Tampa Bay Lightning vs Boston Bruins Prediction, Picks & Odds | 15 Mar 2025

Why We’re Expecting Lightning to Win

It’s time to side with the Lightning to secure a regulation time victory over the Bruins. The road team should have the edge and the -103 for our 3-Way Moneyline prediction looks a great price.

Bruins 4-0 Winners in Most Recent H2H

Tampa Bay Lightning were beaten in their previous three games and the latest was on the road at Wells Fargo Center. Philadelphia Flyers claimed a 4-3 (SO) win. Cam Atkinson, Gage Goncalves and Zemgus Girgensons each scored one goal.

Boston Bruins were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 6-3 reverse against Ottawa Senators at Canadian Tire Centre. David Pastrnak, Casey Mittelstadt and Marat Khusnutdinov scored one goal apiece. Goalie Joonas Korpisalo made a total of 14 saves (.933).

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Bruins have beaten the Lightning in the last two encounters. A 6-2 victory at TD Garden was followed by a 4-0 win at Amalie Arena. Each franchise has landed five wins in the previous 10 games between these teams.

Starting Goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	1-3-2	3	.892	0
23/24	30-20-2	2.9	.900	2

Jeremy Swayman (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	3-3-0	2.9	.910	0
23/24	25-10-7	2.53	.916	3

6 wins, 3 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 3.1 goals from 26.5 shots on goal, with a 17.7% powerplay efficiency. The Lightning have given up 2.3 goals from 29.0 shots, averaging 3.2 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 90.6%.

Brandon Hagel is the top points scorer with 10 points, 4 goals and 6 assists, with Nikita Kucherov racking up 10 points, 3 goals and 7 assists, in the past 10 games. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 2.13 goal against average with a .925 save percentage, including one shutout.

The Bruins have 3 wins, 5 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 2.5 goals from 28.8 shots on goal, with a 14.7% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 3.0 goals from 27.1 shots, averaging 3.3 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 87.9%.

The top points scorer is David Pastrnak with 14 points, 6 goals and 8 assists, while Pavel Zacha is next in line after registering 7 points, 1 goal and 6 assists. Goalie Jeremy Swayman have a 2.99 GAA with a .888 SV%, including one shutout.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Boston Bruins Prediction & Picks

Game Prediction

We are having a wager on Tampa Bay Lightning in this NHL encounter and they could prove too strong. You can back our pick at -103 on the 60-minute line and we think this offers great value.

It's important to understand the players who are unavailable for the upcoming action and the respective form of each franchise. If you want the latest team, player and goalie stats, you have come to the right place and they form the basis of our NHL picks.

Key Lightning vs Bruins stats:

• Lightning have won 6 of their last 10 games.
• Lightning have won 12 of their last 20 games.
• Bruins have lost 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• Bruins have lost 7 of their last 10 games.

Lightning 3-Way Moneyline Probability

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 50.8% chance of landing a return. After careful examination, our cappers calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

If you’re looking for bigger odds, Tampa Bay can be backed at a greater price on the Puck Line. For more juice, also consider the Match Winner & Total Goals and Winning Margin lines.

Best Bet

Lightning 3-Way Moneyline @ -103 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: David Pastrnak Over 3.5 Shots -185

David Pastrnak (Bruins) has totaled Over 3.5 shots on goal in 8 of the past 10 games. We think that the value can be found by wagering on Shots on Goal and you can get -185 that he goes over the line.

Latest David Pastrnak Player Prop Odds

Goals

Anytime

+117

First

+700

Shots on Goal

Over 3.5

-185

Under 3.5

+140

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Lightning 4 - 3 Bruins

An exciting bet could be a 4-3 victory in favor of the Lightning at odds of +1050. A correct score wager provides a fun alternative and a nice potential return on the cards.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Lightning

