Pittsburgh Penguins vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks & Odds | 23 Dec 2025

NHL Betting Preview: Penguins vs Maple Leafs

The Pittsburgh Penguins meet the Toronto Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena, with face-off scheduled for 16:00 on Tuesday, December 23.

The Penguins go up against the Maple Leafs and we’re predicting the teams to fall short of the 6.5 goals total. We are therefore backing the Under selection at -143.

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Pittsburgh Penguins have lost their previous three road games. Their latest appearance was a 4-3 (SO) home triumph at PPG PAINTS Arena against Montreal Canadiens. Sidney Crosby, Rickard Rakell and Noel Acciari each scored one goal.

Toronto Maple Leafs have suffered defeat in their last three games. Most recently, a 5-1 scoreline occurred on the road at American Airlines Center against Dallas Stars. Leafs managed 28 shots and Scott Laughton recorded the only goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Leafs beat the Penguins in their last head-to-head encounter. It was a 7-2 scoreline at PPG PAINTS Arena. The Leafs have three straight victories against the Penguins. They have won 8 of the 10 previous head-to-head meetings.

Starting Goalies

Stuart Skinner (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	11-10-4	3	.886	2
23/24	36-16-5	2.62	.905	2

Joseph Woll (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	5-4-1	2.5	.921	0
23/24	12-11-1	2.93	.907	0

2 wins, 4 losses and 4 overtime losses, averaging 2.7 goals from 32.1 shots on goal, with a 22.0% powerplay efficiency. The Penguins have been giving up 4.0 goals from 28.2 shots, averaging 3.5 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 74.3%.

Erik Karlsson is the top points scorer with 9 points, 2 goals and 7 assists, with Bryan Rust racking up 8 points, 4 goals and 4 assists, over the past 10 games. Goalie Arturs Silovs have a 3.57 goal against average with a .864 save percentage.

The Leafs have 4 wins, 4 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 2.4 goals from 26.0 shots on goal, with a 6.5% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 2.8 goals from 30.1 shots, averaging 2.5 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 92.0%.

The top points scorer is Auston Matthews with 6 points, 4 goals and 2 assists, while Bobby McMann is next best after having 6 points, 3 goals and 3 assists. Goalie Dennis Hildeby have a 2.71 GAA with a .909 SV%, including one shutout.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks

This expert Pittsburgh Penguins vs Toronto Maple Leafs betting breakdown features our match prediction, a correct score pick and a carefully constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.

Game Prediction

The teams could struggle to light the lamp in this NHL encounter and the -143 has plenty of appeal for Unders to happen. The success of this bet depends on six or less goals to be scored.

The handicappers at Sportsgambler.com regularly track NHL injury updates and pair that with current form. We also tap into a deep stats database to highlight the key numbers that help shape our hockey predictions.

Key Penguins vs Maple Leafs stats:

• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Penguins games on the road.
• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 20 Penguins games on the road.
• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Penguins games on the road.
• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Maple Leafs games.
• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Maple Leafs games at home.

Under 6.5 Probability

The best betting sites are estimating that there is a 58.8% likelihood of this pick winning. However, our cappers have this figure between 65-70% based on their in-depth research. This hockey bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

There’s a way of getting more juice from betting Under when it comes to Total Goals. Combining this selection in a Bet Builder means you can choose other options until you’re happy with the odds.

Before placing your next bet, explore our trusted bonus guide featuring top free bets and generous sign-up offers.

