Pittsburgh Penguins vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction, Picks & Odds | 12 Mar 2026

NHL Betting Preview: Penguins vs Golden Knights

The Pittsburgh Penguins square off against the Vegas Golden Knights at T-Mobile Arena, with face-off scheduled for 22:00 on Thursday, March 12.

The Penguins and the Golden Knights don’t look capable of passing the 6.5 goal line. It leads us to make an Unders prediction, with odds of -130 currently on offer.

Pittsburgh Penguins have now lost three straight road games. When they last took to the ice, Carolina Hurricanes won 5-4 (SO) at Lenovo Center. Bryan Rust registered two goals, with Anthony Mantha and Noel Acciari also finding the net.

Vegas Golden Knights have suffered defeat in their last three games. Most recently, a 2-1 scoreline occurred on the road at American Airlines Center against Dallas Stars. Knights managed 27 shots and Jack Eichel recorded the only goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Penguins have won the last two encounters against the Knights. They achieved winning scorelines of 3-2 (OT) and 5-0 at PPG PAINTS Arena. The Penguins have won seven of the past 10 games that these teams have played.

Starting Goalies

Arturs Silovs (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	14-8-8	2.9	.897	2
23/24	3-0-1	2.47	.881	0

Adin Hill (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	6-6-3	3.3	.859	0
23/24	19-12-2	2.71	.909	2

4 wins, 2 losses and 4 overtime losses, averaging 3.4 goals from 31.4 shots on goal, with a 15.9% powerplay efficiency. The Penguins have given up 2.8 goals from 26.9 shots, averaging 4.1 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 87.8%.

Bryan Rust is the top points scorer with 10 points, 5 goals and 5 assists, with Erik Karlsson racking up 10 points, 2 goals and 8 assists, in the last 10 games. Goalie Stuart Skinner have a 3.08 goal against average with a .881 save percentage.

The Knights have 4 wins and 6 losses, averaging 2.8 goals from 26.4 shots on goal, with a 16.7% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 3.1 goals from 24.0 shots, averaging 3.7 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 89.2%.

The top points scorer is Pavel Dorofeyev with 10 points, 6 goals and 4 assists, while Mitchell Marner is next in line after having 9 points, 3 goals and 6 assists. Goalie Adin Hill have a 3.00 GAA with a .866 SV%.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction & Picks

We cover the essential Pittsburgh Penguins vs Vegas Golden Knights betting angles, featuring our main match prediction, correct score guidance and a carefully crafted bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’re not expecting the scoreboard to tick over too much for this NHL clash. Odds of -130 are available for Unders and that means we need six goals or less to be scored.

Recent form is always part of the equation and we combine it with team news as soon as it’s available. To deliver expert hockey picks, our handicappers also analyze the latest NHL stats to ensure we’re working with the best information possible.

Key Penguins vs Golden Knights stats:

• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Golden Knights games.
• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Golden Knights games.
• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Golden Knights games.
• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 5 games between these teams.

Under 6.5 Probability

Based on the odds from the top NHL sportsbooks, there’s a 56.5% likelihood of our pick delivering a return. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 60-65%. This is why we can recommend this hockey bet.

If you’re wanting to bet Under the Total, you can aim for bigger odds. In order to do this, you simply move the line until you’re happy with the potential return that can be landed.

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Our Game Prediction

Under 6.5 Goals @ -130 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 12, 02:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Penguins 4 - 1 Golden Knights

There’s plenty of juice to be found by backing the Penguins to win 4-1. We can’t pass up the odds of +2000 when it comes to correct score betting and it’s a fun wager.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Penguins

Golden Knights

1-0

Penguins

+6000

Knights

+5500

2-0

Penguins

+5500

Knights

+4500

2-1

Penguins

+1700

Knights

+1400

3-0

Penguins

+4000

Knights

+2900

3-1

Penguins

+2200

Knights

+1700

3-2

Penguins

+950

Knights

+850

4-0

Penguins

+5500

Knights

+3300

4-1

Penguins

+2000

Knights

+1300

4-2

Penguins

+1800

Knights

+1400

4-3

Penguins

+1150

Knights

+950

5-0

Penguins

+10000

Knights

+5500

5-1

Penguins

+3500

Knights

+2000

5-2

Penguins

+2200

Knights

+1400

5-3

Penguins

+2800

Knights

+2000

5-4

Penguins

+2200

Knights

+1800

6-0

Penguins

+15000

Knights

+8000

6-1

Penguins

+8000

Knights

+4000

6-2

Penguins

+4500

Knights

+2400

6-3

Penguins

+3500

Knights

+2400

6-4

Penguins

+5500

Knights

+4000

6-5

Penguins

+5000

Knights

+4500

7-0

Penguins

+5000

Knights

+12000

7-1

Penguins

+14000

Knights

+7000

7-2

Penguins

+11000

Knights

+6000

7-3

Penguins

+7500

Knights

+4500

7-4

Penguins

+7500

Knights

+5500

7-5

Penguins

+11000

Knights

+9000

7-6

Penguins

+12000

Knights

+11000

8-1

Penguins

+12000

Knights

+12000

8-2

Penguins

+12000

Knights

+10000

8-3

Penguins

+12000

Knights

+11000

8-4

Penguins

+14000

Knights

+10000

8-5

Penguins

+14000

Knights

+12500

View More

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Vegas Golden Knights Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The Vegas Golden Knights odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -161 betting favorites to land victory in this game which means a 62% chance of winning. Pittsburgh Penguins are the underdogs at +132 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

1.5 is the puck line and 6.5 is the total goals line. A Totals wager is always available and can often provide value selections. If you fancy Over 6.5, this outcome can be backed at +108.

National Hockey League fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the wide range of team props and game lines which are available for every matchup on the coupon. Head to the top betting apps and find the best value wagers.

Moneyline

Penguins

+132

Knights

-161

3-Way Moneyline

Penguins

+215

Tie

+330

Knights

-102

Puck Line

Penguins +1.5

-192

Knights -1.5

+154

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-132

Over 6.5

+108

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Pittsburgh Penguins Stats

Vegas Golden Knights Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 9 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 3 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.50 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.10 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.40 goals and allowed 3.10 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.50 pts and allowed 2.60 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.90 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.70 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.80 goals and allowed 3.10 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.70 goals and allowed 3.00 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 31.4
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.3
• Penalties: 4.1
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 10.2
• Blocks: 12.9
• Faceoff Wins : 23.9
• Hits: 19.5
• Giveaways: 16.9
• Takeaways: 5.3

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.2
• Shots: 29.6
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 3.3
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 6.9
• Blocks: 12.5
• Faceoff Wins : 24.7
• Hits: 19.8
• Giveaways: 16.6
• Takeaways: 4.7

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 26.4
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 3.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 8.9
• Blocks: 13.8
• Faceoff Wins : 29.2
• Hits: 21.7
• Giveaways: 14.7
• Takeaways: 4.2

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 27.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 2.8
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 6.8
• Blocks: 13.7
• Faceoff Wins : 25.8
• Hits: 19.9
• Giveaways: 16.1
• Takeaways: 4.4

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Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

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