertaining bet is going for the Penguins to win by a 3-2 scoreline. At odds of +1050, there’s the chance to get a handsome return should this wager win.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Penguins

Maple Leafs

1-0

Penguins

+7000

Maple Leafs

+6600

2-0

Penguins

+6600

Maple Leafs

+5500

2-1

Penguins

+1900

Maple Leafs

+1700

3-0

Penguins

+5000

Maple Leafs

+3000

3-1

Penguins

+2500

Maple Leafs

+1900

3-2

Penguins

+1050

Maple Leafs

+900

4-0

Penguins

+6600

Maple Leafs

+3400

4-1

Penguins

+2500

Maple Leafs

+1300

4-2

Penguins

+2000

Maple Leafs

+1400

4-3

Penguins

+1100

Maple Leafs

+950

5-0

Penguins

+12000

Maple Leafs

+5500

5-1

Penguins

+4000

Maple Leafs

+1900

5-2

Penguins

+2400

Maple Leafs

+1200

5-3

Penguins

+2800

Maple Leafs

+1800

5-4

Penguins

+1900

Maple Leafs

+1600

6-0

Penguins

+14000

Maple Leafs

+7500

6-1

Penguins

+9000

Maple Leafs

+4000

6-2

Penguins

+4500

Maple Leafs

+2200

6-3

Penguins

+3500

Maple Leafs

+2000

6-4

Penguins

+5000

Maple Leafs

+3500

6-5

Penguins

+4500

Maple Leafs

+4000

7-0

Penguins

+4500

Maple Leafs

+11000

7-1

Penguins

+14000

Maple Leafs

+6600

7-2

Penguins

+12000

Maple Leafs

+5000

7-3

Penguins

+7500

Maple Leafs

+3500

7-4

Penguins

+7000

Maple Leafs

+4500

7-5

Penguins

+10000

Maple Leafs

+8000

7-6

Penguins

+10000

Maple Leafs

+9000

8-1

Penguins

+10000

Maple Leafs

+10000

8-2

Penguins

+10000

Maple Leafs

+9000

8-3

Penguins

+10000

Maple Leafs

+9000

8-4

Penguins

+13000

Maple Leafs

+8000

8-5

Penguins

+14000

Maple Leafs

+10000

9-2

Penguins

+14000

Maple Leafs

+14000

9-3

Penguins

+14000

Maple Leafs

+14000

View More

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The Toronto Maple Leafs odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -182 betting favorites to land victory in this game which means a 65% chance of winning. Pittsburgh Penguins are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +150.

The puck line is 1.5 and total goals is 6.5. There are many ways to wager on hockey including Totals. If you fancy Over 6.5, this outcome can be backed at -115.

There are a huge selection of game lines and team props when it comes to betting on this popular league and we recommend visiting the best NHL sportsbooks to find the wager that matches your view on the clash.

Moneyline

Penguins

+150

Maple Leafs

-182

3-Way Moneyline

Penguins

+250

Tie

+340

Maple Leafs

-116

Puck Line

Penguins +1.5

-161

Maple Leafs -1.5

+132

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-105

Over 6.5

-115

Should you be more interested in a specific player, check out the gambling sites’ prop bets where you can pick out goalie and player props that focus on performance rather than the game lines and final score. For example Goaltender Saves and Powerplay Points.

It’s possible to use stats to your advantage when it comes to NHL micro betting, especially if you’re predicting outcomes such as the Next Goal and Next Goalscorer. Check out the live team and player props and see if you can find an angle.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Pittsburgh Penguins Stats

Toronto Maple Leafs Stats

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 3 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 1 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 7.00 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 5.30 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.80 goals and allowed 4.20 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 2.20 pts and allowed 3.10 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.30 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 5.80 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.40 goals and allowed 2.90 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 2.60 goals and allowed 3.20 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.9
• Shots: 32.1
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.5
• Empty Net Goals: 0
• Penalty Minutes: 7.3
• Blocks: 15.2
• Faceoff Wins : 27.9
• Hits: 21.7
• Giveaways: 15.7
• Takeaways: 5.1

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 28.5
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3
• Empty Net Goals: 0
• Penalty Minutes: 6.6
• Blocks: 14.6
• Faceoff Wins : 26.1
• Hits: 18.4
• Giveaways: 15.3
• Takeaways: 5

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.2
• Shots: 26
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 2.5
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 5.6
• Blocks: 10.6
• Faceoff Wins : 31.3
• Hits: 23.5
• Giveaways: 16.4
• Takeaways: 5.5

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 25.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 2.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 6.3
• Blocks: 12.1
• Faceoff Wins : 33.9
• Hits: 24.2
• Giveaways: 16.2
• Takeaways: 5

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

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