Our Game Prediction

Under 6.5 Goals @ -143 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Penguins 2 - 4 Maple Leafs

We’re predicting the Maple Leafs to land a 4-2 victory and this is available at +1400. The correct score betting option provides plenty of fun and entertainment.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Penguins

Maple Leafs

1-0

Penguins

+5500

Maple Leafs

+5000

2-0

Penguins

+5000

Maple Leafs

+4500

2-1

Penguins

+1500

Maple Leafs

+1400

3-0

Penguins

+4000

Maple Leafs

+2900

3-1

Penguins

+2000

Maple Leafs

+1700

3-2

Penguins

+900

Maple Leafs

+800

4-0

Penguins

+5000

Maple Leafs

+3400

4-1

Penguins

+1900

Maple Leafs

+1400

4-2

Penguins

+1800

Maple Leafs

+1400

4-3

Penguins

+1100

Maple Leafs

+1000

5-0

Penguins

+9000

Maple Leafs

+6000

5-1

Penguins

+3300

Maple Leafs

+2000

5-2

Penguins

+2000

Maple Leafs

+1500

5-3

Penguins

+2500

Maple Leafs

+2000

5-4

Penguins

+2200

Maple Leafs

+1900

6-0

Penguins

+14000

Maple Leafs

+9000

6-1

Penguins

+8000

Maple Leafs

+4500

6-2

Penguins

+4000

Maple Leafs

+2500

6-3

Penguins

+3500

Maple Leafs

+2500

6-4

Penguins

+5500

Maple Leafs

+4500

6-5

Penguins

+5000

Maple Leafs

+4500

7-0

Penguins

+5000

Maple Leafs

+13000

7-1

Penguins

+13000

Maple Leafs

+8000

7-2

Penguins

+11000

Maple Leafs

+6600

7-3

Penguins

+7000

Maple Leafs

+5000

7-4

Penguins

+7500

Maple Leafs

+6000

7-5

Penguins

+11000

Maple Leafs

+10000

7-6

Penguins

+12000

Maple Leafs

+11000

8-1

Penguins

+12000

Maple Leafs

+12500

8-2

Penguins

+12000

Maple Leafs

+11000

8-3

Penguins

+12000

Maple Leafs

+12000

8-4

Penguins

+14000

Maple Leafs

+10000

8-5

Penguins

+14000

Maple Leafs

+13000

View More

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Toronto Maple Leafs have the shortest price to win this game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 58% probability due to their -137 Moneyline betting odds. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +114 about Pittsburgh Penguins.

1.5 is the puck line and 6.5 is the total goals line. The Totals offers hockey bettors an alternative way of getting involved. If you want to wager Over 6.5, there are odds of +110.

If you’re wagering on the matchup, be sure to visit the best NHL betting sites and browse the extensive selection of game lines and team props. You’ll find opportunities to place wagers both before the puck drops and during live play.

Moneyline

Penguins

+114

Maple Leafs

-137

3-Way Moneyline

Penguins

+200

Tie

+320

Maple Leafs

+108

Puck Line

Penguins +1.5

-222

Maple Leafs -1.5

+176

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-133

Over 6.5

+110

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Pittsburgh Penguins Stats

Toronto Maple Leafs Stats

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 3 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 1 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 7.00 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 5.30 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.80 goals and allowed 4.20 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 2.20 pts and allowed 3.10 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.30 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 5.80 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.40 goals and allowed 2.90 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 2.60 goals and allowed 3.20 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.9
• Shots: 32.1
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.5
• Empty Net Goals: 0
• Penalty Minutes: 7.3
• Blocks: 15.2
• Faceoff Wins : 27.9
• Hits: 21.7
• Giveaways: 15.7
• Takeaways: 5.1

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 28.5
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3
• Empty Net Goals: 0
• Penalty Minutes: 6.6
• Blocks: 14.6
• Faceoff Wins : 26.1
• Hits: 18.4
• Giveaways: 15.3
• Takeaways: 5

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.2
• Shots: 26
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 2.5
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 5.6
• Blocks: 10.6
• Faceoff Wins : 31.3
• Hits: 23.5
• Giveaways: 16.4
• Takeaways: 5.5

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 25.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 2.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 6.3
• Blocks: 12.1
• Faceoff Wins : 33.9
• Hits: 24.2
• Giveaways: 16.2
• Takeaways: 5

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Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

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