Bruins

1-0

Lightning

+4000

Bruins

+4500

2-0

Lightning

+4000

Bruins

+4500

2-1

Lightning

+1150

Bruins

+1400

3-0

Lightning

+2200

Bruins

+3500

3-1

Lightning

+1500

Bruins

+2000

3-2

Lightning

+750

Bruins

+950

4-0

Lightning

+2500

Bruins

+5000

4-1

Lightning

+1150

Bruins

+2000

4-2

Lightning

+1400

Bruins

+1900

4-3

Lightning

+1050

Bruins

+1200

5-0

Lightning

+4500

Bruins

+10000

5-1

Lightning

+1800

Bruins

+4000

5-2

Lightning

+1400

Bruins

+2400

5-3

Lightning

+2200

Bruins

+3000

5-4

Lightning

+2200

Bruins

+2500

6-1

Lightning

+4000

Bruins

+9000

6-2

Lightning

+2500

Bruins

+5000

6-3

Lightning

+2800

Bruins

+4500

6-4

Lightning

+5000

Bruins

+6600

6-5

Lightning

+6000

Bruins

+6600

7-2

Lightning

+6600

Bruins

+13000

7-3

Lightning

+5000

Bruins

+9000

7-4

Lightning

+6600

Bruins

+10000

7-5

Lightning

+12000

Bruins

+14000

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Tampa Bay Lightning vs Boston Bruins Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Game Could Go Right to the Wire According to the Books

The Tampa Bay Lightning odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -182 betting favorites to land victory in this game which means a 65% chance of winning. The market suggests that Boston Bruins are least likely to win at +150.

The puck line is 1.5, with the total goals line at 5.5. A Totals wager is always available and can often provide value selections. There’s an opportunity to bet Over 5.5 at -115.

The Lightning are favorites to find the net first at odds of -145. Conversely, if you think the Bruins will score the opener, they are +105 to do so.

If you’re betting on the National Hockey League, we recommend heading to the betting sites and scanning through the many team props and game lines. There’s a chance to wager pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

Lightning

-182

Bruins

+150

3-Way Moneyline

Lightning

-110

Tie

+335

Bruins

+235

Puck Line

Lightning -1.5

+138

Bruins +1.5

-169

Total Goals

Under 5.5

-105

Over 5.5

-115

David Pastrnak Favorite to Score the First Goal

David Pastrnak is the First Goalscorer favorite at +700. Alternatively, there’s the chance to simply back him to light the lamp at anytime at +117.

Player Goals

David Pastrnak (Bruins)

First

+117

Anytime

+700

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

First

+133

Anytime

+750

Brayden Point (Lightning)

First

+133

Anytime

+750

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

First

+165

Anytime

+900

Brandon Hagel (Lightning)

First

+185

Anytime

+1000

Morgan Geekie (Bruins)

First

+225

Anytime

+1150

Elias Lindholm (Bruins)

First

+275

Anytime

+1400

Anthony Cirelli (Lightning)

First

+295

Anytime

+1400

Pavel Zacha (Bruins)

First

+310

Anytime

+1500

Nick Paul (Lightning)

First

+320

Anytime

+1500

Oliver Björkstrand (Lightning)

First

+340

Anytime

+1600

Matthew Poitras (Bruins)

First

+390

Anytime

+1800

Casey Mittelstadt (Bruins)

First

+420

Anytime

+1900

Mitchell Chaffee (Lightning)

First

+450

Anytime

+2000

Yanni Gourde (Lightning)

First

+450

Anytime

+2000

Riley Tufte (Bruins)

First

+450

Anytime

+2000

Vinni Lettieri (Bruins)

First

+480

Anytime

+2200

Gage Goncalves (Lightning)

First

+500

Anytime

+2200

Conor Sheary (Lightning)

First

+500

Anytime

+2200

Player Shots

David Pastrnak (Bruins)

Over 3.5

-185

Under 3.5

+140

Brayden Point (Lightning)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-156

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

Over 2.5

+115

Under 2.5

-149

Brandon Hagel (Lightning)

Over 2.5

+115

Under 2.5

-149

Morgan Geekie (Bruins)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

+135

Elias Lindholm (Bruins)

Over 1.5

-156

Under 1.5

+120

Anthony Cirelli (Lightning)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-100

Pavel Zacha (Bruins)

