Tampa Bay Lightning vs Boston Bruins Prediction, Picks & Odds | 13 Oct 2025

NHL Betting Preview: Lightning vs Bruins

The Tampa Bay Lightning lock horns with the Boston Bruins in this NHL matchup at TD Garden, with face-off scheduled for 13:00 on Monday, October 13. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and the starting lineups.

We’re Expecting a Low-Scoring Encounter

There are betting odds of -139 when it comes to the Lightning and the Bruins going under the 6.5 goals line. This looks too good an opportunity to pass up.

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6-2 Win for Lightning in Last H2H Clash

Tampa Bay Lightning suffered a second consecutive defeat when losing 5-3 in their previous game. This was at home to New Jersey Devils at Benchmark International Arena. Ryan McDonagh, Darren Raddysh and Yanni Gourde scored one goal each.

Boston Bruins last game was a 3-1 home win. This victory over Buffalo Sabres at TD Garden was their third successive victory. Pavel Zacha, Mark Kastelic and Sean Kuraly scored one goal each. Goalie Jeremy Swayman had a great game and ended up with 21 saves (.955).

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Lightning won the last encounter between the pair. Enjoying a 6-2 triumph when facing the Bruins at TD Garden. The past 10 clashes between these teams have seen six Lightning wins.

Starting Goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	0-2-0	4.7	.855	0
23/24	30-20-2	2.9	.900	2

Jeremy Swayman (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	2-0-0	1	.966	0
23/24	25-10-7	2.53	.916	3

3 wins and 7 losses, averaging 3.1 goals from 24.3 shots on goal, with a 12.8% powerplay efficiency. The Lightning have given up 3.8 goals from 26.2 shots, averaging 4.4 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 86.4%.

Jake Guentzel is the top points scorer with 11 points, 6 goals and 5 assists, with Nikita Kucherov racking up 11 points, 5 goals and 6 assists, in the past 10 games. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 3.33 goal against average with a .877 save percentage.

The Bruins have 6 wins, 3 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 3.6 goals from 26.6 shots on goal, with a 12.5% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 2.9 goals from 28.3 shots, averaging 3.0 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 90.0%.

The top points scorer is David Pastrnak with 22 points, 7 goals and 15 assists, while Morgan Geekie is next in line after having 15 points, 7 goals and 8 assists. Goalie Jeremy Swayman have a 2.44 GAA with a .913 SV%.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Boston Bruins Prediction & Picks

Take on Tampa Bay Lightning vs Boston Bruins with our in-depth betting analysis, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice and a value-driven bet builder. Scroll down for the full breakdown.

Game Prediction

The -139 available that this NHL clash goes under the 6.5 goal line certainly looks appealing. Our pick is that the teams’ combined goals will fall short of the mark.

Our expert hockey predictions always start with checking the latest team news and understanding how it might impact the matchup. From there, we dive into the most valuable NHL stats to uncover the insights that matter most.

Key Lightning vs Bruins stats:

• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 8 Lightning games on the road.
• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 Lightning games on the road.
• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 14 of the last 20 Lightning games on the road.
• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Bruins games.

Under 6.5 Probability

The best betting apps imply that our pick has a 58.1% prospect of winning. After careful examination, our cappers calculate this probability to be somewhere between 65-70%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this hockey wager.

Move the line if you want to get more juice when it comes to betting Under. There are several options which can offer bigger odds and it all depends on how risky you want your wager to be.

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Best Bet

Under 6.5 Goals @ -139 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Lightning 4 - 1 Bruins

We’re betting on the Lightning to secure a 4-1 winning scoreline. Odds of +1300 can be taken and it’s great fun to predict a correct score and hopefully land a winner.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Lightning

Bruins

1-0

Lightning

+5000

Bruins

+5500

2-0

Lightning

+4500

Bruins

+5000

2-1

Lightning

+1300

Bruins

+1500

3-0

Lightning

+2800

Bruins

+4000

3-1

Lightning

+1700

Bruins

+2200

3-2

Lightning

+800

Bruins

+950

4-0

Lightning

+3300

Bruins

+5500

4-1

Lightning

+1300

Bruins

+2000

4-2

Lightning

+1400

Bruins

+1800

4-3

Lightning

+950

Bruins

+1150

5-0

Lightning

+5500

Bruins

+10000

5-1

Lightning

+2000

Bruins

+3500

5-2

Lightning

+1400

Bruins

+2200

5-3

Lightning

+2000

Bruins

+2800

5-4

Lightning

+1900

Bruins

+2200

6-0

Lightning

+8000

Bruins

+14000

6-1

Lightning

+4500

Bruins

+8000

6-2

Lightning

+2500

Bruins

+4500

6-3

Lightning

+2500

Bruins

+3500

6-4

Lightning

+4500

Bruins

+5500

6-5

Lightning

+4500

Bruins

+5000

7-1

Lightning

+7500

Bruins

+14000

7-2

Lightning

+6000

Bruins

+11000

7-3

Lightning

+5000

Bruins

+7500

7-4

Lightning

+6000

Bruins

+8000

7-5

Lightning

+10000

Bruins

+12000

7-6

Lightning

+11000

Bruins

+12000

8-4

Lightning

+10000

Bruins

+14000

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Tampa Bay Lightning vs Boston Bruins Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Tight Clash on the Cards According to the Books

Tampa Bay Lightning are -164 favorites and that means a 62% chance of winning this game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. At +136, Boston Bruins are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

There is a puck line of 1.5 and total goals has a line of 6.5. Hockey bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on Totals. If you’re going for Over 6.5, then the odds are +114.

