Tampa Bay Lightning vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction, Picks & Odds | 04 Nov 2025

NHL Betting Preview: Lightning vs Avalanche

The Tampa Bay Lightning face off against the Colorado Avalanche at Ball Arena, with face-off scheduled for 21:30 on Tuesday, November 4. Our betting preview features expert NHL predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and the starting lineups.

Avs Worth Backing

Our best prediction is the Avalanche to have the upper hand against the Lightning and we think that the -141 represents an attractive bet on the Moneyline.

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7 Wins for Lightning in Last 10 H2H Encounters

Tampa Bay Lightning won their previous game 4-2. This road victory at Delta Center against Utah Mammoth was their fifth on the spin. Brandon Hagel found the net along with three other players. Goalie Jonas Johansson had 25 saves (.926).

Colorado Avalanche were beaten last game and this was on the road at SAP Center. San Jose Sharks claimed a 3-2 (OT) win. Martin Necas and Nathan MacKinnon each scored one goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw the Lightning claim a 8-2 win over the Avs at Benchmark International Arena. The Lightning have beaten the Avs in the past three meetings. They’ve also claimed 7 wins in the past 10 head-to-head meetings.

Starting Goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	3-3-2	2.6	.899	0
23/24	30-20-2	2.9	.900	2

Mackenzie Blackwood (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	0-0-1	3	.870	0
23/24	10-25-1	3.45	.899	2

6 wins, 2 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 2.8 goals from 28.1 shots on goal, with a 8.2% powerplay efficiency. The Lightning have given up 2.3 goals from 27.5 shots, averaging 4.6 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 93.5%.

Anthony Cirelli is the top points scorer with 11 points, 7 goals and 4 assists, with Jake Guentzel recording 10 points, 5 goals and 5 assists, over the past 10 games. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 1.96 goal against average with a .917 save percentage.

The Avs have 5 wins, 1 loss and 4 overtime losses, averaging 3.7 goals from 35.5 shots on goal, with a 12.8% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 2.7 goals from 24.8 shots, averaging 3.6 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 94.4%.

The top points scorer is Cale Makar with 15 points, 4 goals and 11 assists, while Nathan MacKinnon is next in line after registering 13 points, 8 goals and 5 assists. Goalie Scott Wedgewood have a 2.79 GAA with a .890 SV%.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction & Picks

Explore our top Tampa Bay Lightning vs Colorado Avalanche betting tips, including an expert match prediction, correct score forecast and a bet builder ready to use. Each section below offers expert insight into the key betting angles.

Game Prediction

If you’re looking for a value bet, then -141 that Colorado Avalanche win this NHL game certainly stands out. We’re expecting them to triumph on the Moneyline at attractive odds.

We’re always on top of team news and when combined with recent form, it helps us uncover the best value. Our NHL handicappers also take a data-led approach, using key stats to back every pick.

Key Lightning vs Avalanche stats:

• Avalanche have won 14 of their last 20 games at home.
• Avalanche have won 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• Lightning have lost 12 of their last 20 games on the road.
• Lightning have lost 3 of their last 5 games on the road.

Avs Moneyline Probability

The best betting apps imply that our pick has a 58.5% prospect of winning. Our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 65-70%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this hockey bet.

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Best Bet

Avalanche Moneyline @ -141 Watch Live Bet Now

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Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Correct Score Prediction

Lightning 2 - 3 Avalanche

A potentially entertaining bet is going for the Avalanche to win by a 3-2 scoreline. At odds of +850, there’s the chance to get a handsome return should this wager win.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Lightning

Avalanche

1-0

Lightning

+6000

Avalanche

+5500

2-0

Lightning

+5500

Avalanche

+4500

2-1

Lightning

+1600

Avalanche

+1400

3-0

Lightning

+4000

Avalanche

+2900

3-1

Lightning

+2200

Avalanche

+1700

3-2

Lightning

+950

Avalanche

+850

4-0

Lightning

+5500

Avalanche

+3300

4-1

Lightning

+2000

Avalanche

+1300

4-2

Lightning

+1800

Avalanche

+1400

4-3

Lightning

+1100

Avalanche

+1000

5-0

Lightning

+9000

Avalanche

+5500

5-1

Lightning

+3400

Avalanche

+2000

5-2

Lightning

+2000

Avalanche

+1400

5-3

Lightning

+2500

Avalanche

+2000

5-4

Lightning

+2200

Avalanche

+1900

6-0

Lightning

+14000

Avalanche

+8000

6-1

Lightning

+8000

Avalanche

+4500

6-2

Lightning

+4000

Avalanche

+2500

6-3

Lightning

+3500

Avalanche

+2500

6-4

Lightning

+5500

Avalanche

+4500

6-5

Lightning

+5000

Avalanche

+4500

7-0

Lightning

+5000

Avalanche

+12000

7-1

Lightning

+13000

Avalanche

+7500

7-2

Lightning

+11000

Avalanche

+6000

7-3

Lightning

+7000

Avalanche

+4500

7-4

Lightning

+7500

Avalanche

+5500

7-5

Lightning

+11000

Avalanche

+10000

7-6

Lightning

+12000

Avalanche

+11000

8-1

Lightning

+12000

Avalanche

+12000

8-2

Lightning

+12000

Avalanche

+10000

8-3

Lightning

+12000

Avalanche

+11000

8-4

Lightning

+14000

Avalanche

+10000

8-5

Lightning

+14000

Avalanche

+13000

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Tampa Bay Lightning vs Colorado Avalanche Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Avs Favorites to Win According to the Books

The Colorado Avalanche odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -141 betting favorites to land victory in this game which means a 58% chance of winning. For those wanting to back Tampa Bay Lightning, you will find +116 about the underdogs.

The puck line is calculated to be 1.5, while total goals comes in at 6.5. Hockey fans love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Totals wager. There’s an opportunity to bet Over 6.5 at +104.

The top NHL sportsbooks offer a wide range of game lines and team props for every matchup. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Lightning

+116

Avalanche

-141

3-Way Moneyline

Lightning

+205

Tie

+340

Avalanche

-100

Puck Line

Lightning +1.5

-208

Avalanche -1.5

+168

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-128

Over 6.5

+104

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Colorado Avalanche Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 8 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.10 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 5.50 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.80 goals and allowed 2.30 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.00 pts and allowed 2.50 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.50 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.60 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.70 goals and allowed 2.80 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.80 goals and allowed 2.80 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 28.1
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4.6
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 10.3
• Blocks: 14.4
• Faceoff Wins : 26.2
• Hits: 17.4
• Giveaways: 16.9
• Takeaways: 4

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 24.8
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4.3
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 9.7
• Blocks: 14.3
• Faceoff Wins : 25.3
• Hits: 16.2
• Giveaways: 14.7
• Takeaways: 4.3

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 35.5
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.6
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 6.6
• Blocks: 17.5
• Faceoff Wins : 32
• Hits: 17.6
• Giveaways: 15.8
• Takeaways: 5.2

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.9
• Shots: 38.6
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 3.4
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 7.7
• Blocks: 17.6
• Faceoff Wins : 35.4
• Hits: 27
• Giveaways: 15.9
• Takeaways: 4.5

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Team News

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Stats & Roster

#	Player	GP	MIN	G	A	P	+/-
59	Jake Guentzel	12	20.89	5	7	12	1
71	Anthony Cirelli	12	19.51	7	4	11	6
86	Nikita Kucherov	10	20.97	4	6	10	-5

77	Victor Hedman	12	23.46	0	9	9	1
38	Brandon Hagel	12	20.64	4	5	9	1
21	Brayden Point	12	19.08	2	6	8	-9
27	Ryan McDonagh	12	21.26	3	3	6	0
29	Pontus Holmberg	12	12.46	1	4	5	4
37	Yanni Gourde	12	15.92	3	1	4	4
93	Gage Goncalves	12	11.93	0	4	4	-1
22	Oliver Bjorkstrand	12	13.73	1	2	3	-1
24	Maxwell Crozier	4	13.13	0	3	3	2
28	Zemgus Girgensons	5	14.42	2	1	3	1
43	Darren Raddysh	7	14.83	1	2	3	-4
51	Charles-Edouard D'Astous	5	14.62	1	1	2	1
81	Erik Cernak	12	19.16	0	2	2	-2
90	Janis Jerome Moser	10	21.11	1	1	2	4
14	Conor Geekie	6	10.03	0	1	1	0
78	Emil Lilleberg	12	14.77	0	1	1	-3
41	Mitchell Chaffee	7	9.49	0	0	0	0
17	Dominic James	6	12.2	0	0	0	-2
	Curtis Douglas	9	5.11	0	0	0	1
62	Jack Finley	3	8.07	0	0	0	0

#	Goalies	GP	GAA	SV%
31	Jonas Johansson	4	2.78	0.916
88	Andrei Vasilevskiy	8	2.61	0.898

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Colorado Avalanche Player Stats & Roster

#	Player	GP	MIN	G	A	P	+/-
29	Nathan MacKinnon	13	21.73	10	9	19	10
8	Cale Makar	13	25.45	4	14	18	12
88	Martin Necas	13	21.25	9	8	17	9

62	Artturi Lehkonen	13	19.52	4	8	12	12
95	Victor Olofsson	13	13.65	3	7	10	-2
13	Valeri Nichushkin	13	18.13	5	4	9	3
84	Brent Burns	13	20.55	1	5	6	0
70	Sam Malinski	13	15.07	1	4	5	3
20	Ross Colton	13	12.32	1	4	5	-1
17	Parker Kelly	13	11.43	2	2	4	2
11	Brock Nelson	13	19.24	3	1	4	4
18	Jack Drury	13	14.58	1	3	4	-2
7	Devon Toews	13	23.42	0	3	3	9
92	Gabriel Landeskog	13	14.08	0	3	3	-1
54	Gavin Brindley	12	8.68	1	1	2	-2
42	Josh Manson	13	18.29	1	1	2	1
93	Zakhar Bardakov	8	6.19	1	1	2	1
18	Jack Ahcan	2	12.65	0	1	1	0
49	Samuel Girard	2	18.8	0	0	0	1
94	Joel Kiviranta	5	10.78	0	0	0	1
28	Ilya Solovyov	9	11.56	0	0	0	-4
	Taylor Makar	1	6.1	0	0	0	0

#	Goalies	GP	GAA	SV%
39	Mackenzie Blackwood	1	2.91	0.87
41	Scott Wedgewood	11	2.53	0.9
50	Trent Miner	2	2.12	0.909

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Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.