Tampa Bay Lightning vs Calgary Flames Prediction, Picks & Odds | 22 Mar 2026

NHL Betting Preview: Lightning vs Flames

The Tampa Bay Lightning square off against the Calgary Flames at Scotiabank Saddledome, with face-off scheduled for 20:00 on Sunday, March 22.

For a value bet, head to the 3-Way Moneyline where you can back the Lightning to get the better of the Flames in 60 minutes. Our prediction is currently on offer at a juicy -118.

Tampa Bay Lightning have triumphed in their previous three games. The latest was on the road where Edmonton Oilers were beaten 5-2 at Rogers Place. Nikita Kucherov racked up 4 points, including 2 goals and 2 assists. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy had an awesome game, keeping out 26 shots (.963).

Calgary Flames have enjoyed three consecutive home wins at Scotiabank Saddledome. Last time out, Florida Panthers were beaten 4-1. There were four different goalscorers including Joel Farabee. Goalie Dustin Wolf produced a great performance and had 24 saves (.960).

Head-to-Head Statistics

These two teams last met at Benchmark International Arena, with the Lightning claiming the win. Beating the Flames by a 5-1 scoreline. The Lightning have triumphed in their previous three meetings against the Flames. On the head-to-head front, it has been 6 wins out of 10.

Starting Goalies

Jonas Johansson (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	10-9-1	3.3	.884	0
23/24	12-7-5	3.37	.890	2

Dustin Wolf (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	20-25-3	3	.897	2
23/24	7-7-1	3.16	.893	0

5 wins and 5 losses, averaging 3.9 goals from 26.3 shots on goal, with a 13.6% powerplay efficiency. The Lightning have been giving up 3.5 goals from 28.1 shots, averaging 5.2 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 86.5%.

Nikita Kucherov is the top points scorer with 23 points, 9 goals and 14 assists, with Anthony Cirelli recording 13 points, 4 goals and 9 assists, over the past 10 games. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 2.47 goal against average with a .906 save percentage.

The Flames have 4 wins and 6 losses, averaging 2.4 goals from 26.8 shots on goal, with a 8.8% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 3.9 goals from 29.4 shots, averaging 3.7 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 78.4%.

The top points scorer is Blake Coleman with 7 points, 3 goals and 4 assists, while Morgan Frost is next in line after having 6 points, 4 goals and 2 assists. Goalie Dustin Wolf have a 3.48 GAA with a .879 SV%.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Calgary Flames Prediction & Picks

Explore our best Tampa Bay Lightning vs Calgary Flames picks, including a main match prediction, correct score forecast and a bet builder ready to use. Scroll down for full analysis.

Game Prediction

There is merit in simply backing Tampa Bay Lightning to beat their opponents in regulation time when it comes to this NHL clash. Especially as odds of -118 are available for this value pick.

Tracking injury updates is a big part of our NHL analysis and team news plays a major role in shaping our hockey predictions. We combine this with recent form and the most important stats to get a complete picture.

Key Lightning vs Flames stats:

• Lightning have won 4 of their last 5 games.
• Lightning have won 13 of their last 20 games on the road.
• Lightning have won 3 consecutive games.
• Flames have lost 13 of their last 20 games.
• Flames have lost 6 of their last 10 games.
• Flames have lost their last 3 games against Lightning.

Lightning 3-Way Moneyline Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 54.1% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

We’d recommend taking a look at betting selections for Match Winner & Total Goals, Puck Line and Winning Margin if you’re interested in siding with Tampa Bay but want bigger odds.

Check out our latest betting offers guide — packed with top free bet deals and exclusive welcome bonuses.

Our Game Prediction

Lightning 3-Way Moneyline @ -118 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 22, 03:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Lightning 6 - 2 Flames

We’ve picked out a correct score of 6-2 being landed by the Lightning. You can secure odds of +2200 and this provides an alternative way to place a wager.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Lightning

Flames

1-0

Lightning

+5000

Flames

+6000

2-0

Lightning

+4500

Flames

+6000

2-1

Lightning

+1400

Flames

+1700

3-0

Lightning

+2800

Flames

+4500

3-1

Lightning

+1600

Flames

+2400

3-2

Lightning

+800

Flames

+1000

4-0

Lightning

+3000

Flames

+6600

4-1

Lightning

+1200

Flames

+2400

4-2

Lightning

+1300

Flames

+2000

4-3

Lightning

+950

Flames

+1200

5-0

Lightning

+5000

Flames

+11000

5-1

Lightning

+1800

Flames

+4000

5-2

Lightning

+1300

Flames

+2400

5-3

Lightning

+1900

Flames

+2900

5-4

Lightning

+1800

Flames

+2200

6-1

Lightning

+4000

Flames

+10000

6-2

Lightning

+2200

Flames

+5000

6-3

Lightning

+2400

Flames

+4000

6-4

Lightning

+4000

Flames

+5500

6-5

Lightning

+4500

Flames

+5000

7-2

Lightning

+5500

Flames

+12500

7-3

Lightning

+4000

Flames

+8000

7-4

Lightning

+5500

Flames

+8000

7-5

Lightning

+9000

Flames

+12000

7-6

Lightning

+11000

Flames

+12000

View More

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Calgary Flames Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Sportsbooks’ favorites Tampa Bay Lightning are regarded as likeliest victors for this game and the -185 about them triumphing means a 65% chance based on their current Moneyline betting odds. Calgary Flames are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +152.

The puck line is 1.5 and the total goals line is currently 6.5. A wager on Totals allows bettors to use the latest data to good effect. If you want to wager Over 6.5, there are odds of -102.

If you're looking to place a National Hockey League wager, head to the top betting apps and explore the wide range of team props and game lines. Take your time to find the lines and odds that offer the best value.

Moneyline

Lightning

-185

Flames

+152

3-Way Moneyline

Lightning

-118

Tie

+330

Flames

+255

Puck Line

Lightning -1.5

+134

Flames +1.5

-164

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-120

Over 6.5

-102

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Calgary Flames Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 7.40 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 8.10 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.90 goals and allowed 3.50 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 4.20 pts and allowed 3.90 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.40 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 5.80 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.50 goals and allowed 3.90 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 2.60 goals and allowed 3.20 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 26.3
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 5.2
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 15.3
• Blocks: 14.4
• Faceoff Wins : 25.8
• Hits: 23.5
• Giveaways: 14.1
• Takeaways: 3.5

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 28.6
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 5
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 14.6
• Blocks: 14.4
• Faceoff Wins : 27.9
• Hits: 21.3
• Giveaways: 15.5
• Takeaways: 4.2

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.3
• Shots: 26.8
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.3
• Penalties: 3.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0
• Penalty Minutes: 7.9
• Blocks: 13.2
• Faceoff Wins : 25.3
• Hits: 18.8
• Giveaways: 17.2
• Takeaways: 5

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.8
• Shots: 29.1
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 4
• Empty Net Goals: 0
• Penalty Minutes: 9.1
• Blocks: 14.9
• Faceoff Wins : 26.7
• Hits: 20.7
• Giveaways: 16.8
• Takeaways: 4.6

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

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