There are hundreds of game lines and team props when it comes to wagering on the National Hockey League and we recommend visiting the top betting sites to find the wager that matches your view on the game.

Moneyline

Lightning

-164

Bruins

+136

3-Way Moneyline

Lightning

+102

Tie

+320

Bruins

+210

Puck Line

Lightning -1.5

+148

Bruins +1.5

-185

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-141

Over 6.5

+114

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Boston Bruins Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 3 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.90 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 5.60 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.10 goals and allowed 3.80 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 2.80 pts and allowed 2.80 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.50 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.70 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.60 goals and allowed 2.90 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.10 goals and allowed 3.60 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 24.3
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 4.4
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 10.8
• Blocks: 13.7
• Faceoff Wins : 27.2
• Hits: 26
• Giveaways: 14.3
• Takeaways: 4.6

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 27.4
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.6
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 8.9
• Blocks: 14.4
• Faceoff Wins : 28
• Hits: 17
• Giveaways: 13.2
• Takeaways: 3.6

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 26.6
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 6.3
• Blocks: 13.9
• Faceoff Wins : 29.9
• Hits: 26.6
• Giveaways: 16.7
• Takeaways: 3.7

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.3
• Shots: 24.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 6.9
• Blocks: 15.8
• Faceoff Wins : 31.8
• Hits: 30.8
• Giveaways: 15.4
• Takeaways: 3.9

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Team News

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Stats & Roster

#	Player	GP	MIN	G	A	P	+/-
21	Brayden Point	2	19.9	1	3	4	-4
43	Darren Raddysh	2	17.6	1	2	3	-3
24	Maxwell Crozier	2	16.9	0	2	2	1

59	Jake Guentzel	2	23.55	0	2	2	-2
77	Victor Hedman	2	25.55	0	2	2	0
22	Oliver Bjorkstrand	2	13.45	1	1	2	-1
86	Nikita Kucherov	2	20.75	2	0	2	-5
37	Yanni Gourde	2	16.35	1	0	1	-1
27	Ryan McDonagh	2	19.55	1	0	1	-1
38	Brandon Hagel	2	16.9	0	1	1	-1
93	Gage Goncalves	2	11.15	0	1	1	0
81	Erik Cernak	2	17.8	0	0	0	-2
71	Anthony Cirelli	2	18.35	0	0	0	-1
29	Pontus Holmberg	2	10.9	0	0	0	0
78	Emil Lilleberg	2	18.1	0	0	0	-2
14	Conor Geekie	2	9.8	0	0	0	0
41	Mitchell Chaffee	2	10.95	0	0	0	0
	Curtis Douglas	1	5.2	0	0	0	0
62	Jack Finley	1	9.1	0	0	0	0

#	Goalies	GP	GAA	SV%
31	Jonas Johansson	-	-	-
88	Andrei Vasilevskiy	2	4.67	0.855

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Boston Bruins Player Stats & Roster

#	Player	GP	MIN	G	A	P	+/-
28	Elias Lindholm	3	17.83	2	2	4	3
88	David Pastrnak	3	19.47	1	3	4	2
18	Pavel Zacha	3	18.6	1	2	3	1

47	Mark Kastelic	3	11.4	1	1	2	1
39	Morgan Geekie	3	18.33	1	1	2	3
73	Charlie McAvoy	3	24.8	0	1	1	1
93	Fraser Minten	3	14.37	1	0	1	-1
81	Michael Eyssimont	3	11.63	0	1	1	-1
52	Andrew Peeke	3	20.47	0	1	1	-1
11	Casey Mittelstadt	3	14.4	1	0	1	1
44	Henri Jokiharju	3	16.9	0	1	1	0
84	Tanner Jeannot	3	14.03	1	0	1	-1
52	Sean Kuraly	3	13.47	1	0	1	1
91	Nikita Zadorov	3	22.9	0	1	1	4
43	Jordan Harris	1	16.4	0	1	1	1
71	Viktor Arvidsson	3	13.5	0	0	0	1
92	Marat Khusnutdinov	3	10.53	0	0	0	-2
6	Mason Lohrei	3	18.03	0	0	0	1
27	Hampus Lindholm	2	12.25	0	0	0	-1

#	Goalies	GP	GAA	SV%
1	Jeremy Swayman	2	1	0.966
70	Joonas Korpisalo	1	2.9	0.875

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Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.