Tampa Bay Lightning vs Carolina Hurricanes Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Mar 2025

Back Lightning to Have the Edge Over Canes

If you’re looking for a value wager, then +108 that the Lightning beat the Hurricanes certainly stands out. We’re expecting the visitors to triumph on the Moneyline and there are nice odds available.

Lightning Won 3-2 in Teams’ Last Meeting

Tampa Bay Lightning lost when they last took to the ice. At Amalie Arena, they were turned over 4-0 at home to Boston Bruins. The shots on goal battle ended up 25-25.

Carolina Hurricanes have enjoyed four straight wins, most recently beating Winnipeg Jets 4-2. It was a home success at Lenovo Center. Mark Jankowski scored two goals, with Logan Stankoven and Seth Jarvis also scoring.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Lightning won the last encounter between the pair. Enjoying a 3-2 triumph when facing the Canes at Amalie Arena. The Lightning have racked up three straight victories over the Canes. On the head-to-head front, they have won 6 of the past 10.

Starting Goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	0-2-2	3.5	.886	0
23/24	30-20-2	2.9	.900	2

Pyotr Kochetkov (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	27-16-3	2.6	.897	2
23/24	23-13-4	2.33	.911	4

8 wins and 2 losses, averaging 3.8 goals from 26.0 shots on goal, with a 18.8% powerplay efficiency. The Lightning have given up 2.2 goals from 30.2 shots, averaging 2.9 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 82.8%.

Brandon Hagel is the top points scorer with 14 points, 6 goals and 8 assists, with Nikita Kucherov recording 13 points, 3 goals and 10 assists, in the last 10 games. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 2.12 goal against average with a .929 save percentage, including one shutout.

The Canes have 6 wins and 4 losses, averaging 2.8 goals from 31.7 shots on goal, with a 11.4% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 2.6 goals from 24.7 shots, averaging 3.6 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 80.6%.

The top points scorer is Sebastian Antero Aho with 10 points, 7 goals and 3 assists, while Seth Jarvis is next in line after having 8 points, 5 goals and 3 assists. Goalie Pyotr Kochetkov have a 2.20 GAA with a .912 SV%.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Carolina Hurricanes Prediction & Picks

Game Prediction

The home team look opposable on the Moneyline, so we’re going to make Tampa Bay Lightning our pick for this NHL encounter. You can currently get +108 for this selection which looks great value.

We’re always monitoring the team news. Combined with the latest form, this helps us secure the best value. Our expert NHL handicappers also take a data-led approach, with the key numbers proving useful.

Key Lightning vs Hurricanes stats:

• Lightning have won 8 of their last 10 games.
• Lightning have won 13 of their last 20 games.
• Hurricanes have lost their last 3 games against Lightning.

Lightning Moneyline Probability

The sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 48.1% likelihood of this pick winning. In the opinion of our cappers, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

There’s a way to increase the odds on your Moneyline wager by combining it with other picks. A Bet Builder allows you to make a number of other same-game selections.

Best Bet

Lightning Moneyline @ +108 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Nikita Kucherov Over 2.5 Shots -143

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning) has recorded Over 2.5 shots on goal in 6 of the past 9 games. Out of all the prop bets available, we’re going to take the -143 when it comes to this Shots on Goal wager.

Latest Nikita Kucherov Player Prop Odds

Goals

Anytime

+170

First

+950

Shots on Goal

Over 2.5

-130

Under 2.5

-100

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Lightning 3 - 2 Hurricanes

We’ve picked out a correct score of 3-2 being landed by the Lightning. You can secure odds of +850 and this provides an alternative way to place a wager.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Lightning