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

+115

Micro Betting

It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to NHL and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-game, bet on the Next Goalscorer or Next Goal.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Boston Bruins Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 3 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.90 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 5.60 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.10 goals and allowed 3.80 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 2.80 pts and allowed 2.80 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.50 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.70 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.60 goals and allowed 2.90 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.10 goals and allowed 3.60 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 24.3
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 4.4
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 10.8
• Blocks: 13.7
• Faceoff Wins : 27.2
• Hits: 26
• Giveaways: 14.3
• Takeaways: 4.6

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 27.4
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.6
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 8.9
• Blocks: 14.4
• Faceoff Wins : 28
• Hits: 17
• Giveaways: 13.2
• Takeaways: 3.6

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 26.6
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 6.3
• Blocks: 13.9
• Faceoff Wins : 29.9
• Hits: 26.6
• Giveaways: 16.7
• Takeaways: 3.7

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.3
• Shots: 24.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 6.9
• Blocks: 15.8
• Faceoff Wins : 31.8
• Hits: 30.8
• Giveaways: 15.4
• Takeaways: 3.9

Team News

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Stats & Roster

#	Player	GP	MIN	G	A	P	+/-
21	Brayden Point	2	19.9	1	3	4	-4
43	Darren Raddysh	2	17.6	1	2	3	-3
24	Maxwell Crozier	2	16.9	0	2	2	1

59	Jake Guentzel	2	23.55	0	2	2	-2
77	Victor Hedman	2	25.55	0	2	2	0
22	Oliver Bjorkstrand	2	13.45	1	1	2	-1
86	Nikita Kucherov	2	20.75	2	0	2	-5
37	Yanni Gourde	2	16.35	1	0	1	-1
27	Ryan McDonagh	2	19.55	1	0	1	-1
38	Brandon Hagel	2	16.9	0	1	1	-1
93	Gage Goncalves	2	11.15	0	1	1	0
81	Erik Cernak	2	17.8	0	0	0	-2
71	Anthony Cirelli	2	18.35	0	0	0	-1
29	Pontus Holmberg	2	10.9	0	0	0	0
78	Emil Lilleberg	2	18.1	0	0	0	-2
14	Conor Geekie	2	9.8	0	0	0	0
41	Mitchell Chaffee	2	10.95	0	0	0	0
	Curtis Douglas	1	5.2	0	0	0	0
62	Jack Finley	1	9.1	0	0	0	0

#	Goalies	GP	GAA	SV%
31	Jonas Johansson	-	-	-
88	Andrei Vasilevskiy	2	4.67	0.855

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Boston Bruins Player Stats & Roster

#	Player	GP	MIN	G	A	P	+/-
28	Elias Lindholm	3	17.83	2	2	4	3
88	David Pastrnak	3	19.47	1	3	4	2
18	Pavel Zacha	3	18.6	1	2	3	1

47	Mark Kastelic	3	11.4	1	1	2	1
39	Morgan Geekie	3	18.33	1	1	2	3
73	Charlie McAvoy	3	24.8	0	1	1	1
93	Fraser Minten	3	14.37	1	0	1	-1
81	Michael Eyssimont	3	11.63	0	1	1	-1
52	Andrew Peeke	3	20.47	0	1	1	-1
11	Casey Mittelstadt	3	14.4	1	0	1	1
44	Henri Jokiharju	3	16.9	0	1	1	0
84	Tanner Jeannot	3	14.03	1	0	1	-1
52	Sean Kuraly	3	13.47	1	0	1	1
91	Nikita Zadorov	3	22.9	0	1	1	4
43	Jordan Harris	1	16.4	0	1	1	1
71	Viktor Arvidsson	3	13.5	0	0	0	1
92	Marat Khusnutdinov	3	10.53	0	0	0	-2
6	Mason Lohrei	3	18.03	0	0	0	1
27	Hampus Lindholm	2	12.25	0	0	0	-1

#	Goalies	GP	GAA	SV%
1	Jeremy Swayman	2	1	0.966
70	Joonas Korpisalo	1	2.9	0.875

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Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups