Tampa Bay Lightning vs Boston Bruins Prediction, Picks & Odds | 13 Oct 2025

NHL Betting Preview: Lightning vs Bruins

The Tampa Bay Lightning lock horns with the Boston Bruins in this NHL matchup at TD Garden, with face-off scheduled for 13:00 on Monday, October 13. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and the starting lineups.

There are betting odds of -139 when it comes to the Lightning and the Bruins going under the 6.5 goals line. This looks too good an opportunity to pass up.

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Tampa Bay Lightning suffered a second consecutive defeat when losing 5-3 in their previous game. This was at home to New Jersey Devils at Benchmark International Arena. Ryan McDonagh, Darren Raddysh and Yanni Gourde scored one goal each.

Boston Bruins last game was a 3-1 home win. This victory over Buffalo Sabres at TD Garden was their third successive victory. Pavel Zacha, Mark Kastelic and Sean Kuraly scored one goal each. Goalie Jeremy Swayman had a great game and ended up with 21 saves (.955).

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Lightning won the last encounter between the pair. Enjoying a 6-2 triumph when facing the Bruins at TD Garden. The past 10 clashes between these teams have seen six Lightning wins.

Starting Goalies

Jonas Johansson (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	7-6-1	2.8	.897	0
23/24	12-7-5	3.37	.890	2

Joonas Korpisalo (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	6-6-0	3.4	.888	0
23/24	21-26-4	3.27	.890	0

3 wins and 7 losses, averaging 3.1 goals from 24.3 shots on goal, with a 12.8% powerplay efficiency. The Lightning have given up 3.8 goals from 26.2 shots, averaging 4.4 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 86.4%.

Jake Guentzel is the top points scorer with 11 points, 6 goals and 5 assists, with Nikita Kucherov racking up 11 points, 5 goals and 6 assists, in the past 10 games. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 3.33 goal against average with a .877 save percentage.

The Bruins have 6 wins, 3 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 3.6 goals from 26.6 shots on goal, with a 12.5% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 2.9 goals from 28.3 shots, averaging 3.0 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 90.0%.

The top points scorer is David Pastrnak with 22 points, 7 goals and 15 assists, while Morgan Geekie is next in line after having 15 points, 7 goals and 8 assists. Goalie Jeremy Swayman have a 2.44 GAA with a .913 SV%.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Boston Bruins Prediction & Picks

Explore our best Tampa Bay Lightning vs Boston Bruins picks, including our main match prediction, correct score forecast, player performance props and a bet builder ready to use.

Game Prediction

The -139 available that this NHL clash goes under the 6.5 goal line certainly looks appealing. Our pick is that the teams’ combined goals will fall short of the mark.

Our expert hockey predictions always start with checking the latest team news and understanding how it might impact the matchup. From there, we dive into the most valuable NHL stats to uncover the insights that matter most.

Key Lightning vs Bruins stats:

• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 8 Lightning games on the road.
• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 Lightning games on the road.
• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 14 of the last 20 Lightning games on the road.
• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Bruins games.

Under 6.5 Probability

The best betting apps imply that our pick has a 58.1% prospect of winning. After careful examination, our cappers calculate this probability to be somewhere between 65-70%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this hockey wager.

Move the line if you want to get more juice when it comes to betting Under. There are several options which can offer bigger odds and it all depends on how risky you want your wager to be.

Before you place your next wager, browse our guide for top betting offers including the latest free bets and welcome bonuses.

Our Game Prediction

Under 6.5 Goals @ -139 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: David Pastrnak Over 0.5 Assists -118

David Pastrnak (Bruins) has had at least one assist in 9 of the past 10 games. Using this stat, we can therefore back him at -118 when it comes to a Player Assists bet which looks like a value pick.

Correct Score Prediction

Lightning 4 - 1 Bruins

We’re betting on the Lightning to secure a 4-1 winning scoreline. Odds of +1400 can be taken and it’s great fun to predict a correct score and hopefully land a winner.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Lightning

Bruins

1-0

Lightning

+5000

Bruins

+5500

2-0

Lightning

+4500

Bruins

+5000

2-1

Lightning

+1400

Bruins

+1500

3-0

Lightning

+2900

Bruins

+3500

3-1

Lightning

+1700

Bruins

+2000

3-2

Lightning

+800

Bruins

+900

4-0

Lightning

+3500

Bruins

+5000

4-1

Lightning

+1400

Bruins

+1800

4-2

Lightning

+1400

Bruins

+1700

4-3

Lightning

+1000

Bruins

+1100

5-0

Lightning

+6000

Bruins

+9000

5-1

Lightning

+2200

Bruins

+3000

5-2

Lightning

+1500

Bruins

+2000

5-3

Lightning

+2200

Bruins

+2500

5-4

Lightning

+1900

Bruins

+2200

6-0

Lightning

+9000

Bruins

+13000

6-1

Lightning

+5000

Bruins

+7500

6-2

Lightning

+2800

Bruins

+4000

6-3

Lightning

+2800

Bruins

+3500

6-4

Lightning

+4500

Bruins

+5000

6-5

Lightning

+5000

Bruins

+5000

7-1

Lightning

+8000

Bruins

+12500

7-2

Lightning

+6600

Bruins

+10000

7-3

Lightning

+5000

Bruins

+7000

7-4

Lightning

+6000

Bruins

+7500

7-5

Lightning

+10000

Bruins

+11000

7-6

Lightning

+11000

Bruins

+12000

8-4

Lightning

+11000

Bruins

+13000

View More

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Boston Bruins Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Tampa Bay Lightning are -175 favorites and that means a 64% chance of winning this game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. At +146, Boston Bruins are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

There is a puck line of 1.5 and total goals has a line of 5.5. Hockey bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on Totals. If you’re going for Over 5.5, then the odds are -139.

There are hundreds of game lines and team props when it comes to wagering on the National Hockey League and we recommend visiting the top betting sites to find the wager that matches your view on the game.

Moneyline

Lightning

-175

Bruins

+146

3-Way Moneyline

Lightning

+114

Tie

+330

Bruins

+185

Puck Line

Lightning -1.5

+140

Bruins +1.5

-172

Total Goals

Under 5.5

+112

Over 5.5

-139

As an alternative to the game lines and team props, check out the goalie and player props that are available. These can be a great alternative if you want to focus on a player’s performance. The best gambling sites will provide lots of options.

There are always opportunities to enjoy NHL micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find team and player props in-game and bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as the Next Goal or Next Goalscorer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Boston Bruins Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 3 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.90 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 5.60 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.10 goals and allowed 3.80 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 2.80 pts and allowed 2.80 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.50 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.70 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.60 goals and allowed 2.90 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.10 goals and allowed 3.60 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 24.3
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 4.4
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 10.8
• Blocks: 13.7
• Faceoff Wins : 27.2
• Hits: 26
• Giveaways: 14.3
• Takeaways: 4.6

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 27.4
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.6
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 8.9
• Blocks: 14.4
• Faceoff Wins : 28
• Hits: 17
• Giveaways: 13.2
• Takeaways: 3.6

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 26.6
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 6.3
• Blocks: 13.9
• Faceoff Wins : 29.9
• Hits: 26.6
• Giveaways: 16.7
• Takeaways: 3.7

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.3
• Shots: 24.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 6.9
• Blocks: 15.8
• Faceoff Wins : 31.8
• Hits: 30.8
• Giveaways: 15.4
• Takeaways: 3.9

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

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