Hurricanes

1-0

Lightning

+4500

Hurricanes

+4500

2-0

Lightning

+4500

Hurricanes

+4000

2-1

Lightning

+1300

Hurricanes

+1300

3-0

Lightning

+3300

Hurricanes

+2500

3-1

Lightning

+1800

Hurricanes

+1600

3-2

Lightning

+850

Hurricanes

+800

4-0

Lightning

+4500

Hurricanes

+3300

4-1

Lightning

+1800

Hurricanes

+1300

4-2

Lightning

+1700

Hurricanes

+1400

4-3

Lightning

+1150

Hurricanes

+1050

5-0

Lightning

+9000

Hurricanes

+6000

5-1

Lightning

+3300

Hurricanes

+2200

5-2

Lightning

+2200

Hurricanes

+1500

5-3

Lightning

+2800

Hurricanes

+2200

5-4

Lightning

+2400

Hurricanes

+2200

6-0

Lightning

+13000

Hurricanes

+9000

6-1

Lightning

+8000

Hurricanes

+5000

6-2

Lightning

+4500

Hurricanes

+2900

6-3

Lightning

+4000

Hurricanes

+2900

6-4

Lightning

+6000

Hurricanes

+5000

6-5

Lightning

+6000

Hurricanes

+5500

7-0

Lightning

+6000

Hurricanes

+14000

7-1

Lightning

+13000

Hurricanes

+9000

7-2

Lightning

+11000

Hurricanes

+7500

7-3

Lightning

+8000

Hurricanes

+5500

7-4

Lightning

+9000

Hurricanes

+7000

7-5

Lightning

+13000

Hurricanes

+11000

7-6

Lightning

+14000

Hurricanes

+13000

8-1

Lightning

+14000

Hurricanes

+14000

8-2

Lightning

+14000

Hurricanes

+12500

8-3

Lightning

+14000

Hurricanes

+13000

8-4

Lightning

+14000

Hurricanes

+12000

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Tampa Bay Lightning vs Carolina Hurricanes Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Make Canes Moneyline Favorites

Carolina Hurricanes are -120 favorites and that means a 55% chance of winning this game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. Tampa Bay Lightning are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at -100.

1.5 is where the puck line lies, with total goals being 5.5 right now. A wager on Totals allows bettors to use the latest NHL data to good effect. There’s an opportunity to bet Over 5.5 at -112.

The Canes have been made favorites to light the lamp first, with odds of -125 available. There’s the alternative of backing the Lightning to open the scoring at -115.

National Hockey League bettors are spoilt for choice thanks to the hundreds of game lines and team props which are available for every clash on the coupon. Head to the betting sites and find the best value picks.

Moneyline

Lightning

-100

Hurricanes

-120

3-Way Moneyline

Lightning

+185

Tie

+325

Hurricanes

+114

Puck Line

Lightning +1.5

-263

Hurricanes -1.5

+210

Total Goals

Under 5.5

-108

Over 5.5

-112

Sebastian Favorite to Be First Goalscorer

Sebastian is the market leader at +900 to be the First Goalscorer. Should you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.

Player Goals

Sebastian (Hurricanes)

First

+160

Anytime

+900

Brayden Point (Lightning)

First

+170

Anytime

+950

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

First

+170

Anytime

+950

Seth Jarvis (Hurricanes)

First

+195

Anytime

+1050

Andrei Svechnikov (Hurricanes)

First

+195

Anytime

+1050

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

First

+210

Anytime

+1100

Brandon Hagel (Lightning)

First

+230

Anytime

+1200

Logan Stankoven (Hurricanes)

First

+230

Anytime

+1200

Jackson Blake (Hurricanes)

First

+240

Anytime

+1200

Taylor Hall (Hurricanes)

First

+310

Anytime

+1500

Oliver Björkstrand (Lightning)

First

+340

Anytime

+1600

Anthony Cirelli (Lightning)

First

+360

Anytime

+1700

Jordan Staal (Hurricanes)

First

+390

Anytime

+1800

Jack Roslovic (Hurricanes)

First

+390

Anytime

+1800

Nick Paul (Lightning)

First

+390

Anytime

+1800

Jesperi Kotkaniemi (Hurricanes)

First

+390

Anytime

+1800

Jordan Martinook (Hurricanes)

First

+475

Anytime

+2200

Brent Burns (Hurricanes)

First

+525

Anytime

+2200

William Carrier (Hurricanes)

First

+525

Anytime

+2200

Shayne Gostisbehere (Hurricanes)

First

+525

Anytime

+2200

Eric Robinson (Hurricanes)

First

+525

Anytime

+2200

Player Shots

Brayden Point (Lightning)

Over 2.5

+150

Under 2.5

-200

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

Over 2.5

-130

Under 2.5

-100

Seth Jarvis (Hurricanes)

Over 2.5

-100

Under 2.5

-132

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

Over 2.5

+135

Under 2.5

-175

Brandon Hagel (Lightning)

Over 2.5

+150

Under 2.5

-200

Logan Stankoven (Hurricanes)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-156

Brent Burns (Hurricanes)

Over 2.5

+145

Under 2.5

-192

Shayne Gostisbehere (Hurricanes)

Over 1.5

-135

Under 1.5

+104

Micro Betting

Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with NHL fans essentially being able to bet in-game when it comes to team and player props. Sometimes these are lines where you can wager on Shots or Goals.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Carolina Hurricanes Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 9 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 3 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.00 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.10 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.80 goals and allowed 2.20 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.10 pts and allowed 3.00 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.40 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.20 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.80 goals and allowed 2.60 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.70 goals and allowed 2.50 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 26
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 2.9
• Empty Net Goals: 0.6
• Penalty Minutes: 6.9
• Blocks: 13.8
• Faceoff Wins : 29.8
• Hits: 19.5
• Giveaways: 14.3
• Takeaways: 3.8

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 28.4
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.2
• Empty Net Goals: 0.5
• Penalty Minutes: 7
• Blocks: 12.1
• Faceoff Wins : 28.4
• Hits: 21.1
• Giveaways: 14.1
• Takeaways: 3.7

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 31.7
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 3.6
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 7.8
• Blocks: 18.1
• Faceoff Wins : 29.5
• Hits: 16
• Giveaways: 15.8
• Takeaways: 4.8

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 32
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.3
• Penalties: 3.2
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 7.3
• Blocks: 16.5
• Faceoff Wins : 31.3
• Hits: 14.9
• Giveaways: 16.5
• Takeaways: 5

Team News

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Stats & Roster

#	Player	GP	MIN	G	A	P	+/-
86	Nikita Kucherov	60	21.57	28	64	92	15
38	Brandon Hagel	63	21.12	30	40	70	27
21	Brayden Point	58	19.59	32	33	65	9

59	Jake Guentzel	62	19.93	32	31	63	13
77	Victor Hedman	60	23.1	11	39	50	14
71	Anthony Cirelli	61	18.89	20	25	45	22
22	Oliver Bjorkstrand	63	15.45	17	21	38	-3
20	Nick Paul	57	16.46	19	16	35	8
43	Darren Raddysh	55	18.32	4	24	28	7
27	Ryan McDonagh	63	20.65	2	18	20	34
37	Yanni Gourde	38	15.52	6	12	18	-6
41	Mitchell Chaffee	59	12.31	12	5	17	-1
81	Erik Cernak	57	18.58	3	14	17	26
78	Emil Lilleberg	58	15.6	0	14	14	-7
48	Nicklaus Perbix	55	15	4	10	14	4
14	Conor Geekie	49	12.14	6	6	12	-3
90	Janis Jerome Moser	35	19.75	2	8	10	13
93	Gage Goncalves	41	12.29	2	7	9	2
13	Cam Atkinson	37	8.84	3	5	8	-3
11	Luke Glendening	63	10.86	4	3	7	-7
28	Zemgus Girgensons	63	11.54	1	4	5	-5
67	Declan Carlile	3	13	1	0	1	2
53	Dylan Duke	2	7.85	1	0	1	0
73	Conor Sheary	5	11.34	0	0	0	-2
65	Maxwell Crozier	5	16.7	0	0	0	0
33	Brandon Halverson	0	0	0	0	0	0
64	Steven Santini	1	11.6	0	0	0	0
62	Jack Finley	1	8.4	0	0	0	1

#	Goalies	GP	GAA	SV%
88	Andrei Vasilevskiy	50	2.23	0.921
31	Jonas Johansson	14	3.07	0.898
70	Matt Tomkins	-	-	-
30	Kyle Konin	-	-	-

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Carolina Hurricanes Player Stats & Roster

#	Player	GP	MIN	G	A	P	+/-
20	Sebastian Antero Aho	63	20.28	24	37	61	0
24	Seth Jarvis	57	19.53	25	23	48	3
37	Andrei Svechnikov	63	17.48	18	25	43	-8

4	Shayne Gostisbehere	56	18.45	7	28	35	-5
11	Jordan Staal	64	15.52	12	20	32	14
96	Jack Roslovic	63	13.57	19	11	30	-8
48	Jordan Martinook	64	15.39	11	19	30	16
82	Jesperi Kotkaniemi	64	13.95	11	17	28	8
71	Taylor Hall	60	14.93	10	17	27	-11
50	Eric Robinson	64	11.93	12	14	26	12
7	Dmitri Orlov	62	19.7	4	20	24	15
74	Jaccob Slavin	64	21.8	6	17	23	16
53	Jackson Blake	64	13.09	11	11	22	6
8	Brent Burns	64	21.43	5	17	22	7
64	Jalen Chatfield	64	18.88	5	9	14	19
26	Sean Walker	64	16.3	2	9	11	-2
28	William Carrier	39	11.62	4	5	9	2
54	Juha Jaeaeskae	17	8.75	0	4	4	3
27	Tyson Jost	22	9.67	2	0	2	2
42	Ty Smith	8	13.66	1	1	2	1
56	Scott Morrow	3	11.77	0	1	1	0
61	Riley Stillman	3	3.27	0	0	0	-1
16	Ryan Suzuki	2	6.6	0	0	0	1

#	Goalies	GP	GAA	SV%
52	Pyotr Kochetkov	38	2.45	0.904
31	Frederik Andersen	13	2.17	0.911
34	Dustin Tokarski	6	2.18	0.902
41	Spencer Martin	9	3.89	0.846
60	Yaniv Perets	1	7.32	0.857

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Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups